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Gallup Analysis: Obama’s Chance of a Loss Greater Than a Win
Newsmax ^ | MAY 17, 2012 | Henry J. Reske

Posted on 05/18/2012 8:28:55 AM PDT by RobinMasters

With an approval rating stuck below 50 percent, a sour national mood, and polls showing him tied or trailing rival Mitt Romney, President Barack Obama's re-election bid faces an uncertain future.

Gallup polls show that Obama’s job approval rating in the first week of May averaged just 47 percent and a May 3-6 Gallup poll found only 24 percent of Americans were satisfied with the way things are going.

A poll released Thursday in the battleground state of North Carolina showed Romney leading the president, and the same day another poll showed Wisconsin — which Obama won handily in 2008 — is a toss-up, with Obama and Romney in a dead heat.

All this signals bad news for the incumbent president.

“Comparing today's economic and political ratings with those from previous years when presidents sought re-election reveals that today's climate is more similar to years when incumbents lost than when they won,” Gallup noted.

(Excerpt) Read more at newsmax.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: gallup; newsmax; obamalies; obamasucks; totalfraud
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1 posted on 05/18/2012 8:29:02 AM PDT by RobinMasters
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To: RobinMasters

Obamaumau is EPIC FAIL!


2 posted on 05/18/2012 8:30:55 AM PDT by wetgundog (" Extremism in the Defense of Liberty is no Vice")
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To: RobinMasters

3 posted on 05/18/2012 8:37:02 AM PDT by HerrBlucher
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To: RobinMasters

It’s a long time until November and an even longer time until January. I’m afraid lots can happen between now and then and it won’t be pretty.


4 posted on 05/18/2012 8:38:11 AM PDT by bgill
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To: RobinMasters

The illegitimate, bisexual, Marxist Kenyan Muslim Usurper has:

- the illegal alien vote;
- the dead vote;
- the black vote;
- the stupid vote;
- UN watchers observing the votes;
- Black panthers guarding the votes; and
- Soros-paid Spaniards counting the votes.

Does anyone honestly think a fair election will occur?


5 posted on 05/18/2012 8:44:50 AM PDT by Old Sarge (RIP FReeper Skyraider (1930-2011) - You Are Missed)
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To: RobinMasters

So what, we’ll be no better off with Romney..........the White Obama.


6 posted on 05/18/2012 8:47:12 AM PDT by JohnKinAK
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To: JohnKinAK

I guess you need to go hide in your bunker until the elction is over.


7 posted on 05/18/2012 8:49:26 AM PDT by Old Retired Army Guy
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To: RobinMasters
The kenyan has not even begun to spend money yet and his funds are unlimited regardless of what the news says about his troubles with fundraising. He has the entire US Treasury to call on and huge foreign resources and, least of all, George Soros, and he will spend several times what he deems necessary to ensure a win. And Romney hasn't yet got his Defeat Machine cranked up though it has sputtered a bit already with his "repudiation" of attack ads. Romney will McCainize this election. He, like some other previous Republican nominees, doesn't really want to be President. He desperately wants the Deserved Honor of the Nomination. For Republicans that is the pinnacle.

Republicans feel in their bones that Democrats are the natural rulers of America and Republicans exist only to rationalize the half baked schemes of the Ruling Party, and to make the Democrat atrocities against freedom and the Constitution palatable to the populace.

I used to ascribe those characteristics to "Northeast Republicans" or Rockefeller Republicans" but after watching, aghast, the voting of the "Tea Partiers" in Congress, I know that it is ALL elected Republicans, the exceptions being so damned few as to be inconsequential.

I will vote for the righwardmost sounding candidates in the fall below the presidential level(I will NOT vote for Romney) but have no expectation that there election would make one whit of difference in Washington.

8 posted on 05/18/2012 8:53:48 AM PDT by arthurus ( Read Henry hazlitt's "Economics In One Lesson")
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To: arthurus

You forgot to mention the James Riady’s and John Huang’s that will come out of the woodwork.


9 posted on 05/18/2012 8:58:48 AM PDT by 03A3
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To: RobinMasters

It should have been a landslide. Obama will be lucky to carry even his own state.

Now we are greatful for any crumb a President Romney_GOP wing will probably throw at people on the right.


