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GALLUP : ROMNEY 47% OBAMA 45%
Gallup ^ | AUGUST 16, 2012 | Gallup

Posted on 08/17/2012 4:14:28 PM PDT by RobinMasters

These are the results when registered voters are asked: "Suppose the presidential election were held today. If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and Mitt Romney were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you vote for Barack Obama, the Democrat or Mitt Romney, the Republican?" Those who are undecided are further asked if they lean more toward Obama or Romney and their leanings are incorporated into the results. Each seven-day rolling average is based on telephone interviews with approximately 3,050 registered voters; Margin of error is ±2 percentage points. Results from April 15 through May 6 are based on five-day rolling averages with approximately 2,200 registered voters each; Margin of error is ±3 percentage points. Editorial note: Due to a technical issue, the May 1-5 data point is not displayed at this time.

(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; gallup
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1 posted on 08/17/2012 4:14:29 PM PDT by RobinMasters
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To: RobinMasters

Anyone have a recent history of Gallup and other polls for these two upstarts? Wonder if Romney has shown ahead in any of the previous polls.


2 posted on 08/17/2012 4:18:00 PM PDT by PapaNew
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To: RobinMasters

45%............ how?


3 posted on 08/17/2012 4:19:13 PM PDT by ronnie raygun (bb)
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To: RobinMasters
That's incredible. I don't think Reagan was ahead of Carter at this point in the cycle.

Which, ironically, was, only five months - to the day - after the TV show That's Incredible went on the air.

4 posted on 08/17/2012 4:21:32 PM PDT by Steely Tom (If the Constitution can be a living document, I guess a corporation can be a person.)
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To: ronnie raygun

How did Obama win the first time?


5 posted on 08/17/2012 4:21:55 PM PDT by dfwgator
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To: RobinMasters

The last time polls started looking like this after a VP pick, Soros and company crashed the derivatives market and foolish McCain tried to be viewed as riding in to save the day, beginning a downward spiral. The Dims are nothing if not repetative. I wonder what’s coming up next.


6 posted on 08/17/2012 4:22:33 PM PDT by Ingtar (Everyone complains about the weather, but only Liberals try to legislate it.)
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To: RobinMasters
These are the results when registered voters are asked ...

Note: REGISTERED VOTERS.

The more accurate LIKELY VOTERS will, according to our ace enemy and almost ace analyst Nate Silver of the NYT, add 2 points to the R column. That would make it Romney 49, Obama 45. I like that.

Plus you can give Romney another point for the UNDECIDED voters who will mostly break for the challenger. We are looking good right now.

7 posted on 08/17/2012 4:24:21 PM PDT by InterceptPoint (.)
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To: Ingtar

Not sure Soros will have a whole lot cooking this time around. Believe it or not, the old bastard is engaged to be married.


8 posted on 08/17/2012 4:24:48 PM PDT by Marathoner (GTFO: January 21, 2013)
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To: Ingtar
I wonder what’s coming up next.

Obama's problem is that another market crash, something he probably has the wherewithal to orchestrate, would work against him. Likewise a Wag the Dog war would not set well with his liberal base. And he seems stuck with Joe.

There will be an October Surprise but I'm thinking it will be more of an October Whimper.

9 posted on 08/17/2012 4:29:17 PM PDT by InterceptPoint (.)
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To: InterceptPoint
Got that right. Consider the polling in the last two weeks:

Northern VA poll that showed Zero up 4 in a region he won by 23 in 08;

Seniors poll of AARP members in FL showing Romney with a lead (!)

Yesterday's "swing state" poll showing Romney up in OH, FL, VA, and only trailing in CO.

Rasmussen WI, Romney up

Rasmussen FL, Romney up

Rasmussen OH, Romney tied

Rasmussen 9/10 days, Romney up (Today Ras has Zero up one, probably a statistical variation)

And, on top of all this, the Franklin Marshall poll showed ZEro up 6 in PA . . . after oversampling Dems by 13%!!

