Skip to comments.Is Romney Losing the Enthusiasm Race? (Tea Party Not Excited about Mitt)
Posted on 05/08/2012 9:25:34 AM PDT by xzins
The first USA TODAY/Gallup Swing States Poll since the GOP settled on moderate former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney as its presumptive Presidential nominee shows an interesting dynamic for Romney and the GOP.
After the Republican Party nominated one of the most moderate candidates in the field, enthusiasm for Romney is down among self-identified GOP moderates and Romneys likely victory or defeat now hinges on swing states where Tea Party backed candidates made strong showings in the 2010 Tea Party wave election.
Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin are the swing states Romney needs to win to be elected. Key states, such as Pennsylvania, Ohio and Florida that contributed to Obamas 365 to 173 electoral vote blow-out of the McCain-Palin ticket in 2008 are in play at this time barely.
Evidence of Romney's problem in Tea Party influenced states is that while Tea Party and conservative-backed office holders are solidifying their popularity, he does not seem to be benefiting from their popularity.
In the state of Michigan, one of Romneys home states where he narrowly won the Republican primary. Romneys post-primary approval fell and he trails Obama by 6 points or more Democratic polling firm PPP has Obama leading Romney by 16 in Michigan.
In contrast, Obamas job approval rating has gone up from 42 percent in September to 50 percent today, and his disapproval rating has dropped from 50 percent to 45 percent.
Michigan's Tea Party backed Governor Rick Snyder's approval rating of 38 percent in September has now hit 50 percent in the state. The Governor's disapproval rating is now down to 36 percent, compared to 46 percent in September.
Tea Party backed Florida Governor Rick Scott, whose shakeup Tallahassee agenda cost him some popularity as he made tough calls on the budget, has gone up 10 points recently and is now at 43 percent, statistically the same as Obamas 43 percent. Romneys multi-million dollar carpet bombing of Newt Gingrich in Florida gained him exactly 1 point over Obama to place him at 43 percent.
In Pennsylvania, after Rick Santorum dropped out, Romney didnt run his usual barrage of negative ads. According to the Quinnipiac poll, Romney actually lost five points while running virtually unopposed in the Pennsylvania primary, and now trails Obama 47 percent to 39 percent.
Since March, Obama has gained two points while Romney lost three. Despite campaigning in the state, Romney still has a negative approval rating, with only 35 percent approving and 39 percent disapproving. Obamas approval rating in Pennsylvania is 51 percent approve to 43 disapprove.
The states of Pennsylvania, Ohio and Florida, were three of the top states where the Tea Party wave swept new constitutional conservative members into Congress. In Florida, four of the seven new Republicans were elected with significant Tea Party support, in Ohio the Tea Party backed candidates contributed five freshmen to the House Republican ranks, and in Pennsylvania four out of the five new Republicans in the delegation were elected with strong Tea Party support.
As Gallup noted, this enthusiasm gap is hurting Romney, Obama's swing-state prospects also look a bit brighter than Romney's on the basis of voter enthusiasm. More than half of Obama's supporters, 55 percent, are extremely or very enthusiastic about voting in this year's presidential election, up from 49 percent saying this in March. By contrast, 46 percent of Romney's supporters are extremely or very enthusiastic, unchanged from 47 percent in March. Today's figures reflect a reversal from January, when 55 percent of Romney voters were extremely or very enthusiastic, compared with 50 percent of Obama voters.
In most of the so-called swing states, the recent progress made by the GOP has been powered by Tea Party enthusiasm and Tea Party backed candidates. Unfortunately for Romney, while liberal and moderate support for him has predictably waned, the Tea Party enthusiasm that has been winning elections for the GOP in those key swing states has yet to rub-off on him.
An enthusiasm race to the bottom?
I’m not enthusiastic about Romney, but I couldn’t be more enthusiastic about voting Obama out.
Gee, I wonder why?
“...Tea Party not excited...?” LOL
Try inviting all your mooselimb friends to a pig roast, and wonder why they’re “not excited”.
I will be voting Mitt as “Obama prevention,” to be sure,
but this is what nearly every conservative was worried about. It happened with Dole, with McCain and now again with Mitt. Their bumper stickers all could say, “It’s My TURN.”
Duh!!!! It’s milquetoast Mitt we’re talking about!
Well he’s a democrat and not even a moderate democrat.
I don’t know if he’s spoken at Lansing community college yet but I’m hoping the media will expose....er show it.
You people are going to cheer yourselves into another 4 years of Obama, and then spend 4 years whining, complaining, and stocking up on ammo.
Geeky Romney is afraid of losing the so-called swing votes. What has he done lately for the conservative cause?
LOL. I can guarantee you that the Anybody but Obama enthusiasm will trump everything else. I will crawl over broken glass to cast a vote against Obama.
Why Sarah, why?!
"It's a feel-good story, this Romney thing.
Romney is an ascendant guy."
Sen. John Kerry (D) to Don Imus on RomneyCARE:
"I like this health care bill".
Sen. Hillary Clinton (D) on RomneyCARE:
"To come up with a bipartisan plan in this polarized environment is commendable."
I am not thrilled with Romeny (unless he pick a Palin-like VP )
But I do hate obama more
Think of all the people you’ll have to blame. LOL
No one is enthused by Romney.
Obama will win the liberal States
Romney will LOSE the Conservative States.
