Skip to comments.Has the bell begun to toll for the GOP?
Posted on 05/18/2012 4:43:32 PM PDT by rmlew
Among the more controversial chapters in "Suicide of a Superpower," my book published last fall, was the one titled, "The End of White America."
It dealt with the demographic decline of the white majority and what it portends for education, the U.S. economy, politics and national unity.
That book and chapter proved the proximate cause of my departure from MSNBC, where the network president declared that subjects such as these are inappropriate for "the national dialogue."
Apparently, the mainstream media are reassessing that.
For, in rare unanimity, The New York Times, The Washington Post and USA Today all led yesterday with the same story.
"Whites Account for Under Half of Births in U.S.," blared the Times headline. "Minority Babies Majority in U.S.," echoed the Post. "Minorities Are Now a Majority of Births," proclaimed USA Today.
The USA Today story continued, "The nation's growing diversity has huge implications for education, economics and politics."
Huge is right.
Not only are whites declining as a share of the population, they are declining in real terms. Between 2010 and 2011, the number of births to white women fell 10 percent. The median age of white Americans, now 43 and rising, means that half of all white women have moved past the age that they are ever likely to bear more children.
White America is a dying tribe.
What do these statistics mean politically? Almost surely the end of the Republican Party as a national governing institution.
Republicans now depend on the vanishing majority for fully 90 percent of their votes in presidential elections, while the Democratic Party wins 60 to 70 percent of the Asian and Hispanic vote and 90 to 95 percent of the black vote.
The Democratic base is growing inexorably, while the Republican base is shriveling.
Already, California, Illinois and New York are lost. The GOP has not carried any of the three in five presidential elections. When Texas -- where whites are a minority and a declining share of the population -- tips, how does the GOP put together an electoral majority?
Western states like Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico and Arizona, which Republican nominees like Richard Nixon and Ronald Reagan swept almost every time they ran, are becoming problematic for the party.
Thus the GOP refrain: We must work harder to win over Hispanics.
Undeniably true. But how does the GOP appeal to them?
Fifty-three percent of all Hispanic children are born out of wedlock, with no father in the home and many of the moms themselves high school dropouts. Most Hispanic kids thus start school far behind.
In tests of fourth-, eighth- and 12th-graders, their scores are closer to those of African-American kids than whites and Asians. Their dropout rate matches that of black kids. Absent affirmative action, not only are America's colleges and universities but her professions are going to look far more Asian and white than the national population.
Not a formula for social peace.
Comes the reply: We must spend more to close the racial gap in test scores. Yet, according to The Washington Examiner, in the District of Columbia, the community where we have spent perhaps the most per capita to close the racial gap in test scores, the racial gap is by far the largest in the nation.
Not only do we seem not to know how to close it after four decades of plunging trillions into public schools, the country is tapped out. We are in the fourth consecutive year of trillion-dollar deficits, and our largest and richest state, California, just discovered its deficit has exploded to $16 billion.
And why should Hispanics vote Republican?
The majority of Hispanics are among that half of the population that pays no income tax. Why should they vote for a party whose major plank is that it will cut income taxes?
Hispanics benefit disproportionately from government programs.
Government puts their kids in Head Start before public school and provides them with Pell grants and student loans after public school.
From kindergarten through 12th grade, government educates their kids for free. Government provides them with free or subsidized health care through Medicaid and clinics. Government provides their families with public housing and rent supplements. Government provides the food stamps that feed the family. Government provides them with an annual earned income tax credit, a check just for working.
Government provides all these things, and what are Republicans going to do? They promise to cut government.
Again, why should Hispanics vote Republican?
Establishment Republicans say the party should support amnesty for illegal aliens. Yet this would make millions more eligible for federal programs in a country sinking in debt and mean millions more Hispanics going to the polls, and millions more coming to America in anticipation of the next amnesty.
How would that help the GOP?
By endlessly expanding Great Society programs, by lopping taxpayers off tax rolls, by supporting open borders and endless immigration from the Third World, the Republican Party, out of sheer nobility of character, has probably ensured its impending departure from history.
Pat is wrong. The GOP will continue to survive. It will just become less conservative. In the worst case, we will become like NY or California, 1.5 party states. Democrats will run everything by default, but Republicans will be elected to fix things every once and a while, when the racial spoils system boils over.
Sad to see my country in decline and giving itself over to the barbarians no different than did Rome.
My problem with the article - Hispanics are mostly genetically White. Once this is recognized as a truth - it changes everything.
Illegal aliens are leaving the country due to the bad economy and increased border security. Also, many immigrants use birth control after they’ve been here a while. So it might not be the catastrophe that Buchanan is predicting.
The borders are still wide open.
For 6 years, I have been saying that the Danube has been breeched, Hadrianople awaits. I was wrong. We will have no defense.
Somehow I think that will not happen. I have faith that our Lord will fix everything. Our country will be great again. It always has been but we are hitting a slump right now. It won’t last. I have faith.
Without the nice beaches and the thongs....
Not Brazil; more like Yugoslavia. A whole bunch of separate little fiefdoms beyond hope or redemption.
Because BOTH parties want it that way.
It can be reversed, but the state will have to stop robbing the productive (who then opt for smaller families) to pay the unproductive (who are encouraged to have as many children as possible) & reform the immigration system accordingly pretty soon.
‘The end’ is approaching. White liberals will greatly speed up the process.
I’m afraid that my children will be around to see what it looks like.....
The foundational principles of this nation have not a thing to do with skin-tone or ethnicity. Quite the contrary.