Now we have a two point Gallup lead in REGISTERED voters, which means in all likelihood it means a four point lead, as you say.

Throw in Senate trends (Thompson up big in WI, Mandel tied in OH---the only bad news is Mack down seven in FL) and this is, yes, shaping up as a blowout.

10 posted on 08/17/2012 4:32:08 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: dfwgator

Biden carried him.


11 posted on 08/17/2012 4:33:45 PM PDT by Gator113 (I would have voted for NEWT, now it's Ryan and the other guy.~Just livin' life, my way~)
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To: dfwgator

Biden carried him.


12 posted on 08/17/2012 4:33:49 PM PDT by Gator113 (I would have voted for NEWT, now it's Ryan and the other guy.~Just livin' life, my way~)
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To: Ingtar

One thing is certain, there will be something and it will be dirty.


13 posted on 08/17/2012 4:35:23 PM PDT by Gator113 (I would have voted for NEWT, now it's Ryan and the other guy.~Just livin' life, my way~)
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To: Ingtar

“Soros....what’s coming next”. He’s dumping stocks for Gold. I’d guess he’s betting the Euro goes “Poof” and the S*it finally hits the fan.


14 posted on 08/17/2012 4:39:06 PM PDT by radioone ( Main Stream Media. The Government built that.)
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To: LS
Rasmussen OH, Romney tied

THAT scares me. If Ohio is even close, the Dems will recount and recount and recount until they win. It is amazing how they always manage to "find" lots of uncounted Dem votes after the election is over.

And Ohio could very well decide this election.

15 posted on 08/17/2012 4:41:35 PM PDT by America_Right (Remember, Republicans have a lot more in common with Democrats than they do with Tea Partiers.)
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To: RobinMasters

Interesting.


16 posted on 08/17/2012 4:42:58 PM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer (The problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other people's money.)
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To: RobinMasters

This is thanks to VPs in the race: Biden and Ryan.


17 posted on 08/17/2012 4:51:11 PM PDT by Repeal 16-17 (Let me know when the Shooting starts.)
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To: PapaNew

these arwe registered voters and NOT likely voters.... November is ALL about turn out


18 posted on 08/17/2012 4:52:22 PM PDT by Nifster
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To: RobinMasters

Does this poll include any of the good folks being registered under Obama’s Illegal Alien Dreamers Act in the past few days?


19 posted on 08/17/2012 4:53:03 PM PDT by skeeter
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To: RobinMasters

This is nice, but there is only one poll that counts and that is the one on November 6.


20 posted on 08/17/2012 4:54:56 PM PDT by BruceS (If you refuse to support the lesser of two evils, then you are supporting the greater of two evils.)
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To: InterceptPoint
What is the October surprise that Romney/Ryan has in store for Obama? Surprises can cut both ways.
21 posted on 08/17/2012 4:56:15 PM PDT by JPG (Make it happen.)
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To: dfwgator
The Democrats pushed Obama over the finish line the old fashioned way ~ very high Democrat voter turnout.

It gave them 10 million extra votes ~ another way to look at it is that when the GOP-e ran McCain we instantly lost 5 million Conservative voters. That way the Democrats needed only to come up with 5 million new Democrat voters ~ a much easier task than getting the whole 10 million de novo.

They continue to have a great deal of resilience with a buffer of 5 to 10 million voters.

In contrast we have prepared for this contest by running yet another leftwing candidate.

Somebody at the top of the Republican party has several screws loose.

22 posted on 08/17/2012 4:56:54 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: Steely Tom

ACTUALLY, AT THIS POINT rEAGAN WAS 9 POINTS DOWN!


23 posted on 08/17/2012 4:57:48 PM PDT by GilGil
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To: LS

Well, we sure can see the effect FR haters of Romney are having. Who would have thought they couldn’t topple the Ticket? All three hundred of them. Fire away.


24 posted on 08/17/2012 4:58:59 PM PDT by billhilly
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Comment #25 Removed by Moderator

To: GilGil
ACTUALLY, AT THIS POINT rEAGAN WAS 9 POINTS DOWN!

wHOA!

