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LAMBRO: Romney polls overtake Obama-Presidentís approval plummeting
The Washington Times ^ | August 16, 2012 | Donald Lambro

Posted on 08/16/2012 8:45:43 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

Let’s get a few things straight about the presidential race between President Obama and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney. It’s not a dead heat anymore.

Everyone knew this was going to be a close race, but as of this week, Mr. Romney moved slightly ahead of President Obama. Not by much, maybe a couple of points, but he clearly has begun to move into the lead.

Heading into July, the race clearly was a tie, with the Gallup Poll showing each candidate at 46 percent in its head-to-head daily surveys. But something happened this week that appears to have changed the political equation.

Perhaps it was Mr. Romney’s choice of veteran Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin, chairman of the powerful House Budget Committee. Or more evidence of the Obama economy’s persistent weakness and soaring gasoline prices. Or the tough TV ads Mr. Romney’s campaign has begun running after months of being punched around by an avalanche of negative ads in the battleground states.

Whatever the reason, the numbers began slowly but clearly to edge Mr. Romney’s way, and Mr. Obama’s numbers took a nose dive on his job-approval ratings.

The first indication that Mr. Obama’s shaky presidency was taking a tumble came Monday, when the Gallup Poll’s daily tracking survey showed his job-approval numbers plunging to 43 percent and his disapproval climbing to 50 percent.

Then, on Wednesday, Gallup’s candidate matchup suddenly was leaning in Mr. Romney’s direction, 47 percent to the president’s 45 percent. That’s where things stood heading into Friday.

While a number of factors are contributing to Mr. Obama’s slight decline and Mr. Romney’s rise in the national polls, there is no doubt the economy and jobs are the biggest factors driving this race...

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtontimes.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; obama; polls; romney; ryan
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1 posted on 08/16/2012 8:45:54 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Romney is ahead by 5 points nationally at least. Take that to the bank.


2 posted on 08/16/2012 8:48:20 PM PDT by Lurker (Violence is rarely the answer. But when it is it is the only answer.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

You didn’t build that, ChikFilA following Obama’s evolution in May, Biden, unemployment, Paul Ryan, Rahm Emmanuel and Menino, campaigning with Sandra the Fluke. Coal miners, Pipe fitters, 99 weeks of unemployment running out and economy no better than when they started. All good news for Obama..


3 posted on 08/16/2012 8:53:14 PM PDT by taterjay
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Here's what has changed: the arrival of Rep. Paul Ryan--one of the smartest persons in Washington, DC--as Romney's running mate. And that has to really scare the daylights out of the Obama campaign because Romney will "let Ryan be Ryan," and that will promptly make one Joe Biden look even less intellectual in comparison.

(By the way, here's the more scary thing for the Democrats: Ryan was working as one of the best staffers for the influential Empower America lobbying group in 1995, back when one Steve Forbes was running the organization. It's more than likely that Ryan may have helped Forbes devise the flat tax system that Forbes proposed in 1996. If the Romney/Ryan campaign announces they will support a no-loophole flat tax proposal similar to the Forbes proposal, the race is effectively OVER because you'll never get the Obama campaign to support such a radical income tax overhaul.)

4 posted on 08/16/2012 8:53:40 PM PDT by RayChuang88 (FairTax: America's economic cure)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
I want to state for the record that I was Anti-Obama BEFORE it was cool!
5 posted on 08/16/2012 8:54:54 PM PDT by Jim from C-Town (The government is rarely benevolent, often malevolent and never benign!)
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To: Lurker

I know this sounds crazy, but as a small business person, I am more angry today about obamas you didn’t build that rant than ever!

FUBO!!!!!!

Romney Ryan - Rescue and Recovery.


6 posted on 08/16/2012 8:57:59 PM PDT by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
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To: Lurker

Ryan Rally: Romney beating Obama in new swing states poll
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-gop/2919359/posts

In Florida, 17% Change Vote Because of Ryan VP Pick; Vote Changers by 4:3 are Drawn To Romney
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-gop/2918847/posts


7 posted on 08/16/2012 8:58:53 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (You cannot invade the mainland United States. There would be a rifle behind every blade of grass.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Gallup still polling registered voters so these numbers have to have Obama worried big time.


8 posted on 08/16/2012 8:59:22 PM PDT by Doofer (Still, a man hears what he wants to hear and disregards the rest.)
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To: taterjay

To top it off, the dem convention will be nothing but a freak show of the bottom dwellers of society.


9 posted on 08/16/2012 9:00:14 PM PDT by dandiegirl
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To: RayChuang88

I volunteered on the Forbes Iowa caucus campaign back in 1996. Nice guy.


