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Hundred-Year Forecast: Drought (So sez the New York Times...)
New York Times ^

Posted on 08/12/2012 5:20:07 PM PDT by Sub-Driver

Hundred-Year Forecast: Drought By CHRISTOPHER R. SCHWALM, CHRISTOPHER A. WILLIAMS and KEVIN SCHAEFER

BY many measurements, this summer’s drought is one for the record books. But so was last year’s drought in the South Central states. And it has been only a decade since an extreme five-year drought hit the American West. Widespread annual droughts, once a rare calamity, have become more frequent and are set to become the “new normal.”

Until recently, many scientists spoke of climate change mainly as a “threat,” sometime in the future. But it is increasingly clear that we already live in the era of human-induced climate change, with a growing frequency of weather and climate extremes like heat waves, droughts, floods and fires.

Future precipitation trends, based on climate model projections for the coming fifth assessment from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, indicate that droughts of this length and severity will be commonplace through the end of the century unless human-induced carbon emissions are significantly reduced. Indeed, assuming business as usual, each of the next 80 years in the American West is expected to see less rainfall than the average of the five years of the drought that hit the region from 2000 to 2004.

That extreme drought (which we have analyzed in a new study in the journal Nature-Geoscience) had profound consequences for carbon sequestration, agricultural productivity and water resources: plants, for example, took in only half the carbon dioxide they do normally, thanks to a drought-induced drop in photosynthesis.

(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: climatechange; globalwarming; globalwarminghoax
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Paging Chicken Little..........
1 posted on 08/12/2012 5:20:12 PM PDT by Sub-Driver
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To: Sub-Driver

These mopes can’t tell if it’s gonna rain nest Tuesday.


2 posted on 08/12/2012 5:23:18 PM PDT by jessduntno ("Clamo, clamatis, omnes clamamus pro glace lactis." - Universal truth.)
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To: Sub-Driver

These mopes can’t tell if it’s gonna rain next Tuesday.


3 posted on 08/12/2012 5:23:41 PM PDT by jessduntno ("Clamo, clamatis, omnes clamamus pro glace lactis." - Universal truth.)
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To: Sub-Driver

The southern Michigan drought has broken thank God. Unfortunately it was too little, too late.

Maybe next year.


4 posted on 08/12/2012 5:24:47 PM PDT by cripplecreek (What does it profit a man if he gains the whole world but loses his soul?)
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To: Sub-Driver

I grew up in the west. There were several memorable droughts during my childhood. I also remember reading in Time or Newsweek that all of North Ameica was going to become Artic like - covered with snow and ice.

Seeing how that turned out colors my view of the whole climate change crowd. Someone should explain to them about cylical weather patterns - using very small words, lots of pictures and brightly colored easy to understand graphs.


5 posted on 08/12/2012 5:28:58 PM PDT by Roses0508 (th)
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To: Sub-Driver

So the Democrat house organ has taken to politicizing the weather


6 posted on 08/12/2012 5:30:03 PM PDT by chuckee
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To: Sub-Driver

I’m going to start stockpiling life jackets, rafts, small watercraft, and umbrellas.


7 posted on 08/12/2012 5:31:55 PM PDT by nascarnation
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To: chuckee
They are going to use it as an excuse for Obie's lousy economy. Bank on it. Obie goes from blaming Bush to blaming God.
8 posted on 08/12/2012 5:33:19 PM PDT by gov_bean_ counter (Too many thinking Freepers have left the building...)
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To: Sub-Driver

Saw the lede.

Went to the link without really looking.

Saw NYT...immediately left...nothing even resembling real science at the NYT.


9 posted on 08/12/2012 5:34:31 PM PDT by Da Coyote
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To: nascarnation

I better drag my boat up here by the house and tie it to the tree next to my bedroom winder.


10 posted on 08/12/2012 5:34:41 PM PDT by cripplecreek (What does it profit a man if he gains the whole world but loses his soul?)
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To: Roses0508

“Someone should explain to them...”

Facts wouldn’t mean diddly-squat. Their pea-brains are already so deeply-invested in AlGoreBullshit, it would only enrage them more. They’ve almost fully-infected the upcoming generation with it, now, and that’s going to be impossible to undo anytime soon.


11 posted on 08/12/2012 5:38:37 PM PDT by Carriage Hill (Harry Reid [PERVERT-NV] has Vickie-the-goat in lingerie & stiletto heels, tied-up in his office.)
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To: Sub-Driver

This is not the first La Nina we have ever experienced and it will not be the last, but the New York Times never passes up an opportunity for demagoguery.


12 posted on 08/12/2012 5:39:10 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Government is the religion of the sociopath.)
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To: Roses0508
These folks should take a look at a map of the northern U.S. and all of Canada east of the Rocky Mountains. All those blue things of various sizes and shapes are remnants of the Laurentide Ice Sheet from the last ice age, which only ended about 10,000 years ago (a very short period of time, in geological terms).

I challenge any of the dingbats who write these stupid "climate change" articles to tell me exactly what period of time in these last 10,000 years was "normal" in any comparative sense.

13 posted on 08/12/2012 5:40:55 PM PDT by Alberta's Child ("If you touch my junk, I'm gonna have you arrested.")
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To: cripplecreek
I better drag my boat up here by the house and tie it to the tree next to my bedroom winder.

You're not a native Michigander, only southerners know the real pronunciation of the word "window".

14 posted on 08/12/2012 5:41:13 PM PDT by Graybeard58 (If you fear Obama, you'll vote for Romney. If you fear God, you won't.)
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15 posted on 08/12/2012 5:46:23 PM PDT by RedMDer (https://support.woundedwarriorproject.org/default.aspx?tsid=93destr)
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To: Graybeard58

I’m native but we have a lot of southerners in my neck of the woods. Coon huntin and all.


16 posted on 08/12/2012 5:50:26 PM PDT by cripplecreek (What does it profit a man if he gains the whole world but loses his soul?)
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To: Sub-Driver
Well, it would seem the Anasazi Indians experienced climate change too, about the time of Christ. "...there is much speculation that the Anasazi left due to changing climates that shortened the crop growing season..."

Danged SUVs!!

17 posted on 08/12/2012 5:51:50 PM PDT by Islander7 (There is no septic system so vile, so filthy, the left won't drink from to further their agenda)
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To: Sub-Driver

In the West, it’s my understanding it’s not so much “the new normal” as a reversion to the historical mean.


18 posted on 08/12/2012 5:52:06 PM PDT by DuncanWaring (The Lord uses the good ones; the bad ones use the Lord.)
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To: jessduntno

“These mopes can’t tell if it’s gonna rain nest Tuesday.”

___

They can’t figure out which side of their a$$ goes in back in the morning.


19 posted on 08/12/2012 5:57:40 PM PDT by mongo141 (Revolution ver. 2.0, just a matter of when, not a matter of if!)
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To: Sub-Driver
If The Slimes predicts darkness at midnight, I'm setting my alarm to make sure.
20 posted on 08/12/2012 6:03:25 PM PDT by Happy Rain ("Not voting for Ryan? Obama love you long time.")
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