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Obama’s Ratings Dive
Dick Morris.com ^ | July 24h,2012 | Dick Morris

Posted on 07/24/2012 4:02:29 PM PDT by Hojczyk

His personal favorability, once a strong point for Obama, has vanished and is now being replaced by a personal dislike that is dragging him down.

These data, buried deep in the latest NY Times/CBS poll (of registered voters, not likely voters) are both stark and important. In April, Obama had a 42-45 favorable/unfavorable rating, itself a shock given his vastly higher favorable ratings only a few months before. Now, he has a favorable rating of only 36% and an unfavorable rating of 48%.

The NY Times poll showed Romney getting 47% of the vote compared to 46% for Obama (again, this poll is of registered voters, likely voter polls are more pro-Romney). So that means that one-quarter of Obama’s voters do not give him a favorable rating – a danger sign for the president.

What is most notable about this statistic is that it is not due primarily to the bad economy. While the Times poll showed that the percent of voters who feel he is doing a good job in handling the economy has dropped to 36%, Obama’s ratings in this category have been low for some time. The drop in favorability is new.

Rather the cause of his decreased likeability is his negative campaigning, both in person and on the air. He is now no longer the sunny, optimistic, friendly person he portrayed himself as being in 2008. Instead, a nasty, surly, angry image has taken over.

This change is at the heart of Obama’s dilemma. The more he goes negative, the more he hurts himself in the process and undermines the reservoir to good will that has sustained him through tough economic times.

As recently as one year ago, Obama’s personal favorability was ten points above his vote share in most polls. Now it is ten points below it presaging further a likely further drop in his poll number


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Culture/Society; Front Page News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; bho44; bhojobapproval; dickmorris; dive; favorability; favorable; obama; obamas; ratings
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1 posted on 07/24/2012 4:02:34 PM PDT by Hojczyk
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To: Hojczyk

The toe sucker can read the tea leaves.


2 posted on 07/24/2012 4:07:12 PM PDT by sam_paine (X .................................)
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To: Hojczyk

but but but, “if you love me”


3 posted on 07/24/2012 4:07:15 PM PDT by Doogle ((USAF.68-73..8th TFW Ubon Thailand..never store a threat you should have eliminated))
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To: Hojczyk

Romney needs to hire the people that did this great ad for Scott Brown:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oqDIjGsBEP8


4 posted on 07/24/2012 4:07:58 PM PDT by isthisnickcool (Sharia? No thanks!)
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To: Hojczyk

Well...I know there is a huge “Dick Morris is always wrong” echo chamber here. But...it does seem, regardless of the source, that IF obama’s personal favoribility’s have in fact actually dropped by like 15 points, then, this is significant.

His favorability’s were always expected by the left to pull his approval numbers up, over the 50% mark. “I don’t approve of his job as President, but he’s such a nice guy...so...I’ll go ahead and vote for him...and who likes Romney anyways?”

that was supposed to be the logic that would put him over the top.

Now...if it is true that the favorables are under the approvals...then, if the favorables are sort of a magnet, then they will actually pull them down. So he drops from like 47, down to like 43, which starts to look like an electoral landslide.

We shall see. But this date, IF TRUE, is significant.


5 posted on 07/24/2012 4:10:04 PM PDT by ConservativeDude
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To: isthisnickcool

Agree that is a good ad, it painted the One in a bad light.


6 posted on 07/24/2012 4:11:08 PM PDT by junta ("Peace is a racket", testimony from crime boss Barrack Hussein Obama.)
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To: isthisnickcool

Yes that ad is great, someone should post the story and link but I’m always afraid it’s been posted already.


7 posted on 07/24/2012 4:11:58 PM PDT by Williams (No Obama)
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To: ConservativeDude

Obama doesn’t wear well—even many who supported the “historic” president—have grown tired of his speeches and talk. they see him as disconnected—too much fundraising and golf —— A weak president unable to handle things. These are Democrats too.


8 posted on 07/24/2012 4:13:09 PM PDT by Forward the Light Brigade (Into the Jaws of H*ll)
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To: sam_paine

You got a problem with toe suckers?


9 posted on 07/24/2012 4:15:10 PM PDT by OKSooner (Never take a "known safety risk" shooting with you even if he is an ordained minister.)
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To: Hojczyk

Some one needs to post the Obama/Joker poster to the angry snarly side of him...


10 posted on 07/24/2012 4:15:29 PM PDT by shotgun
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To: Forward the Light Brigade

Yea, and those are his good points!


11 posted on 07/24/2012 4:15:48 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: Forward the Light Brigade

I think you are right.

