Posted on 08/27/2012 9:37:27 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
A new Washington Post-ABC News poll has Mitt Romney up by a point over Barack Obama 47% to 46%. (46% is a truly horrible number for an incumbent.) But it is going to take more than a few narrow polls to change what I sense to be the widespread mood here that Romney is very narrowly losing, but the race remains winnable.
So it was with great interest that I listened to the thoughts a longtime, much-respected GOP operative, whom I will nickname the Gloomy Guru. Among GG’s observation:
Romney will win North Carolina
Ohio is iffy in GG’s view, though one very smart, very connected Ohio GOPer thinks the state is lost
New Mexico is lost
Colorado looking good
Pennsylvania is fool’s gold, not going to happen
Wisconsin can happen
Virginia will be a dogfight, is critical
(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...
I’d really like to identify this so called Gloomy Guru.
My first thought is — Ed Rollins.
10 weeks away and Romney has barely spent a penny? What a bunch of nonsense. I guess this what passes for news these days.
If Romney opens up 5 points nationally, the state polling is worthless, he’ll win 320 electoral votes
I agree that Pennsylvania is fool’s gold. But there’s no way Obama wins Virginia again. Virginia is fool’s gold for the Democrats. Obama’s win there was a fluke.
The Akin thing is KILLING US, folks...
All it does is reinforce the media-created stereotype of the “Stoopid Republican!”.
I agree that Pennsylvania is fool’s gold. But there’s no way Obama wins Virginia again. Virginia is fool’s gold for the Democrats. Obama’s win there was a fluke.
Disagree on Pennsylvania being fool’s gold. The Voter ID law + Pennsylvania is like Florida-lite when it comes to seniors. Lots of very old people here who do not like Obamacare.
How can Romney win if Ohio is teetering towards a loss?
Charlie Crist lol
Yup. I’d wager Rollins. An inept campaigner and always the Eeyore of the GOP-e.
You are right. I do believe that VA is fools gold for the dems. Since 2008, Virginia voters have been correcting their mistake and been voting in droves GOP.
Doesn’t ole Virg give Baraq a shot at a Clintonian plurality win there?
Hey..Romney has to have more because of the Machine Democrats have put in place. Alot of people are worried.
I’d say we are at the starting line right about now.
Its hard to tell how this will shake out.
I keep looking at the long running approval ratings for Barry...if they are under 50%, its difficult for him to pull it out on election day.
Colorado + Wisconsin = 19
Ohio = 18
Lots of possible permutations on the electoral map, mostly around:
Wisconsin, Iowa, OIHO, New Hampshire, Colorado, Nevada, Virginia
Oh with that other doosh? Maybe, its hard to measure.
Second, MI continues to trend Romney. Latest poll there shows not only Mitt winning, but Hoekstra as well. (BTW, Mandel is also tied with Brown here in OH). Now look: it is virtually impossible for Republican senate candidates to be running higher than the top of the ticket across the board. Ain't happening. So if Mandel and Hoekstra are doing that well, you know Romney is in great shape.
So it comes down to placating illegals again. A guy squats in your vacation home while you're away. When you finally return, the guy get arrested, but his children are allowed to stay in the house. After all, why should they be punished for something the parent did? Oh yeah, they need to be taken care of now too.
Oh, that Akin thing?
That’s so “last week”.
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