10 posted on 08/16/2012 9:03:45 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (You cannot invade the mainland United States. There would be a rifle behind every blade of grass.)
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To: Lurker

And that is by polling +13 Dem


11 posted on 08/16/2012 9:07:20 PM PDT by jcsjcm (This country was built on exceptionalism and individualism. In God we Trust - Laus Deo)
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To: dandiegirl
The New Black Panther Party may be planning violence at the Republican convention in Tampa, to judge by their current rhetoric. If so, let's hope no innocent people get hurt.

If this happens, I wonder how Valerie Jarrett will tell Obama to handle the situation. As a Chicagoan, she undoubtedly knows that the mayhem at the Democratic convention in 1968 hurt the Democrats' chances in the election. Will she figure that violence in Tampa will hurt the Republicans? (She doesn't seem to be particularly bright.)

12 posted on 08/16/2012 9:07:53 PM PDT by Verginius Rufus
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I can see an R & R landslide on November 6th from my window.


13 posted on 08/16/2012 9:07:53 PM PDT by Hotlanta Mike (Resurrect the House Committee on Un-American Activities (HUAC)...before there is no America!)
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To: Verginius Rufus
If the New Black Panther Party tries to do anything violent during the Republican National Convention, it would HUGELY turn people off to the Democrats because that would equate the Democrats with political violence.
14 posted on 08/16/2012 9:16:16 PM PDT by RayChuang88 (FairTax: America's economic cure)
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To: Hotlanta Mike

I wish.

But demographics is destiny. It’s Obama advantage going into the election with all the big bi-coastal states going for Obama. Traditional solid red states have now become so-called “swing” states and as the NY Times article today points out most of the independents are already decided. It’s now down to a tiny 3% of real “undecideds” in our electorate. It all depends on turn out. The ground game. SEIU and ADFL-CIO have pledged to have some 500,000 troopers on call come the week before election day.


15 posted on 08/16/2012 9:16:50 PM PDT by Steelfish (ui)
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To: RayChuang88

Agreed. Paul Ryan has a secret power that will doom all Dems; he can do arithmetic.

One other thing, the other sides playing their second-string this time. All of ‘bam’s starters are off the field.
We owe ValJar our thanks.


16 posted on 08/16/2012 9:19:10 PM PDT by tsomer
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To: Steelfish
I have to disagree here. The pick of Paul Ryan--whom the Democrats just can't really figure out how to denounce--has sent the Obama campaign for such a loop they may never recover. Ryan's selection has HUGELY energized the Conservative voter base and even strongly swung "swing voters" in favor of Romney/Ryan. And it may get worse for the Democrats if they decide to support same-sex marriages in the party plank during the Democratic National Convention, given what we saw from the huge support for Chick-fil-A a few weeks ago.
17 posted on 08/16/2012 9:22:04 PM PDT by RayChuang88 (FairTax: America's economic cure)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

“Whatever the reason, the numbers began slowly but clearly to edge Mr. Romney’s way, and Mr. Obama’s numbers took a nose dive on his job-approval ratings.”

I hope we get lots of pictures when the Kenyan and his Wookie are dragged out of the White House. You know they won’t leave without stealing stuff and eating all the food. If it’s not nailed down they’ll take it.

Anyone know if Bill and Hillary ever returned the White House china and stuff?


18 posted on 08/16/2012 9:28:33 PM PDT by 1035rep (Obama: "I killed Bin Laden" ...you didn't do that. Somebody else made that happen.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Do you think it’s possible that Newt be the WH Spokesman?

Not sure if Romney would decide to choose him.

If chosen, not sure if Newt would accept.


19 posted on 08/16/2012 9:30:41 PM PDT by tsowellfan (Voting for Obama/Biden is like purposely swallowing two tapeworms)
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To: 1035rep
If it’s not nailed down they’ll take it.

More like, If it's not bolted down, they'll nail it...

20 posted on 08/16/2012 9:35:15 PM PDT by FDNYRHEROES (It's 3 AM. Let me sleep on it. I'll get back to you in 16 hours.)
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To: tsowellfan

I doubt if a former Speaker of the House (the 2nd or 3rd most powerful position in our government) would accept a job normally given to a reporter.


21 posted on 08/16/2012 9:36:05 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (You cannot invade the mainland United States. There would be a rifle behind every blade of grass.)
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To: 1035rep
In 1980 Reagan was behind Carter till the Sunday before the election...I look for a landslide....do not believe the polls till the very end...Obama has never been in a close race ever....If Mittens takes the gloves of watch out..
22 posted on 08/16/2012 9:45:18 PM PDT by Hojczyk
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To: tsowellfan
You go to damascus for the gold? NO!

Why then do you go to damascus?

Effendi? For L'awrence!!

