Skip to comments.Wall Street Already Betting On Who Wins in November [Romney]
Posted on 07/30/2012 4:28:07 PM PDT by Perdogg
With just 100 days left until the U.S. presidential election, investors are beginning to make bigger bets on which candidate will carry the day.
One analysis concludes that last week's sharp three-day market surge can only mean that Wall Street is banking on a victory from Republican Mitt Romney.
That's the logical interpretation one can draw from a rally amid conditions that otherwise would demand a selloff, Morgan Stanley chief U.S. equity strategist Adam S. Parker said in an analysis that asserts there is no other reason now to like stocks than a Romney win.
(Excerpt) Read more at cnbc.com ...
I don’t like Romney...but 4 more years of Obammy and there won’t be a United States of anything.
It was Draghi’s comments about ECB support for the euro.
Betting future still show the markets expect Obama to win re-election. Intrade is close to 60-40
I’m just a little dispirited right now after listening to Rove say that Ohio has gone from a toss up to leaning OJoker’s way! God help us if this muslim communist is reelected! ANYONE here from Ohio? How’s the mood there? Do you think the folk there are going to go hardcore for Obozo?
Got to remember that many of the folks who were polled will say one thing, so as not to show them as being “racists” but while in the privacy of the voting booth, will vote in the other direction.
If we lose Ohio then we’re done. I just don’t see any reasonable way of making up for those EVs. In answer to your question, yes, Odouchebag could pull out a win here. There are a lot of stupid people around. They say things like “I like Obama”, but when I ask them what they like, they have no answer, or maybe some mush-mouth thing like “He’s a nice guy”. What’s nice about a guy who votes to deny medical assistance to newborns who survive the abortionist’s knife? But people don’t seem to care about little things like that.
The smart money for now is for investors is to bet on a zero win and stay out. Everyone in the works knows that a zero win means a guaranteed US recession. 0-care and taxmageddon, along with more reckless spending will smother any and all economic growth. Staying in now doesn’t give investors much of a leg up on other investors that will come the day after if Romney wins Presidency and GOP takes the Senate.
There is no upside to staying in now. But if zero does win, I would think that there might be some shorting opportunities in the energy sector.
Where is the mitt romney’s hallelujah chorus? He is the only man alive that can beat obama... the worst pos, communist, muslim, demonic fag to ever infect the White House.
I have been attacked for stating that this election is razor thin... karl rove said, "this race is as tight as a tick". It didn't have to be like this... it shouldn't be like this... but it is like this.
Easy there! If they rally too much, Obama will say, “See, I told you my plan was working!” and he’ll get re-elected!
InTrade still has Obama up 57-40.
|"However, it is important to remember that there are several reliable Republican states - South Carolina, Texas, South Dakota, Kentucky, and Tennessee - still labeled "toss-up" or "lean" due to lack of polling. If these states are included in Romney's total, which they inevitably will be, he actually beats Obama in the number of "safe" EC votes, 180 to 179." -- Rove.com|
The Morgan Stanley chief apparently agrees with Bert’s post last week
Intrade is a bunch of crap. It “predicts” the winner because of huge moves towards the obvious winner within 24 hours of the election.
“IF”... rove also said that this election would remain tight. He knows elections... he is a jerk but he also engineers these numbers very well. This thing is going down to the wire... watch and see.
"Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Mitt Romney attracting 47% of the vote, while President Obama earns support from 44%. Five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided."
Those 4% Undecided break 80% for Mittens under the Incumbent Rule, so the lead projects to 50.2-44.8 -- probably not too far off the final result.
i stop believing polls figures and facts from this stupid scam artist years ago.
this fool was the brains behind the 2005 senate amnesty debacle and the campaign finance reform disaster that gave rise to the soros 501c3 and soros pacs.
But the idiot was the brilliant one who decided to NOT LET The Bush admin counter non stop Dem party lies and attacks over the Iraqi war and Plame scam . Rove is proven liar and scammer.
Read my other post.
Rove is one of the sleazy scammer IN DC and huge back stabber and a bad hack artist.
He is the most destructive creature in the gop.
It means nothing... gore won the popular vote and lost the election. It is all about the Electoral College and rove is not holding back any punches... the man said that it was as tight as a tick and would probably remain so. We shall see.
This election will not even be remotely close.
He most certainly does . . . How else is he gonna fill up all those hundreds of FEMA camps with innocent people ?
“This election will not even be remotely close.”
I hope you mean a Romney landslide; I for you don’t believe for a minute that Obama can win even in NJ. Too many long-term unemployed (including the municipal employees laid off over the past few years), too many “For Sale” signs, too many shuttered businesses - NJ is having a terrible time (as most high-tax places are). Our malls, when they do have people in them, aren’t selling anything; the “shoppers’ “ hands are empty, or they are carrying a pretzel in one. We even have a brand-new mall near Giants Stadium that was completed a few years ago and NEVER OPENED. Small businesses are getting crushed, and letting go their workers.
You don’t even see Obama stickers in urban black areas anymore; they’ve fallen behind even further.
Ayers is a close friend of TOTUS. Need anyone say more?
I hope you mean a Romney landslide.I have been saying for over a year now on numerous threads - as long as the GOP nominee did not blow bubbles with his drool that he will win the election and it will not be close. Romney is too polished to make a mistake he cannot recover from, and in any event it is really not about him at all. It is all about Obama. The election is a referendum on Obama and his policies. He will lose and it will not be close.
...not one of the top election analyzers like Barrone or Rove think that it will be a blow out...Beltway pundits and people who live it all day long all the time tend to miss the forest for the trees. There is no way that this election will be about anything but Obama. Romney is irrelevant, he just needs to avoid blowing bubbles with his drool. An election about Obama is a losing one for Obama. Anyone who sees it like this will know I am right.
“The election is a referendum on Obama and his policies. He will lose and it will not be close.”
I’ve been saying the same, without as much optimism; I can’t believe we’ve reached the point (yet) where more than half the voters think Obama is a better person for the job than Romney. With the exception of sexual deviants, public employees (those who have survived layoffs), and the permanent underclass (even though they’ve sunk further in the past four years), I can’t imagine who would even vote for Obama at this point. “White guilt” died in 2008; Obama governs as though whites don’t even exist (unless he’s holding his hand out to Hollywood for money). When they ask the traditional question, “Are you better off than four years ago?”, I can’t believe even 25% of Americans can say, “Yes”.
You're right Tennessean...
We shall see. I doubt that you are more astute at reading electoral votes than Michael Barrone.I guarantee you that I am more astute at reading elections than Michael Barrone. However, I think Michael Barone might be the best at reading elections, and I imagine most will think his opinion is more important than mine.