Posted on 08/17/2012 4:14:28 PM PDT by RobinMasters
These are the results when registered voters are asked: "Suppose the presidential election were held today. If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and Mitt Romney were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you vote for Barack Obama, the Democrat or Mitt Romney, the Republican?" Those who are undecided are further asked if they lean more toward Obama or Romney and their leanings are incorporated into the results. Each seven-day rolling average is based on telephone interviews with approximately 3,050 registered voters; Margin of error is ±2 percentage points. Results from April 15 through May 6 are based on five-day rolling averages with approximately 2,200 registered voters each; Margin of error is ±3 percentage points. Editorial note: Due to a technical issue, the May 1-5 data point is not displayed at this time.
(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...
Anyone have a recent history of Gallup and other polls for these two upstarts? Wonder if Romney has shown ahead in any of the previous polls.
45%............ how?
Which, ironically, was, only five months - to the day - after the TV show That's Incredible went on the air.
How did Obama win the first time?
The last time polls started looking like this after a VP pick, Soros and company crashed the derivatives market and foolish McCain tried to be viewed as riding in to save the day, beginning a downward spiral. The Dims are nothing if not repetative. I wonder what’s coming up next.
Note: REGISTERED VOTERS.
The more accurate LIKELY VOTERS will, according to our ace enemy and almost ace analyst Nate Silver of the NYT, add 2 points to the R column. That would make it Romney 49, Obama 45. I like that.
Plus you can give Romney another point for the UNDECIDED voters who will mostly break for the challenger. We are looking good right now.
Not sure Soros will have a whole lot cooking this time around. Believe it or not, the old bastard is engaged to be married.
Obama's problem is that another market crash, something he probably has the wherewithal to orchestrate, would work against him. Likewise a Wag the Dog war would not set well with his liberal base. And he seems stuck with Joe.
There will be an October Surprise but I'm thinking it will be more of an October Whimper.
Northern VA poll that showed Zero up 4 in a region he won by 23 in 08;
Seniors poll of AARP members in FL showing Romney with a lead (!)
Yesterday's "swing state" poll showing Romney up in OH, FL, VA, and only trailing in CO.
Rasmussen WI, Romney up
Rasmussen FL, Romney up
Rasmussen OH, Romney tied
Rasmussen 9/10 days, Romney up (Today Ras has Zero up one, probably a statistical variation)
And, on top of all this, the Franklin Marshall poll showed ZEro up 6 in PA . . . after oversampling Dems by 13%!!
Now we have a two point Gallup lead in REGISTERED voters, which means in all likelihood it means a four point lead, as you say.
Throw in Senate trends (Thompson up big in WI, Mandel tied in OH---the only bad news is Mack down seven in FL) and this is, yes, shaping up as a blowout.
Biden carried him.
Biden carried him.
One thing is certain, there will be something and it will be dirty.
“Soros....what’s coming next”. He’s dumping stocks for Gold. I’d guess he’s betting the Euro goes “Poof” and the S*it finally hits the fan.
THAT scares me. If Ohio is even close, the Dems will recount and recount and recount until they win. It is amazing how they always manage to "find" lots of uncounted Dem votes after the election is over.
And Ohio could very well decide this election.
Interesting.
This is thanks to VPs in the race: Biden and Ryan.
these arwe registered voters and NOT likely voters.... November is ALL about turn out
Does this poll include any of the good folks being registered under Obama’s Illegal Alien Dreamers Act in the past few days?
This is nice, but there is only one poll that counts and that is the one on November 6.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.