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Cruz leads in new Texas Senate poll (52-42)
The Politico ^ | July 30, 2012 | CHARLES MAHTESIAN

Posted on 07/30/2012 1:11:04 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife

A Public Policy Polling poll released Sunday evening reports Ted Cruz has a 52 percent to 42 percent advantage over Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst on the eve of Tuesday’s Texas GOP Senate runoff.

From PPP’s analysis:

Cruz's victory is driven by 4 things: the Tea Party, the enthusiasm of his supporters, a generational divide within the Texas Republican ranks, and the lack of regard the party base currently holds for Rick Perry.

Cruz is ahead by a whooping 75-22 margin with Tea Party voters, more than making up for a 56-39 deficit to Dewhurst with voters who don't consider themselves members of that movement. There has been too much of a tendency to ascribe any Republican primary upset over the last few years to Tea Party voters, but this is one case where it's well justified.

Cruz has a 63-33 advantage with voters who describe themselves as 'very excited' about voting in Tuesday's runoff election. He also has a 49-45 advantage with those describing themselves as 'somewhat excited.' The only reason this race is even remotely competitive is Dewhurst's 59-31 lead with voter who say they're 'not that excited' about voting. It's an open question whether those folks will really show up and if they don't it's possible Cruz could end up winning by closer t0 20 points.

The greater excitement among Cruz voters can also be measured by their eagerness to get out and cast their ballots during the early voting period. Cruz leads 55-40 among those who say they've already voted, so Dewhurst will likely need a huge advantage among election day voters to overcome the deficit. But Cruz has a 49-44 lead with those who have yet to vote too.

POLITICO’s Dave Catanese, reporting from Texas, also notes.....

(Excerpt) Read more at politico.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Front Page News; Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: conservatism; dewhurst; runoff; senatecontrol; teaparty; tedcruz; tx; tx2012; ussenate
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1 posted on 07/30/2012 1:11:13 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

My prayers are with Texas TEA. I just read an article that urges democrats to crossover and vote for dewhurst. Lord love a duck!


2 posted on 07/30/2012 1:16:58 AM PDT by MestaMachine (obama kills)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

This might be a great day for TEA.


3 posted on 07/30/2012 1:18:31 AM PDT by DesertRhino (I was standing with a rifle, waiting for soviet paratroopers, but communists just ran for office.)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2912285/posts

A Democrat for Dewhurst


4 posted on 07/30/2012 1:18:55 AM PDT by MestaMachine (obama kills)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Already voted early for Cruz. Couldn’t wait.


5 posted on 07/30/2012 1:23:17 AM PDT by chuckles
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To: MestaMachine

Thank you for the heads-up and link.

The Left is calling on Democrats to cross over and vote for Dewhurst!?

I guess they’ll really have to beat the bushes for those Dems who didn’t vote in the primary (and in July 31 run-off those will be scarce).

It is my understanding that a voter can’t cross over to vote for a different party than what they voted in the primary (and visa versa).

But TURNOUT is the key!!! And the bigger the turnout the bigger the message to the GOP-e!


6 posted on 07/30/2012 1:26:01 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
This will teach Dick Cheney to open his big fat yap about Sarah Palin.

Her support for Cruz is helping to make his GOP-e bud Dewhurst go down in flames, nyuck nyuck!

7 posted on 07/30/2012 1:26:22 AM PDT by Happy Rain ("Obamacare like all Marxist fails, outlaws redress before creating it's demand.")
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To: chuckles
It's a good thing Sarah Palin is a "has been" that nobody listens to or Cruz might get elected.

At least that's what I heard this weekend.

Just sayin.

8 posted on 07/30/2012 1:26:43 AM PDT by chuckles
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To: chuckles
Oh and one more thing,.....If Romney gets elected, and I hope he does,... the establishment is going to say,."See, we just had to get a middle of the road NE liberal establishment mish mash to run and then we could win."

We really need to load up the congress and senate with Tea Party conservatives to keep him in line and show the talking heads we are still alive. Otherwise, they will be crowing that Romney is a staunch conservative and that would make us some sort of two headed monsters that no one should pay attention to.

