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Wall Street Already Betting On Who Wins in November [Romney]
CNBC ^

Posted on 07/30/2012 4:28:07 PM PDT by Perdogg

With just 100 days left until the U.S. presidential election, investors are beginning to make bigger bets on which candidate will carry the day.

One analysis concludes that last week's sharp three-day market surge can only mean that Wall Street is banking on a victory from Republican Mitt Romney.

That's the logical interpretation one can draw from a rally amid conditions that otherwise would demand a selloff, Morgan Stanley chief U.S. equity strategist Adam S. Parker said in an analysis that asserts there is no other reason now to like stocks than a Romney win.

(Excerpt) Read more at cnbc.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Front Page News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: elections; markets; obama; romney

1 posted on 07/30/2012 4:28:15 PM PDT by Perdogg
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To: Perdogg

I don’t like Romney...but 4 more years of Obammy and there won’t be a United States of anything.


2 posted on 07/30/2012 4:40:54 PM PDT by Dallas59 (President Robert Gibbs 2009-2011)
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To: Perdogg

It was Draghi’s comments about ECB support for the euro.

Betting future still show the markets expect Obama to win re-election. Intrade is close to 60-40


3 posted on 07/30/2012 4:41:34 PM PDT by babble-on
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To: Perdogg

I’m just a little dispirited right now after listening to Rove say that Ohio has gone from a toss up to leaning OJoker’s way! God help us if this muslim communist is reelected! ANYONE here from Ohio? How’s the mood there? Do you think the folk there are going to go hardcore for Obozo?


4 posted on 07/30/2012 4:51:14 PM PDT by RoseofTexas
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To: RoseofTexas

Got to remember that many of the folks who were polled will say one thing, so as not to show them as being “racists” but while in the privacy of the voting booth, will vote in the other direction.


5 posted on 07/30/2012 4:53:40 PM PDT by Biggirl ("Jesus talked to us as individuals"-Jim Vicevich/Thanks JimV!)
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To: RoseofTexas

If we lose Ohio then we’re done. I just don’t see any reasonable way of making up for those EVs. In answer to your question, yes, Odouchebag could pull out a win here. There are a lot of stupid people around. They say things like “I like Obama”, but when I ask them what they like, they have no answer, or maybe some mush-mouth thing like “He’s a nice guy”. What’s nice about a guy who votes to deny medical assistance to newborns who survive the abortionist’s knife? But people don’t seem to care about little things like that.


6 posted on 07/30/2012 4:56:09 PM PDT by chimera
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To: Perdogg

The smart money for now is for investors is to bet on a zero win and stay out. Everyone in the works knows that a zero win means a guaranteed US recession. 0-care and taxmageddon, along with more reckless spending will smother any and all economic growth. Staying in now doesn’t give investors much of a leg up on other investors that will come the day after if Romney wins Presidency and GOP takes the Senate.
There is no upside to staying in now. But if zero does win, I would think that there might be some shorting opportunities in the energy sector.


7 posted on 07/30/2012 4:57:00 PM PDT by grumpygresh (Democrats delenda est; zero sera dans l'enfer bientot.)
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To: RoseofTexas
I saw it too... and while I do not like romney... it did sadden me to listen to it. counting leaners... romney to date has 111 electoral votes and obama 280. This according to karl rove himself.

Where is the mitt romney’s hallelujah chorus? He is the only man alive that can beat obama... the worst pos, communist, muslim, demonic fag to ever infect the White House.

I have been attacked for stating that this election is razor thin... karl rove said, "this race is as tight as a tick". It didn't have to be like this... it shouldn't be like this... but it is like this.

LLS

8 posted on 07/30/2012 5:09:21 PM PDT by LibLieSlayer (Don't Tread On Me)
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To: Perdogg

Easy there! If they rally too much, Obama will say, “See, I told you my plan was working!” and he’ll get re-elected!


9 posted on 07/30/2012 5:18:30 PM PDT by Right Wing Assault (Dick Obama is more inexperienced now than he was before he was elected.)
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To: Perdogg

InTrade still has Obama up 57-40.


10 posted on 07/30/2012 5:29:41 PM PDT by OrangeHoof (Our economy won't heal until one particular black man is unemployed.)
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To: LibLieSlayer
"I saw it too... and while I do not like romney... it did sadden me to listen to it. counting leaners... romney to date has 111 electoral votes and obama 280. This according to karl rove himself."

