You forget Fort Wayne, And South Bend, too. Evansville is the only reliable “R” large city in Indiana.
If Dems think they have a chance to win this seat, they will poor MILLIONS in to it. Have you forgotten Delaware? And the Dems will use the same lies Lugar is using against Mourdock.
I’m going to be filling in the circle for M, I think. But I have no illusions about what this election is going to be like.
Our BIG saving grace is Future Presidential Candidate Mike Pence. Indiana Dems are already going ape-s**t over him. He can command the TV much better than even Daniels does.
First of all, Ft. Wayne went R in 2008, despite all the other big towns voting D for Obama.
Secondly, Donnelly barely managed to beat Walorski in his 2010 congressional race.
Thirdly, the only reason Donnelly is in contention this time is because Mourdock doesn’t have the same name recognition as Lugar. Once Mourdock beats Lugar, that should change some.
Finally, Mike Pence should have huge coattails.
I like Mourdock’s chances.
I disagree with your contention that Evansville is the only reliable R town. In my personal observation over the years, the only reliable D towns/areas are Indianapolis and the region (Gary/South Bend). Normally, Indiana votes conservative for national offices. 2008 was an exception (much to my embarrassment). Most large towns went D in 2008 because of the youth vote. The towns that went D all have universities. In the case of Terre Haute, there are three.