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In the long run, is the GOP dead?
humanevents.com/ ^ | July 27 2012 | Patrick J. Buchanan

Posted on 07/27/2012 6:41:57 PM PDT by NoLibZone

Since 1928, only Dwight Eisenhower and George W. Bush have won the presidency while capturing both houses of Congress for the GOP.

In his 49-state landslide, Richard Nixon failed to take either House. In his two landslides, Ronald Reagan won back only the Senate. Yet Mitt Romney is even money to pull off the hat trick.

With this hopeful prospect, why the near despair among so many Republicans about the long term?

In his New York Times report, “In California, GOP Fights Steep Decline,” Adam Nagourney delves into the reasons.

In the Golden Land, a state Nixon carried all five times he was on a national ticket and Reagan carried by landslides all four times he ran, the GOP does not hold a single statewide office. It gained not a single House seat in the 2010 landslide. Party registration has fallen to 30 percent of the California electorate and is steadily sinking.

Why? It is said that California Republicans are too out of touch, too socially conservative on issues like right-to-life and gay rights. “When you look at the population growth,” says GOP consultant Steve Schmidt, “the actual party is shrinking. It’s becoming more white. It’s becoming older.”

Race, age and ethnicity are at the heart of the problem. And they portend not only the party’s death in California, but perhaps its destiny in the rest of America.

Consider. Almost 90 percent of all Republican voters in presidential elections are white. Almost 90 percent are Christians. But whites fell to 74 percent of the electorate in 2008 and were only 64 percent of the population. Christians are down to 75 percent of the population from 85 in 1990. The falloff continues and is greatest among the young.

Consider ethnicity. Hispanics were 15 percent of the U.S. population in 2008 and 7.4 percent of the electorate. Both percentages will inexorably rise.

Yet in their best years, like 2004, Republicans lose the Hispanic vote 3-to-2. In bad years, like 2008, they lose it 2-to-1. Whites are already a minority in California, and Hispanics will eventually become the majority.

Say goodbye to the Golden Land.

Asian-Americans voted 3-to-2 for Obama, black Americans 24-to-1. The Asian population in California and the nation is growing rapidly. The black population, 13 percent of the nation, is growing steadily.

Whites, already a minority in our two most populous states, will be less than half the U.S. population by 2041 and a minority in 10 states by 2020.

Consider now the Electoral College picture.

Of the seven mega-states, California, New York and Illinois appear lost to the GOP. Pennsylvania has not gone Republican since 1988. Ohio and Florida, both crucial, are now swing states. Whites have become a minority in Texas. When Texas goes, America goes.

This year could be the last hurrah.

The GOP must work harder to win Hispanic votes, we are told. But consider the home economics and self-interest of Hispanics.

Half of all U.S. wage-earners pay no income tax. Yet that half and their families receive free education K-12, Medicaid, rent supplements, food stamps, earned income tax credits, Pell grants, welfare payments, unemployment checks and other benefits.

Why should poor, working- and middle-class Hispanics, the vast majority, vote for a party that will reduce taxes they don’t pay, but cut the benefits they do receive?

The majority of Latinos, African-Americans, immigrants and young people 18 to 25 pay no income taxes yet enjoy a panoply of government benefits. Does not self-interest dictate a vote for the party that will let them keep what they have and perhaps give them more, rather than the party that will pare back what they now receive?

What are the historic blunders of the Grand Old Party that may yet appear on the autopsy report as probable causes of death?

First, the party, intimidated by name-calling, refused to stop a tidal wave of immigration that brought 40 million people here whose families depend heavily on government. We needed a time-out to assimilate them and see them move out of the tax-consuming sector of the nation.

Republicans acquiesced in the importation of a new electorate that may provide the decisive votes to send the party to the ash heap of history.

Second, Republicans, when enacting tax cuts, repeatedly dropped millions of taxpayers off the rolls, creating a huge class that contributes little to pay for the expanding cornucopia of benefits it receives.

Third, the social revolution of the 1960s captured the culture and converted much of the nation. According to a new Pew poll, the number of Americans who profess a belief in no religion at all has tripled since the 1990s and is now one in five of our countrymen.

