Skip to comments.Gay marriage decision not working in Obama's favor so far
Posted on 05/15/2012 11:39:07 AM PDT by presidio9
Its been one week since President Obama, prodded into action by Vice President Joe Bidens remarks on a Sunday talk show, granted Robin Roberts of ABC News an interview in which he revealed his personal policy shift on gay marriage. Whether or not Obamas decision, and the way it was handled politically, will make a difference on election day is still anyones guess and may always be. Parsing reactions by millions of individual voters, particularly on an issue that ranks far below other concerns for most Americans, obviously involves a measure of guesswork.
That said, the first wave of polling is in, and the results arent looking particularly good for Obama. Taken together, four different national opinion surveys over the past week, by reputable organizations with good track records, indicate that the presidents stand could well hurt him politically. Unsurprisingly, the numbers are fairly close; but as often gets pointed out, tight elections are decided by small numbers of votes.
Perhaps the most encouraging sign for Obama comes from a new ABC/Washington Post poll, which found that independent swing voters had a slightly more favorable than unfavorable view of his position (though the results were a statistical tie, given the margin of error for that subgroup). ABCs analysis, by statistician Damla Ergun of Langer Research Associates, pointed out that independents who reacted most strongly to the decision tilted against it, and that strong sentiment can better predict voter turnout and vote preferences.
A Gallup poll found that the overall change in public opinion was a net minus for Obama, though the organization cautioned that these results could change, depending on the degree to which same-sex marriage is, or is not,
(Excerpt) Read more at latimes.com ...
Probably a promise Obammy made to his ex Phil Boerner to keep him quiet.
Yeah, we'll never know. Never, never. Nope. It's unknowable. It's a big, fat unknown. In fact, and I'm quoting Don Rumsfeld here, "it's an unknown unknown."
It's unfathomable. Don't even ask. Don't ask, don't tell. It's an enduring mystery of the deep. Why, you could line up the greatest political minds in Los Angeles... heck, you could even throw in the greatest political minds in the San Fernando Valley too, and you know what? They couldn't tell you. They wouldn't have a clue. Just thinking about the question would give them a bad headache. That's just how it is.
Obammy could start losing the black vote for his support of gay marriage
At this point all Romney has to do is act presidential, and look stable.
Because Obummer is pretty much blowing himself up.
Call me cynical, but I really doubt it.
What, is he going to get 96% of the black vote instead of 98%?
More likely, he’ll see a downturn in turnout.
I know what you mean but at this point in the game 2% means a lot for Obama right now.
Remember that’s 2% of 8%...
Not 2% of the entire population.
Was there ever any doubt who gays would vote for??...why would these idiots do this?
The Democrat party has always been the Gay party. Except for a small group who sort of identify themselves with the Republican party...Poofter=Democrat
You’re too kind, Don.
But you gotta wonder what % he thought he would gain from the gay population. I mean, seems like a bad political move.
No, no, no. Why, the Miami media is CELEBRATORY about Obama’s pro-sodomy position, and assures the readers, listeners, and viewers, that OBAMA is right on track for another four year reign of socialism.
One Florida reporter even is going to SIT DOWN with Michelle Obama for an “exclusive” interview and find out how WONDERFUL her “exercise” program is for kids...you know, just like the Soviet exercise programs after the Revolution.
You were one key too high.
It was % that he gained,
it was $.
Skin color trumps everything.
He could be found eating the corpse of a dead child and a majority of blacks would still vote for their handout.
Very good point and good question.
Why sacrifice votes you need to please voters you know will vote for you anyways?
Answer: It's the economy, stupid.
He's trying like heck to make this election about social issues. "Republican's war against women" now their "war against gays".
Obama does not want Romney talking about the economy. That's Obama's weakness.
Back in 2007 I knew this liberal straight guy who was really good looking, 26 years old, handsome, etc...and he actually got an interview with 0bama when 0bama came to his school. The kid has it on tape you can just seem 0bama make a beeline for the good looking boy and 0bama had his hands all over him. Just watching it I thought, 0bama is gay!!!