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Rasmussen to Newsmax: 'No Way' Obama Re-elected If Economy Doesn't Improve
Newsmax ^ | AUGUST 8, 2012 | Jim Meyers and John Bachman

Posted on 08/08/2012 5:38:43 PM PDT by RobinMasters

Pollster and political analyst Scott Rasmussen tells Newsmax that if Americans’ satisfaction with their financial situation does not improve before November, there is “no way” President Obama will be re-elected.

He also warns that if Romney does not take Florida, he has “no chance” of winning the White House — but adds that Obama is in trouble there because of seniors’ opposition to Obamacare.

Rasmussen is founder and president of Rasmussen Reports and co-founder of the sports network ESPN. He has been an independent public opinion pollster for more than a decade, and most major news organizations cite his reports.

In an exclusive interview with Newsmax.TV on Wednesday, Rasmussen discussed the results of his presidential daily tracking poll that showed Obama with a lead over Romney for two days in a row for the first time since June.

“First of all, an update: The numbers today are tied 45 percent for Romney, 45 percent for Obama, and the bounce for the president came following last Friday’s jobs report.

“The initial reaction to it was, boy, it was better than expected — 163,000 jobs created, well above the projected numbers. What happened, though, in the last few days, is people have looked a little deeper. Perceptions of that report have declined. And this election is not really about Mitt Romney at all. It’s about Barack Obama and the way he’s doing his job. And the biggest measure of that are opinions on the U.S. economy.

“If consumer confidence moves up between now and Election Day, the president will be a lot better off. As of this morning, though, confidence has fallen. Confidence in the U.S. economy has fallen to the lowest level of 2012.”

(Excerpt) Read more at newsmax.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012issues; 2012polls; bho2012
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1 posted on 08/08/2012 5:38:47 PM PDT by RobinMasters
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To: RobinMasters

2 posted on 08/08/2012 5:42:47 PM PDT by mnehring
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To: RobinMasters

Don’t worry Ras. The media will go out there an report the economy is improving and the people will think 0bama is getting it done.

We have too much against us.


3 posted on 08/08/2012 5:44:46 PM PDT by GR_Jr. (Vote Obama out now.....deal with Romney later.)
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To: mnehring

BUMP!!


4 posted on 08/08/2012 5:46:29 PM PDT by MEG33 (O Lord, Guide Our Nation)
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To: RobinMasters

The economy is going to radically and dramatically improve during the next 90 days? Only if the news media TELLS us so because it’s not going to happen. TOO MUCH DEBT.


5 posted on 08/08/2012 5:51:24 PM PDT by GeorgeWashingtonsGhost
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To: RobinMasters
Rasmussen is founder and president of Rasmussen Reports and co-founder of the sports network ESPN.

I was not aware of that...

6 posted on 08/08/2012 5:56:33 PM PDT by Principled (Vote Romney to stop Obama. Vote for conservative Reps and Senators to stop Romney. [ZET 7/30/12])
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To: RobinMasters
THERE IT IS.. The numbers on Fridays report were horrible, but the media spin made it sound positive, and the numbers for Obegone went up!! No one is really paying attention at this time, and the Commie media, sound bites and headlines, are controlling the message..

This will not be as easy when we get closer to Nov., the Romney war-room will ponce on it during the news-cycle.. If they don't, it's light out!

7 posted on 08/08/2012 6:02:00 PM PDT by carlo3b (Less Government, more Fiber..)
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To: RobinMasters

What if the economy doesn’t improve and Romney doesn’t win Florida?


8 posted on 08/08/2012 6:15:58 PM PDT by Mr Ramsbotham (Laws against sodomy are honored in the breech.)
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To: GR_Jr.

I tend to agree. The demographic changes that have taken place in this country make it a very different place than it was in 1980 when Reagan swept in. The number of people who would vote for a 3 legged, 1 eyed dog, as long as it was a Democrat and no matter how bad things are now makes up a significant and rising portion of the population.


9 posted on 08/08/2012 6:16:01 PM PDT by MachIV
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To: RobinMasters

http://www.bostonherald.com/news/politics/view.bg?articleid=1061151768

Obama has his ACORN buddies on the move.


10 posted on 08/08/2012 6:27:53 PM PDT by TornadoAlley3 (Obama is everything Oklahoma is not.)
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To: RobinMasters
Unemployment at 6% announced before November.

Who cares if it's the truth or not?