10 posted on 05/18/2012 9:11:19 AM PDT by Sir Napsalot (Pravda + Useful Idiots = CCCP; JournOList + Useful Idiots = DopeyChangey!)
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To: RobinMasters

Opinion and likely voter preference polls are meaningless with regard to the coming presidential election, because the incidence of illegal/fraudulent voting will be absolutely mind boggling. There is no effective preventive legal remedy for this, and after-the-fact legal actions have no corrective effect. After the ballots have been counted and the results duly posted, the numbers will not be changed by the customary monetary fines imposed after months or years of bureaucratic review.


11 posted on 05/18/2012 9:12:42 AM PDT by Elsiejay
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To: RobinMasters

An old study I posted a few weeks ago showed that when an incumbent is trailing in the polls and less than 50 that the challenger is most likely to win.

Some think that the incumbent being below 50% is the key. Not so according to the study. The issue is having the challenger be ahead of the candidate who is less than 50%.

Recent races show this to be true.

In any case, the polls showing Obama BOTH losing to the challenger AND less than 50% do not bode well for him.

Unfortunately, we are still too far out. This will take on added relevance after the conventions.


12 posted on 05/18/2012 9:16:19 AM PDT by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! True Supporters of Our Troops Pray they Win every Fight!)
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To: wetgundog
Oh well...How about a nice dog pizza?
13 posted on 05/18/2012 9:20:45 AM PDT by AngelesCrestHighway
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To: JohnKinAK
So what, we’ll be no better off with Romney..........the White Obama.

If you don't see the difference between Obama and Romney then you're just blind (and I *don't* mean skin pigmentation)!

14 posted on 05/18/2012 9:27:50 AM PDT by The Duke
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To: The Duke
Okay, then list the differences if they're so obvious. Or do you need to be reminded: Freerepublic on Romney
15 posted on 05/18/2012 9:32:00 AM PDT by JohnKinAK
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To: Old Retired Army Guy

When it comes to saving Liberty and the Constitution..........Romney brings nothing to the table. He’s nothing but a big government stooge, just like Obama.


16 posted on 05/18/2012 9:55:14 AM PDT by JohnKinAK
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To: RobinMasters
Most of the time, I'm angry at the lack of a response from the republicans to any and every thing obama does to the country. And that list is very long.

On rare moments, filled with unrealistic hope for republican guile, I wonder if obama and the DNC have been set up for an epic fail.

That might explain the last few years.

Otherwise, it looks like they are on the same team with obama.

17 posted on 05/18/2012 10:41:21 AM PDT by GBA (Read: The Harbinger by Jonathan Cahn If you read this anything this year, read this book!)
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To: arthurus

Hello Arthurus, a lot of inside info about the GD Rocky republicans in this 3 part series by Russ Baker called ‘The Nixon-Bush Connection Runs Deeper Than You Know’ http://articles.businessinsider.com/2012-05-14/politics/31694782_1_watergate-cia-secrets

This was taken from his book; “Family of Secrets: The Bush Dynasty, America’s Invisible Government, and the Hidden History of the Last Fifty Years”.


18 posted on 05/18/2012 10:57:22 AM PDT by iopscusa (El Vaquero. (SC Lowcountry Cowboy))
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To: JohnKinAK
If you don't see the very clear differences between Obama and Romney then I can't help you. Just for kicks I'll take the time to give you one difference, though:

If Obama gets re-elected, business throughout American will continue to be strangled and employment will continue to dwindle.

If Romney gets elected the stock market will instantly soar, investment will return, and businesses will begin to hire and thrive.

19 posted on 05/18/2012 11:05:36 AM PDT by The Duke
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To: The Duke

Like I thought all postulated fluff based on hope and change Romney style; and not on the man’s political record which is for all practical purposes identical to that of Obama’s.

Bottom line:

Romney = Obama.


20 posted on 05/18/2012 11:21:52 AM PDT by JohnKinAK
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To: The Duke; JohnKinAK

>>> If Romney gets elected the stock market will instantly soar, investment will return, and businesses will begin to hire and thrive.

The right side’s hopey changey.

What is strangling business and investment is our overbloated government and regulations.

None of which a president Romney is going to address, he’s just not the type for a Constitutional Republic kind of guy.


21 posted on 05/18/2012 11:43:25 AM PDT by Sir Napsalot (Pravda + Useful Idiots = CCCP; JournOList + Useful Idiots = DopeyChangey!)
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To: RobinMasters; All
Gallup Analysis: Obama’s Chance of a Loss Greater Than a Win

Gallup should stop giving the nation false hope.

We are in for 4 more years of the fake citizen usurper Obama and his minions.

They will CHEAT their way to win in this lawless environment.

The question is, what are we going to do about it?