9 posted on 07/30/2012 1:31:46 AM PDT by chuckles
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To: MestaMachine

I believe to vote in the runoff you would have had to vote in the Republican primary.


10 posted on 07/30/2012 4:13:37 AM PDT by BubbaBobTX ("The problem with socialism is you eventually run out of other peoples money." Margaret Thatcher)
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To: chuckles

Absolutely correct. The more conservatives in Congress the more they’ll have to compromise toward our direction. Every bill in the new Congress needs to be amended to include laws for liberty.


11 posted on 07/30/2012 4:23:32 AM PDT by 1010RD (First, Do No Harm)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

22% of TEA Party voters support Dewhurst?


12 posted on 07/30/2012 4:25:15 AM PDT by 1010RD (First, Do No Harm)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

I’m voting for Cruz tomorrow but can anyone give me info on anyone else I should vote for tomorrow. I really haven’t been keeping up with any of the other races?


13 posted on 07/30/2012 4:32:28 AM PDT by coconut47
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To: MestaMachine

If you voted Rat in the first round you will not be allowed to vote in the GOP runoff.


14 posted on 07/30/2012 4:33:44 AM PDT by SAWTEX
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To: BubbaBobTX

“ABILENE, Texas - You might be asking about the process involved in a run-off election?

We checked with Taylor County’s Election Office and here are the facts:

- Voting in a run-off is open to anyone, even if you didn’t vote in the primary election.

- If you voted in the primary you must vote in the same party run-off.”.....

http://www.ktxs.com/news/Can-I-Vote-In-The-Run-Off-Election/-/14769632/14666158/-/13wi2aoz/-/index.html

.......”If you didn’t vote in the May 29 Primary Election you can still vote in the Runoff Election. If you voted in the Primary you have to vote in the same Party’s Primary.

If you can’t find your 2012-13 voter registration card (it is yellow), you can still vote, just bring your Texas driver’s license or photo ID.”.....

http://www.banderabulletin.com/columnists/article_5a3563d8-d76a-11e1-9147-0019bb2963f4.html?mode=print


15 posted on 07/30/2012 4:34:35 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: coconut47

If you are in Senate district 25, you definitely want to vote for Donna Campbell.


16 posted on 07/30/2012 5:19:59 AM PDT by rhinohunter (DraftWalkerNow)
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To: 1010RD

Poll responders aren’t always smart or truthful.


17 posted on 07/30/2012 5:24:24 AM PDT by listenhillary (Courts, law enforcement, roads and national defense should be the extent of government)
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To: coconut47
I’m voting for Cruz tomorrow but can anyone give me info on anyone else I should vote for tomorrow. I really haven’t been keeping up with any of the other races?

If you're in TX25, vote for Wes Riddle for Congress. The Riddle/Garrison race is a Cruz/Dewhurst race in miniature. Garrison is another GOP insider who thinks it should be his turn at the trough. Riddle is the real deal Constitutional patriot.

18 posted on 07/30/2012 5:31:37 AM PDT by Paine in the Neck (Socialism consumes everything)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
there is a darn good reason why the RNC kept doing all it could to delay the Texas presidential primary until after the race was effectively over. They KNEW we here in Texas are real conservatives and wont vote for moderates when given an acceptable alternative.

Go Cruz!

19 posted on 07/30/2012 5:38:49 AM PDT by TexasFreeper2009 (Obama lied .. the economy died.)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

“Cruz’s victory is driven by ...: the Tea Party, the enthusiasm of his supporters,...” It must have killed them to write this. :-)


20 posted on 07/30/2012 5:42:05 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

“Cruz’s victory is driven by ...: the Tea Party, the enthusiasm of his supporters,...” It must have killed them to write this. :-)


21 posted on 07/30/2012 5:42:27 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

CW, might be good to review what the TexSOS says on VoteTexas.gov.

Their site seems to say the only restriction is you can not vote in both runoffs.


