Does the GOP’s Demographic Death Spiral End in a Texas Graveyard?

The New American ^ | 22 May 2012 | Selwyn Duke

[Paladins Prayer]

If Democratic voters were rapidly increasing in number and Republican voters rapidly decreasing, it should be pretty big news, shouldn’t it?

Not when at issue is a third rail of American social commentary: race.

Recently I wrote a piece on race and voting patterns, using as a lede the story about how white births now account for less than 50 percent of the U.S. total for the first time in history. And while most respondents agreed with my analysis, some reacted predictably: Uncomfortable even hearing about race and/or frightened by what lies ahead, they rationalized away obvious facts.

And here is one: You cannot understand where our nation is headed ideologically without grasping the link between racial identification and voting patterns — and demographic changes that will yield Democratic hegemony.

[Paladins Prayer]

This guy is one of the only people in the media honest about this issue. And I think he's right. It won't be easy for Romney to win.

[ScottinVA]

If you look at the electoral map, states reliably or likely for Mitt Romney account for only 170 electoral votes while states reliably or likely for Barack Obama account for 243

That implies the GOP has a chance to take Wisconsin. If not, make it 253. Romney would pretty much have to run the table the rest of the way.

[redgolum]

The party will have to change. Much like the DNC.

Majorities never last forever in an empire.

[Paladins Prayer]

“Majorities never last forever in an empire.”

Empires never last forever, especially when they lost their important majority.

[skeeter]

Though the GOP has already morphed into the Democrat party circa 1990, today's Democrat party will always out-democrat them, becoming increasingly radical. In spite of the Bush, Rove, Rubio etc prattle about 'reaching out' the GOP is doomed.

IMO the only way this will not play out in the total destruction and replacement of the American Experiment is a total economic collapse and radical restructuring of the welfare state, which is underwriting the demographic shift.

[pepsi_junkie]

Sure, because some day there will me a mjority of "people of color" and we all know they are monolithic block that depends on white democrat politicians to tell them what to think, right?

The demographics favor the emergence of a white minority someday down the road, a couple more generations away. When it happens, when the Hispanics are the majority (or whoever) we will suddenly discover that they are not all alike after all, and the parties will shift to accommodate. It ultimately may lead to the death of the GOP as we know it, but truthfully those country club patricians that run it now really do need to be turned out so at least some good will come of it.

[MNDude]

Hispanics will be democrat, but will bring about the opposite of the utopia American liberals dream of. The American liberal’s most important ideals include: Women’s rights, animal rights, the environment, promotion of homosexuality, planned small families, and equality.

The hispanic culture embraces sexism, animal fighting, could care less about the environment, proud of expressing their hostility for gays, have huge families, and systematically give better treatment to those with lighter skin.

[trebb]

That implies the GOP has a chance to take Wisconsin. If not, make it 253. Romney would pretty much have to run the table the rest of the way.

Too early for anything to be valid. I'll take a tip from the old song and "see you in September - sealed with a Myth".

[CPO retired]

The planned takeover/change of the US is moving right along. Get rid of white-heterosexual-multigenerational Christian American males. They’re the only obstacle to the NWO’s plans.

[Ohioan]

The reason that most of the media are afraid to discuss these issues, is because the policies that have led to this self-destructive path have all been pushed (successfully, unfortunately) by compulsion driven fanatics, who intimidate ordinary people by the sheer nastiness of their rhetoric. Most people hesitate to enter a discussion, where for two generations those on the other side have relied not on reason, but on name calling.

It took Rome about five centuries to self-destruct to the extent that America has almost reached in two generations. I have been fighting the ideological underpinnings of the Left on this since college, and while they have never yet come up with a logically sustainable argument, they continue to successfully intimidate. But as to their "argument," see Reason Or Compulsion--The Future At Stake. You might also find this piece on Immigration & The American Future of interest.

The issue is further compounded by the relationship of the insane notion that people are interchangeable, with the effort on the Left to submerge America into a World Government. Obviously, breaking down the traditional American ethnicity is a major step in that direction. (See Surrender By Subterfuge.)

