Skip to comments.Return of the Bradley Effect: What if ALL the Polls Are Wrong?
Posted on 06/06/2012 6:55:27 AM PDT by TonyInOhio
click here to read article
There seems to be a lot of liberal angst, as to why the exit polls and the actual results were so far off.
I was surprised that it was not a long election night vote count.
Of course, the Democrats were hoping it would be close, so they could hold back vote results from certain key areas until the end, then hit us with late results from Milwaukee or Madison. But the size of the victory for Walker meant that we would see no late night shenanigans in vote counting in this election.
Somebody once said, that if an election is not close, then the Democrats can’t cheat and steal the election.
Yesterday’s news was that the Justice Department was standing by to investigate voting irregularities. The Democrats had hundreds of lawyers standing by, to deal with an expected re-count. But the size of the victory makes all of that moot.
I see very few have noted that Walker won with a LARGER majority than he did in the general election............
Then the work to pull Romney to the right and undermining Republican elites begins.
Lots of white middle class and working class voters are NOT voting for Obama again.
Their reasons will be, at least in part, racial (he has sided with the Black Panthers in declaring a race war against all the rest of us).
Nobody wants to see what the repercussions of that will be in a second term. But they are never gonna reveal that to a pollster out of fear of being tagged a racist.
Not the same issues on the ballot, but the WI election sure looked a lot like the NC election last month. After 4 years of "unexpected" downturns, I think the Obama administration will experience it's worst and last downturn in November.
The exit polls were probably wrong on Obama by at least as much as they were wrong on Walker. Romney (yuck! Is that really the best the GOP could do???) should consider WI in play and campaign hard there. Florida, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Wisconsin are all worth trying for too. Besides the fact that even Romney might win most or all of those states, contesting them seriously will force Obama to defend a lot of territory that he carried four years ago and make him weaker in the most competitive swing states.
That work begins now. We need to support 2010's new Tea Party Congressmen with our dollars - directly, not to the GOP leadership - because the rookies are at risk. We need to work in their campaigns and get out the vote efforts. We need to volunteer as poll watchers. How far left Romney could swing when that Etch-A-Sketch gets shaken up will be decided by how far right the House and the Senate swing in November.
Apparently, the silent majority of Wisconsin voters didnt want to admit to nosy pollsters and anyone else that might be listening that they were opposed to runaway unions, runaway spending, or the Democratic administration. They just wanted to cast their votes. And they did.I wish people everywhere, on both sides of the issues, would say a big fat healthy FU to pollsters every time they are questioned.
That's why we have elections, to decide public issues. We don't need pollsters.
I remember reading a science fiction story about 10 years ago set in a future where the "science of polling" was so advanced that the presidential election was decided by a single person, picked by the "polling computers" to be the best representative sample of public opinion. It was a tongue-in-cheek story that was well-written and still sticks in my mind.
I suppose there actually is a "science of polling" somewhere. But there is also "polling propaganda", and "polling for dollars", and "polling to promote your cause".
Just say no to pollsters.
Oh, we're noting it. It's just that Republicans were raised by their parents to be good sports and not gloat over their victories. Hee, hee, hee...
Bozo will not take North Carolina.
Listening to polls is how Republicans nominated the “he can win candidate” with the best chance of losing.
Maybe the exit polls were off but the pre-election polls, all except one, seemed to be dead-on with the final result.
Which category WI falls in is not entirely clear, but I suspect it is indeed in play.
As Dizzy Dean once said, “It ain’t bragging if you can do it.”.......
Well, I’d lie to the bastids, too!
I mean, really, do you know if the person asking the question is a goonion thug who’ll “cap” you to signal an attack on you, your family, or your property?
Yep, I’d lie my body parts off.
The Bradley effect is really a measure of the Ministry of Truth media spin. Which scenario is more likely: ordinary people exiting polls are prone to tell lies, or the media is? Media polls always error on the side of the Democrat, and then some.
They’ll go back to trotting out the “people voted against their own financial self-interest because they were lied to” meme.
Note to Romney:
No interviews with Katie
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.