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Obama, Romney in dead heat in presidential race (CBS Poll 47 Mitt/ 46 Obama))
CBSNEWS.com ^ | 7/18/12 | Brian Montopoli

Posted on 07/18/2012 3:43:03 PM PDT by CaptainK

(CBS News) President Obama and Mitt Romney are effectively tied in the race for the presidency, according to a new CBS News/New York Times survey.

Forty-seven percent of registered voters nationwide who lean towards a candidate back Romney, while 46 percent support the president. Four percent are undecided. The one percentage point difference is within the survey's three point margin of error.

Romney leads by eight points among men; the president leads by five points among women.

The president's supporters are more likely to strongly back their candidate. Fifty-two percent strongly favor Mr. Obama, while just 29 percent of Romney voters strongly back the presumptive Republican nominee.

(Excerpt) Read more at cbsnews.com ...


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; deadheat
Not even a Bain dead cat bounce.
1 posted on 07/18/2012 3:43:13 PM PDT by CaptainK
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To: CaptainK

Romney will leap ahead if he picks Rubio as VP.


2 posted on 07/18/2012 3:44:01 PM PDT by Signalman
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To: Signalman

I’m agreeing with you! He cannot pick Condi or anyone else.


3 posted on 07/18/2012 3:45:47 PM PDT by television is just wrong (Heidi Davenport)
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To: CaptainK

If CBSNEWYORKTIMES says its even, then Romney is up by 5.


4 posted on 07/18/2012 3:45:56 PM PDT by fhayek
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To: CaptainK
Romney leads by eight points among men; the president leads by five points among women...

Among REAL MEN, Obamugabe trails by 40, and among REAL WOMEN Obamugabe trails by 35.

5 posted on 07/18/2012 3:46:38 PM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: CaptainK

They had Reagan behind in the polls with carter, Reagan and mondale about even, GWB behind.

If it is even now, romney will win in a landslide.

Blessings, Bobo


6 posted on 07/18/2012 3:47:15 PM PDT by bobo1
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To: fhayek

Exactly, you have to factor in the heavy sampling bias of these liberal networks.


7 posted on 07/18/2012 3:47:52 PM PDT by Starboard
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To: CaptainK
Both candidates have net unfavorable ratings. Forty-eight percent of registered voters view the president unfavorably, while 36 percent view him favorably. Romney is viewed unfavorably by 36 percent and favorably by 32 percent. Nearly one in three say they do not yet have an opinion about the presumptive Republican nominee.

Looks as though all the Bain attacks did were drive up Obama's negatives! BWAHAHA!!

8 posted on 07/18/2012 3:49:26 PM PDT by hcmama
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To: CaptainK
Cap, how the hell can this be? Half the voters in the country would go with a jive-ass community organizer from where? Again?

This ain't right. What is it? The Tattooed fat people vote? What? They must be sampling members of African-American Motorcycle Gangs and single white women who own more than 5 cats.

9 posted on 07/18/2012 3:52:19 PM PDT by Kenny Bunk (So, Scalia, Alito, Thomas, and FU Roberts can't figure out if Obama is a Natural Born Citizen?)
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To: CaptainK

“CBS Poll”

Fake, but accurate. Or should I say, accurately fake.


10 posted on 07/18/2012 3:53:36 PM PDT by This Just In
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To: CaptainK

If a poll shows Romney ahead by one point, you know the reality is he is at least 5 points ahead.


11 posted on 07/18/2012 3:53:56 PM PDT by mamelukesabre
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To: bobo1
Reagan and mondale about even,

And THAT was a close one!

Photobucket

12 posted on 07/18/2012 3:54:22 PM PDT by EGPWS (Trust in God, question everyone else)
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To: CaptainK

Most of the undecideds go against the incumbent.


13 posted on 07/18/2012 3:56:04 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Government is the religion of the sociopath.)
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To: CaptainK

They just want you to think it’s a dead heat.


14 posted on 07/18/2012 3:56:15 PM PDT by smokingfrog ( sleep with one eye open (<o> ---)
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To: Kenny Bunk

how the hell can this be?
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

easy. The stupid losers outnumber us 2 to 1. The only reason we stand a chance in the elections is because we vote and they sit home on their worthless fat lazy asses.


