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Will Big Labor make Scott Walker a national hero in the GOP? (All indicators show he's winning big)
Hotair ^ | 05/24/2012 | Ed Morrissey

Posted on 05/24/2012 12:35:54 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

In an earlier post, I discussed how Democrats’ attacks on Mitt Romney have backfired on Barack Obama. Politico reports that the same thing is happening in Wisconsin, where Big Labor tried flexing its muscle by pushing Governor Scott Walker into a recall for his reforms of public-employee union collective bargaining. Unfortunately, their effort looks like it will fail badly — and if so, the labor unions may have made Walker much more powerful than he otherwise would have been, and made other Republicans a lot less fearful of Big Labor’s reach:

Now, instead of tacking Walker’s pelt to their door as a warning to any who would follow him, there’s a prospect the whole thing might backfire by elevating Walker into a tested-by-fire, conservative cult-hero and exposing the limits of the Democrats’ ability to exact revenge in the next statehouse where they’re wronged.

All the big GOP players now know Walker’s story by heart. Republican billionaires and megadonors are suddenly well-acquainted with him as well.

And if he wins in the June 5 recall against Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett (D) — which polls suggest he’s likely to do — his trajectory will very likely be even higher.

Not only will Walker be lionized by his GOP colleagues for embarrassing Big Labor and forcing the left to pour cash down the drain in a presidential election year, he’ll be credited with making the state more competitive for Mitt Romney.

The bigger problem for unions is the display of impotence. They have poured millions of dollars into Wisconsin, pushed people into rallies and protests, and wasted valuable man-hours organizing for recall elections and a special election for the state Supreme Court, only to come up empty thus far. Until now, people feared the impact of unions in elections, and in special elections such as these even more, as they are more easily mastered by superior organization. However, Walker supporters cast more ballots in the recall primaries than the combined votes of the top two Democrats, just as they did in the race that pitted Supreme Court Justice David Prosser against Joanne Kloppenburg, and in almost every recall race thus far. Democrats have only won one of those races, which failed to swing the state senate to their control.

Can the unions pull out a win in less than two weeks? A new poll by Reason Magazine and Rupe shows Walker now up eight points in the state:

Gov. Scott Walker leads Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett 50-42 among those likely to vote in Wisconsin’s June 5 recall election, according to a new Reason-Rupe poll of 708 Wisconsin adults on cell phones and landlines.

In the presidential race, 49 percent of all adults surveyed approve of the job President Obama is doing and 45 percent disapprove. President Obama leads Mitt Romney 46-36 in Wisconsin, with 6 percent selecting the Libertarian Party’s Gary Johnson. Obama’s margin over Romney shrinks to 45-41 among those likely to vote in June’s recall election, with Johnson taking what would be a crucial 5 percent of the vote.

The Reason-Rupe poll finds voters overwhelmingly support many of the key changes Gov. Walker and the legislature implemented on public sector pensions and health care last year. Reason-Rupe finds 72 percent favor the change requiring public sector workers to increase their pension contributions from less than 1 percent to 6 percent of their salaries. And 71 percent favor making government employees pay 12 percent of their own health care premiums instead of the previous 6 percent.

The splits in this poll are symmetrical. Without leaners, the D/R/I is 29/29/39, and with leaners 45/45/7. In 2010, the D/R/I was 37/36/28. The problem with this comparison is that the ad hoc nature of special elections make it difficult to model for predictive purposes, but I’d say this is in the ballpark.

On top of this bad news, Walker’s opponent, Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett, will have to do some explaining about crime statistics that he’d previously used to argue for his candidacy as governor:

State and local leaders called Wednesday for independent audits of the Milwaukee Police Department’s crime numbers citing a Journal Sentinel investigation that found more than 500 cases in which serious crimes were misclassified as lesser offenses.

That review discovered an additional 800 cases since 2009 that follow the same pattern, but couldn’t be verified with available public records. Copies of those incidents reports have been requested from police.

The newspaper found enough misreported cases in 2011 alone that violent crime would have actually increased 1.1% instead of a 2.3% decline from the reported 2010 figures, which had their own errors.

Dozens of misclassified assaults were sent to FBI crime reporting experts who confirmed that they should have been marked as aggravated assault. Police officials agreed when they were presented to them.

Aldermen Joe Dudzik and Bob Donovan called for the city comptroller’s office to conduct an independent audit of the police numbers.

And state Sen. Alberta Darling (R-River Hills) said Wednesday she would request an audit by the Legislative Audit Bureau of the police department’s crime data.

The big question in this will be who miscoded the data to the FBI and why. The president of the police union in Milwaukee says that police officers wouldn’t have done that — and that the culprit is “something beyond” the police officers and their supervisors.

