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Obama Is Losing Support Like a Sinking Ship
Newsmax ^ | MAY 31, 2012 | Wayne Allyn Root

Posted on 06/01/2012 5:11:20 AM PDT by RobinMasters

As a well-known Las Vegas oddsmaker with a pretty remarkable track record of picking political races, I play no favorites.

As a matter of fact, I have no favorites in this race among Romney or Obama. I am a former Libertarian vice presidential nominee and chairman of the Libertarian National Campaign Committee.

My vote will go to Libertarian presidential candidate Gary Johnson in November, whom I believe has the most fiscally conservative track record of any governor in modern U.S. political history.

Without the bold spending cuts of a Gary Johnson or Ron Paul, I don’t believe it’s possible to turn America around.

But forget emotion. As a successful oddsmaker, I simply use my gut instincts and common sense to call them as I see them. Back in late December I released my New Years’ predictions.

I predicted back then — before a single GOP primary had been held, with Romney trailing for months to almost every GOP competitor from Rick Perry to Herman Cain to Newt — that Romney would easily rout his competition to win the GOP nomination by a landslide.

I also predicted that the presidential race between Obama and Romney would be very close until election day. But that Romney would win by a landslide similar to Reagan-Carter in 1980.

Understanding history, today I am even more convinced of a resounding Romney victory. Thirty-two years ago at this moment in time, Reagan was losing by 9 points to Carter. Romney is right now running even in the polls. So why do most pollsters give Obama the edge?

(Excerpt) Read more at newsmax.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Constitution/Conservatism; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: bho2012; bhojobapproval; buyersremorse
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1 posted on 06/01/2012 5:11:27 AM PDT by RobinMasters
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To: RobinMasters
So why do most pollsters give Obama the edge?

Because to say the truth would be racist.

2 posted on 06/01/2012 5:13:51 AM PDT by PapaBear3625 (If I can't be persuasive, I at least hope to be fun.)
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To: RobinMasters

Is bambi the Green Lantern or The Brown Lantern?


3 posted on 06/01/2012 5:14:00 AM PDT by Blado (THIS IS NOT AMERICA)
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To: RobinMasters

One can only hope and pray.

Not a big fan of Romney, but I like some things about him, and at least the guy has business experience and can produce a valid birth certificate.

The other guy....I absolutely despise.


4 posted on 06/01/2012 5:14:06 AM PDT by mom4melody
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To: RobinMasters

Agreed. Most of the Obama voters I know will not vote for him again. And I don’t know anyone, who didn’t vote for him in 08, that will in 12.


5 posted on 06/01/2012 5:24:01 AM PDT by HerrBlucher
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To: mom4melody

Ditto. Romney wouldn’t be my first choice, probably not even in my top 5. But anyone, anyone other than hussein. hussein is actively trying to destroy America and re-make it to his Marxist/socialist/fascist vision. NFW


6 posted on 06/01/2012 5:24:09 AM PDT by ThunderSleeps (Stop obama now! Stop the hussein - insane agenda!)
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To: RobinMasters

About the only thing Romney has in common with Reagan is both names begin with R and contain 6 letters.


7 posted on 06/01/2012 5:24:28 AM PDT by Bullish
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To: All

Underestimate Obama’s chances for re-election at your own peril....


8 posted on 06/01/2012 5:26:17 AM PDT by Maringa
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To: RobinMasters
...why do most pollsters give Obama the edge?

Tooth-rattling, knee-shaking fear of being labled "RACIST".

9 posted on 06/01/2012 5:27:25 AM PDT by GoldenPup (Comrade "O" has got to GO!!)
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To: Bullish
About the only thing Romney has in common with Reagan is both names begin with R and contain 6 letters.

Doesn't inspire much confidence either as people will now say he's the anti-Christ.
10 posted on 06/01/2012 5:27:29 AM PDT by Thorliveshere
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To: Blado

“Is bambi the Green Lantern or The Brown Lantern?”

...he’s the empty lantern.