22 posted on 07/30/2012 5:43:12 AM PDT by X-spurt (It is truly time for ON YOUR FEET or on your knees)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

It will be interesting to see the final tally tomorrow night as indications are that Cruz has the momentum at this stage. Early in person/mail ballots are down by some 100,000 over the primary totals for the largest 15 counties in Texas. The entergized voters are more likely to vote in this runoff when there is a small number of races on the ballot and almost no local candidates in runoffs.


23 posted on 07/30/2012 5:46:15 AM PDT by deport
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To: listenhillary

I’m not from Texas and just follow this on FR. What is attractive about Dewhurst to TEA Partiers?


24 posted on 07/30/2012 5:48:15 AM PDT by 1010RD (First, Do No Harm)
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To: 1010RD

Oh Hell, there was someone yesterday on FR saying he saw the DewHurts ad saying Dew had been in the Mil and Cruz had not, and that was good enough for him to vote DewHurts.


25 posted on 07/30/2012 5:48:53 AM PDT by X-spurt (It is truly time for ON YOUR FEET or on your knees)
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To: X-spurt; Cincinatus' Wife
SORRY, I was wrong!
I was about to close the VoteTexas.gov website and saw this:
“If you voted in one party’s primary on May 29, 2012, then you may not vote in the other party’s runoff on July 31, 2012.” which makes good sense and surprising the dumb GOP didn't change to encourage the “BIG TINT” suicidal philosophy.
26 posted on 07/30/2012 5:55:48 AM PDT by X-spurt (It is truly time for ON YOUR FEET or on your knees)
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To: 1010RD

You’ve got me. Maybe they are lying to pollsters or they don’t have a clue?

Dewhurst is eGop, Cruze is the TEA party choice.


27 posted on 07/30/2012 5:55:48 AM PDT by listenhillary (Courts, law enforcement, roads and national defense should be the extent of government)
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To: X-spurt

Texas doesn’t register voters by party. If you did not vote in the primary and are a registered voter you can vote in the runoff of either party. If you voted in the primary you can only vote in the runoff for the party in which you voted in during the primary.

Texas Election Code:

snip

Sec. 172.125. ADDITIONAL PROCEDURE FOR ACCEPTING VOTERS IN RUNOFF.

(a) For a runoff primary election, the voter registrar shall enter on the list of registered voters a notation beside each voter’s name indicating the preceding party primary for which the voter was accepted for voting, if any.

(b) An election officer at a runoff primary election polling place shall determine whether the name of a voter offering to vote is noted on the list as having been accepted for voting in another party’s primary. If the voter’s name is so noted, the voter may not be accepted for voting at the runoff unless the voter executes an affidavit stating that the voter did not vote in the primary or participate in a convention of another party during the same voting year.

Added by Acts 1993, 73rd Leg., ch. 728, Sec. 67, eff. Sept. 1, 1993.

http://www.statutes.legis.state.tx.us/Docs/EL/htm/EL.172.htm


28 posted on 07/30/2012 5:57:21 AM PDT by deport
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To: 1010RD

David DEWhurst is our current Lt. governor and has proven himself to be a RINO in spades!

Ted Cruz is a grassroots, constitution loving, CONSERVATIVE who speaks well and very persuasively!

My clan is supporting Ted Cruz!


29 posted on 07/30/2012 6:04:34 AM PDT by Bigun ("The most fearsome words in the English language are I'm from the government and I'm here to help!")
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To: All; Cincinatus' Wife
If FReepers have friends or family members voting tomorrow in the Texas runoff election who are confused by Sen. Dan Patrick's endorsement of Dewhurst, please forward this press release to them:

Chair of the TEA Party Caucus Advisory Committee
Re: Patrick’s Endorsement of Dewhurst
Senator Dan Patrick Does Not Speak for Us!

30 posted on 07/30/2012 6:18:48 AM PDT by Unmarked Package
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To: jmaroneps37

The GOPe is really scared of the TEAs and the power they’re amassing just look at how they are going after Palin and Bachman


31 posted on 07/30/2012 6:25:14 AM PDT by WilliamRobert
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To: 1010RD
"I’m not from Texas and just follow this on FR. What is attractive about Dewhurst to TEA Partiers?"

