Skip to comments.Columbus Dispatch Ohio Poll: 45-45 in President Race, 44-44 in Senate race
Posted on 08/26/2012 9:15:25 AM PDT by Paul8148
president and U.S. Senate in a dead heat in battleground Ohio.
For the record, Republican Mitt Romney holds a lead of 0.22 percentage point over President Barack Obama. Thats a mere 2 votes out of more than 1,730 cast for president in the mail poll.
By comparison, Sen. Sherrod Brown has a landslide going over GOP state Treasurer Josh Mandel with a margin of 0.87 point. Thats a whopping 15-ballot bulge
(Excerpt) Read more at dispatch.com ...
a total Lib city.
Most people are simply bored with Obama and tired of hearing the media tell us how great he is, when we know he is not!
Romney will easily carry Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, Iowa, Wisconsin, New Hampshire, Maine, Nevada, Colorado, Arizona. Pennsylvania, Michigan, Illnois, Minnesota will be close. New Jersey, Connecticut, in the running also.
Sounds like pie-in-the-sky, right!!! Have patience and watch how those Obamabot media polls begin to change radically in favor of Romney/Ryan over the next few weeks!!! when the polls show Romney/Ryan at 52% to Obama/Biden at 48%, the ending result on election day will be Romney, 57%, Obama, 40%, 3%, for other candidates.
If Sherod brown can’t manage more than 45% at this time, he is toast.
Ohio is one dysfunctional state. As many urban morons as intelligent rural people. The morons have usually won in the last 25 years.
How can half of Ohio want to sign up for another 4 year cattle car ride with Commander Zero (The Big O)? And to boot, even come close to picking the capon Sherry Brown over Marine Mandel.
Second....The Cols. Dispatch is trying to convert to a “subscription only” web site. I got a shocker for the Wolfe family....they ain’t Rupert Murdoch and they don’t own the Wall Street Journal.
They are becoming more liberal and irrelevant everyday.
Well any poll that refuses to show their sample mix is just some much useless noise.
However, any poll where the incumbents are tired with the challengers is really really bad new for the Dems. In both indy votes and voter enthusiasm Romney/Ryan is way ahead of Obama/Biden. Plus undecided voters break 3-1 for the challengers.
Lore is anytime in incumbent goes into the election with less than 50% of the poll numbers, they are toast.
As much as I like to think it’s possible, a 17 pt win the way this country is divided would never happen in today’s environment (Unless Obama totally blew up and went batshit crazy, then it might be).. I think a solid 5-7 point Romney win with 320 or so electoral votes is in the cards.
(And, according to Rasmussen, "A presidents job approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the presidents job approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives.")
Add to this the potential oversampling maybe even in OH of 8 to 9 points and where are we truly at???
I agree with the optimistic poster in regards to the blowout, I have been smelling it for months....
The funding sources who pulled out of Missouri should be pouring resources into the Ohio Senate race, as well as the one in Michigan. Mandel and Hoekstra have realistic chances of pulling off major upsets there.
I am hoping Romney can figure out a way to throw some not-too offensive but still humiliating comments toward Obama in the debates. National humiliation will drive Obama bonkers. That being said, Romney will be up against Obama and the Dem moderators in every debate. His work is cut out for him.
(PS-I do expect Obama to throw out a couple of middle-finger ‘nose scratches’ in the debates. His sycophants so enjoyed those last time. You could see all those ‘he’s soooo clever’ wheels turning in their little brains during the broadcasts!)
46% or less would be more like it. Above that is “below” 50%, but a bit too close to where undecideds even breaking heavily for the challenger could still result in enough for the incumbent to get to 50% first.
Polls over the next few weeks will carry little information. Candidates from either party get convention bounces and it takes a while for these bounces to dampen out.
Many are in groups already being carried easily by Romney: Protestants, nonunion households, residents of southeastern Ohio.
The SE counties of Ohio are very rural, tend to lean Democrat, but will swing to the GOP. If Romney is showing strength there this early, then Obama is in serious trouble.
Also, this is a poll of "Ohioans" which translates into polling terms as "adults" - that is, not registered or likely voters. A poll which does not apply a registered or likely voter screen at this point in the race will drastically oversample Democrats, meaning Romney is likely leading Brak by sveral points. Some further evidence of this bias is this statement:
Former appellate judge William M. ONeil, 25 percent to 13 percent over Justice Robert R. Cupp
Justice Cupp is a Republican, and very popular - he won his lace race by double-digits. If he is behind in this poll, then the entire poll leans left by big margins.
My own opinion is that Obama (and Brown) have peaked. I feel very confident that Romney will carry Ohio and that we will finally send Brown (and his nasty wife) packing.
Damn typos! “lace” = “last”
A large area we like to call The Mistake on the Lake (Cleveland) is unbelievably liberal. I think they should be another state entirely.
Hard to believe that Brown, who lies as much as Obama, is anywhere near ahead of Mandel.
If Sherod brown cant manage more than 45% at this time, he is toast.
We heard the same thing all during the Reid reelection. He can’t get over 50 percent he is toast....well I don’t know what happens but people seem to elect people under 50 percent sometimes. Hopefully this time will be different but getting the rug pulled many times over is getting ridiculous.
And they were correct. Every single poll had Angle with the lead up to election day, when Reid's people pulled off massive, massive fraud and "won". You can do that much more easily in NV than in Oiho. The large majority of NV's population is in one county and if you can manipulate results there you "win". Oiho's population is much more spread out.