Poll: Obama up big in swing-state New Hampshire

The Hill ^ | May 15, 2012 | Jonathan Easley

[ConservativeStatement]

President Obama has opened up a double-digit lead in New Hampshire, according to a survey from left-leaning Public Policy Polling released on Tuesday.

Obama leads with 53 percent over Romney at 41 percent. Romney led by 2 percent in the same poll conducted in July.

[Milt3726]

Poll Date Sample Obama (D) Romney (R) Spread
RCP Average 4/2 - 5/13 — 48.7 42.3 Obama +6.4
PPP (D) 5/10 - 5/13 1163 RV 53 41 Obama +12
WMUR/UNH 4/9 - 4/20 486 LV 51 42 Obama +9
Dartmouth 4/2 - 4/5 403 RV 42 44 Romney +2
Poll, Poll, Poll, they all say something different, The real poll will be Nov 6th

[timlilje]

Who gives a crap. New Hampshire only has 4 electoral votes. A really meaningless state when compared to Ohio and Florida.

[Red Badger]

They’re grasping for straws in a tornado.........

[trebb]

Most polls are like Democrats - can’t believe what they say and have to wait for the event to occur to check veracity.

[andy58-in-nh]

Here are some internals:

Dem 34%
Rep 31%
Indep 35%

Liberal 33%
Moderate 31%
Conservative 36%

These numbers and favorable/unfavorable numbers (52/45 favorable for Obama, including nearly 60% favorable rating from "moderates"? - no way).

It just don't jibe with the recent experience of those of us who live here.

[who knows what evil?]

New Hampshire = "Look at me! Look at me!"

That's the problem with an early primary...no one cares about you anymore.

[sanjuanbob]

Romney led in the same poll conducted in July???? What year?
I’m missing something here.

[Nifster]

It is another of those crappy registered voter polls. Show me the likely to vote polls and then we’ll talk

[Road Glide]

“New Hampshire is a swing state? Really?”

Yes, it is. Really.

It’s the only state in the northeast where conservatism still has some traction. Not as much as it once had any more, but “some”.

And its 3 electoral votes will become very important in the election. They may end up as being the total that secures the victory for Romney.

This election will be a close one. Not necessary close in the blue states, and not close in the red states. But it will be a battle in the purple “swing states”. And I predict the electoral college vote may be the closest in election history.

My opinion only, I realize yours may be otherwise.

One other thought — as leftist as we regard Vermont these days, up until the early 1960’s it was a “reliably Republican” state. What happened?

[ConservativeStatement]

Dopey poll taken last year. Link —

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/barack-obama/

[who knows what evil?]

One other thought — as leftist as we regard Vermont these days, up until the early 1960’s it was a “reliably Republican” state. What happened?

New Yorkers and 'deadheads'...

[Verginius Rufus]

New Hampshire's 4 electoral votes made the difference in 2000. Bush lost it by 9,000 votes in 2004.

In the 1936 landslide, when Alf Landon carried only two states, Maine and Vermont, I think he lost New Hampshire by only a very narrow margin. He could have swept northern New England!

[CSM]

“Live Free or Die!” Should be much more than a statement on a liscense plate!

[Iron Munro]

To keep it in perspective, the entire state of New Hampshire has a population about the size of Philadelphia, Phoenix, Dallas, San Diego or San Antonio.

The state has 4 electoral votes.

N.H. has fewer registered voters than in 2008
"As of Dec. 14, 2011 there were 767,383 voters registered (eagletribune.com)

New Hampshire 2008 Election Results

Obama - 384,826 Votes = 54% of total votes cast

McCain - 316,534 Votes = 45% of total votes cast

[Iron Munro]

as leftist as we regard Vermont these days, up until the early 1960’s it was a “reliably Republican” state. What happened?

It was discovered by the homosexuals and yuppies who couldn't afford a weekend/retirement home in Greenwich.

[freeagle]

A 58 yo female, Democrat, NH friend,who voted Obama (preferred Hillary), was interested in Romney during the Republican primary race. She would describe herself as an “economic conservative” (which was bs).

Now she’s talking about good VP candidates for Obama.... I think she hopes Hillary will join Obama’s ticket. Perhaps that “Hillary hope” keeps her in the Obama camp. Thus, she might respond to a poll as supporting Obama.

Another thing, New Hampshire is “women friendly”... this poll may reflect support for his recent comments on gay marriage.

[InterceptPoint]

BIG swing state? New Hampshire has 4 electoral votes, how can they swing anything?

In the 2000 election Bush beat Gore 271 to 266. And he won the 4 NH electoral votes. New Hampshire has since went to the Dems but it was certainly an important swing state 12 years ago.

[Phlap]

I’m certain NH “swings” both ways IYKWIM. lol

[PermaRag]

That, plus the fact that even when Vermont was in its last days of being “reliably Republican” it was in no way “Conservative” at least not if you go by the politicians it sent to Congress.

Lots of places in the Northeast, such as the Philly suburbs, used to be “reliably Republican” — but NEVER Conservative — and they went lurching leftward after the Republican Revolution of 1994 in which eeeevil Bible-thumping Southern Conservatives took over the party.

[cantfindagoodscreenname]

NH was a swing state in ‘08. My family worked on McCain’s campaign. But, I’ve heard since then that we are no longer considered a swing state. That’s why the title of this article caught my eye.