Sorry, but not buying the demographic argument, what you do have today, that the electoral college likely won’t reflect how bad of a routing its going to be. His EC vote will be closer than previous losses of such magnetude, but he can’t win.
when 1 in 5 of your parties registered voters are saying flat out, they intend to vote for the other guy when polled, you can’t win, demographics or not. 20% of democratic voters is about 6% of the vote, a 6 percent vote swing in and of itself, even if the swing voters break even is a 56/44 los for Obama. Now add into that, that he’s down in every single demographic from his 2008 highs.. Swing voters are likely to brea 3-2 if not 2-1 for Romney, and you are looking at a route we haven’t seen in a long time.
As I said, I think on election day, Obama cannot get above low 40s, and in reality, will be lucky to see 40%
Everyone is also forgetting that Independents are not going to sit home and not vote.
Indy’s will vote for Romney, while a lot of conservatives stay home.
Obama does not have the Indy support he did in 2008.
And without Indy’s, there’s no way noBama would have won in 2008, so he sure as hell can’t win this November.
Pay no mind to juiced MSM polls, intrade, etc. That data will change in time, to Romney’s favor, prior to the election.
DISCLAIMER: I’m too conservative to be a fan of Romney; I’m merely saying that he’s going to beat O.