Skip to comments.Poll: Obama barely holding lead over Romney in Florida
Posted on 05/10/2012 5:21:26 AM PDT by PRePublic
Los Angeles Times - 2 hours ago By Mitchell Landsberg Florida, the state that bequeathed Bush vs. Gore to the American political lexicon, is once again evenly divided in a presidential race, according to a new statewide poll.
(Excerpt) Read more at latimes.com ...
obama’s gay announcement should make this rather lopsidedly against him.
Not only in FL, but also, in NC, and even gay Iowa.
Couple that with Walker’s vote-getting in Wisconsin, and all of a sudden, the unstoppable obama looks to be in early trouble for re-election....but we shall see.
A junk poll indeed. “registered voters,” 4 percent margin of error, skewed sample. Yet big news in the L.A. Times.
I think it probably is close right now in this snapshot... it could be very different in September when people are paying attention. I could see it bein a landslide either way or a close race. Romney certainly has the upper hand on gay marriage (assuming the public buys that he is in fact against it), but I don’t know that it is going to really be a burning issue 6 months from now.
If Romney is going to win, it is going to be on the economy. For his sake, I hope he doesn’t have crony capitalism skeletons, and I don’t think he does or it would have come out in the primary. He also needs to keep his distance from Wall Street and focus on Main Street. If he does that, he has a good chance. He is best off ignoring social issues, even the ones he has an advantage on. He has been all over the map throughout his career on social issues and they don’t help him. They will onl remind social consrvatives that he is a Mormon without convictions and will keep more of them at home.
LAT-Obama still has Bush Derangement Syndrome, don't they?
Perhaps not yet, but you fail to acknowledge the very real possibility that radical queers will be out in full force now, demanding that they get instant new rights.
When the liberal freak show is on display in full ‘in your face’ fashion, normal people are going to want no part of voting for the idiot that supports them.
All the queer freaks in radical SanFranSissyCo garb are going to be at all his events and on the evening news.
Oh well, if Romney runs as if he’s behind it will be to the good.
I have no problem with conservatives who flee New York because they can;t stand it anymore (there are more than most people imagine) But the New York libs should be walled up in the Five Boroughs with their offspring until they choak on their own political feces.
They are a pestilence which has destroyed New Jersey, Vermont and Florida and they are working on Pennsylvania and New Hampshire (which also has to deal with similar problems from Boston).
This is true, but Romney’s strength is that he is competant. Like him or hate him, he is a good manager, he is smart, and he comes across as knowlegable, which most reasonable people can admit. His weakness is he has no principles or core convictions and has been all over the map on social issues. Gay marriage highlights his weakness and weakens his strength. The media will use the issue to insult his intelligence and diminish that strength... valid or not.
You are correct that some people reflexively dismiss as “junk” any poll whose results they don’t like, which is obviously a stupid thing to do, since failing to face the truth often leads to defeat. But in this case, this is a poll by Suffolk University (a liberal school, and not exactly Mason-Dixon or Rasmussen in the world of polling) of registered voters (not of likely voters, which would have presented a truer snapshot of the electorate by excluding those unlikely to vote) and with a sample that was 41% Democrat, 37% Republican and 23% other (when Republicans have outnumbered Democrats in recent elections in FL). So there are very good reasons to suspect that this poll’s results were skewed in favor of Obama, and that Romney is actually several points ahead of Obama in FL.
As for the fact that the election is a little less than 6 months away so anything can happen, that is absolutely correct, but it’s still important to know where the electorate stands today.
Historically, these Suffolk polls may well be weak, but this particular poll is not an outlier...
Rasmussen has Florida Romney +1 as opposed to Suffolk with Obama +1. Basically the same result... close race within the margin of error.
Well Obama shot himself in the feet yesterday when he came out for gay marriage.
Rasmussen is much more of a clearer picture.
I think that Zero is catering to his last two groups that support him, unions and the radical gay rights groups. His decision yesterday will turn off more and more blacks to him. His lavish vacations, endless golf games, and now him doubling down on gay rights will deflate black support for him. Remember the half empty arena at Ohio State last Saturday? It will be more and more difficult to fill urban venues from now on. I’m not saying the blacks will vote GOP, they will just stay home. They no longer view Hussien as their own and yesterday’s announcement will cement that position even further.
Please!!!! Give me a break!!! Obama will lose Florida by a huge margin. end of story!!! Obama is leading Romney, just like Charley Crist was leading Marco Rubio. Rubio beat Crist by nearly a million vote margin!!!
But in the end, the ECONOMY will be the BIGGER issue as AWAYS.
Just curious: why is it that everytime an unfavorable poll is posted, it is immediately disregarded as junk?
...human nature...if the preferred candidate were ahead in this poll the same people discrediting it would be touting its infallibility...it’s the way we’re wired, we disregard what doesn’t please us, especially before it truly has any meaning...
...FWIW, polls six months out are completely fluid and unconvincing, and any commentary on their worth is suspect...
You got it. Many blacks are also conservative, church going folks.
Also they used registered voters, not likely voters...
...then I guess you are discounting Qunnipiac’s recent poll of registered voters showing a 1 point Romney lead...
Internals make a poll junk, garbage in garbage out,