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Poll shocker: Romney up double-digits in Florida
News-Press ^ | August 21, 2012 | Scott Bihr

Posted on 08/21/2012 7:04:17 PM PDT by RobinMasters

In the most shocking survey this election cycle, a poll released today finds Mitt Romney leading President Barack Obama by 14 percentage points among likely Florida voters.

Foster McCollum White & Associates, Baydoun Consulting and Douglas Fulmer & Associates, of Dearborn, Mich., questioned 1,503 likely Florida voters Friday and found Romney, the presumptive Republican presidential nominee, leading Obama 54%-40%. The poll has a margin of error of +/-2.53%.

Although recent Florida polls have been trending slightly in Romney’s direction (+2% and +1% in the most recent surveys), the jaw-dropping 14-point gap is a shocker. Future polls will determine if this result is ahead of the curve or merely an outlier.

In the U.S. Senate race in Florida, the poll found Rep. Connie Mack IV, R-Fort Myers, leading incumbent Bill Nelson 51%-43%.

(Excerpt) Read more at news-press.net ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates; billnelson; fl2012; mack; maybealittlebro; romney2012
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1 posted on 08/21/2012 7:04:21 PM PDT by RobinMasters
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To: RobinMasters

Nice


2 posted on 08/21/2012 7:06:45 PM PDT by realcleanguy
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To: RobinMasters

Great news!


3 posted on 08/21/2012 7:07:54 PM PDT by proud American in Canada (Pray for America. She is the world's last best hope for freedom.)
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To: RobinMasters

Hard to believe this one. I’d like to see the sample.


4 posted on 08/21/2012 7:08:32 PM PDT by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else)
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To: RobinMasters

My humble guess is that if he’s firmly ahead by twelve points by early September....if I were the President, I’d take my money and leave the state....giving up the chance of winning it. He doesn’t have a vast fortune this time around, and it’s best to spend campaign funding in places where you think you have a chance.

By picking up Medicare as a major topic....it did help Romney to some degree in states like Arizona and Florida.


5 posted on 08/21/2012 7:09:45 PM PDT by pepsionice
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To: nhwingut

Even the 50/50 polls are good news. Energy level low given the out of work young and black voters.


6 posted on 08/21/2012 7:10:05 PM PDT by TigerClaws
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To: RobinMasters

I don’t think the libs know what’s in store for them. Outside of the whackos on MSNBC, DU and the HuffingtonPuffington Post, does anyone know anyone who’s going to vote for Obama?

I don’t. And I live in SOCAL.

We all know that most polls are rigged with oversampling of Dems based on the 2008 turnout in a laughable attempt to prop up Obama and keep him viable. Polls are garbage in, garbage out.

The GOP is going to take the Senate and R&R are going to win in a landslide.


7 posted on 08/21/2012 7:10:39 PM PDT by Signalman
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To: RobinMasters

With numbers like this it is looking like we will win, doesn’t it?

The danger is that Bambi will get desperate and start a war or something.


8 posted on 08/21/2012 7:12:28 PM PDT by garjog
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To: nhwingut

Sending Biden down should help.....NOT. LOL!


9 posted on 08/21/2012 7:12:35 PM PDT by penelopesire (TIME FOR A SPECIAL PROSECUTOR!)
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To: garjog

“The danger is that Bambi will get desperate and start a war or something.”

Hollywood has the “obama found Obama and killed him” propaganda movie in November so that’s supposed to help him..


10 posted on 08/21/2012 7:15:56 PM PDT by max americana (Make the world a better place by punching a liberal in the face)
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To: RobinMasters
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2915386/posts?page=14#14

Obama, A$$elrod, et al., be afraid, be very afraid. My sister lives in Fl.
1. She is lying to the Polls. She claims she loves Obama and will vote for him.
2. 100% of the people she knows who voted for Obama WILL NOT VOTE him this time around.
3. 100% of the youth vote, that she is aware of, who could not vote in 2008 is voting for ABO come November.

Obama be afraid, be very afraid. : )

Posted on August 6, 2012.

Hopefully it will be so come November 2012.

11 posted on 08/21/2012 7:17:43 PM PDT by Chgogal (WSJ, Coulter, Kristol, Krauthammer, Rove et al., STFU. TY)
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To: RobinMasters

With the amount of retirees living down here this does not surprise me. We all see what is going on, and we all know what life was like 50 years ago. I think those of us who are blessed with wisdom know a snow job when we see it. We are not going into this blind like most of the younger voters who vote with their emotions.