Update: Politico’s Mike Allen tells MSNBC’s Morning Joe that Walker will “win big,” to Joe Scarborough’s surprise (via Jim Geraghty):

Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

“The Left, labor, Democrats, which planned to embarrass him, instead have made him a national figure with a very bright future,” Allen continues. “It was money poured down the drain by Democrats and the Left in a presidential election year.”

John Heilemann chimes in, “You notice the White House, the reelection committee in Chicago, they’ve stayed away from Wisconsin. They’ve done these big ad buys, they picked their nine states, Wisconsin not on that list. The reason is they wanted to see how this turned out. They have kept their distance from it.”

They’re backing away from the stench, apparently.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Wisconsin
KEYWORDS: milwaukee; recall; scottwalker; tombarrett; wisconsin

1 posted on 05/24/2012 12:36:00 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind
This is not the entire story.....the unions and the Obama White House are pouring all of their money into the Drag out The Vote effort.

Voting has already begun, and they have two weeks to push, pull and drag Wisconsinites and out of staters alike to early vote. (Recall that a Dane County (the Berkley of the Midwest) judge blocked Voter ID)

Polling places in Milwaukee and Madison are open late every evening and will be open on weekends and the Holiday.

Vans full of "voters" are rolling to the polls non-stop. It is highly possible we will be cheated out of a victory by this massive effort by out of state operatives.

2 posted on 05/24/2012 12:42:31 PM PDT by Mygirlsmom (Julia!!!!!! Don't Let Him Fool 'ya!!!!)
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To: SeekAndFind

Busloads of thousands of libs with misshapen heads sporting ripped Obama tee shirts are being brought in to register early in downtown Milwaukee. All they need is a utility bill.
Hmmm.

We’re cautiously optimistic about a win ..but still worried, as you can imagine..

MM in Ground Zero WI.


3 posted on 05/24/2012 12:43:55 PM PDT by Mountain Mary (One Nation Under God..."There I said it" ... Great One...)
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To: SeekAndFind
The bigger problem for unions is the display of impotence.

This is the take home lesson, which will reverberate in races around the country. It tells candidates that if they have a strong message they need not fear or try to placate the unions.

4 posted on 05/24/2012 12:45:51 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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Comment #5 Removed by Moderator

To: Mountain Mary

Mygirlsmom is right. Many observers from our side are there to counter..but this is an all out fraudulent attack on our state, our Governor and our Republic.

A 5% lead could be wiped out by Tuesday by the cheating, lying, despicable, sub-human union thugs.

Our ONLY true recourse and way to get back at them.. is to WIN! ..


6 posted on 05/24/2012 12:50:03 PM PDT by Mountain Mary (One Nation Under God..."There I said it" ... Great One...)
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To: Mygirlsmom
“Vans full of “voters” are rolling to the polls non-stop. It is highly possible we will be cheated out of a victory by this massive effort by out of state operatives”

Been hearing this in a number of threads, if true, the GOP should be following/videoing these Vans leaving the polling place and determine were they are dropping off their human cargo.

7 posted on 05/24/2012 12:55:30 PM PDT by DAC21
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To: DAC21

I did MY part to help Walker.. I won’t go into it here. ANYONE RESIDING IN WISCONSIN SHOULD TAKE A DAY OFF FROM WORK AND FOLLOW/DOCUMENT/VIDEO ANY SUSPICIOUS ACTIVITY!


8 posted on 05/24/2012 12:59:48 PM PDT by GeorgeWashingtonsGhost
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To: SeekAndFind

In Star Trek VI Spock said to Kirk “only Nixon could go to China.” I would like to add “only Obama could reform the unions.”


9 posted on 05/24/2012 1:00:21 PM PDT by thepoodlebites (and that government of the people, by the people, for the people, shall not perish from the earth.)
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To: GeorgeWashingtonsGhost

Time to put an ‘anti-Walker’ T-shirt on and infiltrate the evildoer’s groups.. Hehehe.


10 posted on 05/24/2012 1:02:00 PM PDT by GeorgeWashingtonsGhost
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To: Mygirlsmom

I like what one FReeper said recently:

“My parents voted Republican all their lives. Since they’ve died, they always vote Democrat.”


11 posted on 05/24/2012 1:02:19 PM PDT by no dems (TED CRUZ: A PROVEN CONSERVATIVE FOR U.S. SENATE FROM TEXAS.)
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To: annanail; All

Scott walker would be a great VP. I sure don’t want globalist Mr.amnesty marco rubio!!
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

I could live with Scott Walker as VP. If he wins BIG on June 5th, it could happen.


