Skip to comments.Wisconsin-sized polling error could mask Romney sweep of battleground states
Posted on 06/08/2012 3:16:08 AM PDT by Publius804
Former Gov. Mitt Romney would collect at least 72 of the 110 electoral votes available in eight battleground states if President Barack Obamas current polling numbers, as reported by The Huffington Post, are overstated by a mere one percent.
Romney would win that electoral majority in Colorado, Iowa, Missouri, Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina, Florida and Wisconsin if there is a one percent undercount and if undecided voters there split evenly between Romney and Obama.
That would give the former Massachusetts Gov. at least 253 just a few votes shy of the 270 he will need to claim the White House.
But if the undecided voters break for Romney by two-thirds, Romney would win all those states 110 votes, pushing him well above the 270 margin and earning Obama a helicopter ride home to Illinois.
Its a good reminder that small shifts in votes can play a big role in electoral votes, Trey Grayson, director of Harvards Institute of Politics, told The Daily Caller.
Grayson predicted that the battleground states are likely to break together, resulting in a strong showing for one candidate or the other. A lot of these states have things in common, he said, including Midwestern geography and higher than average populations of white voters.
Some Democratic-leaning organizations are concerned that the polls may overstate Obamas support. This is going to be a very tough year to poll, MSNBC host Chris Matthews said Wednesday.
Tuesdays recall vote in Wisconsin, in which incumbent Gov. Scott Walker prevailed by 6.8 percentage points, was a good indicator of how badly some pre-election polling can perform.
A June 3 poll by the Democratic-aligned Public Policy Polling firm underestimated Walkers support by nearly 4 points. It showed Walker at 50 percent, only three points ahead of his Democratic challenger, Tom Barrett.
(Excerpt) Read more at dailycaller.com ...
Mr. RomneyCARE INVENTED ObamaCARE and defends it.
Mr. RomneyCARE supported TARP and defends it.
I WILL NOT VOTE FOR A LIBERAL LIAR WHO
PURPORTS TO BE A “conservative”, BUT NEVER HAS BEEN.
I’m gaining more hope that the Obamanation and his administration will be beaten..
For the sake of our nation I want Obama GONE
Don't worry I will vote for anybody but that America Destroyer from Kenya
It seems like the poster above you enjoys having him around!
and your voting for -—Who ?
A vote that is not cast towards Romney is a vote for Obama.
SHOCK POLL: ROMNEY EDGES OBAMA IN MICHIGAN
I’m with the poster who said: “The Shock is how many people still support Obama”
The problem is almost anyone could beat Obama except the guy the GOPe wants to run.
The solution is to purge the GOPe.
This is called an inherent structural defect ~ not a polling error. In the race to the bottom (where more and more obama and romney voters become undecided) there comes a point where normal polling methods just don't work. No doubt we are close to that point.
You have to remember, it's more important to get a super majority in the House and the Senate than it is to put in a President ~ in the long run.
Look at what went on in the early part of the Twentieth Century. Republicans controlled the House, the Senate, 3/4 of the State Legislatures and they could pass even Constitutional Amendments at will ~ "to fix stuff' I gather. Then they ran into Woodrow Wilson who was able to defeat a split party.
That saddled us with truly dreadful constitutional amendments and a crazy man at the top. Well, the crazy guy is gone ~ but those amendments continue to plague the Republic!
I wish I had a dollar for each time you posted this same comment. Who cares who you vote for? It’s your vote so waste it any way you want. I guess you want to show us how principled you are but,frankly, I don’t give a damn.
That should be the fallback: a chopper to his second home. The first choice is an international jet ride back to his birthplace.
ABO has been my mantra during the entire primaries. I was willing to vote for a Texas governor, a black business man and guy who’s been married three times.
Well the guy we got beat all these guys and all three of these guys now support his election over our present disaster.
Four more years of Obama and we won’t have to worry about voting.
Mr. RomneyCARE is neither a conservative nor an honest man.
Which draws you to him?
I followed the same path during the primaries but ABO was my firm conviction.
Getting out our vote will be key..I am hoping we can vote as many conservatives downticket as possible and also gain control of the Senate.
No matter what we can’t undo the destruction the Obamanation has caused overnight..but we can get started if we
If Romney was a devote Christian, we’d be screaming for him.
The man has the chance to take almost all 50 states. It could be the greatest lop sided victory of all times.
What we need is a man who will unite all Christians along all demoninations, and fight the Islamists who are looking for world domination.
Polls at this point are meaningless