Here's the way I see it shaping up here:
Obama Hussein took Florida with about 50.3% and that was before he turned the Space Coast into downtown Detroit.
Rubio is Cuban American, not Mexican, and most of those are squarely GOP - they still understand tyranny when they see it.
Rubio is loathed by the dems and squishy with the pubs - no advantage there
As yet, he has no real cred or experience in National affairs.
Florida is not going to be that close IMO, and I do believe that the O campaign has already written it off - sort of like the GOP writes off NJ, which hasn't gone GOP in I don't know how long.
Not a scientifically valid observation, but anecdotal evidence nonetheless:
You don't see those da** Obama stickers and posters everywhere.
Obama has to deliver on his SW strategy of keeping Ohio, Pa, and a few others and flipping the SW and Midwest states that went to McCain to reach 270.
Of course, Arizona is gone to him.
To me, Ohio is the key.
Pa. would be icing but my former wonderful state is like the virgin at the prom - always flirting and promising more but ultimately brushing you off and leaving you frustrated.
Of course, a win in Pa. would destroy the O, so he will pull out all of the stops to get 110% turnout although it will be harder with the GOP now in control there.
Very enlightening and encouraging analysis there. I really appreciate it. Now, from my FWIW Department:
I have little hope of us getting PA. They have not gone for the GOP Candidate for Prez since 1988. I am confident that this time, however, we will take the following States back from Obama that he took in 2008: VA, NC, IA, and IN. And, according to you, I can add FL to that list. Now......
I think we have a chance at Romney’s home State of Michigan and Scott Walker’s home State of Wisconsin. If we get these two and the five mentioned in the above paragraph, I’ll send B. Hussein a Willie Nelson CD of “Turn Out The Lights; The Party’s Over”.