And I think Romney is doing “ok”. Not great, but ok. Some days are better than others. All in all, probably a B. And a B might well get him past obama! (And there’s still plenty of time in the fall for him to get into “A” territory!)


12 posted on 07/24/2012 4:15:55 PM PDT by ConservativeDude
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To: Williams
Yes that ad is great, someone should post the story and link but I’m always afraid it’s been posted already.

Yes, and no matter how great the story, or how important that it be seen by one of Romney's minions, there is NO WAY IN HE!! that the Thread Police are going to allow a story to be reposted to FR.

13 posted on 07/24/2012 4:19:15 PM PDT by sportutegrl
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To: Hojczyk
His personal favorability, once a strong point for Obama, has vanished and is now being replaced by a personal dislike that is dragging him down.

When your policies SUCK and try to drag America down a hole so deep it will take generations to crawl out of, you better believe people don't personally "like" you.

And the 36% who favor you are delusional nutcases or don't know any better!

14 posted on 07/24/2012 4:20:06 PM PDT by sirchtruth (Freedom is not free.)
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To: Hojczyk

I cannot image why it took this long. He has ALWAYS left me with the impression that he is nothing but a smart-a$$ punk.


15 posted on 07/24/2012 4:22:23 PM PDT by RatRipper (Obama, YOU LIE!!! . . .again and again and again and again, ad infinitum. . . .)
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To: Hojczyk

Obama: “l love you back”


16 posted on 07/24/2012 4:26:37 PM PDT by jersey117
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To: Hojczyk

The fact that Obama retains a thirty-six percent favorability rating speaks volumes about both the (lack of) intelligence and the (absence of) integrity of the American people.


17 posted on 07/24/2012 4:28:26 PM PDT by Jack Hammer
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To: shotgun

18 posted on 07/24/2012 4:28:55 PM PDT by Doogle ((USAF.68-73..8th TFW Ubon Thailand..never store a threat you should have eliminated))
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To: OKSooner

Oh God, what part of Okie are ya at so I can avoid it, Caunte?

Just kidding. couldn’t help it.


19 posted on 07/24/2012 4:31:26 PM PDT by Joe Boucher ((FUBO) Hey Mitt, F-you too pal)
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To: OKSooner

I wouldn’t have drawn any attention to it, but it is his preferred nomenclature, Donny.


20 posted on 07/24/2012 4:33:42 PM PDT by sam_paine (X .................................)
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To: OKSooner

I wouldn’t have drawn any attention to it, but it is his preferred nomenclature, Donny.


21 posted on 07/24/2012 4:33:42 PM PDT by sam_paine (X .................................)
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To: Forward the Light Brigade

Obama doesn’t wear well—even many who supported the “historic” president—have grown tired of his speeches and talk. they see him as disconnected—too much fundraising and golf —— A weak president unable to handle things. These are Democrats too.


In the way he is constantly on TV, he is just like Clinton. It seemed like he was on the tube Every Single Day!

Under George Bush it was like a breath of sunshine, he was hardly ever on TV.


22 posted on 07/24/2012 4:39:21 PM PDT by The Working Man
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To: sam_paine

So, if you are one of those folks who say you intend to vote for the President but you also say you have an unfavorable view of him, just how likely is it that you will drag yourself to a polling booth on Election Day? With fewer and fewer uncommitted voters, it seems that the key to success is to motivate those who are committed to you to actually vote. Enthusiasm on the conservative side has been said by Rasmussen to be “stratospheric.” If that enthusiasm persists to Election Day, it will be hard for a President with favorability ratings in the thirties to overcome it.


23 posted on 07/24/2012 4:43:46 PM PDT by p. henry
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To: Hojczyk

Obama’s problem is that he’s running in 2012 as a surly black man who is in over his head and clearly incompetent. No amount of window-dressing is going to change that perception.


24 posted on 07/24/2012 4:57:12 PM PDT by Alberta's Child ("If you touch my junk, I'm gonna have you arrested.")
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To: Alberta's Child

Agreed


25 posted on 07/24/2012 5:01:40 PM PDT by 1035rep
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To: p. henry

I think otherwise reasonable older and/or white people who consider themselves progressive, but not leftist are starting to wake up.

Whether gun owners or not, older people still think of guns first as mere tools, not murder weapons. Like they think of hoes, axes, baseball bats, propane tanks, cars etc...all tools...not something that immediately conjures murder.

When they see Obama personally come out and denounce Zimmerman’s self defense, it brings back all the previous times they gave him the benefit of the doubt (Princeton cops “acting stupidly.”)

When they see Obama personally mock how successful people “think they’re so smart,” I think they internalize that as a personal insult.

