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Has the bell begun to toll for the GOP?
Human Events ^ | 05/18/2012 | Patrick Buchanan

Posted on 05/18/2012 4:43:32 PM PDT by rmlew

Among the more controversial chapters in "Suicide of a Superpower," my book published last fall, was the one titled, "The End of White America."
   
It dealt with the demographic decline of the white majority and what it portends for education, the U.S. economy, politics and national unity.
   
That book and chapter proved the proximate cause of my departure from MSNBC, where the network president declared that subjects such as these are inappropriate for "the national dialogue."
   
Apparently, the mainstream media are reassessing that.
   
For, in rare unanimity, The New York Times, The Washington Post and USA Today all led yesterday with the same story.
   
"Whites Account for Under Half of Births in U.S.," blared the Times headline. "Minority Babies Majority in U.S.," echoed the Post. "Minorities Are Now a Majority of Births," proclaimed USA Today.
   
The USA Today story continued, "The nation's growing diversity has huge implications for education, economics and politics."
   
Huge is right.
   
Not only are whites declining as a share of the population, they are declining in real terms. Between 2010 and 2011, the number of births to white women fell 10 percent. The median age of white Americans, now 43 and rising, means that half of all white women have moved past the age that they are ever likely to bear more children.
   
White America is a dying tribe.
   
What do these statistics mean politically? Almost surely the end of the Republican Party as a national governing institution.
   
Republicans now depend on the vanishing majority for fully 90 percent of their votes in presidential elections, while the Democratic Party wins 60 to 70 percent of the Asian and Hispanic vote and 90 to 95 percent of the black vote.
   
The Democratic base is growing inexorably, while the Republican base is shriveling.
   
Already, California, Illinois and New York are lost. The GOP has not carried any of the three in five presidential elections. When Texas -- where whites are a minority and a declining share of the population -- tips, how does the GOP put together an electoral majority?
   
Western states like Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico and Arizona, which Republican nominees like Richard Nixon and Ronald Reagan swept almost every time they ran, are becoming problematic for the party.
   
Thus the GOP refrain: We must work harder to win over Hispanics.
   
Undeniably true. But how does the GOP appeal to them?
   
Fifty-three percent of all Hispanic children are born out of wedlock, with no father in the home and many of the moms themselves high school dropouts. Most Hispanic kids thus start school far behind.
   
In tests of fourth-, eighth- and 12th-graders, their scores are closer to those of African-American kids than whites and Asians. Their dropout rate matches that of black kids. Absent affirmative action, not only are America's colleges and universities but her professions are going to look far more Asian and white than the national population.
   
Not a formula for social peace.
   
Comes the reply: We must spend more to close the racial gap in test scores. Yet, according to The Washington Examiner, in the District of Columbia, the community where we have spent perhaps the most per capita to close the racial gap in test scores, the racial gap is by far the largest in the nation.
   
Not only do we seem not to know how to close it after four decades of plunging trillions into public schools, the country is tapped out. We are in the fourth consecutive year of trillion-dollar deficits, and our largest and richest state, California, just discovered its deficit has exploded to $16 billion.
   
And why should Hispanics vote Republican?
   
The majority of Hispanics are among that half of the population that pays no income tax. Why should they vote for a party whose major plank is that it will cut income taxes?
   
Hispanics benefit disproportionately from government programs.
   
Government puts their kids in Head Start before public school and provides them with Pell grants and student loans after public school.
   
From kindergarten through 12th grade, government educates their kids for free. Government provides them with free or subsidized health care through Medicaid and clinics. Government provides their families with public housing and rent supplements. Government provides the food stamps that feed the family. Government provides them with an annual earned income tax credit, a check just for working. 
   
Government provides all these things, and what are Republicans going to do? They promise to cut government.
   
Again, why should Hispanics vote Republican?
   
Establishment Republicans say the party should support amnesty for illegal aliens. Yet this would make millions more eligible for federal programs in a country sinking in debt and mean millions more Hispanics going to the polls, and millions more coming to America in anticipation of the next amnesty.
   
How would that help the GOP?
   
By endlessly expanding Great Society programs, by lopping taxpayers off tax rolls, by supporting open borders and endless immigration from the Third World, the Republican Party, out of sheer nobility of character, has probably ensured its impending departure from history.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: cwii; demographics; electorate; replaceamerica
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This should surprise no one. I remember Newsweek or Time magazine touting the demographic changes back in 1991 or 1992. We were told that the tipping point would be 2020. Thanks to illegal immigration, anchor babies, and a recession depressing fecundity of taxed families but leaving it unaffected for those on welfare, the date was pushed up 8 years.

