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Virginia Poll: Romney 48, Obama 43
weeklystandard.com ^ | JUN 26, 2012 | MICHAEL WARREN

Posted on 06/26/2012 1:26:52 PM PDT by BarnacleCenturion

A new poll from We Ask America shows Mitt Romney leading Barack Obama in Virginia, a key swing state Obama won in 2008. Of the 1,106 likely voters in Virginia polled, 48 percent support Romney, with just over 43 percent supporting Obama and nearly 9 percent remaining undecided.

(Excerpt) Read more at weeklystandard.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates; va2012

1 posted on 06/26/2012 1:26:55 PM PDT by BarnacleCenturion
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To: BarnacleCenturion

Unfortunately, this poll is the outlyer.


2 posted on 06/26/2012 1:32:25 PM PDT by wolfman23601
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To: wolfman23601

They were about five points high on the Walker race in Wisconsin.

Virginia (inconceivably) is all tied up.


3 posted on 06/26/2012 1:33:59 PM PDT by comebacknewt (Newt (sigh) what could have been . . .)
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To: BarnacleCenturion
Ummm nice “Likely Voters” I wonder what the Political Party break down is and does accurately match the States registration?
4 posted on 06/26/2012 1:34:06 PM PDT by DAC21
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To: BarnacleCenturion

Moves Virginia from purple to red.

I never thought Virginia was a battleground state anyway.


5 posted on 06/26/2012 1:35:00 PM PDT by kidd
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To: kidd

Virginia is still a red state, unless the democrat is black. Black democrats do better than white democrats here.


6 posted on 06/26/2012 1:37:28 PM PDT by wolfman23601
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To: BarnacleCenturion

Virginia is going to come back over to the GOP this year.

People assume that federal employees will all back Obama but some are smart enough to see he’s killing the goose that’s laying the golden eggs.


7 posted on 06/26/2012 1:39:02 PM PDT by rogue yam
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To: wolfman23601
Virginia is still a red state, unless the democrat is black

Luckily Ubama is only 7% black.

8 posted on 06/26/2012 1:39:26 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Government is the religion of the sociopath.)
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To: kidd
I never thought Virginia was a battleground state anyway.

Not to mention North Carolina, which may not go back to blue for quite a while.

The outlier is 2008. Bush backlash plus a liquidity crisis got zero in. Neither will be a factor this time, plus now there's Obama backlash.

9 posted on 06/26/2012 1:41:08 PM PDT by cicero2k
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To: wolfman23601

“Unfortunately, this poll is the outlyer.”

We shall see.

This is the first poll taken in 22 days.

The last poll had them both at 47% and the poll before that had Obambi with a slight lead. I see a trend here.


10 posted on 06/26/2012 1:41:25 PM PDT by BarnacleCenturion
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To: wolfman23601
Unfortunately, this poll is the outlyer.

Maybe not.

All other polls are prior to 6/5, the date of the Wisconsin Recall. Lots has happened between then and now.

11 posted on 06/26/2012 1:42:17 PM PDT by Palmetto Patriot (How much better off would we be if these bastards would just leave us alone?)
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To: comebacknewt

I’d bet Romney up 2 or 3. Voter fraud was rampant throughout the Recall Vote here.


12 posted on 06/26/2012 1:48:40 PM PDT by MNlurker
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To: BarnacleCenturion

Taking an oath of office to uphold the law and deciding not to enforce a law could change polls by 5 to 10 points.


13 posted on 06/26/2012 1:51:57 PM PDT by FreedBird
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To: BarnacleCenturion

Romney is going to be in Sterling, Virginia tomorrow. I’m going.


14 posted on 06/26/2012 1:59:20 PM PDT by HokieMom (Pacepa : Can the U.S. afford a president who can't recognize anti-Americanism?)
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To: wolfman23601

Nonetheless, it still has Romney up and undecided at 9%.

Research on this says that a challenger leading with both under 50% almost always wins, although we’re still far out from November.