One other note: Thomas Jefferson, who had no animosity towards any people, actually explained that he bought Louisiana as a buffer for the Anglo/Celtic cultured Eastern States from the Hispanic world. Just look at how greatly the now Mestizo dominated neighborhoods in California differ from the Anglo neighborhoods that they replaced. The idea that peoples are interchangeable is the ultimate insult to everyone. It fits the Marxist lie, but not reality.

William Flax

[ABQHispConservative]

I disagree. We do care about the environment, we just don’t freak out and buy the Gore koolaide on the subject.

It is hard to get fellow Hispanics to vote their values, not the BS liberals have been selling for years. Then again, we do have a good conservative Hispanic governor here in New Mexico.

[Ohioan]

Yes, this situation is attributable in a significant part to the effort from the Left to betray us into a new world order. (See my post #10.)

For more on the Academic underpinnings of the onslaught against rooted Americans & the values that made America once the envy of the world, see Myths & Myth Makers In American Higher Education.

William Flax

[Tublecane]

“If Democratic voters were rapidly increasing in number and Republican voters rapidly decreasing, it should be pretty big news, shouldn’t it?”

Uh, what? It was a big story. Does this guy want us to talk about nothing else, or what?

[cripplecreek]

Romney has problems growing within the GOP. Just the other day, two of the people who voted to change the rules in his favor after the Michigan primary were voted out of their NRC seats and replaced by tea party supported people.

http://www.rightmichigan.com/story/2012/5/20/104733/048

[Tublecane]

“When it happens, when the Hispanics are the majority (or whoever) we will suddenly discover that they are not all alike after all, and the parties will shift to accommodate”

Yeah, I’m confused as to why people assume that when hispanics become the majority they will continue with the exact same ideology. That may be so, but who knows? We’ve never had a non-white majority to test it. But we have had minorities within whitehood, like Catholics, Germans, Irish Italians, etc., and they all eventually became indistinguishable from other white people. Perhaps hispanics will do the same.

[MNDude]

I probably spoke too strongly about couldn’t care less about the environment, but I am married to woman from Mexico, so I can see that the environment is not such an important issue in Mexico as it is here.

[Ohioan]

I would suggest that you reexamine the changes in voting patterns with the settlements of particular peoples in urban America--not just on national origin lines, but even within particular nationalities, of particular subsets. (For example, the Germans who settled in Cincinnati were mostly from Conservative roots in Germany--hence fit in quite well with the existing southern Ohio culture; while Milwaukee drew German Socialists from the same era, and was electing Socialist Mayors for generations--and still has a Leftist leaning.)

Or look at the voting patterns in New York City!

William Flax

[CivilWarguy]

Luckily, there is a countervailing trend, identified by Prof. Arthur Brooks, which I’d label the “Portlandia” trend. What it amounts to is that white liberals aren’t having kids, but conservative Christians are.

[ABQHispConservative]

No worries, I understand. In Mexico, as in most of Latin America, the big issue is to put food on the table. For most working class families in the US, it is the same thing. Especially with the lib propensity to bankrupt states and the country.

[Graewoulf]

It is time to oppose the same sorry mistakes that McCain and the RINO Party made in 2008.

It is also time for us as Conservatives to recognize and avoid making the same sorry mistakes that WE made in 2008.

One mistake that we made in 2008 was to revert back to the old days when we were known as “The Silent Majority.” We grumbled, held our noses, and Caved-In as all good RINO sheep are expected to do.

Our Silent Caving-In in 2008 created the problem that MANY Conservatives refused to vote for McCain.

IF we behave in 2012 as RINO Sheep and Cave-In to whoever the RINOs endorse, nominate and support, then we Conservatives are no better than our RINO U.S. Representatives and Senators who always Cave-In.

This election is for ALL of the marbles! We cannot afford to play the old RINO game that caused the defeat of McCain to Marxist Obama in 2008.

Obama is much stronger politically now than he was against McCain in 2008, but the RINO Party refuses to consider that reality.

It is time to DUMP ROMNEY who is obviously to weak of a candidate to beat Obama.

The Delegates need to choose in an OPEN Convention a strong NON-RINO Nominee who can soundly defeat Obama, and coat-tail U.S. Senators and Representatives into Congress.

Romney is not that man: DUMP ROMNEY!

We must learn from the mistakes made by the McCain Campaign and rub the collective noses of the RINOs in it!

Romney is counting on the old Classical Conservative Cave-In.

