Battle for the White House (Real Clr Pltcs - Obama leads National Poll, Electoral College & Intrade)

Real Clear Politics ^ | 9 Jul 12 | RCP

[xzins]

Election 2012.....Obama....Romney....RCP Average

National Polls.....47.0.....44.4..........Obama +2.6
Electoral College...221......181
Intrade Odds.......56.1.....41.4

Battlegrounds.....Obama...Romney......RCP Average
Ohio..................46.2.....43.6.......Obama +2.6
Virginia..............47.2.....44.8.......Obama +2.4
Florida...............46.7.....45.0.......Obama +1.7
North Carolina........45.3.....47.3......Romney +2.0
Colorado..............47.2.....44.2.......Obama +3.0

[MissesBush]

Real Clear never uses Rasmussen, the most accurate poll in the last 5 elections. Their averages therefore are flawed. Does anyone really believe with the latest employment news and with Romney beating Obama in fundraising by $35 million that Obama’s leading? I don’t. And Rasmussen shows Romney ahead slightly. Not interested in Real Clear’s nonsense.

[GeorgeWashingtonsGhost]

Obama for President? I wonder what a POS president looks like, if Obama is a good president. I guess America does not know about his NUMEROUS impeachable offenses or simply does not care. The indoctrinated youth of yesterday have come of age to vote today. Constitution, WHAT Constitution?

[xzins]

Real Clear Politics has used Rasmussen for years:

For Today you can see Rasmussen clearly listed at:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html

[HiTech RedNeck]

It’s like, as long as the S hasn’t HTF yet, everything’s completely hunkey dorey.

If and when Mitt begins a vigorous self defense from the nonsense being hurled at him by Barack (I know other sources are debunking it, but still it would be nice to see Mitt come to life), I would expect the battle to tilt his way.

[xzins]

IIRC, Obama is leading in every demographic except middle age and senior white guys.

[HiTech RedNeck]

I.e. the people who know better!

[1035rep]

RealClearPolitics includes a lot of junk polls to get their average.

Romney 46%
Obama 45%.

Monday, July 09, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Mitt Romney attracting 46% of the vote, while President Obama earns support from 45%. Five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.

[musicman]

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[Perdogg]

any site that quotes PPP, is doo doo dooo.

[OldGoatCPO]

The RCP average is useless because they average polls that do not utilize the same polling message, data or demographics. One poll may be general population another may be likely voters, another registered voters etc. Pick on pol and follow it, I choose Rasmussen because of their mention of giving a rolling average. Polls are useless until after the Conventions are over, they are a snapshot in time. This poll comes after the 4th holiday when most people are detached, does not reflect dismal job numbers from Friday etc. It will move up and down for the next few months. I will start worrying when Obama is consistently above 50% with Rasmussen in Sep and Oct.

[Positive]

While I too have doubts about the "weighting" and "poll selection" in the averages, I still have an optimistic perspective on these numbers.

I believe the deep blues like California, New York, Massachusetts and Oregon really pad Obamas numbers with their larger samplings due to large population and very large socialist sheeple spreads. Since we have the electoral college, this means the election could actually be one by with a minority of the popular vote...so I still think Romney is now winning and will build that lead.

[GeorgeWashingtonsGhost]

"Ideology, What's THAT?.. He's so dreeeeeeeemy"

[Toespi]

Of course he does. The republicans are getting ready to nominate another loser. The democrats have been setting the stage and creating issues custom designed for Romney for over three years, knowing full well the idiots would nominate him. The smartest guy in the room tried to tell people this, and actually showed people in the debates precisely what was going to happen, but oh no, they didn’t want a negative candidate. How dare a conservative ask questions about an opponents wealth, job creation record, overseas accounts and YIKES! Bain Capital.......played right in to their hands.

[Toespi]

Of course he does. The republicans are getting ready to nominate another loser. The democrats have been setting the stage and creating issues custom designed for Romney for over three years, knowing full well the idiots would nominate him. The smartest guy in the room tried to tell people this, and actually showed people in the debates precisely what was going to happen, but oh no, they didn’t want a negative candidate. How dare a conservative ask questions about an opponents wealth, job creation record, overseas accounts and YIKES! Bain Capital.......played right in to their hands.

[listenhillary]

Awesome! So Holders people and Obama supporters can just hang on to their cash. Obama doesn’t need any campaign workers or cash. He’s doing JUST fine.

[xzins]

I actually agree with that. Does that make me a redneck, too? :>)

[StAnDeliver]

So 8.5% Undecided, of which Mittens will take minimum 80%.

Or would you rather I just post the glass chewer pic? lol...

[Tennessee Nana]

The only way Obama is not going to win in Nov is if the Dems switch him for another nominee in Charotte...

Hows does Hillary grab ya...

of course it depends also on what the GOP-e does in Tampa...

If they do the right thing and dump Willard the Dems might change horses also...

But right now Willie cant beat Obama

Willie couldnt even beat McCain...

or Teddy Kennedy...

Although Willie tried his liberal bestest...

running like a crazy man to the left of Teddy...

[DarthVader]

RCP is a mish-mash of unscientific and scientific computed results. Based on credible sources I would put this race as tied or even with Romney with a slight lead.

These battleground results also do not jibe with the results taken earlier this week. Here is a sample from CNN yet:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2902068/posts