Skip to comments.Intrade moving towards Romney (vanity)
Posted on 08/13/2012 10:19:54 AM PDT by tatown
Current: Obama 56.8, Romney 42.0
Just prior to Ryan pick, the numbers were about 62.0 Obama, and 37.0 Romney. The numbers have been moving steadily in Romney's direction since the Ryan pick.
It’s still too high but when more accurate polling is released and we pass up labor day we should be in better shape.
A couple of notes: InTrade was at 57% a couple of weeks ago but I would not be surprised if some pro-Obama polls had moved the needle up for Obama. Secondly, a lot of bettors are outside the country and so they often get their news and information distorted by sources like CNN International who still act like Obma is universally loved and admired.
Just can’t trust Intrade. The wisdom of the crowd hasn’t been very smart as of late.
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