12 posted on 08/21/2012 7:17:57 PM PDT by Bringbackthedraft (Who you chose as President isn't as important as his choice of political appointees.)
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To: Signalman
The GOP is going to take the Senate and R&R are going to win in a landslide.

Someone tell the people on FR. They need a clue.

13 posted on 08/21/2012 7:18:25 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: RobinMasters

>> the jaw-dropping 14-point gap is a shocker

No kidding!

Not that I’m disappointed, but I am skeptical. Who the heck is “Foster McCollum White & Associates, Baydoun Consulting and Douglas Fulmer & Associates”?


14 posted on 08/21/2012 7:19:57 PM PDT by Nervous Tick ("You can ignore reality, but you can't ignore the consequences of ignoring reality.")
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To: All

$64,000 question: How much “coat tails” will this have for the house/senate seats?


15 posted on 08/21/2012 7:20:22 PM PDT by Kolath
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To: Signalman

In fairness, have you talked to known Dems/former Obama voters? If yes, that is comforting.


16 posted on 08/21/2012 7:21:03 PM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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To: nhwingut

I’ve never remotely heard of this polling outfit before, and based on previous experience with completely unknown pollsters, I’m extremely dubious of this.

Boy, whatever happened to Mason-Dixon? They were really reliable but they hardly ever seem to release polls anymore.


17 posted on 08/21/2012 7:21:11 PM PDT by Strategerist
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To: Signalman

“does anyone know anyone who’s going to vote for Obama?

I don’t.”


I’m in MA and know quite a few that are voting for Obama,including a couple of my own kids.

.


18 posted on 08/21/2012 7:23:44 PM PDT by Mears
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To: RobinMasters; mickie; flaglady47
I always have my political ear to the ground here in Florida.

The Sunshine State will go solidly for Romney/Ryan.

Count on it.

I am 97.0347228 correct in my predictions.

(I'm quite serious).

Leni

19 posted on 08/21/2012 7:25:00 PM PDT by MinuteGal
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To: Signalman
not going to explain it again but it's not 'oversampling' ~ there really are more folks who self identify as Democrats than as Republicans.

Sad but true.

The randomly chosen people are asked their preferences BEFORE the pollster knows what their party affiliation might be. That comes later.

It ain't 50/50 ~ not even in Free Republic ~ at the moment Conservatives here are outnumbered by the other side(s) ~ you'all need edumacated or somethin',

We have been asked to tend to that later.

It's coming.

20 posted on 08/21/2012 7:25:35 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: rwfromkansas

I know this is not very scientific, but in my little world of 12 co-workers; 6 voted for Obama in 2008 - 4 of those will definitely NOT for him again.


21 posted on 08/21/2012 7:26:53 PM PDT by profit_guy
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To: Strategerist

Background from their website:

“FMW: The Evolution of Excellence in Consulting”
Foster McCollum White & Associates (“FMW”) evolved from a vision for excellence in consulting produced by the broad experience and dynamic business and educational backgrounds of its three principal owners. FMW is the consulting firm of choice for leaders who seek a diverse perspective and pragmatic approach to business, political and organizational challenges and opportunities.

Eric Foster created Foster McCollum White & Associates with an emphasis on integrity and high ethical standards in professional and political services. Collectively, FMW’s reputable team of professionals has more than 70 years of Business, Political, Community Involvement, Legal and Social Activism experience, in numerous industries.

From our base in Michigan, FMW is expanding nationally with customer-focused solutions designed to help our clients reach optimal business goals and exceed industry expectations. We look forward to a relationship with your organization that is rooted in a true commitment to excellence in consulting.

MISSION STATEMENT
Foster McCollum White & Associates formulate strategies to facilitate change based upon client objectives and goals. We provide quantitative measurements derived from analysis, utilizing a special skill set only offered through FMW.

PHILOSOPHY
Integrity and enduring values guide all business operations at Foster McCollum White & Associates. Our prudent manner and attention to detail ensures that our clients recognize our commitment to their success from the initial meeting to final delivery. We maintain a team of professionals with specialized expertise and promise our clients that FMW will always provide cost effective, results-oriented solutions.


22 posted on 08/21/2012 7:28:28 PM PDT by randita (Paul Ryan is "Mr. Smith goes to Washington.")
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To: RobinMasters

As everybody else has said, I would like to know much more about this polling outfit and the methodology they used to come up with this.


23 posted on 08/21/2012 7:30:43 PM PDT by rdl6989 (January 20, 2013 The end of an error.)
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To: MinuteGal

I am 97.0347228 correct in my predictions.

Add a few of my Florida buddies as supporters to the mix (to quote Carl from ATHF: “Stone cold lock of the day”)

%97.03647232


24 posted on 08/21/2012 7:30:51 PM PDT by Kolath
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To: All


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25 posted on 08/21/2012 7:31:09 PM PDT by musicman (Until I see the REAL Long Form Vault BC, he's just "PRES__ENT" Obama = Without "ID")
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To: RobinMasters
Is this one of the first likely polls? All I remember seeing until now is registered voter polls. The talking heads were saying it was too early to predict likely voters before. If this is true, it lends credence to what Dick Morris says about an incumbent below 50% never getting enough of the undecided back.
26 posted on 08/21/2012 7:32:25 PM PDT by JediJones (Too Hot for GOP TV: Newt Gingrich, Sarah Palin, Allen West and Donald Trump)
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Carl’s Stone Cold Pick...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9EVnuCASBDQ


27 posted on 08/21/2012 7:33:00 PM PDT by Kolath
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To: Signalman

” The GOP is going to take the Senate and R&R are going to win in a landslide.”

Maybe , but we have to find a way to KEEP the majority in both Houses for the forseeable future . Not much good if we are going to hand it back to the left in 4 or 8 years . Been that route time and time again .


28 posted on 08/21/2012 7:33:09 PM PDT by sushiman
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To: Signalman
Outside of the whackos on MSNBC, DU and the HuffingtonPuffington Post, does anyone know anyone who’s going to vote for Obama?

Yep. I hear people singing the praises for Obamacare every day in the Philadelphia area.

29 posted on 08/21/2012 7:34:03 PM PDT by JediJones (Too Hot for GOP TV: Newt Gingrich, Sarah Palin, Allen West and Donald Trump)
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To: max americana
Hollywood has the “obama found Obama and killed him” propaganda movie in November so that’s supposed to help him..

No, its release was pushed until December. And supposedly Obama is not seen in the movie at all, so that would make it hard for it to be an Obama propaganda piece I think. Kathryn Bigelow is a serious, quality-oriented director, with an anti-war bias to be sure, but not at the expense of making a realistic film. I expect this one to be a serious war and strategy film like her K19: The Widowmaker was. She's probably the best female director of action films that's ever existed.

30 posted on 08/21/2012 7:37:58 PM PDT by JediJones (Too Hot for GOP TV: Newt Gingrich, Sarah Palin, Allen West and Donald Trump)
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To: RobinMasters
Rasmussen had Nelson ahead 47%-40% over Mack on Aug 17. They had Romney up 45%-43% over Obama in FL on Aug 15.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_senate_elections/florida/election_2012_florida_senate

31 posted on 08/21/2012 7:40:45 PM PDT by Ken H
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To: JediJones

When Mark Boal, the writer was given sensitive information that no civilian is supposed to see, that is a definite no-no to me..regardless of Bigelow’s pedigree.


32 posted on 08/21/2012 7:46:45 PM PDT by max americana (Make the world a better place by punching a liberal in the face)
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To: sushiman

Maybe , but we have to find a way to KEEP the majority in both Houses for the forseeable future . Not much good if we are going to hand it back to the left in 4 or 8 years . Been that route time and time again .

$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

1) Bring God back into this country
2) Secure the border and STOP illegal immigration
3) Require voters to show ID
4) Cleanse the voter rolls
5) Grow the economy by incentivizing small business with lower taxes and less regulation
6) Scrap the tax code
5) Bring God back into this country


33 posted on 08/21/2012 7:49:37 PM PDT by Eccl 10:2 (Prov 3:5 --- "Trust in the Lord with all your heart and lean not on your own understanding")
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To: RobinMasters

No surprise but great news!


34 posted on 08/21/2012 7:49:46 PM PDT by 1035rep (Obama: "I killed Bin Laden" ...you didn't do that. Somebody else made that happen.)
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To: profit_guy

“I know this is not very scientific, but in my little world of 12 co-workers; 6 voted for Obama in 2008 - 4 of those will definitely NOT for him again.”

And here’s the really important thing about this and other anecdotal reports like it: people will be talking to each other about this. Maybe not to strangers, but to those they are close to at work and family. And they’ll be discussing why they changed their minds about voting for Obama again. And folks that haven’t yet made up their minds, particularly those who are thinking about switching, will be listening.

I urge everyone on FR to use the soft sell to anyone they know who is open to an honest discussion. Engage people. Ask what they are thinking, and then gently seize on any doubts and subtly interject facts and statistics to buttress those doubts. For sure, do not waste any time at all with Obamabots. Spend your time only where it might make a difference.


35 posted on 08/21/2012 7:53:29 PM PDT by catnipman ((Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!))
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To: RobinMasters
Foster McCollum White & Associates, Baydoun Consulting and Douglas Fulmer & Associates, of Dearborn, Mich/

Dick Morris has hinted of seeing internals from an un-named firm, hush-hush-bla-bla-bla, that Romney is doing fine etc in his estimation... I wonder if these are the guys...

36 posted on 08/21/2012 7:53:55 PM PDT by taildragger (( Palin / Mulally 2012 ))
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To: RobinMasters
2008 + IN, NC, FL, VA, OH, NV o/r IA = 271EV
37 posted on 08/21/2012 7:59:39 PM PDT by StAnDeliver ("So, a Mormon and a Catholic walk onto an aircraft carrier...")
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To: RobinMasters

If this is,in any way,indicative of the nation in general this is great news.But IMO Florida is a special case and even a huge swing like this there might not be great news nationally.There are about 10 key states this year,Florida being just one...but granted it’s an important one.


38 posted on 08/21/2012 8:00:47 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (The Word Is Out,Harry Reid's Into Child Porn.Release All Your Photos,Harry!)
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To: Signalman

Yup. And then things get nasty. Obastard isn’t going to give up power nicely...


39 posted on 08/21/2012 8:06:42 PM PDT by piytar (The predator-class is furious that their prey are shooting back.)
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To: Nervous Tick

People whose polls are usually only seen by insiders...


40 posted on 08/21/2012 8:08:57 PM PDT by piytar (The predator-class is furious that their prey are shooting back.)
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To: catnipman
Engage people. Ask what they are thinking, and then gently seize on any doubts and subtly interject facts and statistics to buttress those doubts. For sure, do not waste any time at all with Obamabots. Spend your time only where it might make a difference.

Good advise!

41 posted on 08/21/2012 8:10:54 PM PDT by outofstyle (Down All the Days)
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To: piytar

>> People whose polls are usually only seen by insiders...

Oh! Is that right? These are INSIDE pollsters?

Are you sure? Any supporting evidence?

(I’m not calling you out or anything... just interested.)


42 posted on 08/21/2012 8:11:37 PM PDT by Nervous Tick ("You can ignore reality, but you can't ignore the consequences of ignoring reality.")
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To: profit_guy

Well, that’s still a significant change.


43 posted on 08/21/2012 8:12:01 PM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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To: taildragger
"Dick Morris has hinted of seeing internals from an un-named firm, hush-hush-bla-bla-bla, that Romney is doing fine etc in his estimation... I wonder if these are the guys..."

This is 'the guy':


Neil Newhouse
Public Opinion Strategies

44 posted on 08/21/2012 8:15:38 PM PDT by StAnDeliver ("So, a Mormon and a Catholic walk onto an aircraft carrier...")
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To: Eccl 10:2

You need to add:

8) Greatly reduce legal immigration - ending all illegal immigration tomorrow would still leave a million-plus pro-Democrat legal immigrants per year. To avoid demographic destruction, the GOP must end mass immigration.


45 posted on 08/21/2012 8:17:04 PM PDT by Aetius
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To: piytar
People whose polls are usually only seen by insiders...

I wonder what method these insiders' polls use that makes them more reliable than Rasmussen or Mason-Dixon, for example?

46 posted on 08/21/2012 8:22:39 PM PDT by Ken H
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To: Nervous Tick
Who the heck is “Foster McCollum White & Associates, Baydoun Consulting and Douglas Fulmer & Associates”?

Perhaps you know them better as

FMCW&A,BCDF&A /sarc>

(The lawfirm that got its name when the cat walked across the typewriter.)

Cheers!

47 posted on 08/21/2012 8:41:42 PM PDT by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: RobinMasters

If it seems like an outlier, it probably is an outlier. If Barry thought he was down double-digits in Florida, he’d be living there.


48 posted on 08/21/2012 8:43:06 PM PDT by TonyInOhio (Send Sherrod Brown packing - www.JoshMandel.com)
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To: grey_whiskers

ROFLMAO!


49 posted on 08/21/2012 8:45:44 PM PDT by Nervous Tick ("You can ignore reality, but you can't ignore the consequences of ignoring reality.")
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To: Chgogal

We don’t like Bambi here. I live in the only county McGovern carried in Florida, home of UF. Will be interesting to see if Bambi takes it this year but no way he takes Florida. It is permeating like 1980 which I remember very clearly.


50 posted on 08/21/2012 8:46:50 PM PDT by libbylu
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