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Daily Presidential Tracking Poll (Obama trails by 4 points)
Rasmussen Reports ^ | May 13, 2012

Posted on 05/13/2012 7:50:01 AM PDT by Clintonfatigued

Romney has now had the lead for eight consecutive days.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: polls

1 posted on 05/13/2012 7:50:04 AM PDT by Clintonfatigued
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To: AuH2ORepublican; Impy; GOPsterinMA; randita; Sun; LdSentinal; Last Dakotan; MplsSteve; ...

It’s a long way to November, but this is a good sign. Obama’s recent actions are backfiring.


2 posted on 05/13/2012 7:54:16 AM PDT by Clintonfatigued (Obama and Company lied, the American economy died)
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To: Clintonfatigued

He’ll be trailing by 25 soon. Maybe he’ll feign a heart attack...and pass mess to Biden.


3 posted on 05/13/2012 7:55:32 AM PDT by Sacajaweau
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To: Clintonfatigued

A cornered animal is at its most dangerous.


4 posted on 05/13/2012 7:57:08 AM PDT by Josa
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To: Clintonfatigued

50-42 at the link. That’s a bit more than 4.


5 posted on 05/13/2012 8:05:13 AM PDT by commonguymd (Freedom is a myth anymore it seems)
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To: Clintonfatigued
If any poll shows Obama down by 4% then in reality he's actually down by at least 10%. Most Republicans are busy working and don't have time to answer these political polls while most Rats have nothing better to do than sleep in till noon and get out of bed just long enough to get their welfare check.
6 posted on 05/13/2012 8:06:15 AM PDT by tobyhill (Conservatives are proud of themselves, Liberals lie about themselves)
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To: Clintonfatigued

It was eight yesterday. MR must have had a bad day or two of polling.


7 posted on 05/13/2012 8:07:35 AM PDT by traderrob6
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To: commonguymd

That was yesterday’s poll. This one shows Romney up by 48% to 44%. It might just be a polling glitch, which happens in every polling organization.


8 posted on 05/13/2012 8:09:21 AM PDT by Clintonfatigued (Obama and Company lied, the American economy died)
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To: Clintonfatigued

7 and 8 was a bit much to be up this early. Probably pretty close. Seems he had a huge spike in the three day rolling average. Statistical noise.


9 posted on 05/13/2012 8:12:25 AM PDT by commonguymd (Freedom is a myth anymore it seems)
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To: Clintonfatigued
This one shows Romney up by 48% to 44%.

Not very impressive numbers for either of them.

10 posted on 05/13/2012 8:18:22 AM PDT by EGPWS (Trust in God, question everyone else)
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To: Clintonfatigued
I waiting for the media to begin saying Romneys lead is more than expected
11 posted on 05/13/2012 8:36:45 AM PDT by thepatriot1 (...brought to you courtesy of the Red, White and Blue)
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To: traderrob6
I received a phone call yesterday to participate in a poll, I was busy and hung up, so there's one less "strongly diagree with obama" vote for the tally.
12 posted on 05/13/2012 9:05:42 AM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: Clintonfatigued
Error terms usually run about 3-4% so any fluctuation less than that can be disregarded, at least until enough repeat measures establish a trend.
13 posted on 05/13/2012 9:08:12 AM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: Clintonfatigued

When the history of this election is written, his support of gay marriage will be his greatest mistake.


14 posted on 05/13/2012 9:54:43 AM PDT by Last Dakotan
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To: Last Dakotan

Blacks and Latinos do not like gay marriage. Gay marriage seems to be a cause that appeals to rich liberal white women and gay men. That’s not a very large demographic. Most of the rest of the country either just doesn’t care for the idea or isn’t interested one way or the other.


15 posted on 05/13/2012 10:29:09 AM PDT by mamelukesabre
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To: Last Dakotan

I think your wrong about that. He did this now so the question wouldn’t dog him during the real run-up to the election.

This will be old news and the media will bury this by July. No one will be talking about it.


16 posted on 05/13/2012 10:52:07 AM PDT by RC51
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To: thepatriot1

“I waiting for the media to begin saying Romneys lead is more than expected “

I believe the words you probably meant were “unexpectedly” or “unexpected”, as in “Romney lead in the poll by an unexpectedly wide margin” or “Romney’s large unexpected poll lead”.


17 posted on 05/13/2012 12:32:05 PM PDT by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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To: hinckley buzzard

“I received a phone call yesterday to participate in a poll, I was busy and hung up, so there’s one less “strongly diagree with obama” vote for the tally. “

It seems I’m barraged all day by polling calls. Some have obvious caller Ids or obviously fake ones; those I never answer. Some manage to trick me into picking up; those I just click the little hangup button thingy. One less set of conservative answers counted I suppose.


18 posted on 05/13/2012 12:34:44 PM PDT by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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To: Clintonfatigued

“It’s a long way to November, but this is a good sign. Obama’s recent actions are backfiring.”

Aside from increasingly strident negative and attack advertising, my gut says Obama will promote more and more insanely extreme positions as he desperately tries to energize and shore up his shrinking “core” base, as well as desperately trying to look like he’s in touch with a larger part of the voter base.

I think that these increasingly extreme and insincere positions will cause more and more undecided and wavering voters to see Obama as insincere, out of touch, desperate, extreme, and not a good choice at all to continue as President for four more years.

As much as we (myself included) do not like Romney, I think the alphabet network and bird-cage-liner press propagandists will have a very difficult time painting Romney as an extremist. And, almost any foible that they can think up to smear Romney with (flip-flopping, etc.), their boy Obama has done the same thing, only worse.


19 posted on 05/13/2012 12:46:00 PM PDT by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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To: catnipman

Some have tried to paint Romney as a committed liberal in Republican guise, but I see him as a political weathervane who doesn’t feel stronly about social issues one way or the other. He’s a phony, but the United States can survive him. I’m not sure that it can survive a second Obama term.


20 posted on 05/13/2012 12:49:34 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (Obama and Company lied, the American economy died)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Here is the report card for 2008 polling accuracy. Rasmussen is tops.

http://electoralmap.net/2012/2008_election.php#reportcard

Here is the RCP (Real Clear Politics) polling data today.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html

Generally the polls now showing Romney ahead are the more reliable, the ones showing Obama ahead are the less reliable, based on the report card above.

Rassmussen and Politico have Romney ahead; use Likely Voters, versus Registered Voters.

Gallup, AP and Reuters have Obama ahead; use Registered Voters.

Finally the Rasmussen poll includes some days after Obama’s gay marriage announcement.

The AP and Reuters polls were before this announcement.

This election will depend heavily on the economy which doesn’t help Obama at this time. I expect him to try to manipulate the true picture, so factual data will be conservatives’ friend.

I expect with Romney’s busines management background, his team will be releasing figures damaging to Obama.


21 posted on 05/13/2012 1:36:55 PM PDT by truth_seeker
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To: Clintonfatigued

I’ve been watching Intrade pretty closely.

Obama’s down on Intrade today.

First time below 59. FWIW.


22 posted on 05/13/2012 1:51:01 PM PDT by Cringing Negativism Network (Vote for the straight guy.)
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To: EGPWS
Not very impressive numbers for either of them.

-

Actually considering Obama is not only the Dem nominee but incumbent, and Romney's not even the GOP nominee yet, not bad for Romney at all.

23 posted on 05/13/2012 1:54:19 PM PDT by Cringing Negativism Network (Vote for the straight guy.)
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To: hinckley buzzard

Me, too. So that’s another one.


24 posted on 05/13/2012 1:56:51 PM PDT by reformedliberal
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