Posted on 07/26/2012 1:57:06 PM PDT by BushMeister
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows Mitt Romney attracting 48% of the vote, while President Obama earns support from 44%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.
Thirty percent (30%) believe the United States is generally heading in the right direction.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
I still can’t believe that 44% of the American public favor 0bama. Have we really become that stupid?
Don’t answer...it was a rhetorical question.
>> Have we really become that stupid?
We’ve become that attached to the government teat.
For example, I would count myself as one of those preferring another candidate but I'm voting for Romney and so will most of the others who are either undecided or preferring another candidate.
I still can’t believe that 44% of the American public favor 0bama. Have we really become that stupid?
Rasmussen has shown Romney up by a few points pretty consistently for a while now. Unless there’s something wrong with his methods the only way Obama can win is some October surprise revelation about Romney which they may be planning. Maybe his tax returns.
During Election 2008, Rasmussen Reports projected that Barack Obama would defeat John McCain by a 52% to 46% margin. Obama was 53% to 46%. In 2004, Rasmussen Reports was the only firm to project the vote totals for both candidates within half a percentage point.
I think Rasmussen is using a turnout model that reflects 2010 turnout.
Most of the other polls are using the 2008 models, dems +7 turnout, some are going larger for the dems. Ras is using a likely voter turnout and others are using either registered voters or adults which tend to skew to the rats.
Meanwhile the generic is +3 pub among likely voters.
It's a wide spread epidemic called "Stashaholism" and so far there is only one cure and it's called....COLD TURKEY!
It still comes down to the states, and to voter turnout. I think that Romney could drive conservative turnout by hammering Obama on recent abuses of power (amnesty, war on Libya, not supporting DOMA, not enforcing immigration laws or cooperating with Arizona, UN gun treaty, LOST, etc.). I’d also love to see Romney or his VP selection in front of a huge video screen showing actual pages from the Obamacare bill (new name: The Totalitarian Health Control Act) showing how the taxes, death panels and government intrusion will wreck our economy and further erode out freedoms.
The “You didn’t build that” effect.
The Tea Party has shown it is a force to be reckoned with. Romney absolutely needs to select a VP who the Tea Party likes. They will go all out to support him. It could be a deciding factor in the election IMHO.
We the electorate haven’t seen his VEEP choice yet; we haven’t heard his convention speech yet; we haven’t been hit by his massive media buys. Yet he is probably ahead. I believe the Gipper was behind at this point in 1980. Romney is not the Gipper but given the state of the economy, the restlessness of the electorate, and Obama’s incompetance, Romney stands a better than even chance of victory.
Of those 44% zombies, how many actually are going to cast a vote?
I think Rasmussen is using a turnout model that reflects 2010 turnout.I think Rasmussen actually has a turnout model built into his likely voter filter. It is fairly sophisticated, but it has been since 2004 that I studied it, so I could be wrong or he could have changed it.
“Of those 44% zombies, how many actually are going to cast a vote?”
All of the dead ones.
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