Perhaps that 40% approval rating through thick-and-thin that has seemed so perplexing in the face of all his failure is a house of cards and will collapse precipitously to reality.


26 posted on 07/24/2012 5:02:58 PM PDT by sam_paine (X .................................)
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To: isthisnickcool

OMG! Damn GOOD ad!! ROMMEY are you listening!!


27 posted on 07/24/2012 5:11:47 PM PDT by RoseofTexas
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To: Alberta's Child; All

I find myself wishing that Dick Morris would prattle on about how OBlammer’s harsh attacks are working, and that he should “kick it up a notch”.

We don’t want to give that cast of quislings any hints, do we?


28 posted on 07/24/2012 5:13:51 PM PDT by jacquej
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To: ConservativeDude
The Øbama camp can read the tea leaves, too. They know that his favorability is tanking. That's why there'll be a scorched earth policy ... ref Stephanie Cutter, et al ... in order to increase Romney's unfavorability.

Øbama will spew forth a negative campaign to dwarf all previous negative campaigns.

29 posted on 07/24/2012 5:20:40 PM PDT by mellow velo (Oxymorons: jumbo shrimp, rap music, liberal think-tank)
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To: RatRipper

“I cannot image why it took this long.”

One word: media


30 posted on 07/24/2012 5:21:19 PM PDT by Rennes Templar
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To: Hojczyk

Hope and Change is Malaise and Bankruptcy. Idolatry of a corrupt charlatan comes home to roost.


31 posted on 07/24/2012 5:26:46 PM PDT by VRWC For Truth (Roberts has perverted the Constitution)
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To: isthisnickcool
Romney needs to hire the people that did this great ad for Scott Brown:

One of the best particularly in this region of the country.

I also think this is part of Romney's strategy. Don't go tit for tat with Obama in a negative way just yet. Obama's persona pulls him down further the more negative he gets.

The more negative Obama gets the more desperate he appears.

I think Romney is keeping his powder dry and he'll unleash post convention with a string of primarily optimistic, Reaganesque ads under his name, while the SuperPACs rip deeply into Obama in ways Romney isn't - "Swift-boat" style.

FReegards!


32 posted on 07/24/2012 5:28:50 PM PDT by Agamemnon (Darwinism is the glue that holds liberalism together)
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To: The Working Man
In the way he is constantly on TV, he is just like Clinton. It seemed like he was on the tube Every Single Day!

The difference is that, as much as I didn't care for der Schlickmeister, he did come off as a likeable good ole boy. Commissar Zero doesn't have that ability.

33 posted on 07/24/2012 5:32:51 PM PDT by Marathoner (Palin/West 2012. Yes, I'm dreaming but as Pete said to Rudy, "Dreams are what make life tolerable.")
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To: mellow velo

I want someone smarter than me to explain: IF going negative is starting to bring his favorability down, how then, would they even consider going “scorched earth???”


34 posted on 07/24/2012 5:36:21 PM PDT by Minnesota fox
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To: Marathoner
The difference is that, as much as I didn't care for der Schlickmeister, he did come off as a likeable good ole boy. Commissar Zero doesn't have that ability.

He was not a likable good ol boy to me...he came off as a grand conman in the American tradition. But at least he came off as an American. Obama comes off as a foreign entity. With little of the American experience living out in lala land Hawaii and 3rd world Muslim Indonesia. Even his blackness is fake, derived from a Kenyan who was just passing through. At least Bill Clinton was in the boy scouts and managed to shake JFK's hand in a well known photo. Plus he had a political hack uncle who mentored him.

35 posted on 07/24/2012 4:02:52 PM PDT by dennisw
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To: Minnesota fox
I want someone smarter than me to explain: IF going negative is starting to bring his favorability down, how then, would they even consider going “scorched earth???

What other option(s) do they have left? What is better post-Obama? I can't think of anything. Can you?
36 posted on 07/24/2012 4:07:55 PM PDT by BJ1
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To: All

37 posted on 07/24/2012 4:19:31 PM PDT by Hotlanta Mike (Resurrect the House Committee on Un-American Activities (HUAC)...before there is no America!)
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To: Agamemnon
I think Romney is keeping his powder dry and he'll unleash post convention with a string of primarily optimistic, Reaganesque ads under his name, while the SuperPACs rip deeply into Obama in ways Romney isn't

I agree, in fact I think the Romney campaign is going to start DURING the Olympics pointing out what he did for the Winter Games a few years ago. Positive adds on his experience and the results of that experience.

