Skip to comments.Rasmussen : Wisconsin Romney 47%, Obama 44%
Posted on 06/13/2012 9:35:48 AM PDT by sunmars
Mitt Romney now leads President Obama for the first time in Wisconsin where the president's support has fallen to its lowest level to date.
The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Romney with 47% of the vote to Obamas 44%. Five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Prior to this survey, Obama's support in the state has ranged from 45% to 52%, while Romney has earned 41% to 45%. Last month, the numbers were Obama 49%, Romney 45%. The president led his likely Republican challenger by 11 points in March - 52% to 41%.
Just last week Republican Governor Scott Walker won a special recall election prompted by Democrats outraged over his successful move to limit collective bargaining rights for some unionized public employees in order to reduce Wisconsin's budget deficit.
Most voters (51%) in the state view public employee unions unfavorably, while 46% share a favorable opinion of them. This includes 33% with a Very Unfavorable view of the unions and 27% with a Very Favorable one. The president draws overwhelming support from voters who view public employee unions favorably, while Romney draws equally heavy support from those who view them unfavorably.
Forty-seven percent (47%) of voters in Wisconsin approve of the job Obama is doing, while 52% disapprove. These findings include 27% who Strongly Approve of the presidents job performance and 44% who Strongly Disapprove. These ratings are comparable to those measured nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.
Romney is viewed favorably by 49% of Wisconsin voters and unfavorably by 45%. These numbers include Very Favorable reviews from 23% and Very Unfavorable ones by 30%.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Obama is screwed. Wisconsin has been a solid blue state since 1988.
From what i’ve heard, Unions are cutting him loose, Obama told them last week in no uncertain terms that he does not have their back and they are telling him right back now. The floodgates may well have been opened.
I am thinking the same thing. I think it’s going to swing even further. People are not happy with this guy and it’s only going to get worse when He gets into excuse making mode.
Caveat - This is all as long as Romney doesn’t screw this up.
Sorta makes you wish the GOP had nominated a decent candidate, doesn’t it?
BUT...BUT...exit polls showed 0 ahead by 9 points.
Wow. Obama will be on the Choom bus today for sure.
The more uncomfortable those communist pricks are, the better I like it.
If you are an FR mittens hater how do polls like these strike you?
When was he ever off? This is great news!
This is outstanding news for Romney, especially since he’s getting Scott Walker’s entire GOTV organization. So long as Mitt doesn’t screw up, he looks to be in good shape in WI.
I wouldn't count on that. Can't envision any scenario where union workers become Romney voters. Most likely, Obama will do some kind of phoney-baloney "beer summit" with them over the summer and they will kiss and make up. Count on the unions falling back into line by election time. Best we can hope for is that some of the individual union people stay home on Election Day.
On a positive note, we proved last week that we don't need the union vote to elect a Republican in Wisconsin.
But wait! Lawrence O’Donnell assured us last Tuesday that Obama was the big winner in the Wisconsin recall! He was up NINE points, remember?
As I predicted, Zero is not performing well in the whiter light blue states (Wisconsin, Iowa, Colorado), but seems to be holding his own in the blacker states he took last election (Virginia, North Carolina). The electoral map is going to look much different this time. Wouldn’t be surprised to see Connecticut and New Jersey come into play, but also Georgia and Texas. Race is going to be a huge factor and Zero will use it as much as he can to his advantage, but he will lose suburban white and soccer mom voters as a result. Stay tuned.
I said last year that the GOP could nominate Elmer Fudd and he would beat Obama, so yes, I wish we had a better candidate. But we don’t. So continued dreaming about woulda, coulda, shoulda is pretty pointless. It’s Romney or Zero, and that’s not a contest.
Obama is going down hard!
Wisconsin is in play. Michigan is in play. Pennsylvania is in play. Colorado is in play. Nevada is in play. New Hampshire is in play.
I think North Carolina, Florida, Virginia and Iowa will be solid Republican wins.
Who called this, even before Gov. Walker’s HUGE win?
Glove will win 38-40 states.
Headline should read: Exit polls favor democrats by over 10 percentage point.
Or put another way: 44 percent of Wisconsin voters remain brain dead.
I am beginning to hear a giant flushing sound and watch OAnalDischargula go down the comode hard!
so much for the recall exit polls. they must have been built on the 2008 turnout model; it’s hard to explain how they were that far off.
