Skip to comments.POLL: Supreme Court Insiders Think Obamacare Is Finished
Posted on 06/20/2012 12:15:11 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
Most former Supreme Court attorneys and clerks believe that the individual mandate to buy health insurance — the signature provision of President Barack Obama's Affordable Care Act — will soon be struck down as unconstitutional by the high court.
That's according to a joint poll by the American Action Forum, Center Forward and Purple Strategies. An astounding 57 percent of clerks and attorneys polled now think that the mandate will be ruled unconstitutional. That's up from just 35 percent in March, before the court held oral arguments on the case.
Here's what one respondent told Purple Strategies:
“I feel like a dope, because I was one of those who predicted that the Court would uphold the statute by a lopsided majority…it now appears pretty likely that this prediction was way off.”
Why the change? The oral arguments in late March had a lot to do with it. In this poll, 70 percent of respondents thought the justices were more skeptical than they expected. Thirty percent said it was about what they expected, and no one thought it was less skeptical than expected.
The insiders' sudden skepticism falls in line with those of some lawyers and constitutional scholars began to have after the oral arguments. Ilya Shapiro, a senior fellow in constitutional studies at the libertarian Cato Institute, upped his unconstitutional prediction from 55 percent likely before the hearings to 65 percent likely after the hearings.
(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...
Yogi Berra Sayings and Quotations www.retrogalaxy.com/sports/yogi-berra.aspCached
“It ain’t over ‘til it’s over”. This quote is undoubtedly the most well known Yogi-ism. It is also one of the more coherent ones. He first said this about the 1973 ...
InTrade has Obama at 53% likely to be re-elected but they have SCOTUS striking down the mandate for ObamaCare at 72%. For what it’s worth.
I hope they’re right about SCOTUS. I want the whole thing dumped on its communist butt.
That would be my guess too, but I hope we’re both wrong.
I’d love to see them shock us and strike the whole thing down.
I will be very happy if the Supreme Court overturns ObamaCare. But it does come with a political downside. Obama will then be able to fire up his base by campaigning on the premise that the “evil” Republican-appointed Supreme Court justices “took away” their healthcare, and how important it will be to re-elect him so that he can have the chance to pick SC justices that are more sympathetic to the liberal cause.
If that guy is re-elected by 53%, it will be one of the most colossal failures by an opposing party in the nation’s history.
What more could a guy do, to prove himself unworthy? If the Republicans can’t capitalize on this guy’s negatives, just damn.
I’ll believe it when I see it. Don’t underestimate Chicago tactics.
They overturn the mandate (which is very unpopular) and Romney doesn’t have to deal with that issue as he goes after the rest of Obamacare.
Oh, I agree. A lot of InTrade bettors are outside the US so I suspect the news they get from the US is largely through CNN, the New York Times and the British press. If that was your sources, you'd probably think Obama was still highly popular.
or when the Fat Lady sings.
Who’s the Fat Lady and has she already sung (to Obama)
Kagan or Sotomayor. They both are a little plus sizey.
I think that's the least likely scenario, honestly. I doubt the court has any desire to go line-by-line through that monstrosity and say, "this stays, this goes".
“If that guy is re-elected by 53%, it will be one of the most colossal failures by an opposing party in the nations history.”
53% means a 53% chance he will win by any amount, even by one vote, not that he will get 53% of the vote.
I was pretty sure I’d get a response on that point. Tell you what, if you want to change that 53% in my response to 50% + 1 vote, it will still be one of the most colossal failures by an opposing party in the nations history.
Thanks for the response. No problem...
NULLIFICATION TIME if he tries that!!!
I said it before I’ll say it again: They’ll uphold the law.
No...they will strike down the whole thing. It is not their job to pick and choose. That belongs to Congress.