"However, it is important to remember that there are several reliable Republican states - South Carolina, Texas, South Dakota, Kentucky, and Tennessee - still labeled "toss-up" or "lean" due to lack of polling. If these states are included in Romney's total, which they inevitably will be, he actually beats Obama in the number of "safe" EC votes, 180 to 179." -- Rove.com

11 posted on 07/30/2012 5:35:30 PM PDT by StAnDeliver (2008 + IN, NC, FL, VA, OH, NV o/r IA = 271EV)
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To: Perdogg

The Morgan Stanley chief apparently agrees with Bert’s post last week


12 posted on 07/30/2012 5:51:23 PM PDT by bert ((K.E. N.P. N.C. +12 ..... Present failure and impending death yield irrational action))
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To: babble-on

Intrade is a bunch of crap. It “predicts” the winner because of huge moves towards the obvious winner within 24 hours of the election.


13 posted on 07/30/2012 5:54:43 PM PDT by Jake8898
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To: StAnDeliver

“IF”... rove also said that this election would remain tight. He knows elections... he is a jerk but he also engineers these numbers very well. This thing is going down to the wire... watch and see.

LLS


14 posted on 07/30/2012 6:27:05 PM PDT by LibLieSlayer (Don't Tread On Me)
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To: LibLieSlayer
Doesn't look close to me.

"Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Mitt Romney attracting 47% of the vote, while President Obama earns support from 44%. Five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided."

Those 4% Undecided break 80% for Mittens under the Incumbent Rule, so the lead projects to 50.2-44.8 -- probably not too far off the final result.

15 posted on 07/30/2012 6:39:48 PM PDT by StAnDeliver (Reapportionment is your friend. My friend, anyway.)
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To: RoseofTexas
i would not believe a single vowel from Karl Rove’s mouth .
this clown is a PAID FOX mouth piece and they are all being instructed to say the election is close for AD revenue !

i stop believing polls figures and facts from this stupid scam artist years ago.
this fool was the brains behind the 2005 senate amnesty debacle and the campaign finance reform disaster that gave rise to the soros 501c3 and soros pacs.
But the idiot was the brilliant one who decided to NOT LET The Bush admin counter non stop Dem party lies and attacks over the Iraqi war and Plame scam . Rove is proven liar and scammer.

16 posted on 07/30/2012 7:08:10 PM PDT by ncalburt (NO MORE WIMPS need to apply to fight the Soros Funded Puppet !H)
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To: LibLieSlayer
LLS

Read my other post.

Rove is one of the sleazy scammer IN DC and huge back stabber and a bad hack artist.

He is the most destructive creature in the gop.

17 posted on 07/30/2012 7:13:01 PM PDT by ncalburt (NO MORE WIMPS need to apply to fight the Soros Funded Puppet !H)
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To: StAnDeliver

It means nothing... gore won the popular vote and lost the election. It is all about the Electoral College and rove is not holding back any punches... the man said that it was as tight as a tick and would probably remain so. We shall see.

LLS


18 posted on 07/30/2012 8:07:06 PM PDT by LibLieSlayer (Don't Tread On Me)
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To: ncalburt
I know my friend... rove is the worst kind of sh!t! I despise the man and I blame him for the 2006 losses. He is adept at reading the numbers state by state and so is Barrone. They both say similar things... tight as a tick with obama at 270 to 280 and romney at 111 to 121. romney will surely win some of the leaners but rove said that Ohio is trending back to obama... from toss up to lean obama. Beck was talking about it and several Ohioans called in and told him that it is razor thin up there. They like obama... they don't know why but many will vote for him. Things are tight and unless something breaks... it will be another 2000 redux.

LLS

19 posted on 07/30/2012 8:16:54 PM PDT by LibLieSlayer (Don't Tread On Me)
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To: LibLieSlayer

This election will not even be remotely close.


20 posted on 07/30/2012 8:32:40 PM PDT by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds. A pessimist fears this is true.)
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To: Perdogg; stephenjohnbanker; M. Espinola; FreedomPoster; Grampa Dave; blam; Oldeconomybuyer; ...
Does Barack Obama Expect The Upcoming Election To Spark Rampant Civil Unrest? ___ ?

He most certainly does . . . How else is he gonna fill up all those hundreds of FEMA camps with innocent people ?

21 posted on 07/30/2012 9:44:27 PM PDT by ex-Texan (The Time to "Wake Up" is Over !)
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Comment #22 Removed by Moderator

To: Tennessean4Bush

“This election will not even be remotely close.”

