Northward is the current course but who knows if that is the final course to landfall.
Posted on 06/23/2012 3:17:36 PM PDT by varina davis
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT SAT JUN 23 2012
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
BUOY OBSERVATIONS...SATELLITE DATA...AND PRELIMINARY RECONNAISSANCE DATA INDICATE THAT A TROPICAL STORM MAY BE FORMING IN THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. IF THE PLANE IS ABLE TO IDENTIFY A WELL-DEFINED SURFACE WIND CIRCULATION...THEN ADVISORIES WILL BE INITIATED LATER THIS AFTERNOON. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...90 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY...AND INTERESTS IN THIS AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS LOW. HEAVY RAINS AND LOCALIZED FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS WESTERN CUBA AND MUCH OF FLORIDA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. PLEASE SEE MARINE FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
&& HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CAN BE FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
$$ FORECASTER BERG/AVILA
At this point, I’d even go for some flooding—but that would take a virtual monsoon right now, I think...
Thanks for the reply but this article seems to indicate that it did originate from a remnant cold front:
TALLAHASSEE, Fla. (WTXL) -- An area of vast moisture is becoming better organized over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico.The moisture is associated with a broad-stretching area of low pressure, originating from a leftover cold front over the northwestern Caribbean Sea from earlier this week. It has been slowly moving through the Yucatan Channel and approaching the southeastern Gulf of Mexico.
The weather's been unusual. At the the end of May, beginning of June it was unusually hot due to an old stalled front that caused the winds to blow from the southwest. Then like I said, earlier this week we had some cooler, drier weather (by about 6 or 7 degrees) due to a front from which this tropical storm formed. For the past few years these fronts have been making it much further south during the beginning of summer than I can remember. Global warming, I guess. /s
Are you on this.. did we miss the ping
I would take some flooding too. Wife just said it was turning more to the north now.
Refreshing this site is getting tiresome—almost as tiresome as our drought is—LOL!
I’ll only believe we are getting rain when I can see it and feel it outside of my house-—that is, if I still know what rain looks like........
I hear you. I keep getting the service unavailable error too, but just keep trying. I’ve noticed a lot of multiple posts.
I was really hoping this storm would park over Texas and fill our lakes back up or get to 75% full.
Northward is the current course but who knows if that is the final course to landfall.
Does, or gives?
Stay safe (and dry)my fellow Floridians!
Going north. Shucks, no rain.
No, Houston doesn’t suck all the time. There are usually at least a couple of days a year when it doesn’t suck.
Heat, humidity, traffic (to call these parking lots freeways is ludicrous), property taxes through the roof, no zoning, MUDs, sanctuary city, illegals with no driver’s license and no insurance, spreading slums from section 8 housing with new barrios, no redeeming natural beauty, less public recreation land than just about anywhere I can think of, flat as a board, drought to flood to hurricanes, wildfires, winters not cold enough to kill off the bugs, plumbing in the attic and cold snaps enough to burst pipes and flood your house, more air conditioned square footage than any place on earth I am told.
Yup, Houston is a good place for jobs right now. Few remember the early 80s when people just pitched their keys in the flower bed and left. The oilfield folded like a tent and didn’t come back good for more than 10 years.
Smoke ‘em while you got ‘em.
Going north. Shucks, no rain.
No, Houston doesn’t suck all the time. There are usually at least a couple of days a year when it doesn’t suck.
Heat, humidity, traffic (to call these parking lots freeways is ludicrous), property taxes through the roof, no zoning, MUDs, sanctuary city, illegals with no driver’s license and no insurance, spreading slums from section 8 housing with new barrios, no redeeming natural beauty, less public recreation land than just about anywhere I can think of, flat as a board, drought to flood to hurricanes, wildfires, winters not cold enough to kill off the bugs, plumbing in the attic and cold snaps enough to burst pipes and flood your house, more air conditioned square footage than any place on earth I am told.
No matter how much lipstick you put on a pig it is still a pig and still ugly to most.
Yup, Houston is a good place for jobs right now. Few remember the early 80s when people just pitched their keys in the flower bed and left. The oilfield folded like a tent and didn’t come back good for more than 10 years.
Smoke ‘em while you got ‘em.
I have been following tropical weather 40 years, and I have never seen a forcast like this. Accoriding to the 4:00 a.m. graphic, the TS might be moving a total of 100 miles in 6 days. North and west gulf coast Florida Freepers beware. This translates into possible unprecedented historical flooding.
Just checking in from the Georgia coast, folks.
Covering Debby in a desultory fashion at our Canadian sister site in my pseudo-blog of life after Miss Emily:
http://www.freedominion.com.pa/phpBB2/viewtopic.php?p=1720959#p1720959
I’ll be around.
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