Pat is wrong. The GOP will continue to survive. It will just become less conservative. In the worst case, we will become like NY or California, 1.5 party states. Democrats will run everything by default, but Republicans will be elected to fix things every once and a while, when the racial spoils system boils over.

1 posted on 05/18/2012 4:43:35 PM PDT by rmlew
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To: rmlew

Sad to see my country in decline and giving itself over to the barbarians no different than did Rome.


2 posted on 05/18/2012 4:47:43 PM PDT by MeganC (No way in Hell am I voting for Mitt Romney. Not now, not ever. Deal with it.)
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To: rmlew

My problem with the article - Hispanics are mostly genetically White. Once this is recognized as a truth - it changes everything.


3 posted on 05/18/2012 4:48:21 PM PDT by nolongerademocrat ("Before you ask G-d for something, first thank G-d for what you already have." B'rachot 30b)
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To: rmlew
In 50 years the USA will be indistinguishable from Brazil.
4 posted on 05/18/2012 4:48:52 PM PDT by skeeter
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To: rmlew

Illegal aliens are leaving the country due to the bad economy and increased border security. Also, many immigrants use birth control after they’ve been here a while. So it might not be the catastrophe that Buchanan is predicting.


5 posted on 05/18/2012 4:48:56 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (Obama and Company lied, the American economy died)
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To: Clintonfatigued

The borders are still wide open.


6 posted on 05/18/2012 4:52:03 PM PDT by donna (The fruits of Feminism: Angry fathers, bitter mothers, fat kids and political correctness.)
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To: MeganC

For 6 years, I have been saying that the Danube has been breeched, Hadrianople awaits. I was wrong. We will have no defense.


7 posted on 05/18/2012 4:52:04 PM PDT by rmlew ("Mosques are our barracks, minarets our bayonets, domes our helmets, the believers our soldiers.")
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To: skeeter

Somehow I think that will not happen. I have faith that our Lord will fix everything. Our country will be great again. It always has been but we are hitting a slump right now. It won’t last. I have faith.


8 posted on 05/18/2012 4:52:49 PM PDT by cubreporter
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To: skeeter
In 50 years the USA will be indistinguishable from Brazil.

Without the nice beaches and the thongs....

9 posted on 05/18/2012 4:53:22 PM PDT by central_va ( I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: rmlew
The only way to stop Balkanization is to dramatically reduce immigration, end the racial spoils system (affirmative action, ethnic studies, diversity commissars), and replace the suicide cult of muliticulturalism with Americanization.
Sadly, we can't even deal with criminal invaders.
10 posted on 05/18/2012 4:53:27 PM PDT by rmlew ("Mosques are our barracks, minarets our bayonets, domes our helmets, the believers our soldiers.")
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To: skeeter

Not Brazil; more like Yugoslavia. A whole bunch of separate little fiefdoms beyond hope or redemption.


11 posted on 05/18/2012 4:53:29 PM PDT by Old Sarge (RIP FReeper Skyraider (1930-2011) - You Are Missed)
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To: donna
The borders are still wide open.

Because BOTH parties want it that way.

12 posted on 05/18/2012 4:54:15 PM PDT by central_va ( I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: cubreporter

It can be reversed, but the state will have to stop robbing the productive (who then opt for smaller families) to pay the unproductive (who are encouraged to have as many children as possible) & reform the immigration system accordingly pretty soon.


13 posted on 05/18/2012 4:55:44 PM PDT by skeeter
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To: rmlew

‘The end’ is approaching. White liberals will greatly speed up the process.

I’m afraid that my children will be around to see what it looks like.....


14 posted on 05/18/2012 4:55:44 PM PDT by KoRn (Department of Homeland Security, Certified - "Right Wing Extremist")
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To: rmlew; BlackElk; Steve Schulin; Gelato
The formerly grand old party is not dying because of demographics. It is dying because it has abandoned principle.

The foundational principles of this nation have not a thing to do with skin-tone or ethnicity. Quite the contrary.

"We hold these truths to be self-evident, that ALL MEN are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable rights, that among these are life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness. That to secure these rights, governments are instituted among men..."