I would like Agamemnon suggests.....like to see Romney keep on the mostly high road and let the Super PAC's go after Obama and shred him to pieces. That Scott Brown add is indeed perfect for the North East, kinda hard to complain when most of the Presidents speaking or quoted were Democrats.

I wonder if Romney can do a version of Reagan's "Morning in America" but flip it 180degrees to "Midnight in America" and then start rattling off the how messed up we are, Economically and otherwise and then finish with "We can fix this, let me help you"

38 posted on 07/24/2012 4:36:28 PM PDT by TheShaz
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To: TheShaz

I agree, in fact I think the Romney campaign is going to start DURING the Olympics pointing out what he did for the Winter Games a few years ago.


Good pick up. Never even occurred to me. The Olympics!


39 posted on 07/24/2012 5:01:53 PM PDT by Leep (Enemy of the Statist)
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To: Hojczyk

Can anyone explain the new NBC News/WSJ poll showing Obama 49%-Romney 43%? That’s the highest I’ve seen for Obama in a while.


40 posted on 07/24/2012 5:14:17 PM PDT by Atlantan
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To: Atlantan

In 1980 Reagan was behind until the Sunday before the election....they rigged the polls till then and gave up on Sunday so they would not look like fools...


41 posted on 07/24/2012 5:24:00 PM PDT by Hojczyk
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To: isthisnickcool

That’s a good ad, very damn good with Odumbo’s stupid remark imbedded inside as well.

They should have used his idiotic “you did not build that..” at the first 30 seconds for quick and immediate impact.


42 posted on 07/24/2012 5:43:16 PM PDT by max americana (Make the world a better place by punching a liberal in the face)
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To: Atlantan

It’s a D+11 sample.

Seriously.

http://hotair.com/archives/2012/07/24/whos-up-for-a-new-nbcwsj-poll-based-on-a-bad-sample/


43 posted on 07/24/2012 5:46:28 PM PDT by Random_User_250
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To: isthisnickcool

Scott Brown ad BUMP


44 posted on 07/24/2012 5:49:16 PM PDT by newfreep (Breitbart sent me...)
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To: Hojczyk
Obama's Rating dive
45 posted on 07/24/2012 6:15:17 PM PDT by lbryce (BHO-"Now, I am become Death, the Destroyer of Worlds" by way of Oppenheimer at Trinity, NM)
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To: Random_User_250
Also consider that when Obama won big four years ago, the vote sample was just D+7. NBC apparently would have us believe that Democrats will be even more enthusiastic to vote for Obama this time around.
46 posted on 07/24/2012 6:23:20 PM PDT by Random_User_250
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To: Agamemnon
That's a fine analysis.

"The more negative Obama gets the more desperate he appears."

I would add that it also forces him to spend lots more campaign cash as well, in an environment where his war chest ran a deficit for the month of June. . .

47 posted on 07/24/2012 6:36:03 PM PDT by Flotsam_Jetsome (If America were a car, the "Check President" light would be on.)
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To: Jack Hammer
The fact that Obama retains a thirty-six percent favorability rating speaks volumes about both the (lack of) intelligence and the (absence of) integrity of the American people.

Well, ok. Expressed conversely, Obama now has a 64% un-favorability rating, which speaks volumes about the intelligence and integrity of the American people.

I think it's a 'cup half full - half empty' sort of thing. All depends on which way you want to look at it.

48 posted on 07/24/2012 8:37:35 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: Hojczyk

Just because I WANT this to be true does not mean it is false.


49 posted on 07/24/2012 8:39:17 PM PDT by arrogantsob (Obama must Go. Sarah herself supports Romney.)
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To: Marathoner
The difference is that, as much as I didn't care for der Schlickmeister, he did come off as a likeable good ole boy. Commissar Zero doesn't have that ability.

BINGO.

Just listen to the guy. He's petulant, arrogant, petty, juvenile, and weirdly combative. He doesn't sound anything like a president. What comes out of his mouth most days, sounds like something you'd expect from a typical OWSer on a college campus.

How many adults living in the real world can relate to, or find that attractive? Precisely none, because the man's projecting to the lowest common denominator: the gimme class.

At least Clinton maintained a semblance of dignity in the way he spoke to the American people on most occasions. He at least tried to convince us that he was everyone's president, which wasn't true, of course, but not altogether insulting.

Obama, on the other hand, doesn't have the capacity to even feign affinity for the other side. He honestly despises us, and it comes across in everything he says and does. It's a challenge that breeds contempt and animosity towards him, from a very large segment of the public.

Frankly, the many doesn't have what it takes to win. It's was never in him to begin with. To paraphrase; Obama didn't win the last election. Somebody else won that for him.

50 posted on 07/24/2012 9:06:03 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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