15 posted on 06/26/2012 2:07:39 PM PDT by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Those who truly support our troops pray for their victory!)
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To: HokieMom

I got a robo call for that — wish I could go, but we’re in the middle of a move.

Maybe with McDonnell running the state relatively well (unemployement down a lot) people are starting to re-think voting Dem at all here in Va.

I hope it spreads to the down tickets. Although i’m still not over what they did to Newt here.


16 posted on 06/26/2012 2:25:19 PM PDT by LibsRJerks
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To: BarnacleCenturion

tough times for Obama.. and even tougher for those he continues to leech off of.. namely, the American taxpayer.

Short end of the stump
Obama leaves Hub on hook for fundraising stop
http://www.bostonherald.com/news/us_politics/view/20220626short_end_of_the_stump_obama_leaves_hub_on_hook_for_fundraising_stop/

Outraged taxpayer advocates slammed President Obama for lavishly politicking on the taxpayers’ dime last night, as Boston ran up a hefty tab providing security so the Democratic incumbent could breeze in and out of town for a series of re-election events.


17 posted on 06/26/2012 2:33:19 PM PDT by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi)
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To: LibsRJerks

I’m guessing Romney will be in Virginia a lot this campaign season. Hope you get a chance to see him when it’s convenient for you. I like the sticker I saw here on FR that says something like, ‘vote romney to stop obama: vote conservative down-ticket to stop romney’

That’s the strategy I’m adopting this go ‘round.


18 posted on 06/26/2012 2:34:20 PM PDT by HokieMom (Pacepa : Can the U.S. afford a president who can't recognize anti-Americanism?)
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To: wolfman23601
The overall trend is more important than any specific one poll. Over the past 2 months, the trend has definitely been in Romney's favor. Even in blue states, Romney is making gains.

Right now things could not be better for the Romney campaign. Obama is floundering out there, making a fool of himself while Romney gets to focus on getting organized and raising money for the battle ahead.

Yes, if we had Ronald Reagan or Sarah Palin as the candidate, we'd be 20 points ahead (just wanted to get that in there). But time to make lemonade out of lemons because Sarah Palin is not walking through that door - nor is she going to pop out of a cake at the convention.

19 posted on 06/26/2012 2:36:26 PM PDT by SamAdams76
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To: NormsRevenge

Romneys’ strategy of just laying low and letting obama implode and buirn through tons of cash now, and pandering to all the freak show groups, is working perfectly.

As Obama runs dry on money in late summer and fall, and has burned many bridges by that point, Romney will be over flowing with cash to focus on GOTV and look like the responsible adult while Obama is flailing and flopping all over the place.

Romney is in the cat bird seat right now.


20 posted on 06/26/2012 2:41:16 PM PDT by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
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To: BarnacleCenturion
That's a big swing from ‘08...if it's repeated nationwide the evening of 11/6 could be a very,very long one over in DUmmie Land.
21 posted on 06/26/2012 2:45:49 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Bill Ayers Was *Not* "Just Some Guy In The Neighborhood")
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To: GlockThe Vote

Dough talks, waygu walks.. ;-]


22 posted on 06/26/2012 2:51:41 PM PDT by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi)
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To: BarnacleCenturion

no shock here, Obama lost Virgina the minute he came out of the closet.


23 posted on 06/26/2012 3:06:36 PM PDT by TexasFreeper2009 (Obama lied .. the economy died.)
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To: HokieMom

I like the sticker I saw here on FR that says something like, ‘vote romney to stop obama: vote conservative down-ticket to stop romney’

That’s the strategy I’m adopting this go ‘round.


Absolutely!


24 posted on 06/26/2012 3:53:55 PM PDT by unkus
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To: BarnacleCenturion

This poll is probably about right. I suspect that there are good number of people that will vote against Obama, once they know no one is watching - but, for now, they’ll play it safe and say they support him.

For example, I park some of my cars outside. If a stranger calls my home claiming to be a polling firm, you bet I’ll say I’m a good Democrat. I want to protect my cars, and they know my home phone and likely know where I live.