22 posted on 05/18/2012 12:21:51 PM PDT by backwoods-engineer (I will vote against ANY presidential candidate who had non-citizen parents.)
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To: Old Sarge
The illegitimate, bisexual, Marxist Kenyan Muslim Usurper has: - the illegal alien vote; - the dead vote; - the black vote; - the stupid vote; - UN watchers observing the votes; - Black panthers guarding the votes; and - Soros-paid Spaniards counting the votes. Does anyone honestly think a fair election will occur?

I don't. I think our last fair presidential election was 2006.

We are post-Constitutional now. The Usurper and Plugs, along with all their appointed cronies, are going to have to be arrested by federal marshals, or by the military, before we will get back to Constitutionality.

23 posted on 05/18/2012 12:29:14 PM PDT by backwoods-engineer (I will vote against ANY presidential candidate who had non-citizen parents.)
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To: The Duke
If you don't see the difference between Obama and Romney then you're just blind

The difference is only in degree, not type. They are both statists. They are both for massive government control and loss of freedom. Their methods may differ somewhat, but they both will take us to the same place.

I will not vote for either. As if my vote actually counted. In Spain.

24 posted on 05/18/2012 12:33:25 PM PDT by backwoods-engineer (I will vote against ANY presidential candidate who had non-citizen parents.)
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To: backwoods-engineer
Romney will certainly govern to the right of his record as governor of MA.

May only be a difference of degree, but compared to Obama - who will govern to the left of himself in a 2nd term (just ask president Medvedev) -

I'll take my chances with a president Romney.

25 posted on 05/18/2012 12:43:13 PM PDT by thedrake
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To: Old Sarge

The illegal bastard won’t lose a close election, granted.

But they can’t help him if it’s a landslide.


26 posted on 05/18/2012 12:47:02 PM PDT by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter knows whom he's working for)
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To: AngelesCrestHighway

lol


27 posted on 05/18/2012 12:55:37 PM PDT by KansasGirl
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To: Sir Napsalot

That is just not true. The economy will take off the day he wins the election just on the basis of having a republican in the house. Romney will lift hundreds of new, strangling, inappropriate, economy-killing regulations the first day he’s sworn in. He’s not the constitutionalist we all want, but he’ll be a decent manager, nay a pretty good one, one that’s got experience in high-profile turnarounds. I think he’ll do pretty well.

We’ve got to save the country before we bring back the constitution. With all respect, please don’t come on here and purvey doom and gloom. It doesn’t help anything.


28 posted on 05/18/2012 1:00:52 PM PDT by ichabod1 (Cheney/Rumsfeld 2012)
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To: RobinMasters

Every economic indicater is worse than when the Won took over and they all look Carter-esque.

I’m going out on a limb and say Obama is going to lose big. Reagan over Carter Landslide big. And that will be amazing considering Romney is nowhere near Reagan-esque.


29 posted on 05/18/2012 1:07:12 PM PDT by hattend (Firearms and ammunition...the only growing industries under the Obama regime.)
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To: backwoods-engineer
I think our last fair presidential election was 2006.

Considering that there was no presidential election in 2006, you are probably right.

30 posted on 05/18/2012 1:32:21 PM PDT by Retired Greyhound (.)
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To: JohnKinAK

Jim Robinson has since written another post with regards to Romney.


31 posted on 05/18/2012 1:48:38 PM PDT by EEGator
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To: Retired Greyhound
I think our last fair presidential election was 2006. Considering that there was no presidential election in 2006, you are probably right.

Sorry, slip of the KB. I meant 2004.

32 posted on 05/18/2012 1:51:43 PM PDT by backwoods-engineer (I will vote against ANY presidential candidate who had non-citizen parents.)
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To: ichabod1
Romney will lift hundreds of new, strangling, inappropriate, economy-killing regulations the first day he’s sworn in.

Sorry, I just don't believe this. Unless people have a "conversion experience", they act according to their past behavior.

Romney is a statist. He wants MORE economy-killing regulations, not less. He CREATED Obamacare in MA. Gun control? Romney LOVES it. Environmental crap? CAP & TRADE , baby. That's probably what he'll do on the first day, instead of cutting regulation, Romney will accelerate it.

Why do you think Romney is an any different?

33 posted on 05/18/2012 1:58:04 PM PDT by backwoods-engineer (I will vote against ANY presidential candidate who had non-citizen parents.)
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To: RobinMasters
Before anyone gets cocky, it's Romney's to lose and if anyone can lose it's Romney.
34 posted on 05/18/2012 2:29:43 PM PDT by EGPWS (Trust in God, question everyone else)
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To: JohnKinAK
..........Romney brings nothing to the table. He’s nothing but a big government stooge, just like Obama.