I can hear Romney now: “You have no choice but to vote for me. I’ll be even more severely Conservative than I was when I rammed through Romney”care.” Trust me, I know how The Economy works. Etc, etc., etc.”

The battle to win back a CONSERVATIVE White House is starting to break wide open!

[Paladins Prayer]

Yeah, sure, it’s just a coincidence that majority Hispanic countries are all socialistic in nature and are basically corrupt third world backwaters.

It couldn’t have anything to do with the people getting the government they deserve.

[Paladins Prayer]

Nice dream, but it doesn’t make a difference. Because each generation is still more liberal than the preceding one. This is why kids today have no problem with homosexual pseudo-marriage.

It doesn’t matter so much who has the kids if the liberal society is able to brainwash them.

[Paladins Prayer]

And how many conservatives actually pointed out how a growing minority vote means the death of conservatism? Pat Buchanan, this guy, Thomas Sowell and....

I’m waiting.

Mainstream conservatives will hear, see and speak no evil.

[Tublecane]

“Yeah, sure, it’s just a coincidence that majority Hispanic countries are all socialistic in nature and are basically corrupt third world backwaters.

It couldn’t have anything to do with the people getting the government they deserve”

You could have said the same thing of much of Asia in the recent past and most of Africa for a long while. I don’t see why it would have anything to do with the intrinsic nature of hispanics nor Central/South American culture, fundamentally.

[iopscusa]

This is the prelude to the breakup of the USA. Even us old timers may live to see th Regionalism of this country.

[Paladins Prayer]

Yes, well the fact that you don’t ‘see’ it doesn’t mean it isn’t true. I guess they were just cursed by Satan.

[iopscusa]

Who/What are these “Mainstream conservatives”? Are they the Neo-Cons that the CIA operative Wm Buckley brought in to replace the Race Realist Conservatives, the bulwark against the Balkanization of the Western Culture. These RR Cons that get thrown out by the likes of ‘Rich Lowry Conservatives’, or the DAzz Conservatives that thought GWB was a Conservative with his Amnesty hard on?
The only real hope for the 2012 election is the Sailer Strategy, ie GOP Future Depends on Winning Larger Share of the White Vote;
http://whitelocust.wordpress.com/gop-future-depends-on-winning-larger-share-of-the-white-vote/

[ScottinVA]

The hispanic culture embraces sexism, animal fighting, could care less about the environment, proud of expressing their hostility for gays, have huge families....

Ditto for Arab muslims, who in time will have as their stronghold the Northeast and upper Midwest.

"America" in 2100 will be comprised of Spanish-speaking muslims with Asiatic features. Caucasians, long relegated to minority status, will have migrated north to the upper reaches of Canada and (if it's not ceded back to Russia by then) Alaska.

[ansel12]

Catholics did not change, they have continued to be democrats, they never assimilated completely.

[Boogieman]

We have had non-white minorities become majorities in many local areas, and we can see that they don’t magically become Conservative when they reach that tipping point. They continue to try to transform their cities into the 3rd world cesspools they came from.

Also the white “minorities” you speak of had no problems, because they assimilated. They didn’t dig their heels in and lobby for German or Irish-language classes in schools, and hold marches every year accusing the rest of us of racism.

[rmlew]

William F Buckley was never a neoconservative. You don't know the meaning of the word.
It wasn't Bill Buckley than passed the 1965 immigration act, it was the unholy alliance of Northern liberals and Southern progressive klansmen.

It hasn't been the useless Rich Lowry, who has run the American Dhimmi... sorry American Conservative. This publication started by Pat Buchanan and Scott "Jesus was a Palestinian" McConnell has dedicated itself to foreign policy and the destruction of a single nation state, Israel. It has catagorically refused to deal with the national question in America, and rarely deals with immigration. Instead it imports writers from the Nation to write on foreign policy ad gets writers to sill for Ralph Nader in 2004 and Barack Obama in 2008.