26 posted on 08/17/2012 5:03:32 PM PDT by Steely Tom (If the Constitution can be a living document, I guess a corporation can be a person.)
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To: America_Right
Every State level Elected Official in Ohio is a Republican and after the BS the Democrats put them through with every law that they passed, including redistricting, with ballot initiatives and wailing and gnashing of teeth, I assure you Husted, Kasich and Mandell will have none of their crap. If it is re countable it will be done ONCE and certified. End of story!
27 posted on 08/17/2012 5:05:30 PM PDT by Jim from C-Town (The government is rarely benevolent, often malevolent and never benign!)
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To: Steely Tom

Reagan was about 20 points behind prior to the convention.


28 posted on 08/17/2012 5:06:37 PM PDT by crz
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To: InterceptPoint
Also note the polling ended May 6th.
29 posted on 08/17/2012 5:09:53 PM PDT by Go Gordon (It's barack hussein obama - because he doesn't believe in capitalism.)
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To: GilGil

I think Reagan was nine points down three to four weeks before the election, At this point, he was 20 behind. After the convention he started up and the debates shot him upwards till the weekend before the election when he went ahead of Carter.


30 posted on 08/17/2012 5:09:53 PM PDT by crz
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To: InterceptPoint
Note: REGISTERED VOTERS.

Also note the polling ended May 6th.

31 posted on 08/17/2012 5:10:08 PM PDT by Go Gordon (It's barack hussein obama - because he doesn't believe in capitalism.)
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To: Steely Tom

Lick your chops on this:

http://www.rushlimbaugh.com/daily/2012/07/10/summer_of_1980_poll_flashback_carter_39_reagan_32_anderson_21

Carter up 39%— Reagan 32%. This is like the 1990 congressional elections where no pollster saw how much people hared Hillarycare. This poll does not factor in how much democrats and indies hate Obamacare.


32 posted on 08/17/2012 5:10:10 PM PDT by GilGil
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To: Jim from C-Town
Every State level Elected Official in Ohio is a Republican

Hmmm, I did NOT know that (well, I knew about Kasich). And most of my family lives in Ohio. Thanks!

33 posted on 08/17/2012 5:11:02 PM PDT by America_Right (Remember, Republicans have a lot more in common with Democrats than they do with Tea Partiers.)
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To: muawiyah
so now your strategy is to peddle doom and gloom to help out your Kenyan ? i think we know your agenda and its not to help stop the soros puppet.
34 posted on 08/17/2012 5:11:13 PM PDT by ncalburt (NO MORE WIMPS need to apply to fight the Soros Funded Puppet !H)
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Comment #35 Removed by Moderator

To: muawiyah

“Somebody at the top of the Republican party has several screws loose.”

I must have missed the memo. Look, Romney won the most votes and the most primaries. I supported Newt, but this guy won the process fair and square. No GOP-e clown in New York or Boston anointed this guy. He won. I plan on supporting him against the communist, anti-Christian bigot currently in power.


36 posted on 08/17/2012 5:17:27 PM PDT by crusader71
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To: crz
Reagan was about 20 points behind prior to the convention.

And this is the convention speech that turned it all around back in 1980. I remember watching that speech on the couch at home as a 17-year-old and when it was over, my father, who was a lifelong Democrat, turned to me and said "That's the next president of the United States."

If you haven't seen this speech or it's been a long time since you saw it, I recommend you take 45 minutes out of your time this weekend and view the video at my link above in its entirety. It starts off a little slow, but once you get past Reagan's sop to the ERA crowd (a big social issue at that time), it turns into a rousing barnburner of a speech and I believe this one speech sealed the deal for Reagan that election year.

If Mitt Romney can give a speech half this good later this month at the RNC, Democrat heads will explode all across this country.

37 posted on 08/17/2012 5:19:39 PM PDT by SamAdams76
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To: RobinMasters

Too bad for Gallup and the rest of the Leftist propaganda outlets, likely voters, not register voters is the real professional polling standard. Too bad for Gallup about 40-45% of these “registered voters” do not vote.