15 posted on 07/18/2012 3:57:58 PM PDT by mamelukesabre
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To: CaptainK

I still say barky dumps plugs


16 posted on 07/18/2012 3:59:48 PM PDT by rhinohunter (DraftWalkerNow)
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To: Signalman

Agree Rubio will give the quickest poll bounce.... otherwise this is Cbs and that is not good news for Bambi.... I want to NOT believe all these polls saying it is even as that is what is in the medias best interest actually.... keeps everyone glued to the race....


17 posted on 07/18/2012 4:00:54 PM PDT by Republic Rocker
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To: fhayek

Since this poll is of RVs and Romney does better with LVs, you’re probably right.


18 posted on 07/18/2012 4:05:50 PM PDT by Lou Budvis
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To: CaptainK

Weighted NYT sample for registered voters splits 26.5%R, 32.6% D, 40.8%


19 posted on 07/18/2012 4:07:53 PM PDT by italianquaker ( Mr Obama inherited an AAA rating and made it AA, thnx Resident Zero)
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To: CaptainK

NRO Jim Geraghty tweets: Weighted sample for registered voters splits 26.5% R | 32.6% D | 40.8% I


20 posted on 07/18/2012 4:09:35 PM PDT by Califelephant
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To: CaptainK
Registered voters.How about “likely voters” in the dozen or so battlegound states?
21 posted on 07/18/2012 4:09:35 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Poor Barak.If He's Reelected,Think Of The Mess He'll Inherit!)
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To: EGPWS

That’s a hoot! I couldn’t remember how bad the stats were at that time. Thanks for the input and reminding me. I do appreciate it.

Blessings, Bobo


22 posted on 07/18/2012 4:17:08 PM PDT by bobo1
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To: CaptainK

46% are waiting for their government check.


23 posted on 07/18/2012 4:17:22 PM PDT by Huskrrrr
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To: fhayek
"If CBSNEWYORKTIMES says its even, then Romney is up by 5."

He almost is, if you split the 4% Undecided 80/20 under the Incumbent Rule.

24 posted on 07/18/2012 4:23:42 PM PDT by StAnDeliver (2008 + IN, NC, FL, VA, OH, NV o/r IA = 271EV)
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To: CaptainK

Romney’s ahead with registered voters? Wow, then he’s likely several points ahead with likely voters.

Not good for Obama’s campaign, not good at all. Especially after he’s played his best attack on Romney and it basically fizzled.


25 posted on 07/18/2012 4:23:54 PM PDT by WildWeasel
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To: CaptainK

46% is Obama’s ceiling. Romney should win comfortably as long as he doesn’t blow it.

Americans are ready to throw Obama out. As long as Romney continues to speak in complete sentences, isn’t caught with a dead girl or live boy in his office, and doesn’t call Obama the N-word in one of the debates, he’ll be the next President.


26 posted on 07/18/2012 4:28:30 PM PDT by Retired Greyhound (.)
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To: Retired Greyhound

Could not agree more there is very little Romney could do to blow this.


27 posted on 07/18/2012 4:31:50 PM PDT by vicar7 ("Polls are for strippers and cross-country skiers" Sarah Palin)
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To: CaptainK

what do you expect with two looser candidates.

wasn’t there a poll a month or so ago, that said only about 17% of each party’s voters liked their party’s candidate choice.....


28 posted on 07/18/2012 4:32:34 PM PDT by fred42 ("Get your facts first, then you can distort 'em as much as you need." - Mark Twain)
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To: Republic Rocker
Is Rubio Constitutionally eligible for VPOTUS? Is there some way I can call up the FR GODS OF NATURAL BIRTH and have them explain Jui Solaris or whatever again.

LMAO

No, according to the most accepted version here on FR I don't think he is.

29 posted on 07/18/2012 4:40:12 PM PDT by Jack Black ( Whatever is left of American patriotism is now identical with counter-revolution.)
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To: rhinohunter
Plugs is going to be put out to pasture, for sure. He's just too silly to continue.

Dammit, I STILL say there's a chance that the Mombasa MF ain't gonna be the one for the Dems. "Ill health," "Needs time with the Family," his job, IMHO, is to take a dive and let Hillary consolidate the Socialist Revolution.

He may also succumb to a Trump/Sununu Truth Attack on the BC issue. This identity crisis is nothing new. He was asked off the Illinois Bar for failing to disclose ... denying in fact ... that he had used the Soetoro handle. Of course, he also denied drug use, Traffic Tickets, etc. Strangely enough, there is no BC offered at that time, either.

So maybe the question is, "Who are the Dems going to run in his place, and who for vP?"