23 posted on 08/16/2012 9:47:42 PM PDT by going hot (Happiness is a momma deuce)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
We must work for the Romney, Ryan team. Obama the prince of liars and hate mongers must be defeated or he kills America.
24 posted on 08/16/2012 10:07:12 PM PDT by Armaggedon
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To: RayChuang88

Romney did not connect with movement conservatives, like Ryan has. And you get us ‘broken glass’ conservatives rooting for you, and we will drag Romney over the finish line if we have to.


25 posted on 08/16/2012 10:08:47 PM PDT by CT
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Yeah, that’s what I was thinking. I was going to add another question “would he feel insulted?” to that for the very reason you mentioned.

I do think Newt would do it. He’s always been in it for America. Not for politics or personal gain. For that reason I think Newt would do it.


26 posted on 08/16/2012 10:11:40 PM PDT by tsowellfan (Voting for Obama/Biden is like purposely swallowing two tapeworms)
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To: Armaggedon

I can’t believe that Ryan VP pick really took them off their game.

They didn’t plan for it.

They didn’t plan for Romney to go on offense on Medicare.

Now Romney and Ryan better keep being unpredictable and offense.
That is the way to defeat Obama and Axelrod.


27 posted on 08/16/2012 10:13:09 PM PDT by preamble
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To: tsowellfan

Keep that lying deceitful adulterer away from the national scene. We need men that don’t think with their anatomy but actually use the brains God gave them


28 posted on 08/16/2012 10:16:52 PM PDT by yldstrk (My heroes have always been cowboys)
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To: tsowellfan

Newt............bah!


29 posted on 08/16/2012 10:17:50 PM PDT by yldstrk (My heroes have always been cowboys)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I think it’s because of a few things:

-As others have rightly pointed out, picking Paul Ryan was one of the best moves Romney has made so far this campaign. Conservatives on the fence about Romney got a major reassurance, and independents are seeing a guy who is experienced, smart, likable, and serious about the issues.

-Obama is out of excuses. He’s four years into a four year term, and people are tired of hearing about what he inherited. They’re tired of bad jobs growth, high fuel prices, and high food prices (something that isn’t get a lot media attention, but matters a lot to families on a budget). Voters are looking for solutions, not empty promises, and Obama has none (solutions, that is).

-Obama/Biden are scaring the heck out of people with their “base rallying” statements, and ticking off people with their increasingly shrill attacks. I’m not going to say negative campaign is ineffective, because history has shown otherwise. But there is a big difference between pummeling someone on the issues and the sort of spew we’re getting out of the Hopey-Changey team these days. I still believe that the overwhelming majority of American voters are, by and large, are a fair-minded bunch. And I believe a lot of those fair-minded folks have a growing disgust for the kinds of things Obama and his team are putting out there.


30 posted on 08/16/2012 10:26:50 PM PDT by DemforBush
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To: RayChuang88

“Ryan’s selection has HUGELY energized the Conservative voter base and even strongly swung “swing voters” in favor of Romney/Ryan.”

Well, Maybe. However, Palin energized the whoha outta conservatives. Heck, I thought I’d died and gone to heaven; but then on election day I was sure I’d died and gone to hell.

The MSM will do everything in its power to drag Zero over the line ahead of Romney, and lots of voters still think the color of Obama’s skin is the most important consideration in the race. It will take lots of work and money for Romney/Ryan to make a race out of this thing.


31 posted on 08/16/2012 10:31:40 PM PDT by olrtex
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

“plummeting” is pretty optimistic. On Real Clear Politics there is only one recent poll of likely voters: Rasmussen with Romney +1.


32 posted on 08/16/2012 10:33:20 PM PDT by expat1000
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To: dandiegirl
To top it off, the dem convention will be nothing but a freak show of the bottom dwellers of society.

And the media will celebrate the freaks as if these people are mainstream.
33 posted on 08/16/2012 11:06:41 PM PDT by snarkytart (http://www.freerepubli224%2C1)
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To: Hotlanta Mike

I like that- it would make a great campaign line: After all of Obama’s vacations, America needs a little R&R.


34 posted on 08/16/2012 11:19:16 PM PDT by Apparatchik (If you find yourself in a confusing situation, simply laugh knowingly and walk away - Jim Ignatowski)
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To: olrtex

Ryan should brace himself for the Palin Treatment from the MSM. They are going to get desperate. And nasty.


35 posted on 08/16/2012 11:21:12 PM PDT by Apparatchik (If you find yourself in a confusing situation, simply laugh knowingly and walk away - Jim Ignatowski)
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To: Steelfish
All the big bi-coastal states are NOT going for Obama: Virginia is nosing into the too close to call, Florida is going for Romney / Ryan, North Carolina is solidly red.

Traditional solid red states which went for Obaama in 2008 are now returning to the fold; it is the purple and blue states which are switching to Romney.

