Skip to comments.Rendell: Pennsylvania’s Not a Lock for Obama
Posted on 08/06/2012 10:28:28 AM PDT by kingattax
Former Pennsylvania Gov. Ed Rendell (D) said Sunday that he doesnt believe recent polls showing President Obama with a wide lead in his home state.
There are two polls out that show its 11 points. But I dont believe those polls, Rendell said on CBS Face the Nation. Thats what he won by in 08. I dont believe that. I believe its going to be closer. Weve got a very serious problem with a bad voter ID law, if the courts dont throw it out, that could cost us 100,000 votes. So this isnt over in Pennsylvania. And if youre a supporter of the president, dont think by a long shot its over.
Rendell added that the small percentage of undecided voters reported by pollsters also isnt a given.
What happens post-Labor Day is people start paying more attention to the campaign. Weve got the convention speeches. Weve got the three debates, the former governor said. A lot of those so- called firmly decided voters can still shift.
Another swing-state governor, Virginias Bob McDonnell (R), said on the same program that he believes his state will go to presumed Republican nominee Mitt Romney.
I think its probably a dead heat right now, but thats a long way Mitt Romneys come in the last four months when he was down by eight points, McDonnell said. But since he captured the nomination and the grassroots has organized on the ground, the enthusiasm gap, clearly, on the Republican side, but I think, most importantly, while its a dead heat right now, the momentum is going to continue to go for Mitt Romney because people are realizing this is a very serious election.
He added that the election is not about personalities. And thats what the president is trying to make this about.
To laughter from the shows guests, Rendell said he wanted to go on record as supporting Michele Bachmann for vice president.
Governor McDonnell would fit that bill, he added of potential picks. So would Senator Portman and some of the others that are being talked about.
McDonnell, on some short lists for a VP nod, demurred when asked about his chances by host Bob Schieffer. Ill wait to hear, he said. And as soon as I find out, Ill let you know, Bob.
Former Ohio Gov. Ted Strickland (D) said Portman would probably be a good and safe running mate for Romney.
Hes a very conservative fella, but he has really good manners, Bob, Strickland said. Hes not a bomb-thrower.
Strickland said he thinks it will be former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty. No. 1, former Governor Pawlenty has a connection to the evangelical community, which I think is important for Mr. Romney, he said
Translation: "We'll still cheat like crazy at the polls, but this will make multiple, dead, and illegal alien voting somewhat harder, outside of the inner cities where we can cheat without risk."
And Obama's closing down the coal mines won't help, either.
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IIRC, one of those polls is a SeeBeeEss poll, which oversampled Ds by +19.
In other words, for every 100 people sampled, there were 59 Ds and 40 Rs.
This sounds to me like the dems have some background info on Portman they're just chomping at the bit to use to destroy him if he turns out to be the VP selectee. All the more reason Portman should be avoided at all costs.
Looks like the days of 110% + Philadelphia turnout are over....
Notice he didn't say Sarah Palin.
I’ve been saying this for a while... Those that think PA is a lock for Obama are fools. Even fast eddie isn’t buying the 11 point lead nonsense. If Obama holds PA it will be by a very very slim margin and frankly I think he’s going to lose it.
PA is Philly, and the rest of the state are blue dog dems,and Obama has spit in the face of the blue dogs his entire administration, Easily 20% of democrats here will not vote for him, and I think that number is much higher.
MI and PA are the battleground states folks, those writing them off as locks are ill informed.
He may be a mob consigliere who is as crooked as a dog’s hind leg, but Fast Eddie understands the politics of the state he used to govern.
Democrats in Pennsylvania need a big turnout of white, working-class voters who have been pulling the “D” lever year after year because “my father and grandfather did, cause they’re for the workin’ man”. Those people are VERY disenchanted with Obama this time around.
You just can’t cobble together a big enough coalition of minorities, gays, campus radicals and Union activists to overcome that inertia.
Obama has been sending silent signals to these white Dem voters that in a race conflict he is not going to be on their side. And that message has been received and understood.
I don’t think Obama has them locked up, but they should only be secondary targets at best for us.
If we win in places like Michigan and Pennsylvania, we are looking at an electoral landslide. We are probably better off focusing on places like Florida, Ohio and Virginia.
If it turns into a wave election and we win PA and MI as well, so much the better.
OH, FL and VA are already locked up for Romney... The only one that remotely would remain blue might be VA because of the folks Obama brought with him to the DC area skewing the norther part of hte state. Obama has no chance in Ohio, Fl or NC.
I would love to see PA go red this November....if only to see the PMSNBC panels heads explode on live TV.
So there are 100K people too stupid to get an ID card or that many in the cemeteries...which one is it, Fast Eddie?
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