11 posted on 08/08/2012 6:28:59 PM PDT by EGPWS (Trust in God, question everyone else)
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To: RobinMasters

Look, isn’t the economy already “baked into the cake” by this point?

What the HELL can happen in the next 90 days to cheer America up? Economic trends are long term...and Obamugabe’s tenure for 3 years and 7 months has SUCKED.

I doubt he is going to magically create jobs in the next three months.

No, we conservatives have to take the fight on and try to make this a landslide rejection of Obamugabe.


12 posted on 08/08/2012 6:29:13 PM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: MachIV
The number of people who would vote for a 3 legged, 1 eyed dog, as long as it was a Democrat and no matter how bad things are now makes up a significant and rising portion of the population. The number of people who would vote for a 3 legged, 1 eyed dog, as long as it was a Democrat and no matter how bad things are now makes up a significant and rising portion of the population.

The 2010 mid-terms proved that, when motivated, conservatives, and like-minded independents, will vote in significant numbers. Things are even worse now. Romney will win with over 300EVs.
13 posted on 08/08/2012 6:32:13 PM PDT by Signalman
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To: MachIV
The demographic changes that have taken place in this country make it a very different place than it was in 1980 when Reagan swept in.

You could have said that during the 1980 election cycle also. In 1976, it looked like the Democrats were settling in for a thousand year reign. With the ugliness of Watergate and the unpopularity of Nixon, Jimmy Carter represented the "hope and change" of a previous generation.

Even in the summer of 1980, despite the worst economy in memory, it was generally accepted by most pollsters and stupid talking heads that Carter would squeak out a second term. But the silent majority spoke and the rest is history.

I believe that 2012 will be another watershed year for conservatives and don't forget, we are riding a wave that began in the 2010 mid-terms and has continued unabated with the special elections that brought us the election of Cruz in Texas and the recall defeat of Gov. Walker in Wisconsin, etc.

14 posted on 08/08/2012 6:33:32 PM PDT by SamAdams76
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To: mnehring
He also warns that if Romney does not take Florida

Expect Marco Rubio as the VP choice...it the only logical strategy choice and helps Romney with three areas ....Florida, Hispanics, Conservatives

15 posted on 08/08/2012 6:34:40 PM PDT by tophat9000 (American is Barack Oaken)
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To: RobinMasters

The October surprise....a QE3 money bomb to the US economy in time to boost numbers like a swan song before the 2013 tsunami?


16 posted on 08/08/2012 6:36:37 PM PDT by combat_boots (The Lion of Judah cometh. Hallelujah. Gloria Patri, Filio et Spiritui Sancto.)
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To: RobinMasters
Rasmussen to Newsmax: 'No Way' Obama Re-elected If Economy Doesn't Improve

Obama's Reelection Organization, the MSM, stays away from discussing the disastrous economic results of the Obama administration. Will enough people be unaware of our disastrous economy and vote for Obama because the media and schools refused to discuss it until their Fuhrer, Obama, is reelected?

17 posted on 08/08/2012 6:40:58 PM PDT by PapaNew
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; ColdOne; Convert from ECUSA; ...

“Rasmussen to Newsmax: ‘No Way’ Obama Re-elected If Economy Doesn’t Improve”

s/b

“Rasmussen to Newsmax: ‘No Way’ Obama Re-elected if Partisan Media Doesn’t Succeed in Meme-Building”

but then:

“He also warns that if Romney does not take Florida, he has “no chance” of winning the White House”

IOW, it could go either way? Or, will we just not elect *anyone* on November?

Wow, I should start a polling company of my own. Thanks RobinMasters.


18 posted on 08/08/2012 6:45:19 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: PapaNew

Greg Garrison mentioned that on the day the unemployment rate is announced (typically first business day of the month), the Obama surrogates and MSM launch a new scandal attack.

Anything to avoid talking about the economy.


19 posted on 08/08/2012 6:48:36 PM PDT by nascarnation
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To: Principled
I was not aware of that...

The Rasmussen link to ESPN really surprised me also.

20 posted on 08/08/2012 6:52:24 PM PDT by Irish Eyes
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To: RobinMasters
He also warns that if Romney does not take Florida, he has “no chance” of winning the White House — but adds that Obama is in trouble there because of seniors’ opposition to Obamacare.

I have to say this: "Seniors" that enable this evil to continue can go to Hell.

I am sick and tired of their greed and enabling of evil for their own personal gain.

The only people lower than them are the parasites who have been on "unemployment" for 2 years.