Dewhurst was invited to speak before our tea party group and refused. Cruz came, brought his father who introduced Ted and is a very impressive man himself, and Cruz gave a great presentation. It is my understanding Dewhurst refused to meet with most other tea party groups as well.

32 posted on 07/30/2012 7:16:50 AM PDT by Reddon
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To: BubbaBobTX

One can vote July 31 in the Republican primary (1) if he did not vote in the May 29 Democratic primary, or (2) if he did not vote in either primary on May 29.


33 posted on 07/30/2012 7:23:51 AM PDT by Theodore R. (Past is prologue: The American people again let us down in this election cycle.)
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To: 1010RD

This 21 percent probably does not even know what “TEA” stands for, totally uninformed ones.


34 posted on 07/30/2012 7:27:24 AM PDT by Theodore R. (Past is prologue: The American people again let us down in this election cycle.)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Already voted for Cruz.

Another reason Cruz is ahead. . .probably due to backlash in response to the over-the-top very nasty and vile negative character assassination attacks by Dewhurst.

Just plain awful. . .to use a crying mother who’s son committed suicide. . .and to blame Cruz for that. . .


35 posted on 07/30/2012 7:37:41 AM PDT by Hulka
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To: Hulka
"Just plain awful. . .to use a crying mother who’s son committed suicide. . .and to blame Cruz for that. . ."

That ad was despicable, that ad had to be an embarrassment to at least some of the outsiders who endorsed Dewhurst, such as Huckabee and Michael Reagan. I doubt those two expected Dewhurst to pull low-life stuff like that when they endorsed him.

36 posted on 07/30/2012 8:00:13 AM PDT by Reddon
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
Dewhurst's relentless attacks on Cruz indicate that he has nothing about himself to promote. I can understand an attack ad on Cruz being part of a campaign, but not the entirety of the campaign itself.

I had originally decided that whomever won would be fine, but I'm thinking Dewhurst doesn't have anything of substance to offer.

37 posted on 07/30/2012 8:04:51 AM PDT by TexasNative2000 (Jimmy Carter's incompetence + Richard Nixon's paranoia = Barack Obama)
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To: MestaMachine

Open primaries, where Democrat can cross-over and influence Republican nominations, have got to stop. Can’t Texas Republicans put an end to them?


38 posted on 07/30/2012 8:38:41 AM PDT by Socon-Econ (Socon-Econ)
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To: Paine in the Neck

“If you’re in TX25, vote for Wes Riddle for Congress. The Riddle/Garrison race is a Cruz/Dewhurst race in miniature. Garrison is another GOP insider who thinks it should be his turn at the trough. Riddle is the real deal Constitutional patriot.”


Who is Garrison? Riddle’s opponent in the TX-25 run-off is former Secretary of State Roger Williams. http://www.rogerforcongress.com/

My first choice in TX-25 was former Railroad Commissioner Michael Williams, but he didn’t make the run-off. Michael Williams was the true grassroots, TEA Party conservative in the race. Riddle appears to be the candidate of Ron Paul and his acolytes, and, frankly, I’d rather have Roger Williams that another Paulistinian in Congress.


39 posted on 07/30/2012 9:12:06 AM PDT by AuH2ORepublican (If a politician won't protect innocent babies, what makes you think that he'll protect your rights?)
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To: chuckles

Dewhurst needs to be crushed to humiliate the GOPe.

VOTE CRUZ AND DEVINE (for Texas SC)


40 posted on 07/30/2012 9:33:59 AM PDT by achilles2000 ("I'll agree to save the whales as long as we can deport the liberals")
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To: AuH2ORepublican
Who is Garrison?

Sorry, my brain broke traction there for a moment. My apologies to Garrison. Roger Williams is indeed Riddle's opponent, supported by the same crowd as Dewhurst. Garrison was one of the primary candidates who didn't make the cut but has endorsed Riddle in the runoff.