15 posted on 05/18/2012 4:55:53 PM PDT by EternalVigilance (Romney Republicanism: Leave your principles by the door. You won't be needing them any more.)
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To: rmlew

Because the left abort their children at many multiples of the rate found among conservatives, we should continue to surge ahead of them anyway.


16 posted on 05/18/2012 4:56:16 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: skeeter

Those who opt for smaller families are, in general, more liberal than the national average. They are gradually wiping themselves out of existence. Those who favor babies are growing in numbers.


17 posted on 05/18/2012 4:57:44 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: nolongerademocrat

exactly.

This is a manufactured crisis.

In the past most hispanics identified as whites, thus creating the impression that America was far whiter than it ever was.

Hispanics have ALWAYS been here... they used to be called Indians.


18 posted on 05/18/2012 4:57:57 PM PDT by TexasFreeper2009 (Obama lied .. and the economy died.)
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To: cubreporter
Somehow I think that will not happen. I have faith that our Lord will fix everything. Our country will be great again. It always has been but we are hitting a slump right now. It won’t last. I have faith.
I appreciate your faith, but you really need to read your "Old Testament". This is not Yellowstone erupting. Our policies have created this. And the same cultural suicide has given us gay marriage, 80%+ rates of out of wedlock births, and below replacement rate reproduction. We abort our children for Mammon, while our taxes pay for those of everyone else.
19 posted on 05/18/2012 4:58:11 PM PDT by rmlew ("Mosques are our barracks, minarets our bayonets, domes our helmets, the believers our soldiers.")
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To: rmlew
Most Hispanic kids thus start school far behind. In tests of fourth-, eighth- and 12th-graders, their scores are closer to those of African-American kids than whites and Asians. Their dropout rate matches that of black kids.

From kindergarten through 12th grade, government educates their kids for free.

Obviously for about 60% of those kids the government schools don’t educate them enough for them to graduate.

20 posted on 05/18/2012 5:00:21 PM PDT by Pontiac (The welfare state must fail because it is contrary to human nature and diminishes the human spirit.)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Remind us how Tejas was Mexican in 1820 and became its own Republic in 1835.


21 posted on 05/18/2012 5:00:23 PM PDT by rmlew ("Mosques are our barracks, minarets our bayonets, domes our helmets, the believers our soldiers.")
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To: rmlew

There were native indians all over Texas. We just call them “hispanic” now.


22 posted on 05/18/2012 5:01:23 PM PDT by TexasFreeper2009 (Obama lied .. and the economy died.)
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To: rmlew

Here driving around the Southern California area my 55 plus white maleness is definitely the minority—at least it seems so.


23 posted on 05/18/2012 5:02:48 PM PDT by tflabo (Truth or tyranny)
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To: rmlew

I wonder how American Catholics feel on this issue or if it differs from the Pope’s and the European church.


24 posted on 05/18/2012 5:05:03 PM PDT by ansel12 (When immutable definition of Bible marriage of One Man, One Woman, is in jeopardy, call the Mormon.)
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To: MeganC

And seeing all the PC delusional comments in this thread on a Conservative website

Yeah, we are pretty much done


25 posted on 05/18/2012 5:07:08 PM PDT by qam1 (There's been a huge party. All plates and the bottles are empty, all that's left is the bill to pay)
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To: EternalVigilance
Remember this part of the Declaration of Independence
Nor have We been wanting in attentions to our British brethren. We have warned them from time to time of attempts by their legislature to extend an unwarrantable jurisdiction over us. We have reminded them of the circumstances of our emigration and settlement here. We have appealed to their native justice and magnanimity, and we have conjured them by the ties of our common kindred to disavow these usurpations, which, would inevitably interrupt our connections and correspondence. They too have been deaf to the voice of justice and of consanguinity. We must, therefore, acquiesce in the necessity, which denounces our Separation, and hold them, as we hold the rest of mankind, Enemies in War, in Peace Friends.
Or what about this from the US Constitution:
We the People of the United States, in Order to form a more perfect Union, establish Justice, insure domestic Tranquility, provide for the common defence, promote the general Welfare, and secure the Blessings of Liberty to ourselves and our Posterity, do ordain and establish this Constitution for the United States of America.

I am not suggesting that only people of the Founding population can be good Americans. I am Jewish and the son of immigrants. But becomming a true American, accepting our culture, tradition, and mores is no small matter. And it is becomming harder because of numbers and liberalism. Plenty of South American republics modeled their constitutions on ours. It didn't work out.