Where did the concept of shame go? What happened to decency?

21 posted on 08/08/2012 6:52:49 PM PDT by SkyPilot
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To: RobinMasters

Even a Romney victory will be no occasion for celebration by true conservatives. We will have nominated, then elected a stealth liberal barely better than Homobama. It will be a time for mourning and self condemnation.


22 posted on 08/08/2012 7:04:29 PM PDT by fwdude ( You cannot compromise with that which you must defeat.)
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To: fwdude
Either way, a Christian won't be in the White House next year.

God can use whoever He uses. I have to have hope. For better or worse, Romney is it. Flame away.

23 posted on 08/08/2012 7:07:20 PM PDT by SkyPilot
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To: Irish Eyes

Scott Rasmussen did not found ESPN. The writer has him confused with Bill Rasmussen: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bill_Rasmussen


24 posted on 08/08/2012 7:14:06 PM PDT by whitey righty
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To: whitey righty

Actually, it looks like ESPN’s Bill Rasmussen is Scott’s father, and Scott did have some role in the early days of ESPN. I did not know that!


25 posted on 08/08/2012 7:23:42 PM PDT by whitey righty
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To: SamAdams76
You could have said that during the 1980 election cycle also. In 1976, it looked like the Democrats were settling in for a thousand year reign. With the ugliness of Watergate and the unpopularity of Nixon, Jimmy Carter represented the "hope and change" of a previous generation.

I remember it well as a student working and putting myself through college. I remember the fiasco in Iran, inflation and of course the gas lines.



I didn't see how it could get better, but I knew if I worked hard things would be fine.

There are many other factors in the head wind this time. We have moved to totalitarianism, dependency and outright government lawlessness. We either do it this election or indeed it will be over as we know it.

Don't mean to sound like such a downer. Congress is the key, as well as voting out the Resident. Even if this is successful, the debt and regulation created in the last term may be nearly impossible to address let alone turn back. Still have to try.
26 posted on 08/08/2012 7:25:21 PM PDT by PA Engineer ("We're not programs, Gerty, We're People")
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To: MachIV
You are correct and this bears repeating:

And this election is not really about Mitt Romney at all. It’s about Barack Obama and the way he’s doing his job.

27 posted on 08/08/2012 7:30:08 PM PDT by 1010RD (First, Do No Harm)
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To: Mr Ramsbotham

Then the sky still won’t fall, tin foil still won’t be fashionable, and my caR still won’t be my choice for residence.


28 posted on 08/08/2012 7:35:46 PM PDT by arderkrag (ABOs are Romneybot trolls. LOOKING FOR ROLEPLAYERS. Check Profile.)
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To: RobinMasters

Labor dept is lying in every report and will really start lying in the last 3 reports


29 posted on 08/08/2012 7:59:56 PM PDT by Friendofgeorge (SARAH PALIN 2012 OR BUST)
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To: SamAdams76

No, the country was still overwhelmingly white in 1980. Today it’s less than 70%. Reagan got something like 56% of the white vote in 1980, and that gave him a landslide victory. McCain got about the same % of whites and got beat handily. Romney needs to get closer to Reagan’s 64% of the white vote that he won in 1984.

The demographic shift has been undeniably in favor of the Democrats. The GOP has put itself in a shrinking corner because of its stupid decision to go along with decades of pro-Democrat mass immigration.


30 posted on 08/08/2012 8:25:42 PM PDT by Aetius
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To: carlo3b
THERE IT IS.. The numbers on Fridays report were horrible, but the media spin made it sound positive, and the numbers for Obegone went up!!

If the Clown is given another four there are only two reasons why....

1) Stupid voters coupled with just about 50% of the nation not paying one cent of Fed Income tax (those riding in the wagon), and

2) the propaganda media. The jobs numbers were bad but it makes not one wit of difference to Joe 6-pack 6pm propaganda news watcher - the clown and his propaganda ministry keep repeating over and over that "Obama has created 4.5 MILLION jobs" and not ONE mention of the fact that 1,900,000 fewer jobs exist today then when the clown was inaugurated on Jan 20, 2009.

(jobs lost - see Paul Krugman opinion in NYSlimes, January 5, 2012.

AND yet this news of creating jobs passes for honest journalism, while ignoring the other FACTS?? This makes Joseph Goebbels and Leni Riefenstahl very very proud of their profession.

