Skip to comments.Fox News poll: Obama's lead grows as Romney's support slips
Posted on 08/09/2012 3:54:49 PM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer
Mitt Romney has had a tough couple of weeks on the campaign trail -- and it shows in the latest Fox News poll. After a barrage of campaign ads, negative news coverage of his overseas trip and ongoing talk about his tax returns, Romneys favorable rating and standing in the trial ballot have declined. As a result, President Obama has opened his biggest lead since Romney became the presumptive Republican nominee.
The president would take 49 percent of the vote compared to Romney's 40 percent in a head-to-head matchup if the election were held today, the poll found. Last month, Obama had a four percentage-point edge of 45 percent to 41 percent. This marks the second time this year the president has had a lead outside the polls margin of sampling error.
Obamas advantage comes largely from increased support among independents, who now pick him over Romney by 11 percentage points. Some 30 percent of independents are undecided. Last month, Obama had a four-point edge among independents, while Romney had the advantage from April through early June.
There was also an uptick in support for Obama among women, blacks and Democrats.
(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...
The additional interviews of Hispanic respondents were done to allow analysis of the subgroup, and are weighted so Hispanics are not over-represented in the overall national sample. The total 170 of Hispanics is made up of 55 interviews done as part of the base national sample and 115 oversample interviews from a list of Hispanic voters developed from previously conducted national random digit dial (RDD) surveys. Oversample interviews were conducted in both English and Spanish.
So you tell me as compared to Rasmussen. Who knows.
Im just sick.
+9 Dem oversample, 44-35
Every single poll, except Ras (who had a HORRIBLE track record for 2008 and 2010 and is one of the lowest rated pollsters for accuracy) is saying Obama’s lead is growing and getting stronger.
My hope? That somehow this eliminates the GOP elite who stuck us with the worst Presidential candidate in the history of America.
The poll had a sample of 44% Democrats to 35% Republicans. It’s easy to see why it doesn’t make sense.
Rasmussen samples likely voters and on a daily basis.
And there you have it.
So we have a tale of two Americas. In one, Romney is leading as he should be. In the other people hate Romney and are flocking to Obama.
I just find it hard to believe in the America I see every day, that vast numbers of people are saying “Yeah, Obama, I got to have more of that!”
Dumb ass America will have us all speaking Farsi by the end of 0bama’s next term.
well if its not likely voters then I know it’s off, still troubling.
Rasmussen has a near perfect record. Fox polls are notoriously off.
This makes no sense when you watch what the candidates are doing, and the ads they are running. Romney is in blue leaning swing states like Iowa focused on independents. Obama is in blue leaning swing states, too, like Colorado trying to shore up base support.
The one positive thing these BS polls can do is give Romney some incentive to finally fight back.
The Lame Stream Media will never divorce Obama so Romney should go ahead and call them all out as the liars they all are.
Looks like that plan to capture all the moderates and independents ain’t working enough.
Here’s my prediction: About a month out from elections, Romney’s team, in desperation, will turn right to finally
begin to reach out to conservatives. You know, the ones that
always save the GOP’s hind quarter and get nothing in return
Will his last minute”come to Jesus moment” work with conservatives? Only time will tell. I guess it kind of depends on the promises he makes to conservatives.
I think the polls are spot on.
The GOP nominated Mitt Happens despite everything we did to stop it.
Right now, he looks the GOP version of Michael S. Dukakis - complete with “heas in the deerlight” look.
And he’s been ineffectual in fighting Obama! If we needed a loser, why on God’s green earth couldn’t we have run John Sidney McCain again!
The bad news for 0bama is even with a +9 Dem oversample Romeny has +3 advantage on econmic affairs. Also, that added in an additional 115 hispanics to the sample.
When I read this poll I thought it had to be from the onion. 9pct more dems and 17 PCT OF TEA PARTIERS SUPPORT OBAMA. Cmon plz, what is next 95 pct of blacks support Romney
I think Obama will be re-elected.
Because the GOP elite insisted on giving Mitten Happens his turn at bat.
You need to go look at the poll, it is a +9 Dem oversample.
I agree...don’t hear people flocking to O. BUT...I also don’t hear anyone jumping up and down excited about Willard. I hear a whole lot of sighing, head shaking and resignation to what appears to be a steamroller.
Out here in WA...we pretty much know Ol’ Willard ain’t winning the state. So yes, it’s easy for me to focus on the down ticket races.
But good golly, can’t Willard figure out how to make himself more attractive to the masses? Can’t he figure out a way to be ‘genuine’ and espouse strong conservative values...and at least pretend he means them for more than a nano second?
“nominated Mitt Happens despite everything we did to stop it.”
Well I guess that wasn’t a hell of a lot was it? Considering he won the GOP nomination.
17 pct of tea partiers support obama cmon, some on this board will believe anything it seems
Oh, come on. Have you forgotten Bob Dole already?
Much as this poll sample is obviously skewed, Mitt Romney is a piss poor little sissy of a candidate, very much like the GOP in general.
Nonetheless, I will vote for him, however I doubt that Obama will be defeated by the useless, pointless GOP.
“Every single poll, except Ras (who had a HORRIBLE track record for 2008 and 2010 and is one of the lowest rated pollsters for accuracy”
Rasmussen was consistently found to be the MOST accurrate polster. Here from 2008, it’s No.1:
obama is going to beat romney, but not by 10 points. I figure it will be 52/48 for bambi. When you run a liberal versus a liberal the more liberal one will win and bambi is a little more liberal.
In 2004, Fox News employed these liberal pollsters who had Kerry beating Bush by 5% on election day.
We all know how that turned out.
My daughter, who sang at an FR rally, just informed me that she is voting for Obama because Romney is a right wing extremist who condemned gay marriage.