Obama will win any toss up States.
End result. Because the GOP forced Romney on us, America gets screwed for another 4 years........
I will be VERY excited to see Obama leave the Oval Office.
You and me both...you’ll find me crawling through broken glass come election day.
Then, after Romney the RINO gets elected, I will STOMP him every time he steps into his progressive mode...
The blame is squarely on the shoulders of the GOP.
no one except for the Mormons and the RINO’s were ever excited about Romney!
Everyone voted for him because they once again believed the big lie spread by the media that only a “moderate” could win.
Stop with the “RINO” stuff....that IS what Republicans are. Reagan was a brief respite, but this has always been what the Republican Party has been about.
I will too but I won't vote for Romney. Voting for Anybody but Obama does not have to come down to voting for Romney only.
Enthusiasm? What’s that? Oh, yes, that sense of optimism and exhilaration that I was feeling thanks to the combo of the almost-concurrent appearances of Palin and the Tea Party movement. The first time I really fully experienced that since those early, heady days of Reagan.
Nope, Romney and the GOP-e pretty much killed all that, this past year. Totally suffocated it. It’s really amazing when I think about it. The entirity of it, that is. After 15 years of viewership, I’ve stopped watching FoxNews. After 12 years, I’ve stopped visiting Drudge. Just about stopped listening to talk radio. My three-decade status as a news/political junkie seems to be coming to a virtual end. There just doesn’t seem to be any point anymore. That’s the legacy of Romney and this election season for me.
“Im not enthusiastic about Romney, but I couldnt be more enthusiastic about voting Obama out.”
Exactly right! I would vote for a dog turd enthusiastically if it meant an end to Obama’s Presidency.
The story is from late last year but I didn’t see it till yesterday but one of the 4 votes to change Michigan delegate allocation rules got in trouble for using fake RNC stationary to push the national popular vote. This is our former GOP chair in Michigan. I’ll bet Mitt has big plans for Saul Anuzis. Mitt sure has run as if he were practicing for the national popular vote. He ignored the conservative areas and ran in Obama strongholds.
So. I hope you turn out to vote for all conservative candidates down ticket. We need and will get a huge turnout this election, which is why I think Obama will lose big.
The Robamany’s are both Socialists. The real Socialist wins and it ain’t Mittens.
In a related story:
Romney: ‘I’ll take a lot of credit’ for auto industry success [bailout]
Is it any wonder about the enthusiasm gap?
If that doesn't make you an enthusiastic supporter of the lurching bolt-neck, I don't know what will.
I've been a Freeper long enough to read all the posts before adding my own. And you, you rotten sonofagun, you stole my line! I will proudly crawl beside you in November...
Yes, I intend to. Our victory lies in taking the Senate and holding the House. I expect the GOP presidential candidate will win but I don’t expect him to lead. I vow to fight him every step of the way. Romney is an FDR Democrat at best.
So will I! Oust The Obamanation
Any yet today, Rasmussen, using LIKELY VOTERS IN HIS POLL, has Romney 49% and the halfrican, communist, mooselimb, prick at 44%... very strange.
But xzins, you would never look for a poll that slants things in your slanted direction, eh?
Why don't you use the poll results from moveon.org, they really have obama winning, and that should make you very happy.
Except on Free Republic. :(
Mitt Romney says he’ll take credit for the auto industry?
He truly is an idiot, isn’t he?
He wasn’t a decision maker in that bailout.
Some were bailed and some weren’t.
He said he didn’t support auto industry bailouts.
He did support bank/financial bailouts.
Now he does support what happened???
The trees are just the right size in Michigan!!
(what a doofus)
“Yes, as if Tea Party support just rubs on and off like hand lotion.”
Yes, that is exactly what they think. They think conservatives will just fall in line like we always do because Romney is our only choice. It is political calculus at its most cynical.
The GOP and Romney went out of their way to let conservatives know that they don’t want our vote this time. It’s too bad for them since this is where a lot of volunteers come from.
To the “broken glassers”, I respect your choice, but you vote for Romney fully aware that you are voting for a pro abortion, pro bigger government, pro homosexual ticket.
Mittack 0bamney doesn’t generate excitement among conservatives?
Why would that be?
Well with Obama, we will be rid of him in 4 years. If Romney is elected, we will be stuck with Obama-lite for 8 years.
Great, vote your conscience. You have that luxury in ND, which Romney will win easily.
Well with Obama, we will be rid of him in 4 years. If Romney is elected, we will be stuck with Obama-lite for 8 years.
A Romney advisor bragged a couple of days ago that the auto bailout was Romney’s idea, or something like that. There was a thread on it.
You say he came out against the auto bailout??
If THAT’s true, I’m at a loss to understand what’s going on.
But anyway you look at this, it’s nuts.
If Obama has four more years, it won’t matter who is President after that. Everything that follows will just be rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic.
“I will crawl over broken glass to cast a vote against Obama.”
Well, keep that enthusiasm for the next election when you say the same thing about Romney.
Did you notice that Conservative HQ was talking about "approval rating" and that you are talking about presidential selection poll. Notice also, that Rasmussen doesn't include Gary Johnson and Virgil Goode by name. He asks if they support "3rd party"
Why not just have a poll for 1st party, 2nd party, and 3rd party? We can just forget names.