If the GOP loses on Nov 6 these are the two reasons why and it means that the America that you and I grew up in is gone forever.
31 posted on 08/08/2012 8:32:14 PM PDT by Cheerio (Barry Hussein Soetoro-0bama=The Complete Destruction of American Capitalism)
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To: RobinMasters
'No Way' Obama Re-elected If Economy Doesn't Improve

I wouldn't bet on it.

Millions have lost their homes, businesses, retirements, investments, jobs, etc. Million had their employer provided health reduced to near worthlessness or completely eliminated and it's happening to more every day.

Obama is all about handouts, and millions who've been left with little or no healthcare, or anything else, likely see no frills low end health insurance as an option.

Then throw in tens of hundreds of thousand who understand Romney is just another leftist GOP insider.

32 posted on 08/08/2012 8:38:56 PM PDT by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion or tools of deceit)
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To: RobinMasters
"First of all, an update: The numbers today are tied 45 percent for Romney, 45 percent for Obama, and the bounce for the president came following last Friday’s jobs report. "

No it wasn't Scott, it was the unexpected slack in gas prices, which had their chain jerked +$0.40 on Monday and which will spill into the polls over the next seven days.

33 posted on 08/08/2012 8:53:16 PM PDT by StAnDeliver (=)
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To: SoFloFreeper

You have it.

Gas has jumped .23/ gallon in the last 2 weeks.

Obama is sweating bullets. The economy, scandals about his college status, Holder is in check over F&F, business hates his ass over OBamacare...

He will delaminate in short order, as his mettle disintegrates.

Keep the pressure on all fronts!


34 posted on 08/08/2012 8:58:41 PM PDT by One Name
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To: SoFloFreeper
Yes, it looks dire for Obama.

But Obama has a secret weapon.

John McCain. You don't seem to want to accept the fact you're dealing with an expert in guerrilla warfare, with a man who's the best, with guns, with knives, with his bare hands. A man who's been trained to ignore pain, ignore weather, to live off the land, to eat things that would make a billy goat puke. In Vietnam his job was to dispose of enemy personnel. To kill! Period! Win by attrition. Well Johnny was the best.

35 posted on 08/08/2012 9:09:18 PM PDT by PA-RIVER
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To: mnehring

Sarah Palin introduces McCain at the Convention:

“You did everything to make this private war happen. You’ve done enough damage. This mission is over, Johnny. Do you understand me? This mission is over! Look at them out there! Look at them! If you won’t end this now, they will kill you. Is that what you want? It’s over Johnny. It’s over!”


36 posted on 08/08/2012 9:15:58 PM PDT by PA-RIVER
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To: RobinMasters

Everyone, STOP buying ANYTHING you don’ t absolutely have to have!!!

We can “help” tank the economy (what is left of it)!


37 posted on 08/08/2012 9:25:51 PM PDT by kcvl
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To: Cheerio
Cheerio, I agree. If Obama wins the game is over. We will see two trillion dollar annual deficits and 25 percent unemployment. 10 dollar gas. Communism has it's rewards.
38 posted on 08/08/2012 9:28:48 PM PDT by PA-RIVER
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To: Signalman
"The 2010 mid-terms proved that, when motivated, conservatives, and like-minded independents, will vote in significant numbers. Things are even worse now. Romney will win with over 300EVs."

Don't know what the EV's will be, but if things don't turn around before end October, Rommney wins. I read every day that more and more are out of work and more and more have become disallusioned with Bambi's job-killing policies.
"It's the Economy, Stupid." It always will be.

39 posted on 08/08/2012 10:52:49 PM PDT by A Navy Vet (An Oath is Forever)
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To: SoFloFreeper

QE3 happens in 90 days, to answer your question. If the magic economy appears, Obama favorables drag him over the line. If Bernake isn’t headed off, and reportedly their are those trying to do that, Bernake is said to have the votes to get it done.

WSI reported this days ago, and Romney was heard remarking against a stimulus just this week, giving legs to the report. Who wins this one remains to be seen.


40 posted on 08/08/2012 11:02:03 PM PDT by RitaOK (NO ROMNEY, NO COMPROMISE. NO WAY. NO HOW. NOT NOW. NOT EVER.)
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To: fwdude
"We will have nominated, then elected a stealth liberal barely better than Homobama. It will be a time for mourning and self condemnation."

Sorry, I won't condemn myself because I voted for anyone other that the hard core Marxist Obambi. Plus, if we keep the House and gain the Senate, Romney will be forced often times to sign favorable legislation if he wants a second term - and ALL politicians want more. It's the nature of the beast.