If your racial and ethnic voter base is aging, shrinking and dying, your moral code is being rejected, and the tax-consuming class has been allowed to grow to equal or to dwarf the taxpaying class, the Grand Old Party has a problem. But then so, too, does the country.


TOPICS: Extended News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: amnesty; buchanan; culturewars; gop; immigration; noanswers; nosolution; trends
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To: NoLibZone

Tea Party grows.

The income tax is short-lived. Consumption tax is going to come.


41 posted on 07/27/2012 7:40:29 PM PDT by Principled (It's not enthusiasm for Romney, it's grim determination to remove Hussein)
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To: NoLibZone
Buchanan, you pot-banging creep.

You are the the Cindy Sheehan of the Republican Party.

You are the Tim Burton movie of the American Dream.

Ugh.

.

42 posted on 07/27/2012 7:47:56 PM PDT by Seaplaner (Never give in. Never give in. Never...except to convictions of honour and good sense. W. Churchill)
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To: donna

Buchanan is anti-semitic. Farrakhan praised him for some of the hateful things he said about Israel.


43 posted on 07/27/2012 7:54:32 PM PDT by Linda Frances (Woe to those who call evil good and good evil, who put darkness for light and light for darkness)
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To: Seaplaner
slight change, adding one word (underlined).

Buchanan, you miserable pot-banging creep.

You are the the Cindy Sheehan of the Republican Party.

You are the Tim Burton movie of the American Dream.

Ugh.

.

44 posted on 07/27/2012 7:55:22 PM PDT by Seaplaner (Never give in. Never give in. Never...except to convictions of honour and good sense. W. Churchill)
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To: apillar

It will eventually be like S Africa where whites are overwhelmingly for 1 party while the majority blacks are on the other.


45 posted on 07/27/2012 7:55:22 PM PDT by max americana (Make the world a better place by punching a liberal in the face)
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To: max americana
The only person to save theGOP was Ronald Reagan...and the first Bush flushed it all away...Sarah my have done it a second time but she was flushed away..maybe the Tea Party if it can take over the GOP and change the name...Looks like Bankruptcy to me...Rush said today the economy was growing at 9% in the great depression.. what is this??
46 posted on 07/27/2012 8:03:50 PM PDT by Hojczyk
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To: moonshot925

Buchanan:

In a 1990 column for the New York Post, Buchanan defended convicted Nazi war criminal Ivan Demjanjuk (whom he later compared to Jesus Christ) against charges from Holocaust survivors that he was guilty of murder by accusing the survivors of misremembering all of it: “This so-called ‘Holocaust Survivor Syndrome’ involves ‘group fantasies of martyrdom and heroics.’ Reportedly, half of the 20,000 survivor testimonies in Yad Vashem memorial in Jerusalem are considered ‘unreliable,’ not to be used in trials[…]The problem is: Diesel engines do not emit enough carbon monoxide to kill anybody.”
Buchanan actually said Hitler was an individual of “great courage.” That’s just one of the quotes that the Anti-Defamation League attributes to Buchanan in their compendium of offensive remarks from Buchanan over the years. In 1977, he qualified his labeling of Hitler as racist and anti-semitic by adding that “he was also an individual of great courage, a soldier’s soldier in the Great War, a leader steeped in the history of Europe, who possessed oratorical powers that could awe even those who despised him[…]His genius was an intuitive sense of the mushiness, the character flaws, the weakness masquerading as morality that was in the hearts of the statesmen who stood in his path.”


47 posted on 07/27/2012 8:04:10 PM PDT by Linda Frances (Woe to those who call evil good and good evil, who put darkness for light and light for darkness)
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To: NoLibZone

“Since 1928, only Dwight Eisenhower and George W. Bush have won the presidency while capturing both houses of Congress for the GOP.”

Since 1928, the Republicans have not won the Presidency without having a Nixon or a Bush somewhere at the top of the ticket.


