Skip to comments.Daily Presidential Tracking Poll (Obama trails by 4 points)
Posted on 05/13/2012 7:50:01 AM PDT by Clintonfatigued
Romney has now had the lead for eight consecutive days.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
It’s a long way to November, but this is a good sign. Obama’s recent actions are backfiring.
He’ll be trailing by 25 soon. Maybe he’ll feign a heart attack...and pass mess to Biden.
A cornered animal is at its most dangerous.
50-42 at the link. That’s a bit more than 4.
It was eight yesterday. MR must have had a bad day or two of polling.
That was yesterday’s poll. This one shows Romney up by 48% to 44%. It might just be a polling glitch, which happens in every polling organization.
7 and 8 was a bit much to be up this early. Probably pretty close. Seems he had a huge spike in the three day rolling average. Statistical noise.
Not very impressive numbers for either of them.
When the history of this election is written, his support of gay marriage will be his greatest mistake.
Blacks and Latinos do not like gay marriage. Gay marriage seems to be a cause that appeals to rich liberal white women and gay men. That’s not a very large demographic. Most of the rest of the country either just doesn’t care for the idea or isn’t interested one way or the other.
I think your wrong about that. He did this now so the question wouldn’t dog him during the real run-up to the election.
This will be old news and the media will bury this by July. No one will be talking about it.
“I waiting for the media to begin saying Romneys lead is more than expected “
I believe the words you probably meant were “unexpectedly” or “unexpected”, as in “Romney lead in the poll by an unexpectedly wide margin” or “Romney’s large unexpected poll lead”.
“I received a phone call yesterday to participate in a poll, I was busy and hung up, so there’s one less “strongly diagree with obama” vote for the tally. “
It seems I’m barraged all day by polling calls. Some have obvious caller Ids or obviously fake ones; those I never answer. Some manage to trick me into picking up; those I just click the little hangup button thingy. One less set of conservative answers counted I suppose.
“Its a long way to November, but this is a good sign. Obamas recent actions are backfiring.”
Aside from increasingly strident negative and attack advertising, my gut says Obama will promote more and more insanely extreme positions as he desperately tries to energize and shore up his shrinking “core” base, as well as desperately trying to look like he’s in touch with a larger part of the voter base.
I think that these increasingly extreme and insincere positions will cause more and more undecided and wavering voters to see Obama as insincere, out of touch, desperate, extreme, and not a good choice at all to continue as President for four more years.
As much as we (myself included) do not like Romney, I think the alphabet network and bird-cage-liner press propagandists will have a very difficult time painting Romney as an extremist. And, almost any foible that they can think up to smear Romney with (flip-flopping, etc.), their boy Obama has done the same thing, only worse.
Some have tried to paint Romney as a committed liberal in Republican guise, but I see him as a political weathervane who doesn’t feel stronly about social issues one way or the other. He’s a phony, but the United States can survive him. I’m not sure that it can survive a second Obama term.
Here is the report card for 2008 polling accuracy. Rasmussen is tops.
Here is the RCP (Real Clear Politics) polling data today.
Generally the polls now showing Romney ahead are the more reliable, the ones showing Obama ahead are the less reliable, based on the report card above.
Rassmussen and Politico have Romney ahead; use Likely Voters, versus Registered Voters.
Gallup, AP and Reuters have Obama ahead; use Registered Voters.
Finally the Rasmussen poll includes some days after Obama’s gay marriage announcement.
The AP and Reuters polls were before this announcement.
This election will depend heavily on the economy which doesn’t help Obama at this time. I expect him to try to manipulate the true picture, so factual data will be conservatives’ friend.
I expect with Romney’s busines management background, his team will be releasing figures damaging to Obama.
I’ve been watching Intrade pretty closely.
Obama’s down on Intrade today.
First time below 59. FWIW.
Me, too. So that’s another one.