Skip to comments.Rasmussen to Newsmax: 'No Way' Obama Re-elected If Economy Doesn't Improve
Posted on 08/08/2012 5:38:43 PM PDT by RobinMasters
Pollster and political analyst Scott Rasmussen tells Newsmax that if Americans satisfaction with their financial situation does not improve before November, there is no way President Obama will be re-elected.
He also warns that if Romney does not take Florida, he has no chance of winning the White House but adds that Obama is in trouble there because of seniors opposition to Obamacare.
Rasmussen is founder and president of Rasmussen Reports and co-founder of the sports network ESPN. He has been an independent public opinion pollster for more than a decade, and most major news organizations cite his reports.
In an exclusive interview with Newsmax.TV on Wednesday, Rasmussen discussed the results of his presidential daily tracking poll that showed Obama with a lead over Romney for two days in a row for the first time since June.
First of all, an update: The numbers today are tied 45 percent for Romney, 45 percent for Obama, and the bounce for the president came following last Fridays jobs report.
The initial reaction to it was, boy, it was better than expected 163,000 jobs created, well above the projected numbers. What happened, though, in the last few days, is people have looked a little deeper. Perceptions of that report have declined. And this election is not really about Mitt Romney at all. Its about Barack Obama and the way hes doing his job. And the biggest measure of that are opinions on the U.S. economy.
If consumer confidence moves up between now and Election Day, the president will be a lot better off. As of this morning, though, confidence has fallen. Confidence in the U.S. economy has fallen to the lowest level of 2012.
(Excerpt) Read more at newsmax.com ...
Don’t worry Ras. The media will go out there an report the economy is improving and the people will think 0bama is getting it done.
We have too much against us.
The economy is going to radically and dramatically improve during the next 90 days? Only if the news media TELLS us so because it’s not going to happen. TOO MUCH DEBT.
I was not aware of that...
This will not be as easy when we get closer to Nov., the Romney war-room will ponce on it during the news-cycle.. If they don't, it's light out!
What if the economy doesn’t improve and Romney doesn’t win Florida?
I tend to agree. The demographic changes that have taken place in this country make it a very different place than it was in 1980 when Reagan swept in. The number of people who would vote for a 3 legged, 1 eyed dog, as long as it was a Democrat and no matter how bad things are now makes up a significant and rising portion of the population.
Obama has his ACORN buddies on the move.
Who cares if it's the truth or not?
Look, isn’t the economy already “baked into the cake” by this point?
What the HELL can happen in the next 90 days to cheer America up? Economic trends are long term...and Obamugabe’s tenure for 3 years and 7 months has SUCKED.
I doubt he is going to magically create jobs in the next three months.
No, we conservatives have to take the fight on and try to make this a landslide rejection of Obamugabe.
You could have said that during the 1980 election cycle also. In 1976, it looked like the Democrats were settling in for a thousand year reign. With the ugliness of Watergate and the unpopularity of Nixon, Jimmy Carter represented the "hope and change" of a previous generation.
Even in the summer of 1980, despite the worst economy in memory, it was generally accepted by most pollsters and stupid talking heads that Carter would squeak out a second term. But the silent majority spoke and the rest is history.
I believe that 2012 will be another watershed year for conservatives and don't forget, we are riding a wave that began in the 2010 mid-terms and has continued unabated with the special elections that brought us the election of Cruz in Texas and the recall defeat of Gov. Walker in Wisconsin, etc.
Expect Marco Rubio as the VP choice...it the only logical strategy choice and helps Romney with three areas ....Florida, Hispanics, Conservatives
The October surprise....a QE3 money bomb to the US economy in time to boost numbers like a swan song before the 2013 tsunami?
Obama's Reelection Organization, the MSM, stays away from discussing the disastrous economic results of the Obama administration. Will enough people be unaware of our disastrous economy and vote for Obama because the media and schools refused to discuss it until their Fuhrer, Obama, is reelected?
“Rasmussen to Newsmax: ‘No Way’ Obama Re-elected If Economy Doesn’t Improve”
“Rasmussen to Newsmax: ‘No Way’ Obama Re-elected if Partisan Media Doesn’t Succeed in Meme-Building”
“He also warns that if Romney does not take Florida, he has “no chance” of winning the White House”
IOW, it could go either way? Or, will we just not elect *anyone* on November?
Wow, I should start a polling company of my own. Thanks RobinMasters.
Greg Garrison mentioned that on the day the unemployment rate is announced (typically first business day of the month), the Obama surrogates and MSM launch a new scandal attack.
Anything to avoid talking about the economy.
The Rasmussen link to ESPN really surprised me also.
I have to say this: "Seniors" that enable this evil to continue can go to Hell.
I am sick and tired of their greed and enabling of evil for their own personal gain.
The only people lower than them are the parasites who have been on "unemployment" for 2 years.
Where did the concept of shame go? What happened to decency?