25 posted on 06/26/2012 4:10:41 PM PDT by BobL
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To: BarnacleCenturion; All

Always look at the “Undecided” numbers. Historically, 80% of Undecideds go for the Challenger. As of today, it’s Romney 48%, Obama 43% and 9% Undecided. So, according to my calculations, if today would have been Election Day, Romney would have carried VA 55% - 45%. Now, if you think I’m being outlandish, REMEMBER 1980 and Reagan vs. Carter.


26 posted on 06/26/2012 4:39:26 PM PDT by pistolpackinpapa (Why is it that you never see any Obama bumper stickers on cars going to work in the mornings?)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

no shock here, Obama lost Virgina the minute he came out of the closet.
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Ya really think so? I assume you live there, so I’ll take your word for it. But, there are gays in VA. Someone told me that they know for a fact that there are at least 14 gays in Richmond alone.


27 posted on 06/26/2012 4:47:15 PM PDT by pistolpackinpapa (Why is it that you never see any Obama bumper stickers on cars going to work in the mornings?)
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To: GlockThe Vote; All

Romney is in the cat bird seat right now.
______________________________________________________________

And don’t forget folks, Romney has not gotten his Convention “Bump” yet. It’s still 52 days before the GOP Convention even starts. And the Dems Convention ends 7 days after Romney makes his acceptance speech. He has a week’s head start on The Marxist Muslim. Four years ago, Obama had his convention before McCain. McCain never caught up.


28 posted on 06/26/2012 4:54:01 PM PDT by pistolpackinpapa (Why is it that you never see any Obama bumper stickers on cars going to work in the mornings?)
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To: pistolpackinpapa

agree. but intrade numbers have my a bit worried.


29 posted on 06/26/2012 6:37:01 PM PDT by pghoilman (Earth First. We'll drill the rest of the galaxy later.)
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To: BarnacleCenturion

Hopefully the military gets to vote this time. Those out of the country that is.


30 posted on 06/26/2012 7:20:50 PM PDT by Carry me back
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Yeah the R’s swept Virginia after Obama got in. That should say something.


31 posted on 06/26/2012 7:23:18 PM PDT by Carry me back
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To: BarnacleCenturion

Four relatives from my family in Northern VA who voted for O will vote for Romney. One a college Freshman, one new college Grad. Never thought I’d live to see the day they voted R. Good sign for Republicans!


32 posted on 06/27/2012 1:47:04 AM PDT by MacMattico
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To: Carry me back

Hopefully the military gets to vote this time.
______________________________________________________________

That is not the “padding” GOP candidates used to get. Don’t forget, the Military is made up, in a large part, by Blacks and Hispanics.


33 posted on 06/27/2012 2:24:02 AM PDT by pistolpackinpapa (Why is it that you never see any Obama bumper stickers on cars going to work in the mornings?)
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To: SamAdams76

Yes, if we had Ronald Reagan or Sarah Palin as the candidate, we’d be 20 points ahead
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

As hindsight, YES, my man Ron Reagan, the greatest modern-day President this nation has had, would be up 20 points; as hindsight (I repeat.). But, this time in 1980 Reagan was down about 20 points to Carter. I love Sarah to pieces. I’d vote for her in a heartbeat. But, you’re wrong my friend. The lame-stream media has succeeded in convincing much of America that she is one ditzy broad. I’m just hoping she gets the Department of Energy Post in Romney’s Cabinet.

Not trying to be contentious, but I believe you are wrong on both counts. We would not be up 20 points with Ron or Sarah.


34 posted on 06/27/2012 2:31:21 AM PDT by pistolpackinpapa (Why is it that you never see any Obama bumper stickers on cars going to work in the mornings?)
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To: GlockThe Vote; All

Romneys’ strategy of just laying low and letting obama implode and burn through tons of cash now,.....
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

They said the same thing on FOX last night. Where is Obama spending all that money? Anybody know? They might be laying down one helluva a ground game for Get-Out-The-Vote.