26 posted on 05/18/2012 5:08:01 PM PDT by rmlew ("Mosques are our barracks, minarets our bayonets, domes our helmets, the believers our soldiers.")
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To: tflabo

<<<<<From kindergarten through 12th grade, government educates their kids for free. Government provides them with free or subsidized health care through Medicaid and clinics. Government provides their families with public housing and rent supplements. Government provides the food stamps that feed the family. Government provides them with an annual earned income tax credit, a check just for working.<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

Why shouldn’t every poor person in the whole world try to come here? They have every incentive to do so. Give illegals amnesty, and more will come. About 6 billion or so.


27 posted on 05/18/2012 5:09:10 PM PDT by heye2monn
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To: TexasFreeper2009

If you don’t know the difference between the largely independent and unruly, non-Hispanizised natives, who quickly became a small minority, and the influx of revanchinst and irridentist people from the south today, I cannot help you. You are too leftist to acknowledge reality.


28 posted on 05/18/2012 5:10:16 PM PDT by rmlew ("Mosques are our barracks, minarets our bayonets, domes our helmets, the believers our soldiers.")
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To: TexasFreeper2009
Hispanics have ALWAYS been here... they used to be called Indians.

Nope, there were no Hispanics until the Spaniards began subjugating and settling in Mexico and points south. The breeding between Indians and Spaniards produced the first Hispanics, and the ruling classes in Mexico and other Hispanic nations are still more Spaniard than Hispanic.

29 posted on 05/18/2012 5:10:43 PM PDT by Will88
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To: rmlew

“The Democratic base is growing inexorably, while the Republican base is shriveling. Already, California, Illinois and New York are lost. The GOP has not carried any of the three in five presidential elections. When Texas — where whites are a minority and a declining share of the population — tips, how does the GOP put together an electoral majority?”

Hey, Rubio—do you know how to count?

Pat Buchanan Bump.

Thanks, rmlew.


30 posted on 05/18/2012 5:11:12 PM PDT by SharpRightTurn ( White, black, and red all over--America's affirmative action, metrosexual president.)
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To: muawiyah

<<<<<<<<Because the left abort their children at many multiples of the rate found among conservatives, we should continue to surge ahead of them anyway.<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

Unfortunately conservative evangelicals are almost as bad as liberals in their small families and high divorce rates.

We are doomed.


31 posted on 05/18/2012 5:12:49 PM PDT by heye2monn
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To: ansel12

The Papacy has already sold out the remains of Latin Christendom on the altar of political correctness. We are not talking about Europe taken over by Catholics. The indigenous peoples of Europe are drowning in Islam, and the Roman Catholic Church condemns those who would even mention the mantle of Charles Martel.


32 posted on 05/18/2012 5:12:53 PM PDT by rmlew ("Mosques are our barracks, minarets our bayonets, domes our helmets, the believers our soldiers.")
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To: MeganC; P-Marlowe; cripplecreek; SoConPubbie

What this nation really really needs is total bankruptcy and a great depression. It needs trial, hardship, impoverishment of the real kind that strips them of everything except their ability to work to eke out their own living.

Only then will people ask themselves, “What is truly valuable, truly lasting?”

And then we’ll reconsider the value of the spiritual, and rediscover the True Spirit who reigns above, the one who is the Way, the Truth, and the Life.

And then we’ll begin the slow crawl back.


33 posted on 05/18/2012 5:18:47 PM PDT by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! True Supporters of Our Troops Pray they Win every Fight!)
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To: muawiyah
Because the left abort their children at many multiples of the rate found among conservatives, we should continue to surge ahead of them anyway.
This would be true except for two things
1. IMMIGRATION. The left can always import impoverished and aggrieved peoples, culturally alienated from America and "assimilate them" into welfare.
2. The left controls the commanding heights of culture. They run education, the media, and at least half of all religious groups.
34 posted on 05/18/2012 5:19:07 PM PDT by rmlew ("Mosques are our barracks, minarets our bayonets, domes our helmets, the believers our soldiers.")
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To: nolongerademocrat
My problem with the article - Hispanics are mostly genetically White. Once this is recognized as a truth - it changes everything. Apparently not to the hispanics. They seem to vote for whomever will give them the most freebies and the dems have a lock on that right now. Times are going to change swiftly when the freebies they got get taxed!
35 posted on 05/18/2012 5:21:31 PM PDT by Randy Larsen (I hate pragmatists!)
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To: rmlew

Leftwingtards run dying mainline church organizations.


