Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Presidential Race Tightens in New Mexico (Obama loses ground)
Public Policy Polling ^ | July 16, 2012

Posted on 07/18/2012 12:55:14 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued

Mitt Romney appears to have closed much of the 14 point gap betweenn himself and President Obama that PPP measured in its last survey in April. Obama now leads by only 5 points in the land of enchantment, 49% to 44%. This comes along with a drastically reduced net approval rating for the president, down to even from a +9 mark 3 months ago. Romney’s favorability has seen a positive shift from an abysmal -22 rating in that survey, and now stands at -9, 41% to 50%.

This change comes in spite of relatively level support for the president among Independents at +9, compared to +11 from the April poll. Instead the movement comes from a drop in the support he receives from within his own party. 21% of Democrats said that they preferred Romney in the presidential race, up from 12% in April.

Obama has also lost ground among both Hispanics and whites. With Hispanics, a group that Obama must win by large margins in several competitive states this year, Obama has gone from a 37 point lead to a 22 point lead.

PPP also examined the race with Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson in the mix. He draws 13% of voters, while reducing Obama’s lead further to +4. While among partisan voters Johnson only takes a significant share of Republicans, he wins 24% of Independents, eliminating the President’s lead with that group.

When the popular Governor Susana Martinez, who garners a +22 approval rating by herself, is included as Romney’s running mate, the race tightens further, with the Republican ticket within one point of the Democrats, 48% to 47%. The Romney-Martinez ticket enjoys the support of 25% of Democrats.

(Excerpt) Read more at publicpolicypolling.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections; US: New Mexico
KEYWORDS: polls
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-31 last
To: Clintonfatigued

If Romney picks off New Mexico, it will probably translate into a 40+ state blowout nationwide.


21 posted on 07/18/2012 5:33:39 PM PDT by SamAdams76
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Clintonfatigued

$100 million in televised lies.Calling Romney a felon...and still behind.

Priceless.


22 posted on 07/18/2012 5:45:13 PM PDT by mandaladon (PalinGenesis)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SamAdams76
"If Romney picks off New Mexico, it will probably translate into a 40+ state blowout nationwide."

Mmmmaybe. But if NM flips, CO follows, and then there's no path to victory for Bobo.

23 posted on 07/18/2012 7:42:28 PM PDT by StAnDeliver (2008 + IN, NC, FL, VA, OH, NV o/r IA = 271EV)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: Clintonfatigued
With Hispanics, a group that Obama must win by large margins in several competitive states this year, Obama has gone from a 37 point lead to a 22 point lead.

That is a very interesting statistic... one that could make a huge difference in NM.

24 posted on 07/19/2012 2:16:59 PM PDT by ScottinVA (Buying Drain-O requires photo I.D... yet voting doesn't???)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Wizdum

So, somebody help me out here. Am I reading this correctly? Gary Johnson takes more votes from Obama than he does Romney? That doesn’t sound right. But, then, he is the former Governor.


25 posted on 07/19/2012 2:31:53 PM PDT by pistolpackinpapa (Why is it that you never see any Obama bumper stickers on cars going to work in the mornings?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Perdogg

That’s why I like Martinez, She would make an impact nationwide.
__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

I think you are correct. After Rubio, she’s my choice.


26 posted on 07/19/2012 2:34:48 PM PDT by pistolpackinpapa (Why is it that you never see any Obama bumper stickers on cars going to work in the mornings?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: pallis; All

bogus registered voters in New Mexico, you get way over 101 percent, and I have it on good authority that they are all Democrat.
_____________________________________________________________

I had friends who voted Republican their entire life, and, after they died, they started voting Democrat.


27 posted on 07/19/2012 2:42:58 PM PDT by pistolpackinpapa (Why is it that you never see any Obama bumper stickers on cars going to work in the mornings?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: pistolpackinpapa
Gary supports legalizing some drugs, pulling out of Iran/Afghan right now, cutting the Federal budget by 50%, line item veto, and a balanced budget.

He'd get rid of 4 or 5 department in the Federal government, cut taxes by 50% and let the states raise taxes for more revenue to offset Federal dollars. Taxes raised in the state, stay in the state.

Gary is out there on some issues, but a lot of what he wants to do appeals more the the liberals than the conservatives. He will take votes away from Oblunder.

28 posted on 07/19/2012 3:16:01 PM PDT by Wizdum (My job is to get you to shoot soda out your nose)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 25 | View Replies]

To: KC_Conspirator
"Thats the party breakdown? You have got to be shi**ing me."

This is a State poll and when polling within a State it is appropriate to use the Demographic mix within that particular State. I do not know what the ratio of registered D/R/I is in NM but if it is that heavily Democrat then the polling may be accurate. Nation polling is done the same way but usually they use the demographic mix from the most recent election. Rasmussen has this at his website: Partisan Trends: Republicans 35.4%, Democrats 34.0%, Unaffiliateds 30.5%

29 posted on 07/19/2012 3:20:51 PM PDT by beenaround
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Wizdum

I kind of would like that for about 4 years, just because of the damage it would do to the entrenched government.


30 posted on 07/19/2012 4:21:53 PM PDT by Jewbacca (The residents of Iroquois territory may not determine whether Jews may live in Jerusalem.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 28 | View Replies]

To: Wizdum; BillyBoy; AuH2ORepublican; Clintonfatigued; GOPsterinMA

I had forgotten that Gary Johnson seems to taking from Baraq and Glove pretty evenly in NM which is excellent.

Looks like it will be play (but if Romney wins it he’s also taking NV and CO so it would be extra).


31 posted on 07/21/2012 4:47:12 AM PDT by Impy (Don't call me red.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-31 last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson