Skip to comments.Obama, Romney in dead heat in presidential race (CBS Poll 47 Mitt/ 46 Obama))
Posted on 07/18/2012 3:43:03 PM PDT by CaptainK
(CBS News) President Obama and Mitt Romney are effectively tied in the race for the presidency, according to a new CBS News/New York Times survey.
Forty-seven percent of registered voters nationwide who lean towards a candidate back Romney, while 46 percent support the president. Four percent are undecided. The one percentage point difference is within the survey's three point margin of error.
Romney leads by eight points among men; the president leads by five points among women.
The president's supporters are more likely to strongly back their candidate. Fifty-two percent strongly favor Mr. Obama, while just 29 percent of Romney voters strongly back the presumptive Republican nominee.
(Excerpt) Read more at cbsnews.com ...
Romney will leap ahead if he picks Rubio as VP.
I’m agreeing with you! He cannot pick Condi or anyone else.
If CBSNEWYORKTIMES says its even, then Romney is up by 5.
Among REAL MEN, Obamugabe trails by 40, and among REAL WOMEN Obamugabe trails by 35.
They had Reagan behind in the polls with carter, Reagan and mondale about even, GWB behind.
If it is even now, romney will win in a landslide.
Exactly, you have to factor in the heavy sampling bias of these liberal networks.
Looks as though all the Bain attacks did were drive up Obama's negatives! BWAHAHA!!
This ain't right. What is it? The Tattooed fat people vote? What? They must be sampling members of African-American Motorcycle Gangs and single white women who own more than 5 cats.
Fake, but accurate. Or should I say, accurately fake.
If a poll shows Romney ahead by one point, you know the reality is he is at least 5 points ahead.
Most of the undecideds go against the incumbent.
They just want you to think it’s a dead heat.
how the hell can this be?
easy. The stupid losers outnumber us 2 to 1. The only reason we stand a chance in the elections is because we vote and they sit home on their worthless fat lazy asses.
I still say barky dumps plugs
Agree Rubio will give the quickest poll bounce.... otherwise this is Cbs and that is not good news for Bambi.... I want to NOT believe all these polls saying it is even as that is what is in the medias best interest actually.... keeps everyone glued to the race....
Since this poll is of RVs and Romney does better with LVs, you’re probably right.
Weighted NYT sample for registered voters splits 26.5%R, 32.6% D, 40.8%
NRO Jim Geraghty tweets: Weighted sample for registered voters splits 26.5% R | 32.6% D | 40.8% I
That’s a hoot! I couldn’t remember how bad the stats were at that time. Thanks for the input and reminding me. I do appreciate it.
46% are waiting for their government check.
He almost is, if you split the 4% Undecided 80/20 under the Incumbent Rule.
Romney’s ahead with registered voters? Wow, then he’s likely several points ahead with likely voters.
Not good for Obama’s campaign, not good at all. Especially after he’s played his best attack on Romney and it basically fizzled.
46% is Obama’s ceiling. Romney should win comfortably as long as he doesn’t blow it.
Americans are ready to throw Obama out. As long as Romney continues to speak in complete sentences, isn’t caught with a dead girl or live boy in his office, and doesn’t call Obama the N-word in one of the debates, he’ll be the next President.
Could not agree more there is very little Romney could do to blow this.
what do you expect with two looser candidates.
wasn’t there a poll a month or so ago, that said only about 17% of each party’s voters liked their party’s candidate choice.....
No, according to the most accepted version here on FR I don't think he is.
Dammit, I STILL say there's a chance that the Mombasa MF ain't gonna be the one for the Dems. "Ill health," "Needs time with the Family," his job, IMHO, is to take a dive and let Hillary consolidate the Socialist Revolution.
He may also succumb to a Trump/Sununu Truth Attack on the BC issue. This identity crisis is nothing new. He was asked off the Illinois Bar for failing to disclose ... denying in fact ... that he had used the Soetoro handle. Of course, he also denied drug use, Traffic Tickets, etc. Strangely enough, there is no BC offered at that time, either.
So maybe the question is, "Who are the Dems going to run in his place, and who for vP?"
“They had Reagan behind in the polls with carter”
True, but that was a different time.
They have a lot of tricks in store for us. And just in case, they’ve lawyered up.
“This poll was conducted by telephone from July 11-16, 2012 among 1,089 adults nationwide”
Poll not even registered voters much less likely voters just adults.
Only as we get closer to the election will the gap start to widen. Then on election eve, the public polls reflect the reality of the situation so that the pollsters can claim that they were accurate and thus preserve their reputations for the future.
wouldn’t a fair poll have 42%Conservative 35%Dems,and 23%Independant/Undecided?
Whenever the Left is losing they call it a dead heat.
I was just thinking the same thing. If it had been 0bama up by one point, the headline would have read “0bama Leads Romney in the Polls”.
He has been on quite a roll since coming out from wherever he's been hiding for the last decade or two. In fact, he's more on fire than I've ever seen him. Let's hope it's because there's never been anyone as criminal as barky to attack and NOT because there's never been someone as RINO-esque as milt to defend. Probably some of both.
No one is going to hit him with the BC issue not even Rush or Levin. It has no traction except with a few diehards on FR.
This election will be decided by a few independents in a few states whose main concern is right track ...wrong track
Not yet. The issue is poison. There are two reasons for that:
(1.) The Media, and
(2.) Us Birthers
The mistake IMHO, is to take the Birth Certificate issue and conflate it into ""Illegitimacy and Ineligibility for office." Like me, we tend toward hysteria and sedsationalist gossip. Even if it's all true, it makes us look silly. No need. We got the SOB if we play it right.
Far better, IMHO, to play this low-key. It's a forgery case. A fraud case. Keep it in Arizona. Take the Mombasa MF off the AZ ballot and let HIM sue. There's more than enough proof for that.
We have a tendency to go from "A," The BC Is a phony; to "Z," The man is the Antichrist. Might well be true. However any good prosecutor will tell you, "Don't 'overcharge' ... make it a slam-dunk and get the perp off the street. "
Sununu is the perfect guy, and so BTW, would be Pat Buchanan to just say: