Skip to comments.PPP: Romney slightly ahead in Wisconsin (Leads Obama by 9 among Seniors)
Posted on 08/21/2012 10:56:33 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
PPP's first Wisconsin poll since Mitt Romney announced Paul Ryan as his running mate finds him taking a small lead over Barack Obama in the state, 48-47. That represents a 7 point shift from PPP's last look at the state in early July, which found Obama ahead 50-44.
The biggest change Ryan's selection seems to have brought about is the unification of the GOP. Romney's gone from a 78 point lead with Republicans on our last poll (87-9) to now an 88 point lead with them (93-5). There's also been a tightening with independents. Obama still has a 4 point lead with them at 47-43, but that's down from a 14 point advantage at 53-39 six weeks ago. Democrats are unchanged from the previous poll.
Ryan isn't exactly a universally popular figure in his home state. 49% of voters have a favorable opinion of him to 45% with a negative one. But that does give him the best numbers of anybody on either ticket in the state. Obama has a 46% approval rating with 50% of voters disapproving of him, Romney has a 45/48 favorability rating, and Joe Biden stands at 41/48.
A big reason Wisconsin remains so competitive for the GOP is that the electorate looks like it will be considerably more Republican leaning than it was in 2008, reflecting the continued high energy level of the party's voters after its victory in June's recall election. We find an electorate that's 34% Republican and 32% Democratic. Exit polls in 2008 showed Democrats with a 6 point turnout advantage, 39% to 33%. Although the enthusiasm gap that plagued Democrats nationally in 2010 has dissipated some places, it appears to still be a real issue for them in Wisconsin.
(Excerpt) Read more at publicpolicypolling.com ...
PPP sampled R+2. Is that accurate?
PPP surveyed 1,308 likely Wisconsin voters from August 16
to 19. The margin of error for the survey is +/-2.7%. This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign
or political organization. PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews.
See here for full polling questions:
That is the best way to get seniors to vote for you.
Steal it from the grandkids!
Don’t think so... Not in WI. PPP seems to have a new angle to play. Hopefully Akin is the only person dumb enough to fall for it.
You really can’t steal if from your grandkids. They won’t pay. The government will either outright default, or more likeky inflate the debt away. So we’re stealing from those people who are dumb enough to buy US Treasury junk bonds.
PPP had walker ahead by 3 in their final recall poll. He won by 7 so he was four points under Walker’s final margin. Ras had walker winning by 5 so he was closer too. So a one point lead may indeed be a 3 to 5 point lead. We’ll see.
I suspect so since WI went pubbie in the 2010 election and Walker won the recall by about 7 points. Also, WI has been previously solid Dem. PPP also came in pretty close in calling the recall for Walker.