I am beginning to hear a giant flushing sound and watch OAnalDischargula go down the comode hard!
I agree. But we can’t become overconfident.
“One little election”....
Who could have guessed what would follow??
As posted on another FR thread:
“I think Wisconsin was a real “eye-opener” for the unions.
Zippy was just too busy with his presidential duties to go there and support them. And what duties were they? To come out of the closet in support of gays!!! This was a direct political “slap in the face”....and then to have their butts handed to them in the recall election. Yeah, those old boys aren’t real happy with Zippy right now.”
Combine this with Romney’s strength in Iowa and it shows real gains in the upper Midwest. Perhaps Tim Pawlenty would be a good choice for VP, given that he would not only put Minnesota into play, but also help in Iowa (where he’s well-known) and Wisconsin.
Man, it’s looking BAD for Obama.
And good for us.
According to Rasmussen, Obama’s edge has dropped relative to the 2008 election results in individual states by:
17% in Wisconsin, from winning by 14% to losing by 3% (June results).
10% in Iowa, from winning by 9% to losing by 1% (June results).
7% in Missouri, from winning by 0.1% to losing by 7% (June results).
6% in Virginia, from winning by 6% to tied (June results).
6% in Ohio, from winning by 4% to losing by 2% (May results).
3% in Florida, from winning by 2% to losing by 1% (April results).
It’s not over until it’s over, but this is a good start.
Scott Walker snuck by with only 53% of only because of near 100% turn out by conservatives. Those same conservatives will be nowhere near as excited for Mitt Romney who probably opposes half of Walkers measures.
I think Romney will fare better then McCain in Wisconsin, but not enough to carry it. Wisconsinite's still love their unions and Obama has a sizable chunk of support there.
Socialist scumbag obama and the demoRats...will lose in Nov. in a landslide!
Unions are leaving him and another article says his support amongst NY Jews has dropped by 22 points-by November zippy could well be a social leper!
I'm an FR Myth hater. How SHOULD they strike me?
The Fabian Socialist is barely beating the Marxist in Wisconsin 5 months before the election......YOO-HOO!!!!!
I can scarcely contain my glee over the prospect of David Souter clones on the Supreme Court, ObamaCare Light, Cap-and-Trade administered by Republicans instead of Democrats......God, I'm almost giddy!
This is a seven pt change in a month. The Disaster is finished. Conservatives are going to vote against him in droves. Forget the Cranks, Quakes and Perpetually POed. They wouldn’t vote for anyone around with ANY chance.
Conservatives could not unify behind a viable alternative so it is what it is.
FReepers who have loved ones in adult care facilities need to look into absentee ballots now. Otherwise, SEIU “helpers” will “assist” them on election day.
It's easy for me to get overconfident, as well as under-confident depending on the circumstances.
I'm cautiously optimistic for now and think Glove would win a close but clear victory if the election were today. But we have a long way to go, we're not even to the All-Star break yet.
I think Obama is secretly hoping that ObamaCare will be found UnConstitutional. That way he figures he’ll be able to excite his base.
Solid? No. I was very close in 2000 (though with Nader votes Gore would have won by 4 points) and it was very close in 2004 (Kerry stole it) and is extremely competitive at the state level.
Wrong. Conservatives could, moderate RINO's couldn't.
“moderate” “RINOs” did just that which is why Romney is going to be the candidate. Conservatives were split between Cain (a typical deadletter for conservatives), Newt (another not going to happen), Santorum (great man but running without a political base, almost impossible), Michelle (needed seasoning), Perry (if he had had a shotgun he would have blown off a leg). So the Conservative votes were divided up among FIVE candidates and I am just speaking of Republicans not Ron Paul.
How is a conservative candidate going to win given THAT?
This is exactly what happened in 2008 as well. Rather than unify behind a realistic candidate to thwart McCain the Right went after one allegedly conservative after the other.
What do you think about Romney’s chances in Massachusetts?
Two fly overs and no on the ground support in their greatest time of need...why would he expect any positive support from Wisconsin unions?
Probably too much to overcome, but you never know.
but also Georgia and Texas?????
Neither of those will ever be blue if so the country is dead.
that’s for damn sure.
Never underestimate a liberal republican’s willingness to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.