I raised an idiot.
Let me speak plainly no offense meant. Obama is a piece of pure left wing crap. A scummy marxisdt. The country is being destroyed.
Your state is liberal as is mine, but please let’s focus our attacks on Obama, Romney hasn’t done a damn thing wrong. He isn’t “real” enough? please.
Ah yes, but we know that free contraceptives are more important to the voters than the economy or our debt.
I’ll speak fluent Farsi at the same time I start pooping solid 24K gold eggs!
Be not afraid, Conservatives...
Willie Mitty is coming back to you...
Your prom date is about to ask you for another dance...
The pretty girl told Willie to drop dead..
I wouldn’t use these clowns as a guide on who is going to win on November 6th.
Unless it's likely voters, it's a garbage poll.
Myth RomneyCARE was carefully vetted by the DNC.
He was chosen because absolutely NO ONE in the GOP
was wise enough to consider
1) he lost to McCain
2) he is despised for RomneyCARE/ObamaCARE
3) he authored and installed alone, gay marriage
4) he has defended Obama on TARP, and on the absent docs.
5) like McCain Mr. RomneyCARE does not care about losing
as long as HE makes money.
We are imploding.
Gee, ya think Romney's failure to support Chick-fil-A and his going gay on the Boy Scouts might just be hurting him in the polls?
Amazing,I dont know how many times I have heard and seen these so called Independents saying,we dont like the Arguing and the name calling,we want the politicians to work together for the American People! So Obama Lies through his teeth,calling Romney a Felon,Pelosi calls them Ecoli,they want dirty air,poison the food,take all your money and Romney DEFENDS himself and he drops Like a Rock in The polls! Obama has Screwed more Private workers in Favor of the Unions with taxpayer Money and No One,INCLUDING OUR DUFUS CANDIDATE,says a Peep.
When he dares to say one word he is Crucified.
This Romney is EXACTLY what we DONT need in a Candidate against Obama. Its Like throwing a New Born Baby in a Pool filled with Sharks,he is Going to be eaten alive,What a Wus thid Romney is,he is Like every other feckless Republican Rino,they Believe this Crap that Negative ads dont work,thats a Bunch of Crap,ask Romney ,he is Being Buried and he should make Believe Obama is Gingrich or Santorum in the Primary,he only Etas his own,I believe more everyday this is all a Setup to get the Marxist Reelected. The Bush Family has always been into this one world garbage,I think Romney is just a Front sent out to take the fall,I know he is a Mormon,is he a Pacifist as well?
Yep the kids have been taught their parents are racist haters. And we let the schools and media do it when we should have these people fired.
Romney cannot spend any money until he is the official nominee.
It's all about money.
The poll assumes that on election day there will be +9 Dems voting, do you believe that? - Garbage poll.
Without looking, it likely even oversampled Independent voters over Repubs.
Go to any college, they are all merrily holding anti Jew rallies for the palestinians, calling Jews “nazis” and they think if you oppose gay marriage you are an evil hater. But we keep paying tuitions rather than circle the place and demand firings.
Plus it is Registered Voters where 1/2 of them won’t even vote...
Bit more, from wikipedia:
FOX News contributors Pat Caddell and Doug Schoen (a coauthor of Rasmussen) wrote that Rasmussen has an unchallenged record for both integrity and accuracy.The Wall Street Journal stated that “Mr. Rasmussen is today’s leading insurgent pollster” and “a key player in the contact sport of politics.” Slate Magazine and The Wall Street Journal reported that Rasmussen Reports was one of the most accurate polling firms for the 2004 United States presidential election and 2006 United States general elections.[not in citation given] In 2004 Slate magazine “publicly doubted and privately derided” Rasmussen’s use of recorded voices in electoral polls. However, after the election, they concluded that Rasmussens polls were among the most accurate in the 2004 presidential election. According to Politico, Rasmussen’s 2008 presidential-election polls “closely mirrored the election’s outcome”.
At the end of the 2008 presidential election, there were eight national tracking polls and many other polls conducted on a regular basis. Polling analyst Nate Silver reviewed the tracking polls and said that while none were perfect, and Rasmussen was “frequently reputed to have a Republican lean”, the “house effect” in their tracking poll was small and “with its large sample size and high pollster rating [it] would probably be the one I’d want with me on a desert island.” After the election, Rasmussen’s poll was rated as the most accurate, when compared to various other final pre-election polls.
In the January 2010 special election for the Senate seat from Massachusetts, Rasmussen Reports was the first to show that Republican Scott Brown had a chance to defeat Martha Coakley. Just after Brown’s upset win, Ben Smith at Politico reported, The overwhelming conventional wisdom in both parties until a Rasmussen poll showed the race in single digits in early January was that Martha Coakley was a lock. (It’s hard to recall a single poll changing the mood of a race quite that dramatically.)” A few days later, Public Policy Polling released the first poll showing Brown in the lead, a result differing from Rasmussen’s by 10 points. Rasmussen’s last poll on the race found Coakley with a 2-point lead, when she in fact lost by 5 points, a 7-point error.
A quote from Larry Sabato of the University of Virginia posted on the Rasmussen homepage reads, “Rasmussen produces some of the most accurate and reliable polls in the country today.”
Journalist Mickey Kaus said, “If you have a choice between Rasmussen and, say, the prestigious New York Times, go with Rasmussen.”
Cut off her inheritance.Let her get it from obama.
Note that all these polls over-sample Democrats. Their sole purpose is to disspirit Republicans.
And you're falling for it.
agreed...not only an over sample of Dems but ‘registered’ voters to boot. Pollsters are acting like the turnout will match 2008 of +8 Dem. No frigging way.
So, where did it go wrong? Seriously.