Agree. Reagan won in 1980 with 50.7%. According to Rasmussen, an incumbent's share of the vote on election day is roughly the same as his approval. Zero's approval is currently 46%. 100 minus 46 = 54%.
54% would, by recent standards, amount to a Republican landslide. Even if Gary Johnson and others siphon off a couple of percent, that's still a lot.
I'm just a little concerned that Romney doesn't seem to be spending a lot of the cash he's raised and neither do the Republican super pacs. The Demonrats seem to be firing at will. Granted, they don't seem to be hitting much at this distance.
I hope (and pray) that the Republicans know what they're doing.
I have the feeling that the Romney camp thought the bad economy was going to do their work for them. It still might, but it beggars the imagination that the Romney campaign was not immediately ready to counter Bain-related attacks and did not have several years of tax returns released - and did not have all of Romney's money out of foreign bank accounts years ago.
IMO they got soft due to Romney's overwhelming money advantage in the primary. He doesn't have that now. Now he is against an opponent who will go even lower with the negative attacks than Romney did - and Romney does not seem prepared in advance to counter that.
The Republicans (aka GOP-e) have lost more elections over the last 80 years than they’ve won ~ so, no, they don’t know!