Then we the only publication to run Steve Sailer, Vdare.com . The problem is that Peter Brimlow's pet project also runs Paul Craig Robert's who went insane after 9-11. PCR hates actual neoconservatives above all else. He doesn't care about the White Doe, but about his white whale, neoconservatives and Israel. This traitor to the white race wrote: “If I could rid America of neoconservatives, I would accept the entire population of Mexico.” http://www.vdare.com/articles/why-should-immigrants-and-amnestied-illegals-benefit-from-affirmative-action-quotas

Then we have the John Birch Society conspiracy loons you seem to like. The people support Ron Paul, who believes in no immigration restrictions. The JBS utopians want to get rid of illegals and reduce immigration without an iota more Federal or State power. That isn't policy. That's the complacency of delusion and the fall back of conspiratorial thinking when reality hits.

Let me be perfectly blunt, the fever swamps of conspiracy and magical thinking have turned paleoconservativism and Bircherism into the handmaiden of the left on the immigration issue, by making themselves irrelevant. No CIA money was needed.

[Zhang Fei]

Meanwhile, we have people on this website proclaiming that the majority of this country is conservative and that the future belongs to the GOP, if only we’d run more people like Christine O’Donnell and Sharron Angle, as long as the GOP establishment supports them. I think the reality is that the Federal government has imported enough legal immigrants and instituted enough entitlements and race preference programs that the Democratic party has a virtual lock on the presidency and an increasing hold on the Federal legislature. To salt the wound, it was Nixon who actually instituted Hispanic preferences, thereby slicing off a huge chunk of what might have become white voters, and created an Asian category that covered Indians instead of automatically considering them white. Instead of assimilation, the GOP has been engaged in the politics of balkanization, which plays to Democratic strengths. At this stage, the GOP really needs to get its act together and start to paint the Democrats as the black party, much as the Democrats try to paint the GOP as the white party.

[Zhang Fei]

From a demographic standpoint, I think we are being undone by both Roe v. Wade and the War on Poverty. The Roe Effect isn't as strong as the War on Poverty effect (free food, housing and medical care for able-bodied pre-retirement indigent individuals). Roe merely gave intelligent women who were otherwise conscientious the ability to abort their babies on demand, thereby depriving us of the higher IQ and moderate Democrats. The War on Poverty effect gave us an explosion of new babies by the low IQ indigent (e.g. Octomom) for whom popping out babies is how they make a living. Bottom line is that welfare is giving us a more liberal and stupid (as in naturally unable to learn) population that used to be offset somewhat by unwanted babies from the smarter elements of society. If abortion had been legal when Steve Jobs was conceived by his two grad student parents, he would have been aborted. Bottom line is that both Roe and the War on Poverty have been a disaster for conservatives, Roe because it has deprived this country of an uncountable number of highly-productive people like Jobs.

Still, I don't think there's any need for demographic angst over the current electorate for the 2012 election, which was born at least 18 years ago, back when white births were the majority of all live births in the country. Thanks to birthright citizenship, though, 18 years from now, Democrats will have a lock on the presidency. And in a decade, it wouldn't surprise me if Texas became reliably Democratic. John Derbyshire was right. We are doomed...

[OldEarlGray]

GeeOpie: What happens now?

Scott Toomey: Well, now, uh, Myth Romney, Ken Mehlman, R. Clarke Cooper, Meghan McCain, Mary Cheney and I wait until nightfall, and then leap out of the Fithcally Conthervative log cabin, taking The Party(tm) by surprise -- not only by surprise, but totally unarmed!

GeeOpie: Who leaps out?

Scott Toomey: Uh, Myth Romney, Ken Mehlman,  R. Clarke Cooper, Meghan McCain, Mary Cheney and I. Uh, leap out of the log cabin, uh and uh....

GeeOpie: Oh....

Scott Toomey: Oh.... Um, l-look, if we built this large wooden Rhinocerous -- [twong]

ALL:  Run away!  Run away!  Run away!  Run away!
      [splat]

NO SALE.

[zeestephen]

I am always disturbed by the aura of “inevitability” in these racial statistics.

Wrong.

We did this to ourselves.

We - both Conservatives and Leftists - have willfully and knowingly designed mass immigration policies that have changed America.

We had the option to limit immigration, and we rejected it.

We had the option to admit only high value workers, and we rejected it.

For the Left, at least in the short term, these policies make sense, since new immigrant citizens vote 80% for the Democrat Party.

But the bill is going to come due for white American Socialists the same way it has come due for white Socialists in South Africa and the former Rhodesia.

As for Conservatives - Reagan, the Bush's, the Wall Street Journal, the Libertarians, the Neo-Cons - history can only look back and wonder, “What were they thinking?”