Or you can either not vote or vote for some obscure politician and let Bambi have 4 more years to trample our Constitution. Yes, I wish we had a better candidate, but more Obambi? Really? How much worse could it be with Romney?

41 posted on 08/08/2012 11:11:37 PM PDT by A Navy Vet (An Oath is Forever)
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To: PA Engineer
"We have moved to totalitarianism, dependency and outright government lawlessness. We either do it this election or indeed it will be over as we know it."

Succinct quote of the day.

42 posted on 08/08/2012 11:14:56 PM PDT by A Navy Vet (An Oath is Forever)
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To: A Navy Vet

Our choices are an inoperable malignant brain tumor or a .45 bullet through the temple. Nothing to celebrate either way.


43 posted on 08/08/2012 11:22:48 PM PDT by fwdude ( You cannot compromise with that which you must defeat.)
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To: RitaOK
"QE3 happens in 90 days, to answer your question. If the magic economy appears, Obama favorables drag him over the line. If Bernake isn’t headed off, and reportedly their are those trying to do that, Bernake is said to have the votes to get it done.

WSI reported this days ago, and Romney was heard remarking against a stimulus just this week, giving legs to the report. Who wins this one remains to be seen."

A market rally the weekend before the election? Ok, all it will do is float equity markets far past the cut-off point from reality. So the markets benefit solely -- which is directly opposed to the entire raison d'etre of Bobo's re-election campaign to date! There's no way to build enough cover to pull that off.

44 posted on 08/08/2012 11:26:04 PM PDT by StAnDeliver (=)
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To: Principled
Rasmussen is founder and president of Rasmussen Reports and co-founder of the sports network ESPN.

I was not aware of that...

Wow... I didn't know that either.

45 posted on 08/09/2012 12:03:54 AM PDT by nutmeg (I'm with Sarah Palin and Ted Cruz: Anybody But Obama 2012)
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To: One Name

LMAO!! I was just watching that the other day. “DEY DRU FIRS BLOOD!”


46 posted on 08/09/2012 1:38:38 AM PDT by GrandJediMasterYoda (Someday our schools we will teach the difference between "lose" and "loose")
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To: MachIV; GR_Jr.; Clemenza; Travis McGee; Pelham

yep

just saw an article earlier that 50% of legal immigrants today even including those that have been here over 20 years

are on welfare and other assistance

yep this ain’t 1980 and sure as hell ain’t 1910

http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2012/aug/8/slow-path-to-progress-for-us-immigrants/


47 posted on 08/09/2012 1:43:31 AM PDT by wardaddy (this white hair don't cover up my redneck......)
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To: SkyPilot
For the majority of my life, as a Christian, I would have been inclined to agree with you. However, having worked for several Mormon’s (A 4-star general on his personal staff and also in the office of a Command Sergeant Major) I can tell you that in their daily lives they strive for the much of the same as do we. While I have issues with their Book or Bible and the very Masonic depictions used by Smith, he basically utilized the Bible. After the lack of dialog on the Black Church in the United States, or liberal theology and watered down Christianity, I NO longer worry about Romney's Church credentials. The very fact of the matter is that if you had to compare either Obama or Romeny as a Religious person of faith only Romeny would come close in ethics or beliefs. Since I have been caught in the crossfire of having a family member involved in the Church of Christ which rejects every other church and who makes it his mission to run down anyone not attending his version of Christianity, and the other extreme of a militant homosexual sister who has found a liberal democratic socialist preaching female gay church.... My point is that at some point, be happy that at least on candidate has some form of Christian teachings in their life and while they are not up to the standards required by Jesus, at least here on Earth one man is at least worshiping in his religions way the same God.
48 posted on 08/09/2012 3:30:14 AM PDT by Jumper
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To: Jumper

“The economy is going to radically and dramatically improve during the next 90 days? Only if the news media TELLS us so because it’s not going to happen. TOO MUCH DEBT.”.....

Yep, and gas is now at $4.00 a gallon here in central Wisconsin. The economy sure is improving....NOT!


49 posted on 08/09/2012 3:38:10 AM PDT by DaveA37
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To: RobinMasters

Can you say “President Elect Mitt Romney?”


50 posted on 08/09/2012 4:08:51 AM PDT by Biggirl ("Jesus talked to us as individuals"-Jim Vicevich/Thanks JimV!)
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