35 posted on 06/27/2012 2:35:37 AM PDT by pistolpackinpapa (Why is it that you never see any Obama bumper stickers on cars going to work in the mornings?)
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To: pistolpackinpapa

His campaign is top heavy and burns through everything they raise. They are panicking since by October they are going to get steamrolled by the super pacs


36 posted on 06/27/2012 3:08:00 AM PDT by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
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To: GlockThe Vote
As Obama runs dry on money in late summer and fall...
A sitting President will never run dry on money. Not even close. He has too many favors he can promise. However, Romney's ability to raise money insures that he will not get overwhelmed by the coming avalanche of negative advertising.
37 posted on 06/27/2012 6:14:48 AM PDT by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds. A pessimist fears this is true.)
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To: Tennessean4Bush

Obama is running a burtn operation right now and many of his donrs are already maxed out.

The demos don’t have the superpac infrastructure set up this cycle and many of the unions are not doing obis bidding like last time.

I think he is in serious trouble and if you look at his recent fundraising pleas, they smack of desperation. He is also admitting that he is going to get outspent.

I could be wrong, but I think mittens is playing possum until September when he will put the peddle to the meddle and swamp obama.


38 posted on 06/27/2012 6:33:02 AM PDT by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
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To: GlockThe Vote
Obama is running a burtn operation right now and many of his donrs are already maxed out. The demos don’t have the superpac infrastructure set up this cycle and many of the unions are not doing obis bidding like last time.
The unions are indeed low on cash. Their membership is cratering and they fought an existential fight in Wisconsin and lost. You are correct that they will be less of a factor this year than last election cycle. The Dems will have plenty of Super PACs and money to spend. I do not buy that at all.
I think he is in serious trouble and if you look at his recent fundraising pleas, they smack of desperation. He is also admitting that he is going to get outspent.
All fundraising pleas smack of desperation. Show me one in the history of fundraising pleas that does not.
I could be wrong, but I think mittens is playing possum until September when he will put the peddle to the meddle and swamp obama.
I think Obama is the one playing possum. Sure has you believing he is dead, LOL! But, I think he is in real trouble, too, but it has nothing to do with how much money he will be able to spend on the election. He has the weight of history and a strong opposing candidate running against him.
39 posted on 06/27/2012 6:59:08 AM PDT by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds. A pessimist fears this is true.)
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To: Gay State Conservative
if it's repeated nationwide the evening of 11/6 could be a very,very long one over in DUmmie Land.

I'll be at an election watch party that night other wise I would check out DU every once in awhile to watch them bleed all over the place.

40 posted on 06/27/2012 8:06:47 AM PDT by painter (Rebuild The America We love!)
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To: BarnacleCenturion

Ras’ most recent poll earlier this month showed a tie of 47-47, and the numbers had already been trending Romney’s way here anyway. WAA may be in line with current thinking. I also liked what their numbers were in the Senate race as well (Allen +9).


41 posted on 06/27/2012 8:54:47 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Buying Drain-O requires photo I.D... yet voting doesn't???)
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To: SamAdams76
Yes, if we had Ronald Reagan or Sarah Palin as the candidate, we'd be 20 points ahead

With Reagan, yes... he'd be rolling along nicely right now. As for Palin... the "media" has damaged her too much to be competitive in a Presidential race. I like her greatly, but the possibility of her winning the White House just isn't there.

42 posted on 06/27/2012 8:58:59 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Buying Drain-O requires photo I.D... yet voting doesn't???)
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To: BarnacleCenturion

If the left media is not producing lots of polls that show Mitts losing or Oshyster winning it probably means they fear Mitts is ahead by a large lead.


43 posted on 06/27/2012 9:24:13 AM PDT by Leep (Enemy of the StatistI)
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To: pistolpackinpapa
Not trying to be contentious, but I believe you are wrong on both counts. We would not be up 20 points with Ron or Sarah.

Understood. You make some good points.

44 posted on 06/27/2012 12:16:41 PM PDT by SamAdams76
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