WTF are you doing listening to the NY Slimes for?

The tine 3% "undecideds" are those who are too chicken-sh*t cowed to admit they got scammed by Hopey-Changey and are afraid of being called "raaaacist."

Turn-out? Look at Chik-Fil-A day. I got your turnout right there.

And SEIU and ADFL-CIO have people on the ground, but a LOT of union rank-and-file are going to vote Romney-Ryan. (Look at the coal miners for example; or the auto workers whose jobs have been disappearing...)

Nice try, troll-boy.

Cheers!

36 posted on 08/17/2012 12:15:18 AM PDT by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: expat1000

RealClearPolitics seems to be a lagging indicator, about 5 days behind because their averages take into account polls from way-back-when that nobody else even remembers. Look at the polls since Congressman Ryan was announced as the VP pick by Governor Romney, especially those since Monday. Different picture, isn’t it?


37 posted on 08/17/2012 1:50:41 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (You cannot invade the mainland United States. There would be a rifle behind every blade of grass.)
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To: taterjay; 2ndDivisionVet

Both of you are right. “You didn’t build that” probably will be the four words that ended the Obama regime. The other micro evidence that people are ignoring I think is impt: the northern VA poll that only had Zero up 4 in a region he won by 23; the seniors poll in FL showing Mitt leading among the Medicare set; the swing state poll showing Romney leading in OH, VA, and FL.


38 posted on 08/17/2012 3:24:49 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: RayChuang88
Romney will "let Ryan be Ryan," and that will promptly make one Joe Biden look even less intellectual in comparison.


39 posted on 08/17/2012 3:44:08 AM PDT by Disambiguator
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

40 posted on 08/17/2012 3:50:32 AM PDT by Fresh Wind ('People have got to know whether or not their president is a crook.' Richard M. Nixon)
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To: Fresh Wind

“If it’s not nailed down they’ll take it.
More like, If it’s not bolted down, they’ll nail it... “

My guess is they have already started shipping off site.


41 posted on 08/17/2012 4:24:32 AM PDT by DaveA37
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

If Romeny’s not ahead by 10+ points come mid-October, the People aren’t paying attention.


42 posted on 08/17/2012 4:40:51 AM PDT by trebb ("If a man will not work, he should not eat" From 2 Thes 3)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Hussein NEVER expected that Romneys people would get down as dirty as his peeps. Now he whines that it’s just not fair that he be treated like he treats others. I am worried though that he will demand civil war on “racist” grounds when he’s not reelected.


43 posted on 08/17/2012 4:48:19 AM PDT by freeangel ( (free speech is only good until someone else doesn't like it)
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To: Lurker

Everything I have ever heard or read suggests that the “undecideds” tend to break with 75% of them going for the challenger vs the incumbent. Most polls currently show about 4 percent undecided. Given the above, that says 3 percent will go to Romney.


44 posted on 08/17/2012 5:15:46 AM PDT by AlphaOneAlpha
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To: Hotlanta Mike

“I can see an R & R landslide on November 6th from my window.”

So, you are saying that R2 (Romney/Ryan) are going to beat B2 (Barak/Biden)


45 posted on 08/17/2012 5:21:41 AM PDT by AlphaOneAlpha
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Comments?

Any poll that shows dropping approval for 0bama is racist.


46 posted on 08/17/2012 5:23:03 AM PDT by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter knows whom he's working fors)
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To: tsomer

“Paul Ryan has a secret power that will doom all Dems; he can do arithmetic.”

DOING the arithmetic is not his secret power. His ability to EXPLAIN it is what will doom the Dems.


47 posted on 08/17/2012 5:25:59 AM PDT by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter knows whom he's working fors)
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To: freeangel

If R&R wins in November we are not out of the woods. At the very least Zero will unleash a flood of odious executive orders that will have far-reaching and possibly irreparable consequences. At worst-well, we all have good imaginations and know what could happen. We should all stay on high alert until Jan 20. And maybe thereafter.


48 posted on 08/17/2012 5:26:37 AM PDT by jboot (This isn't your father's America. Stay safe and keep your powder dry.)
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To: AlphaOneAlpha
Obama?

McKayla is not impressed.

49 posted on 08/17/2012 5:27:35 AM PDT by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter knows whom he's working fors)
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To: Hotlanta Mike

I wholeheartedly agree. See my tagline..

Some great posts and reasons in this thread...

Let’s add the folks at ‘Crumb and Get it’, the bakery in Radford, Va. who (politely) refused to serve as a backdrop campaign stop for Biden. American workers, citizens, small businesses and military are fed up. I’m beginning to see light at the end of this long dark 4 year tunnel.


50 posted on 08/17/2012 5:28:05 AM PDT by SueRae (See it? Hell, I can TASTE November from my house!)
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