Even a Romney victory will be no occasion for celebration by true conservatives. We will have nominated, then elected a stealth liberal barely better than Homobama. It will be a time for mourning and self condemnation.
God can use whoever He uses. I have to have hope. For better or worse, Romney is it. Flame away.
Scott Rasmussen did not found ESPN. The writer has him confused with Bill Rasmussen: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bill_Rasmussen
Actually, it looks like ESPN’s Bill Rasmussen is Scott’s father, and Scott did have some role in the early days of ESPN. I did not know that!
And this election is not really about Mitt Romney at all. Its about Barack Obama and the way hes doing his job.
Then the sky still won’t fall, tin foil still won’t be fashionable, and my caR still won’t be my choice for residence.
Labor dept is lying in every report and will really start lying in the last 3 reports
No, the country was still overwhelmingly white in 1980. Today it’s less than 70%. Reagan got something like 56% of the white vote in 1980, and that gave him a landslide victory. McCain got about the same % of whites and got beat handily. Romney needs to get closer to Reagan’s 64% of the white vote that he won in 1984.
The demographic shift has been undeniably in favor of the Democrats. The GOP has put itself in a shrinking corner because of its stupid decision to go along with decades of pro-Democrat mass immigration.
I wouldn't bet on it.
Millions have lost their homes, businesses, retirements, investments, jobs, etc. Million had their employer provided health reduced to near worthlessness or completely eliminated and it's happening to more every day.
Obama is all about handouts, and millions who've been left with little or no healthcare, or anything else, likely see no frills low end health insurance as an option.
Then throw in tens of hundreds of thousand who understand Romney is just another leftist GOP insider.
No it wasn't Scott, it was the unexpected slack in gas prices, which had their chain jerked +$0.40 on Monday and which will spill into the polls over the next seven days.
You have it.
Gas has jumped .23/ gallon in the last 2 weeks.
Obama is sweating bullets. The economy, scandals about his college status, Holder is in check over F&F, business hates his ass over OBamacare...
He will delaminate in short order, as his mettle disintegrates.
Keep the pressure on all fronts!
But Obama has a secret weapon.
John McCain. You don't seem to want to accept the fact you're dealing with an expert in guerrilla warfare, with a man who's the best, with guns, with knives, with his bare hands. A man who's been trained to ignore pain, ignore weather, to live off the land, to eat things that would make a billy goat puke. In Vietnam his job was to dispose of enemy personnel. To kill! Period! Win by attrition. Well Johnny was the best.
Sarah Palin introduces McCain at the Convention:
“You did everything to make this private war happen. You’ve done enough damage. This mission is over, Johnny. Do you understand me? This mission is over! Look at them out there! Look at them! If you won’t end this now, they will kill you. Is that what you want? It’s over Johnny. It’s over!”
Everyone, STOP buying ANYTHING you don’ t absolutely have to have!!!
We can “help” tank the economy (what is left of it)!
Don't know what the EV's will be, but if things don't turn around before end October, Rommney wins. I read every day that more and more are out of work and more and more have become disallusioned with Bambi's job-killing policies.
"It's the Economy, Stupid." It always will be.
QE3 happens in 90 days, to answer your question. If the magic economy appears, Obama favorables drag him over the line. If Bernake isn’t headed off, and reportedly their are those trying to do that, Bernake is said to have the votes to get it done.
WSI reported this days ago, and Romney was heard remarking against a stimulus just this week, giving legs to the report. Who wins this one remains to be seen.
Sorry, I won't condemn myself because I voted for anyone other that the hard core Marxist Obambi. Plus, if we keep the House and gain the Senate, Romney will be forced often times to sign favorable legislation if he wants a second term - and ALL politicians want more. It's the nature of the beast.
Or you can either not vote or vote for some obscure politician and let Bambi have 4 more years to trample our Constitution. Yes, I wish we had a better candidate, but more Obambi? Really? How much worse could it be with Romney?
Succinct quote of the day.
Our choices are an inoperable malignant brain tumor or a .45 bullet through the temple. Nothing to celebrate either way.
WSI reported this days ago, and Romney was heard remarking against a stimulus just this week, giving legs to the report. Who wins this one remains to be seen."
A market rally the weekend before the election? Ok, all it will do is float equity markets far past the cut-off point from reality. So the markets benefit solely -- which is directly opposed to the entire raison d'etre of Bobo's re-election campaign to date! There's no way to build enough cover to pull that off.
I was not aware of that...
Wow... I didn't know that either.
LMAO!! I was just watching that the other day. “DEY DRU FIRS BLOOD!”
just saw an article earlier that 50% of legal immigrants today even including those that have been here over 20 years
are on welfare and other assistance
yep this ain’t 1980 and sure as hell ain’t 1910
“The economy is going to radically and dramatically improve during the next 90 days? Only if the news media TELLS us so because its not going to happen. TOO MUCH DEBT.”.....
Yep, and gas is now at $4.00 a gallon here in central Wisconsin. The economy sure is improving....NOT!
Can you say “President Elect Mitt Romney?”