[LibLieSlayer]

Rasmussen has published his methodology... what methodology have you used to arrive at your conclusion?. Just so that we may compare his science to yours.

The truth is that too many of you actually believe that this election is going to be a blowout... it will be razor thin and it is razor thin at this time.

LLS

[StAnDeliver]

"Rasmussen has published his methodology... what methodology have you used to arrive at your conclusion?. Just so that we may compare his science to yours. The truth is that too many of you actually believe that this election is going to be a blowout... it will be razor thin and it is razor thin at this time."

What's your methodology for this?

You don't need MI to have a blowout. Baseline below merely yields the win. Add NH, WI, CO, NM, NV and IA and you're +300EV. All attainable wins resulting in a blowout.

[Internet Walnut]

We’ll just have to see in November.

[Road Glide]

“The truth is that too many of you actually believe that this election is going to be a blowout... it will be razor thin and it is razor thin at this time.”

Good call.

I made some comments about this in another thread yesterday:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2909469/posts?page=46#46

One doesn’t need to be a pessimist to comprehend that Romney has an uphill fight to win Michigan, which has become a “reliable blue” state.

If Obama is truly at about 48% to Romney’s 45%, that leaves 7% between them. Assuming the “undecided” 7% breaks 2-to-1 for Romney, that gives Obama an additional 2.3%.

Perhaps something yet, an “unknown unknown” (to borrow a phrase from Donald Rumsfeld) will shake up the electorate and re-roll the dice. But unless that happens, it looks like Mr. Romney may “get close” in Michigan, but miss the cigar...

[Road Glide]

“The truth is that too many of you actually believe that this election is going to be a blowout... it will be razor thin and it is razor thin at this time.”

Good call.

I made some comments about this in another thread yesterday:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2909469/posts?page=46#46

One doesn’t need to be a pessimist to comprehend that Romney has an uphill fight to win Michigan, which has become a “reliable blue” state.

If Obama is truly at about 48% to Romney’s 45%, that leaves 7% between them. Assuming the “undecided” 7% breaks 2-to-1 for Romney, that gives Obama an additional 2.3%.

Perhaps something yet, an “unknown unknown” (to borrow a phrase from Donald Rumsfeld) will shake up the electorate and re-roll the dice. But unless that happens, it looks like Mr. Romney may “get close” in Michigan, but miss the cigar...