"We hold these truths to be self-evident, that ALL MEN are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable rights, that among these are life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness. That to secure these rights, governments are instituted among men..."
Because the left abort their children at many multiples of the rate found among conservatives, we should continue to surge ahead of them anyway.
Those who opt for smaller families are, in general, more liberal than the national average. They are gradually wiping themselves out of existence. Those who favor babies are growing in numbers.
This is a manufactured crisis.
In the past most hispanics identified as whites, thus creating the impression that America was far whiter than it ever was.
Hispanics have ALWAYS been here... they used to be called Indians.
From kindergarten through 12th grade, government educates their kids for free.
Obviously for about 60% of those kids the government schools dont educate them enough for them to graduate.
Remind us how Tejas was Mexican in 1820 and became its own Republic in 1835.
There were native indians all over Texas. We just call them “hispanic” now.
Here driving around the Southern California area my 55 plus white maleness is definitely the minority—at least it seems so.
I wonder how American Catholics feel on this issue or if it differs from the Pope’s and the European church.
And seeing all the PC delusional comments in this thread on a Conservative website
Yeah, we are pretty much done
Nor have We been wanting in attentions to our British brethren. We have warned them from time to time of attempts by their legislature to extend an unwarrantable jurisdiction over us. We have reminded them of the circumstances of our emigration and settlement here. We have appealed to their native justice and magnanimity, and we have conjured them by the ties of our common kindred to disavow these usurpations, which, would inevitably interrupt our connections and correspondence. They too have been deaf to the voice of justice and of consanguinity. We must, therefore, acquiesce in the necessity, which denounces our Separation, and hold them, as we hold the rest of mankind, Enemies in War, in Peace Friends.Or what about this from the US Constitution:
We the People of the United States, in Order to form a more perfect Union, establish Justice, insure domestic Tranquility, provide for the common defence, promote the general Welfare, and secure the Blessings of Liberty to ourselves and our Posterity, do ordain and establish this Constitution for the United States of America.
I am not suggesting that only people of the Founding population can be good Americans. I am Jewish and the son of immigrants. But becomming a true American, accepting our culture, tradition, and mores is no small matter. And it is becomming harder because of numbers and liberalism. Plenty of South American republics modeled their constitutions on ours. It didn't work out.
<<<<<From kindergarten through 12th grade, government educates their kids for free. Government provides them with free or subsidized health care through Medicaid and clinics. Government provides their families with public housing and rent supplements. Government provides the food stamps that feed the family. Government provides them with an annual earned income tax credit, a check just for working.<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
Why shouldn’t every poor person in the whole world try to come here? They have every incentive to do so. Give illegals amnesty, and more will come. About 6 billion or so.
If you don’t know the difference between the largely independent and unruly, non-Hispanizised natives, who quickly became a small minority, and the influx of revanchinst and irridentist people from the south today, I cannot help you. You are too leftist to acknowledge reality.
Nope, there were no Hispanics until the Spaniards began subjugating and settling in Mexico and points south. The breeding between Indians and Spaniards produced the first Hispanics, and the ruling classes in Mexico and other Hispanic nations are still more Spaniard than Hispanic.
“The Democratic base is growing inexorably, while the Republican base is shriveling. Already, California, Illinois and New York are lost. The GOP has not carried any of the three in five presidential elections. When Texas — where whites are a minority and a declining share of the population — tips, how does the GOP put together an electoral majority?”
Hey, Rubio—do you know how to count?
Pat Buchanan Bump.
<<<<<<<<Because the left abort their children at many multiples of the rate found among conservatives, we should continue to surge ahead of them anyway.<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
Unfortunately conservative evangelicals are almost as bad as liberals in their small families and high divorce rates.
We are doomed.
The Papacy has already sold out the remains of Latin Christendom on the altar of political correctness. We are not talking about Europe taken over by Catholics. The indigenous peoples of Europe are drowning in Islam, and the Roman Catholic Church condemns those who would even mention the mantle of Charles Martel.
What this nation really really needs is total bankruptcy and a great depression. It needs trial, hardship, impoverishment of the real kind that strips them of everything except their ability to work to eke out their own living.
Only then will people ask themselves, “What is truly valuable, truly lasting?”
And then we’ll reconsider the value of the spiritual, and rediscover the True Spirit who reigns above, the one who is the Way, the Truth, and the Life.
And then we’ll begin the slow crawl back.
Leftwingtards run dying mainline church organizations.
Leftwingtards run dying mainline church organizations.
I’m ahead of the curve. I’m dirt poor and I know what’s important.
I have faith God is setting about to humble our Nation for His purposes.
A recurrent refrain of mine is that I am so glad to be old and from a family that does not live long lives. I am also glad to have grown up and lived during a period when America was a wonderful place to live.
I didn't know it at the time, but it was a splendid decision to leave no progeny.
I've been there friend. No way to go but up!
Honestly I think I prefer being poor. I just wish I didn’t have to struggle in the process.
Hard to disagree with that, knowing that Obama or Romney will be our next president.
Um, you know that the Indians native to Texas pretty much have nothing historically in common with "Hispanics," right?
A personal liberty platform would work wonders. Of course, that would entail diminshed numbers and influence for government, so the Geriatric Old Plotters are NOT going to go in that direction.
That's odd, because conservative Evangelicals actually tend to have more kids on average, and have lower divorce rates than the national average.
You sure about that?
Compromise destroyed the GOP long ago. It’s in its death throes.
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