38 posted on 08/17/2012 5:23:50 PM PDT by MNJohnnie (Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
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To: RobinMasters

Romney got a bump because he is nominating Ryan as his VP. You can’t dispute that Ryan is a conservative, and so some of the conservatives have jumped on board Romney’s bus. What’s surprising to me is that the bump is only 1 or 2%. Hard to believe that conservatives can give Romney only a 1 or 2% bump. Some of them are still holding back, and frankly, they are fools if they don’t take Romney’s side in the epic battle between Romney/Ryan and Obama/Biden.


39 posted on 08/17/2012 5:27:00 PM PDT by Brilliant
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To: muawiyah

Didn’t Obama just give a bunch of illegals a quick pathway to citizenship this week. The lines were around the block in most cities. That is going to be a problem for Republicans.


40 posted on 08/17/2012 5:28:32 PM PDT by napscoordinator (Attention Republican National Convention voters....Santorum/Bachmann 2012! Dump liberal Romney NOW!)
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To: America_Right
Nah. They said the same thing in 04 and GOP turnout won. The thing in 08 that happened---and we were stunned---was that deep red areas like Centerville, a suburb south of Dayton, had 25% Rs voting for Obama. We thought because our #s turned out we'd be ok. How were we to know that a quarter of them would vote D?

Now, do you think that will happen in 12? No way.

41 posted on 08/17/2012 5:37:21 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: crz
The latest Battleground Poll and Seniors. No wonder Obama is in all out attack. They are losing with Seniors - BIG! Photobucket
42 posted on 08/17/2012 5:42:36 PM PDT by profit_guy
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To: napscoordinator
Just being here legally doesn't give you the right to vote ~ that might be some sort of problem in some places where Democrat dominated voter registration offices don't know that.

This is a Socon issue ~ Romney doesn't care.

43 posted on 08/17/2012 5:43:26 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: profit_guy

Absolutely meaningless poll unless you as “who ya’ gonna’ vote fer” ~ plenty of worthless politicians win office every year.


44 posted on 08/17/2012 5:45:03 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: muawiyah

The poll DOES ask who they are going to vote for, hence Romney 51, Obama 46...


45 posted on 08/17/2012 5:50:25 PM PDT by profit_guy
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To: crusader71
Sorry, he didn't win anything fair and square in Virginia. He tolerated irregular and unethical behavior by his acolytes.

He knows what was done by the MIttbots. A normal man would have been ashamed. He still sends out his junior acolytes to attack people who remind them of this.

I expect this thread to continue on into the wee hours of Sunday morning as the Temple Work guys come on board to focus on my comments yet one more time.

Do you realize how much your responses serve to up my count with Google.com so that threads with my stuff on them become dominant in the search patterns.

46 posted on 08/17/2012 5:50:25 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: muawiyah

CORRECTION: The poll DOES ask who they are going to vote for, hence Romney 51, Obama 45...


47 posted on 08/17/2012 5:52:05 PM PDT by profit_guy
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To: profit_guy
But where is it on that board? I don't see it and just went back to the board to verify that ~ this is an ISSUES poll ~ not a preference poll. Name Recognition is not a preference ~ more like a warning.

BTW, all the old folks know the Democrats are trying to get their stuff. That's why we keep practicing the line: "Hey, you kids, get off my lawn"

48 posted on 08/17/2012 5:53:30 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: Go Gordon

May???

August 10-16, 2012. Note: No Ryan bump per Gallup. Also 47 to 45 the previous 3 weeks.


49 posted on 08/17/2012 5:53:41 PM PDT by InterceptPoint (.)
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To: Ingtar

“Soros and company crashed the derivatives market”

Ban derivatives, if it ain’t real it can’t deal.


50 posted on 08/17/2012 5:59:52 PM PDT by A Strict Constructionist (We're an Oligrachy...Resistance to tyrants is obedience to God. Thomas Jefferson)
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