I've met Wes. He founded Central TX Tea Party. I don't read him as a hardline Paulista but the southern end of TX25 seems heavily Paul country so I don't think it hurts to have his endorsement.

41 posted on 07/30/2012 9:38:49 AM PDT by Paine in the Neck (Socialism consumes everything)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Go Ted Go!


42 posted on 07/30/2012 9:39:43 AM PDT by pogo101
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To: All

I guess the most addled-brained smear campaign in the history of Texas politics isn’t going to work out for Dewhurst ...did any of you Texans’ hear that Ted Cruz is a Lawyer? A TRIAL LAWYER?


43 posted on 07/30/2012 9:53:31 AM PDT by thestob (Vote or P. Diddy will kill you)
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To: coconut47
"...can anyone give me info on anyone else I should vote for tomorrow..."

Vote for Devine for Justice Supreme Court, Place 4. Devine is a strict constitutional constructionist who received national acclaim by refusing to remove a painting of the 10 Commandments from his courtroom and defeated a related lawsuit by liberal activists. Vote for Craddick over Chisum for Railroad Commissioner. When Chisum was asked about the wasteful $2.4 billion demonstration project in Ector County to sequester CO2 to help "global warming", instead of condemning the boondoggle, he replied that “we might as well get the project otherwise it would go to someone else.” Parker is preferred for Railroad Commissioner, unexpired term.

44 posted on 07/30/2012 10:07:05 AM PDT by JeepersFreepers (The heart of the wise inclines to the right but the heart of the fool to the left. (Eccl 10:2 NIV))
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To: thestob
I guess the most addled-brained smear campaign in the history of Texas politics isn’t going to work out for Dewhurst ...did any of you Texans’ hear that Ted Cruz is a Lawyer? A TRIAL LAWYER?

LOL, there was someone on here yesterday that posted a thread supporting Dewhurst, and that is the only thing he had to defend his support. His post started out like a radio seminar caller, and I am not quoting directly, just paraphrasing ... "At first I was going to vote for Cruz .... but OMG, I found out he was a trial lawyer!!!!" It was a pathetic attempt, and nobody bought it.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/2912068/posts

45 posted on 07/30/2012 10:08:45 AM PDT by RedWhiteBlue (Mama tried)
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To: Socon-Econ

In Texas, anyone can vote in either primary. However, when you vote in a primary, they stamp your voter registration card with either Republican or Democrat. In run-offs, you have to vote in the same one you voted the first time. You get a new card every year, so you can change in the new year, but once you are stamped, that’s it for the year. I used to vote in the Dem primary because whoever won that was elected in the fall. Thank goodness that no longer applies.


46 posted on 07/30/2012 11:08:30 AM PDT by texasbear
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To: Happy Rain

You are very right. I just about screamed at the TV set when I heard Cheney say rotten things about Sarah Palin this weekend on FOX. I don’t know why these old “has beens” have to shoot off their nasty mouths when no one wants to hear from them.They had their time now it’s time for someone else.


47 posted on 07/30/2012 12:07:13 PM PDT by Maryhere ("HE comes to rule the earth")
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To: Maryhere

Maybe he consulted Mary Cheney’s “wife” before he ripped Sarah. Overall, he was a good VP, but like Bush, he never defended America against the assaults of the left. Sarah always does, to her great credit. Bob


48 posted on 07/30/2012 1:03:34 PM PDT by alstewartfan ("Bedroom eyes and boardroom faces, Oh where will it lead?" from "Red Toupee by Al Stewart)
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To: texasbear

The voter reg. card is for two years, but there is usually no election in the odd year except for constitutional amendments or maybe city elections in some localities.


49 posted on 07/30/2012 1:10:09 PM PDT by Theodore R. (Past is prologue: The American people again let us down in this election cycle.)
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To: JeepersFreepers

I voted for Chisum and Smitherman in the primary? Why should I switch? I think Craddick and Smitherman will win the nominations.


50 posted on 07/30/2012 1:12:33 PM PDT by Theodore R. (Past is prologue: The American people again let us down in this election cycle.)
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