11 posted on 06/01/2012 5:32:18 AM PDT by albie
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To: RobinMasters

Losing support doesn’t mean they won’t vote for him in Nov. Most sank too deep with their gravy train.

Keep that in mind.


12 posted on 06/01/2012 5:33:43 AM PDT by Sir Napsalot (Pravda + Useful Idiots = CCCP; JournOList + Useful Idiots = DopeyChangey!)
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To: Maringa
Underestimate Obama’s chances for re-election at your own peril....

Bears reposting about 1,000 times
I wrote much the same things here all through 2008 when so many dwelled in fantasyland...

13 posted on 06/01/2012 5:40:59 AM PDT by bill1952 (Choice is an illusion created between those with power - and those without)
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To: HerrBlucher

Unfortunately all of the Obama voters I know plan to support another four years. Plus a number of people I know in their mid 50’s who lost jobs after the 2008 financial collapse blame it on Republicans and will vote for Obama just as their grandparents blamed Hoover and voted Democrat reliably for decades. I hear comments such as, “I paid into the system for years and got screwed by the banks, big business, and the Republicans. It is time for me to get my share.”

Let’s not be complacent. Chronic unemployment is creating new Democrats. The entitlement mentality continues to grow.


14 posted on 06/01/2012 5:42:22 AM PDT by Soul of the South
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To: RobinMasters
So why do most pollsters give Obama the edge?

Because most pollsters oversample Democrats in relation to how they'll actually vote in November. In 2010, most polls oversampled Dems by about 7%, when it was about an even turnout. They're doing the same thing now...and the GOP will come out in droves in November. I'm seeing 55-45 Romney.

15 posted on 06/01/2012 5:44:26 AM PDT by MuttTheHoople (Democrats- Forgetting 9/11 since 9/12/01)
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To: Soul of the South

I’m hearing a lot of the exact same thing, too. This is no time to become complacent. It’s sad that so many can’t or don’t bother to figure it out...and I’d say (after exhausting my breath on them) fine, go ahead. But there’s far too much at stake here and I’m not going to stand by and watch this country go under... Romney wasn’t my frst or second choice...but that’s the hand that’s dealt. I believe him (and his wife, whom I DO like) are decent people..and they will get my vote. It will be up to us to send as many conservative House and Senate members as we can at all levels to keep him on track.


16 posted on 06/01/2012 5:49:33 AM PDT by SueRae (The Tower of Sauron falls on 11.06.2012)
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To: Thorliveshere
Careful with the numerology.

Ronald Wilson Reagan. Each name has 6 letters.

6 6 6

I'm not saying Reagan was the Beast, but he did act in a movie opposite a beast, one Bonzo.

17 posted on 06/01/2012 6:13:33 AM PDT by Verginius Rufus
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To: RobinMasters

18 posted on 06/01/2012 6:51:56 AM PDT by al_c (http://www.blowoutcongress.com)
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To: RobinMasters

Obama Is Losing Support Like Christina Hendricks’ Oldest Bra.

Better metaphor, methinks...


19 posted on 06/01/2012 6:56:27 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: MuttTheHoople
Because most pollsters oversample Democrats in relation to how they'll actually vote in November. In 2010, most polls oversampled Dems by about 7%, when it was about an even turnout. They're doing the same thing now...and the GOP will come out in droves in November. I'm seeing 55-45 Romney.

That is true. There are two main types of polls that are done. One type are the ones done "internally" for campaigns. These polls are the most accurate as they sample GOP/Dems/Independents in ratios that reflect accurately the given area that polls are conducted in.

The polls for public consumption - the ones that we see touted on all the news media - are manipulated to drive public opinion and they will oversample or undersample groups to achieve the desired result. In this manner, media are able to "guide" a lot of people to voting a certain way because most people feel good about themselves when they pick a winner so if they are led to believe a certain candidate is ahead, they will tend to vote for that candidate.

20 posted on 06/01/2012 7:03:19 AM PDT by SamAdams76
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