Skip to comments.OBAMA LEAD COLLAPSES: IOWA TIED
Posted on 08/29/2012 10:59:11 AM PDT by SMGFan
For in-depth polling analysis, I defer to my colleague Mike Flynn. This latest poll out of Iowa, however, is noteworthy because what you have is the same pollster using the same polling methods and finding Obama's standing in that crucial swing state collapsing fast.
Just a few months ago, back in May, according to Democratic pollster Public Policy Polling, President Obama held a commanding 51-41% lead over Mitt Romney. What was especially notable is that Obama was over the all-important 50% mark. This is crucial for an incumbent, because undecideds historically go with the challenger.
Two months later, though, in July, Obama's lead fell in the PPP poll to just five points, 48-43%.
Today, one month later, both men are statistically tied with Obama besting Romney by only two points, 47-45%.
Just a couple of weeks ago, Rasmussen released a poll showing Romney up 2 in Iowa.
In 2008, Obama won Iowa by almost 10 points.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
Polls are going to bounce around. I’ve never looked at this, but I’ll bet that over the decades presidential polling has become more and more dynamic, that is, it swings increasing wildly.
My theory is that as Americans have become unmoored from their moral roots that they are increasingly suseptible to whatever the latest persuasion or TV commercial is. Individual Americans have increasingly thrown off their core values and therefore swing with whomever they think is popular at the time.
I lived in Central Iowa from the age of 14 to 41. “You didn’t build that” doesn’t go over any better in Iowa than it does in Texas, Florida or Oregon.
I just realized, I’ve lived or most of my life no more than one state removed from Iowa, but never in it. I’ve never quite understood the left-leaning tendencies that emerge at times - maybe it’s just midwesterners trying to be fair ;-)
But not having a job, worrying about your grandkids future, or having your adult college-educated kid playing Wii in your basement all day because of the Obama Recovery are neither Republican or Democrat issues. They are human issues, and the country belongs to all of us.
I really hope silent majority rises up and speaks like it has never spoken before, and shows the Punk in Chief just who did build this nation.
I think it’s the Norwegian/Swedish/Danish/Lutheran German thing.
If Romney can’t beat Obama in the polls during GOP week then he is worse than I thought. Luckily during GOP week, he is getting a bit of a lift. We will see what happens next week during DNC week.
It’s hard for me to understand how these numbers change much over time.
To me, Baraq Obama is the most polarizing figure in politics in my lifetime. How can somebody be lukewarm about the guy?
Baraq won here in Indiana by a very small margin in 08, now most polls show him down 10 to 14 points. The Dems aren’t spending any money here on the national race which certainly confirms those polls.
Looks like Obama’s slide in Iowa is similar.
Obama has essentially camped in Iowa for a good percentage of August. Not a good sign for an incumbent who won this blue state by a big margin 4 years ago.
The best news of this last 60 days is that the campaign has widened to WI, IA, and Michigan. Much more turf to cover for the Dems. We’ll pick off at least 1 and probably 2 of these states, IMO.
Therefore, NEVER readily distinguishable from each other at first glance, often not at second glance, and sometimes not even at any glance (this pertains to made-up-polls).
The best chance to remain being free and remaining a republic is for the polls to show His Greatness Chairman Obamakov leading in the polls.
If His Most Holiness thinks he may not win, anything could happen.
I’ve been wondering why Obama has been spending SO MUCH time in Iowa. No I know why. Their internal polls saw this collapse coming. Oh well, every day in Iowa is one less day in Ohio, Virginia, Wisconsin, Colorado and Florida.
Obama is running the Clinton ad in California. The RNC, Americans for Prosperity and Conservative Majority are running anti-Obama ads. Interesting.
These polls aren’t “bouncing around”. Obama has lost about 12 points in Iowa in the last few months.
He has been in Iowa quite a bit lately. Weird.. I mean almost every day
Common sense would say that farmers would be independent/conservative, but voting they tend to vote Demonrat. I think it is government freebies that drives their voting.
I fail to see how Obama shows more than 13% in any poll...well...maybe more to allow for those of any sort who don’t feel like working or who just want to milk the system from the corporate angle.
An extremely liberal friend today admitted to me that he thinks Romney is going to win in November.
For this guy to admit that, being an avid MSNBC viewer, says a lot about what is happening out there. He likely won’t be voting for Romney in November, but he likley won’t be showing up to vote, at all.
I live in MN and I do not see very many Obama signs at all. Perhaps have seen 2 cars with Obama bumper stickers on them.
Not seeing many Romney ones either, but central MN has been conservative for some time now, and I expect to see many cars with Romney/Ryan signs after this week.
In 2010 our state rejected the Democratic candidates big time. The GOP took over the MN House and Senate! The labor intensive Iron Range (NE MN) rejected their long term US Rep, Jim Oberstar, in favor of a GOP candidate. For that reason, I actually have a miniscule hope that finally MN may be carried by the GOP in the Presidential race.
Next week’s DNC convention in Charleston, SC will be an eye-opener for many voters. They will be crowning Sandra Fluke and the GLBT caucus as well as honoring the Muslims with prayer services. It may tip the scales BIG TIME against these usurpers who have taken over our grandparents’ Democrat party. Four days of hearing about a phony war on women, and their sacrament of abortion, yammering about being a victim if they do not get their free condoms, pills, etc. is vulgar during a time of high unemployment. Young college graduates are moving back into Mom and Dad’s home, are relying on their health insurance policy until 26 years, etc.
Obama hasn’t a clue. He thinks he can get up and tell them that Romney will take away their parent’s umbrella of health insurance - while in reality, these folks would rather have a job than live off of the parents.
I live in NYC and it went over very well. my leftist moonbat friends, the very very few left, still complain when i post that on my facebook claiming he is right and was out of context.
How many of them have ever owned a business?
Obama was here in Iowa yesterday again, and he has two more stops here planned in the next few days.
I am now up to 15 people I know that are not voting for Obama a second time. I still have not met anyone who voted for McCain who is now planning to vote for Obama.
He is trying to get college students hoodwinked into replacing his lost voters by selling them cheap college and free healthcare.
I truly believe he has lost Iowa.
Liberal friend of mine is in panic mode in Davenport, IA. Never thought I’d see it. She’s going door to door registering voters. And will probably do drive-bys to take them to the polls.
I have a good friend who is a real fire breathing lefty and she recently said that she will not vote this year. Obama’s toast.
Yep. A person that, in the end, does not vote at all, will still give an answer in a poll, sometimes even identifying himself as a likely voter.
And that is the problem obama has this time. It’s not getting most of the voters behind him. Rather, it is trying to inspire the voters who would vote “against” Romney to actually vote.
And it is a HUGE problem. A lot of people on both sides who are disenchanted with their party’s guy, but will NEVER vote for the other party, are who both parties are trying to get off their butts.
Romney will have much more success.
Actually one of them does and she is beyond a moon bat. I dont get it.
Seriously, I think people are going to wake up and see that the Dems are RUINING the USA, before election day.
I forgot the speaker who said last night at the RNC that if we keep on track like we been going... we'll end up as GREECE!!
I agree with the speaker!!
“Next weeks DNC convention in Charleston, SC will be an eye-opener for many voters.”
It’s in Charlotte, NC - at the BANK OF AMERICA stadium. Of course those insidious Dems have renamed the stadium to “Panthers Stadium” for this event. That name does not even exist! No doubt the corrupt MSM will go along with this charade.