30 posted on 07/18/2012 4:40:31 PM PDT by Kenny Bunk (So, Scalia, Alito, Thomas, and FU Roberts can't figure out if Obama is a Natural Born Citizen?)
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To: bobo1

“They had Reagan behind in the polls with carter”

True, but that was a different time.

They have a lot of tricks in store for us. And just in case, they’ve lawyered up.


31 posted on 07/18/2012 4:42:44 PM PDT by Heart of Georgia (It's not a penalty - it's obamaTAX. Make him own it.)
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To: Retired Greyhound
"and doesn’t call Obama the N-word in one of the debates, he’ll be the next President."

That's funny!

32 posted on 07/18/2012 4:43:18 PM PDT by Jack Black ( Whatever is left of American patriotism is now identical with counter-revolution.)
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To: CaptainK

“This poll was conducted by telephone from July 11-16, 2012 among 1,089 adults nationwide”

Poll not even registered voters much less likely voters just adults.


33 posted on 07/18/2012 4:46:13 PM PDT by kcvl
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To: CaptainK
When the Republican is the challenger and ahead in the internal polls (the only polls that matter because candidates pay big bucks to have access to them), the media narrative is always of the "dead-heat" "horse-race" variety when we are still months away from the actual election.

Only as we get closer to the election will the gap start to widen. Then on election eve, the public polls reflect the reality of the situation so that the pollsters can claim that they were accurate and thus preserve their reputations for the future.

34 posted on 07/18/2012 4:50:10 PM PDT by SamAdams76
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To: CaptainK

wouldn’t a fair poll have 42%Conservative 35%Dems,and 23%Independant/Undecided?


35 posted on 07/18/2012 5:03:46 PM PDT by Reality_News
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To: CaptainK

Whenever the Left is losing they call it a dead heat.


36 posted on 07/18/2012 5:40:11 PM PDT by freekitty (Give me back my conservative vote; then find me a real conservative to vote for)
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To: freekitty

I was just thinking the same thing. If it had been 0bama up by one point, the headline would have read “0bama Leads Romney in the Polls”.


37 posted on 07/18/2012 5:58:30 PM PDT by FrdmLvr (culture, language, borders)
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To: FrdmLvr

Yep.


38 posted on 07/18/2012 6:37:21 PM PDT by freekitty (Give me back my conservative vote; then find me a real conservative to vote for)
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To: Kenny Bunk
Is Sununu hitting the BC issue?

He has been on quite a roll since coming out from wherever he's been hiding for the last decade or two. In fact, he's more on fire than I've ever seen him. Let's hope it's because there's never been anyone as criminal as barky to attack and NOT because there's never been someone as RINO-esque as milt to defend. Probably some of both.

39 posted on 07/19/2012 3:47:59 PM PDT by rhinohunter (DraftWalkerNow)
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To: rhinohunter

No one is going to hit him with the BC issue not even Rush or Levin. It has no traction except with a few diehards on FR.

This election will be decided by a few independents in a few states whose main concern is right track ...wrong track


40 posted on 07/19/2012 4:07:50 PM PDT by Blackirish
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To: rhinohunter
Sununu hitting the BC Issue

Not yet. The issue is poison. There are two reasons for that:

(1.) The Media, and
(2.) Us Birthers

The mistake IMHO, is to take the Birth Certificate issue and conflate it into ""Illegitimacy and Ineligibility for office." Like me, we tend toward hysteria and sedsationalist gossip. Even if it's all true, it makes us look silly. No need. We got the SOB if we play it right.

Far better, IMHO, to play this low-key. It's a forgery case. A fraud case. Keep it in Arizona. Take the Mombasa MF off the AZ ballot and let HIM sue. There's more than enough proof for that.

We have a tendency to go from "A," The BC Is a phony; to "Z," The man is the Antichrist. Might well be true. However any good prosecutor will tell you, "Don't 'overcharge' ... make it a slam-dunk and get the perp off the street. "

Sununu is the perfect guy, and so BTW, would be Pat Buchanan to just say:

"Look, I don't know a damn thing about "Constitutional Eligibility"
Ask a Supreme Cour Justice. .
I do know that what President Obama got from Hawaii
Is NOT what he showed the American Public on his website. Why?"

41 posted on 07/19/2012 4:15:26 PM PDT by Kenny Bunk (So, Scalia, Alito, Thomas, and FU Roberts can't figure out if Obama is a Natural Born Citizen?)
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