36 posted on 05/18/2012 5:28:31 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: rmlew

Leftwingtards run dying mainline church organizations.


37 posted on 05/18/2012 5:28:45 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: xzins

I’m ahead of the curve. I’m dirt poor and I know what’s important.


38 posted on 05/18/2012 5:30:40 PM PDT by cripplecreek (What does it profit a man if he gains the whole world but loses his soul?)
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To: cubreporter

I have faith God is setting about to humble our Nation for His purposes.


39 posted on 05/18/2012 5:42:46 PM PDT by EBH (Obama took away your American Dreams and replaced them with "Dreams from My (his) Father".)
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To: MeganC
Sad to see my country in decline and giving itself over to the barbarians no different than did Rome.

A recurrent refrain of mine is that I am so glad to be old and from a family that does not live long lives. I am also glad to have grown up and lived during a period when America was a wonderful place to live.

I didn't know it at the time, but it was a splendid decision to leave no progeny.

40 posted on 05/18/2012 5:44:10 PM PDT by OldPossum
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To: cripplecreek
I’m ahead of the curve. I’m dirt poor and I know what’s important.

I've been there friend. No way to go but up!

41 posted on 05/18/2012 6:11:13 PM PDT by Graybeard58 (Romney vs. Obama? One of them has to lose, I'll rejoice in that fact, whichever it is.)
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To: Graybeard58

Honestly I think I prefer being poor. I just wish I didn’t have to struggle in the process.


42 posted on 05/18/2012 6:13:10 PM PDT by cripplecreek (What does it profit a man if he gains the whole world but loses his soul?)
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To: EBH
I have faith God is setting about to humble our Nation for His purposes.

Hard to disagree with that, knowing that Obama or Romney will be our next president.

43 posted on 05/18/2012 6:13:17 PM PDT by Graybeard58 (Romney vs. Obama? One of them has to lose, I'll rejoice in that fact, whichever it is.)
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To: TexasFreeper2009
There were native indians all over Texas. We just call them “hispanic” now.

Um, you know that the Indians native to Texas pretty much have nothing historically in common with "Hispanics," right?

44 posted on 05/18/2012 6:20:14 PM PDT by Yashcheritsiy (A conservative voting for Romney is like a chicken voting for Col. Sanders)
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To: rmlew

A personal liberty platform would work wonders. Of course, that would entail diminshed numbers and influence for government, so the Geriatric Old Plotters are NOT going to go in that direction.


45 posted on 05/18/2012 6:21:44 PM PDT by Psalm 144 (Voodoo Republicans. Don't read their lips. Watch their hands.)
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To: heye2monn
Unfortunately conservative evangelicals are almost as bad as liberals in their small families and high divorce rates.

That's odd, because conservative Evangelicals actually tend to have more kids on average, and have lower divorce rates than the national average.

46 posted on 05/18/2012 6:22:18 PM PDT by Yashcheritsiy (A conservative voting for Romney is like a chicken voting for Col. Sanders)
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To: nolongerademocrat
My problem with the article - Hispanics are mostly genetically White. Once this is recognized as a truth - it changes everything.

You sure about that?

47 posted on 05/18/2012 6:24:10 PM PDT by Yashcheritsiy (A conservative voting for Romney is like a chicken voting for Col. Sanders)
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To: Psalm 144
A personal liberty platform would work wonders. Of course, that would entail diminshed numbers and influence for government, so the Geriatric Old Plotters are NOT going to go in that direction.
People on welfare may want less regulation, but not lower taxes or less benefits.
48 posted on 05/18/2012 6:33:44 PM PDT by rmlew ("Mosques are our barracks, minarets our bayonets, domes our helmets, the believers our soldiers.")
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To: rmlew
Third world dominance over white America will mean far more than the death of the Republican party. The “flash mobs” robbing stores, increasing black attacks on whites; third world stupidity precluding the Third Worlders from earning money, thus increasing the envy they feel. The aforementioned all presage the violence to come. Tragically whites now exhibit a total physiological inability to resist the assaults and demands of blacks and other Third Worlders. In short, we are passing out of history and probably in a generation the few remaining whites will be violently shoved out.
49 posted on 05/18/2012 6:37:16 PM PDT by AEMILIUS PAULUS (It is a shame that when these people give a riot)
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To: rmlew

Compromise destroyed the GOP long ago. It’s in its death throes.


50 posted on 05/18/2012 6:39:22 PM PDT by wolfman
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