I hope you mean a Romney landslide; I for you don’t believe for a minute that Obama can win even in NJ. Too many long-term unemployed (including the municipal employees laid off over the past few years), too many “For Sale” signs, too many shuttered businesses - NJ is having a terrible time (as most high-tax places are). Our malls, when they do have people in them, aren’t selling anything; the “shoppers’ “ hands are empty, or they are carrying a pretzel in one. We even have a brand-new mall near Giants Stadium that was completed a few years ago and NEVER OPENED. Small businesses are getting crushed, and letting go their workers.

You don’t even see Obama stickers in urban black areas anymore; they’ve fallen behind even further.


23 posted on 07/31/2012 2:54:39 AM PDT by kearnyirish2 (Affirmative action is economic war against white males (and therefore white families).)
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To: Tennessean4Bush
I despise both men but I do not want obama near the White House. I hope that you are correct but not one of the top election analyzers like Barrone or rove think that it will be a blow out. Even Limbaugh and Levin know that it is thisclose.

LLS

24 posted on 07/31/2012 4:12:04 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer (Don't Tread On Me)
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To: ncalburt
Rove you magnificent bastard.
25 posted on 07/31/2012 6:11:41 AM PDT by agere_contra (Vote ABO. Don't choose the Greater Evil and then boast about how principled you are)
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To: Perdogg; stephenjohnbanker; M. Espinola; FreedomPoster; Grampa Dave; blam; Oldeconomybuyer
Larry Grathwohl on Ayers' plan for American re-education camps and the need to kill millions
26 posted on 07/31/2012 11:56:39 AM PDT by ex-Texan (The Time to "Wake Up" is Over !)
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To: ex-Texan

Ayers is a close friend of TOTUS. Need anyone say more?


27 posted on 07/31/2012 11:59:55 AM PDT by stephenjohnbanker (God, family, country, mom, apple pie, the girl next door and a Ford F250 to pull my boat.)
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To: kearnyirish2
I hope you mean a Romney landslide.
I have been saying for over a year now on numerous threads - as long as the GOP nominee did not blow bubbles with his drool that he will win the election and it will not be close. Romney is too polished to make a mistake he cannot recover from, and in any event it is really not about him at all. It is all about Obama. The election is a referendum on Obama and his policies. He will lose and it will not be close.
28 posted on 07/31/2012 6:13:55 PM PDT by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds. A pessimist fears this is true.)
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To: LibLieSlayer
...not one of the top election analyzers like Barrone or Rove think that it will be a blow out...
Beltway pundits and people who live it all day long all the time tend to miss the forest for the trees. There is no way that this election will be about anything but Obama. Romney is irrelevant, he just needs to avoid blowing bubbles with his drool. An election about Obama is a losing one for Obama. Anyone who sees it like this will know I am right.
29 posted on 07/31/2012 6:18:17 PM PDT by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds. A pessimist fears this is true.)
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To: Tennessean4Bush

“The election is a referendum on Obama and his policies. He will lose and it will not be close.”

I’ve been saying the same, without as much optimism; I can’t believe we’ve reached the point (yet) where more than half the voters think Obama is a better person for the job than Romney. With the exception of sexual deviants, public employees (those who have survived layoffs), and the permanent underclass (even though they’ve sunk further in the past four years), I can’t imagine who would even vote for Obama at this point. “White guilt” died in 2008; Obama governs as though whites don’t even exist (unless he’s holding his hand out to Hollywood for money). When they ask the traditional question, “Are you better off than four years ago?”, I can’t believe even 25% of Americans can say, “Yes”.


30 posted on 08/01/2012 1:42:04 AM PDT by kearnyirish2 (Affirmative action is economic war against white males (and therefore white families).)
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To: Tennessean4Bush
...in any event it is really not about him at all. It is all about Obama. The election is a referendum on Obama and his policies.

You're right Tennessean...

31 posted on 08/01/2012 4:02:17 AM PDT by GOPJ (Political correctness is simply George Orwell's Newspeak by a non-threatening name. FR- Bernard Marx)
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To: Tennessean4Bush
We shall see. I doubt that you are more astute at reading electoral votes than Michael Barrone... but we shall see.

LLS

32 posted on 08/01/2012 4:15:09 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer (Don't Tread On Me)
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To: LibLieSlayer
We shall see. I doubt that you are more astute at reading electoral votes than Michael Barrone.
I guarantee you that I am more astute at reading elections than Michael Barrone. However, I think Michael Barone might be the best at reading elections, and I imagine most will think his opinion is more important than mine.
33 posted on 08/03/2012 11:58:25 AM PDT by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds. A pessimist fears this is true.)
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