12 posted on 05/24/2012 1:09:28 PM PDT by no dems (TED CRUZ: A PROVEN CONSERVATIVE FOR U.S. SENATE FROM TEXAS.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Gee, a freaken republican that takes the fight to Unions and does not back down when threatened.
Fiscal sanity!!!
Well that’s ONE republican politician with a set of nads as opposed to ALL the rest of the mutes.


13 posted on 05/24/2012 1:10:58 PM PDT by Joe Boucher ((FUBO) Hey Mitt, F-you too pal)
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To: GeorgeWashingtonsGhost

ANYONE RESIDING IN WISCONSIN SHOULD TAKE A DAY OFF FROM WORK AND FOLLOW/DOCUMENT/VIDEO ANY SUSPICIOUS ACTIVITY!
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Now, or on Election Day???


14 posted on 05/24/2012 1:13:23 PM PDT by no dems (TED CRUZ: A PROVEN CONSERVATIVE FOR U.S. SENATE FROM TEXAS.)
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To: SeekAndFind

“If you strike me down, I shall be come more powerful than you could ever possibly imagine...”


15 posted on 05/24/2012 1:16:46 PM PDT by Bush_Democrat ((xDem now) - Breitbart sent me)
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To: no dems

Either or both. Any little bit helps. And post videos to YouTube.


16 posted on 05/24/2012 1:18:22 PM PDT by GeorgeWashingtonsGhost
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To: no dems

Paul Ryan! He’s definitely posturing for that slot. Has anyone else noticed?


17 posted on 05/24/2012 1:20:32 PM PDT by GeorgeWashingtonsGhost
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To: GeorgeWashingtonsGhost
Time to put an ‘anti-Walker’ T-shirt on and infiltrate the evildoer’s groups.. Hehehe.

Walker supporters in Milwaukee and Madison should be calling Wisconsin Jobs Now for a ride to the polls. Have a few anti-Walker talking points available for conversation during the ride. Might as well make them spend a bit of their time and gas money in support of Scott Walker.

18 posted on 05/24/2012 1:59:01 PM PDT by Mygirlsmom (Julia!!!!!! Don't Let Him Fool 'ya!!!!)
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To: SeekAndFind
In the presidential race, 49 percent of all adults surveyed approve of the job President Obama is doing and 45 percent disapprove. President Obama leads Mitt Romney 46-36 in Wisconsin, with 6 percent selecting the Libertarian Party’s Gary Johnson. Obama’s margin over Romney shrinks to 45-41 among those likely to vote in June’s recall election, with Johnson taking what would be a crucial 5 percent of the vote.

Thank you LIBERTARIANS!! You'll throw the Election to ZERO!! (I was a LIBERTARIAN, I disagree with them on the borders (they want open borders), the War on Terror (they are against it)and drug use (they want to decriminalize it).)

19 posted on 05/24/2012 1:59:55 PM PDT by ExCTCitizen (If we stay home in November '12, don't blame 0 for tearing up the CONSTITUTION!!)
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To: no dems

With early voting, every day between now and “Election Day” is election day. The whole concept of early voting is a design to subvert the legal voting process. I hate it.


20 posted on 05/24/2012 2:11:23 PM PDT by Cyber Liberty (Obama considers the Third World morally superior to the United States.)
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To: ExCTCitizen

Columnist Andrew McCarthy gives us what probably is the most important question regarding the upcoming presidential election….

“…..if Mitt wins the nomination, as seems very likely, I will enthusiastically support his candidacy. For my friends who have hesitation on that score, I’d just ask you to keep four things in mind:
1.. Justice Scalia just turned 78
2.. Justice Kennedy will turn 78 later this year
3.. Justice Breyer will be 76 in August
4.. Justice Ginsburg turned 81 about a week ago.

We wish them all well, of course, but the brute fact is that whoever we elect as president in November is almost certainly going to choose at least one and maybe more new members of the Supreme Court — in addition to hundreds of other life-tenured federal judges, all of whom will be making momentous decisions about our lives for decades to come.

If you don’t think it matters whether the guy making those calls is Mitt Romney or Barack Obama, I think you’re smokin’ something funky….”

So for anybody who is thinking of not voting because your favorite didn’t get nominated, or writing in a candidate who can’t win... Imagine this: SUPREME COURT JUSTICE ERIC HOLDER.


21 posted on 05/24/2012 2:22:47 PM PDT by SeekAndFind (bOTRT)
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To: GeorgeWashingtonsGhost

Paul Ryan! He’s definitely posturing for that slot. Has anyone else noticed?
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

I’ve noticed that he seems hungry for the VP nod. I like Paul Ryan. I just wonder how much he would help the Ticket; especially since he looks like a high school kid.


22 posted on 05/25/2012 6:21:44 AM PDT by no dems (TED CRUZ: A PROVEN CONSERVATIVE FOR U.S. SENATE FROM TEXAS.)
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