[zeestephen]

Re: “And how many conservatives actually pointed out how a growing minority vote means the death of conservatism?”

Don’t forget Rush Limbaugh, who has called our mass immigration policy “The largest Left Wing voter registration plan in history.”

And don’t forget me.

I’ve been ringing this bell for seven years at Free Republic...and generated little but polite yawns.

[zeestephen]

In the French national election last week, immigrant Muslims voted 93% Socialist.

From memory...

The Muslim plurality for Hollande was about 1.75 million.

Excluding Muslims, Sarkozy would have won the election by about 400,000 votes.

Think about that.

On his most “Conservative” day Sarkozy is Center-Left, but he could get only 7% of the Muslim vote!

The same case in Israel, where Palestinian Arabs outnumber Orthodox Jews.

Without the Palestinian vote, Israeli government would be consistently Center-Right.

[Tailback]

The movie “Idiocracy” was not a comedy, it was a prophetic documentary.

[Zhang Fei]

It hasn't been the useless Rich Lowry, who has run the American Dhimmi... sorry American Conservative. This publication started by Pat Buchanan and Scott "Jesus was a Palestinian" McConnell has dedicated itself to foreign policy and the destruction of a single nation state, Israel. It has catagorically refused to deal with the national question in America, and rarely deals with immigration. Instead it imports writers from the Nation to write on foreign policy ad gets writers to sill for Ralph Nader in 2004 and Barack Obama in 2008.

My thoughts exactly. Buchanan has really lost it. It's one thing to say that we did not need to fight Germany and/or Japan in WWII and quite another to say that the Germans and the Japanese were the good guys, as he more or less did. He's gone from there to saying that any old Muslim that attacks us is a misunderstood good guy. His assumption that only our potential adversaries have legitimate foreign policy interests that Americans should not oppose, no matter how threatening to our interests, has completely trashed any credibility he might have had for sane conservatives, who have always understood that some security interests are a zero-sum game that we occasionally have to fight wars to preserve.

[StAnDeliver]

2008 + IN, NC, FL, VA, OH, NV / IA = 271EV

Only four states left to flip, with five genuine opportunities.

It literally does not get any easier to beat a sitting President in the modern era than this.

[SandwicheGuy]

Hispanics will be democrat, but will bring about the opposite of the utopia American liberals dream of. The American liberal’s most important ideals include: Women’s rights, animal rights, the environment, promotion of homosexuality, planned small families, and equality. The hispanic culture embraces sexism, animal fighting, could care less about the environment, proud of expressing their hostility for gays, have huge families, and systematically give better treatment to those with lighter skin

This made me laugh, and when I proof it, I laugh again! This is funny in Engish AND Spanish!

[Cronos]

I agree. How did the party of the KKK (the dims) be percieved as more minority-friendly than the party of Lincoln? We can change that perception

[Cronos]

I agree. How did the party of the KKK (the dims) be percieved as more minority-friendly than the party of Lincoln? We can change that perception

[Cronos]

Mexico is a poor country, hence not so much emphasis on the environment. England in the 1800s was highly polluted (hence the foggy london of S. holmes), but as people got richer, they asked for a better quality of life. The same will happen in Mexico

What started off as a good thing (caring for the environment) when taken to extremes (environazis) is bad.

the same thing with liberalism. I was watch Downton Abbey (a British serial about life ina county great house from 1912 to 1920) and in many ways the liberals at that time were correct -- asking for equal opportunities and preventing aristocracy from being utter despots -- but taken to extremes and you had communism.

[cookcounty]

A few things: Self-perpetuating minorities (I.e., those that actually raise kids in significant numbers) are the ones that are most likely to vote Republican and Conservative. Married with children Hispanics vote Republican, not Democrat.

[redgolum]

Most women with kids are not married. They are married to Uncle Sam. They don’t need to get married, and the baby daddies don’t want to be.

[WOSG]

“How did the party of the KKK (the dims) be percieved as more minority-friendly than the party of Lincoln? We can change that perception”

Since the New Deal, the democrats have engaged in the politics of FREEBIES and populist/socialist attacks on ‘the rich’ to pay for it.

Anyone at the bottom end of the economic scale knows the score. “Obama’s getting me a new car!”