48 posted on 07/27/2012 8:07:08 PM PDT by KrisKrinkle (Blessed be those who know the depth and breadth of their ignorance. Cursed be those who don't.)
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To: NoLibZone

You mean the GOP that might not even stand up and fight the contraceptive mandate and religious freedom??

Already is for anything conservative


49 posted on 07/27/2012 8:09:45 PM PDT by GeronL (The Right to Life came before the Right to Pursue Happiness)
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To: Linda Frances

Buchanan also thinks Pearl Harbor was our fault for screwing over the poor Japanese.


50 posted on 07/27/2012 8:10:25 PM PDT by Strategerist
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To: NoLibZone
“In California, GOP Fights Steep Decline,”

In California, Californians Fight Steep Decline of the state.

So, who's the biggest loser there?

Certainly, not the Californians. In fact, Californians are leaving in droves.

(Problem is, they remain liberal wherever they go, bringing their decrepit politics with them, and damaging the new areas where they settle.)
51 posted on 07/27/2012 8:11:58 PM PDT by adorno
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To: cripplecreek

This entire scenario is disheartening, to say the least. Talking with my convert-”Catholic” sister, married for 28 years, mother of three sons... She took an on-line poll to see which Presidential candidate most represents her views... The “Green” candidate popped up first, then our “usurper-in-chief”, then Mitt Romney... Her question to me was “where are all the moderates?” She stated, “All politicians are either way left-wing or are religious fanatics to the right!”! Obviously, to me for many years, we are in TOTAL disagreement politically... Although this conversation solidified our “diversity”, we DO AGREE: “WHERE ARE THE PEOPLE WITH COMMON SENSE?!”


52 posted on 07/27/2012 8:12:29 PM PDT by lyby ("Mathematics is the language with which God has written the universe." ~ Galileo Galilei)
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To: GeronL

The GOP haphazardly outsourced our manufacturing, and continued it until we almost do not make anything anymore.

With that, an ever-growing portion of our electorate: Votes democrat. More all the time.

We have one or two more chances to turn things around. Romney will need to address this first thing.

No more excuses.


53 posted on 07/27/2012 8:13:24 PM PDT by Cringing Negativism Network (America doesn't need any new laws. America needs freedom!)
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To: Principled

I SINCERELY HOPE SO!!!


54 posted on 07/27/2012 8:15:29 PM PDT by lyby ("Mathematics is the language with which God has written the universe." ~ Galileo Galilei)
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To: donna

do you really think Israel is going to nuke the US?


55 posted on 07/27/2012 8:15:39 PM PDT by GeronL (The Right to Life came before the Right to Pursue Happiness)
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To: Cringing Negativism Network

The GOP gave us the highest corporate tax rate on Earth?

Because that is not going to help manufacturing in this country one bit.


56 posted on 07/27/2012 8:22:35 PM PDT by GeronL (The Right to Life came before the Right to Pursue Happiness)
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To: NoLibZone

America is on a long and steady slope toward socialist anarchy and it can not be turned around. I’ll be long gone when the SHTF but hit the fan it will at some point. There is just no avoiding it. Teach your children well because some future generation will be the one to bear the brunt and only the strong, the prepared and the street smart will survive.


57 posted on 07/27/2012 8:22:45 PM PDT by jwalsh07 (.)
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To: NoLibZone

Well then... we shall part ways again... and if it comes to that... it will happen this time. We may not end up being 50 States but we will be America. We will wall up the rest and let them eat one another.

LLS


58 posted on 07/27/2012 8:26:52 PM PDT by LibLieSlayer (Don't Tread On Me)
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To: GeronL

We need:

1) Tariffs
2) Lower taxes
3) Jobs

This means more people working, and fewer people buying things.


59 posted on 07/27/2012 8:32:55 PM PDT by Cringing Negativism Network (America doesn't need any new laws. America needs freedom!)
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To: max americana

I takes a train-wreck like the Obamafraud to get whites on the stick - people are fed up with the clowns on the Hill. GOP takes both Houses and the White Hut.


60 posted on 07/27/2012 8:33:14 PM PDT by Gasshog (Tragically,Obama ate the blue dog...)
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