What do you mean?

Romney is severely conservative and surely someone can off hand lay out Romney's claim to fame as the severely conservative one via his history!

35 posted on 05/18/2012 2:33:58 PM PDT by EGPWS (Trust in God, question everyone else)
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To: hattend
Obama is so bad, Joe the plumber could beat him in a landslide.

To bad Joe isn't in the race.

We are really screwed if we get Mitt with a mandate.

36 posted on 05/18/2012 2:37:03 PM PDT by CharacterCounts (A vote for the lesser of two evils only insures the triumph of evil.)
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To: backwoods-engineer
Unless people have a "conversion experience", they act according to their past behavior.

Sucker us once shame on you, sucker us twice shame on us.

37 posted on 05/18/2012 2:37:35 PM PDT by EGPWS (Trust in God, question everyone else)
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To: RobinMasters

After Jimmy Carter’s miserable term, Ronald Reagan swept the election by a landslide.

My prediction for this election. Folks are so fed up, this bozo’s gonna lose big.


38 posted on 05/18/2012 2:40:20 PM PDT by servantboy777
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To: JohnKinAK

I agree. What really will change? In any case 8 months is enough time for Romney to blow it.


39 posted on 05/18/2012 2:44:11 PM PDT by Sam Gamgee (May God have mercy upon my enemies, because I won't. - Patton)
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To: JohnKinAK

12/15/2008 $1.29 per gallon of gas here in Houston.

5/18/2008 $3.80 per gallon of gas.

Not a big Romney fan, but I’m thinking he would reign in the EPA.


40 posted on 05/18/2012 2:50:01 PM PDT by servantboy777
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To: JohnKinAK

12/15/2008 $1.29 per gallon of gas here in Houston.

5/18/2012 $3.80 per gallon of gas.

Not a big Romney fan, but I’m thinking he would reign in the EPA.


41 posted on 05/18/2012 2:50:18 PM PDT by servantboy777
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To: ichabod1
Romney was little more than a motivational speaker contracted out to Bain Capital.
42 posted on 05/18/2012 2:51:40 PM PDT by Sam Gamgee (May God have mercy upon my enemies, because I won't. - Patton)
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To: Sam Gamgee
Romney was little more than a motivational speaker contracted out to Bain Capital.

From the Bain archives, Romney, as he was getting his sea legs in the biz

43 posted on 05/18/2012 3:22:26 PM PDT by Dysart (All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing." -- Edmund Burke)
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To: wetgundog

Hopefully, but keep praying that God gives what we need rather than what we deserve.


44 posted on 05/18/2012 3:41:47 PM PDT by Blood of Tyrants (Never believe anything in politics until it has been officially denied.)
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To: JohnKinAK

You really are an emoty headed Areo Fritto to say such a stupid thing!


45 posted on 05/18/2012 3:59:29 PM PDT by True Republican Patriot (May GOD SAVE OUR AMERICA from ALLAH and his Prophet, HUSSEIN OBAMA!!)
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To: True Republican Patriot

You really are an empty headed Zero to make your comment!
Do You really care about a Free America? I doubt it!


46 posted on 05/18/2012 4:03:47 PM PDT by True Republican Patriot (May GOD SAVE OUR AMERICA from ALLAH and his Prophet, HUSSEIN OBAMA!!)
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To: CharacterCounts

Are You ceazy? Nothing can be worse than the Fraud and Murderer Obama! You are really dellusional!


47 posted on 05/18/2012 4:07:07 PM PDT by True Republican Patriot (May GOD SAVE OUR AMERICA from ALLAH and his Prophet, HUSSEIN OBAMA!!)
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To: Sam Gamgee

You really are ignoran t and stupid or a plant from the DEMORATS! You must really hate America! Flame me as You will, that will be my badge of HONOR!


48 posted on 05/18/2012 4:13:35 PM PDT by True Republican Patriot (May GOD SAVE OUR AMERICA from ALLAH and his Prophet, HUSSEIN OBAMA!!)
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Comment #49 Removed by Moderator

To: True Republican Patriot

Spoken like a true Republican. That’s the problem.


50 posted on 05/18/2012 4:20:10 PM PDT by CharacterCounts (A vote for the lesser of two evils only insures the triumph of evil.)
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