Skip to comments.OBAMA LEAD COLLAPSES: IOWA TIED
Posted on 08/29/2012 10:59:11 AM PDT by SMGFan
For in-depth polling analysis, I defer to my colleague Mike Flynn. This latest poll out of Iowa, however, is noteworthy because what you have is the same pollster using the same polling methods and finding Obama's standing in that crucial swing state collapsing fast.
Just a few months ago, back in May, according to Democratic pollster Public Policy Polling, President Obama held a commanding 51-41% lead over Mitt Romney. What was especially notable is that Obama was over the all-important 50% mark. This is crucial for an incumbent, because undecideds historically go with the challenger.
Two months later, though, in July, Obama's lead fell in the PPP poll to just five points, 48-43%.
Today, one month later, both men are statistically tied with Obama besting Romney by only two points, 47-45%.
Just a couple of weeks ago, Rasmussen released a poll showing Romney up 2 in Iowa.
In 2008, Obama won Iowa by almost 10 points.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
Polls are going to bounce around. I’ve never looked at this, but I’ll bet that over the decades presidential polling has become more and more dynamic, that is, it swings increasing wildly.
My theory is that as Americans have become unmoored from their moral roots that they are increasingly suseptible to whatever the latest persuasion or TV commercial is. Individual Americans have increasingly thrown off their core values and therefore swing with whomever they think is popular at the time.
I lived in Central Iowa from the age of 14 to 41. “You didn’t build that” doesn’t go over any better in Iowa than it does in Texas, Florida or Oregon.
I just realized, I’ve lived or most of my life no more than one state removed from Iowa, but never in it. I’ve never quite understood the left-leaning tendencies that emerge at times - maybe it’s just midwesterners trying to be fair ;-)
But not having a job, worrying about your grandkids future, or having your adult college-educated kid playing Wii in your basement all day because of the Obama Recovery are neither Republican or Democrat issues. They are human issues, and the country belongs to all of us.
I really hope silent majority rises up and speaks like it has never spoken before, and shows the Punk in Chief just who did build this nation.
I think it’s the Norwegian/Swedish/Danish/Lutheran German thing.
If Romney can’t beat Obama in the polls during GOP week then he is worse than I thought. Luckily during GOP week, he is getting a bit of a lift. We will see what happens next week during DNC week.
It’s hard for me to understand how these numbers change much over time.
To me, Baraq Obama is the most polarizing figure in politics in my lifetime. How can somebody be lukewarm about the guy?
Baraq won here in Indiana by a very small margin in 08, now most polls show him down 10 to 14 points. The Dems aren’t spending any money here on the national race which certainly confirms those polls.
Looks like Obama’s slide in Iowa is similar.
Obama has essentially camped in Iowa for a good percentage of August. Not a good sign for an incumbent who won this blue state by a big margin 4 years ago.
The best news of this last 60 days is that the campaign has widened to WI, IA, and Michigan. Much more turf to cover for the Dems. We’ll pick off at least 1 and probably 2 of these states, IMO.
Therefore, NEVER readily distinguishable from each other at first glance, often not at second glance, and sometimes not even at any glance (this pertains to made-up-polls).
The best chance to remain being free and remaining a republic is for the polls to show His Greatness Chairman Obamakov leading in the polls.
If His Most Holiness thinks he may not win, anything could happen.
I’ve been wondering why Obama has been spending SO MUCH time in Iowa. No I know why. Their internal polls saw this collapse coming. Oh well, every day in Iowa is one less day in Ohio, Virginia, Wisconsin, Colorado and Florida.
Obama is running the Clinton ad in California. The RNC, Americans for Prosperity and Conservative Majority are running anti-Obama ads. Interesting.
These polls aren’t “bouncing around”. Obama has lost about 12 points in Iowa in the last few months.
He has been in Iowa quite a bit lately. Weird.. I mean almost every day
Common sense would say that farmers would be independent/conservative, but voting they tend to vote Demonrat. I think it is government freebies that drives their voting.
I fail to see how Obama shows more than 13% in any poll...well...maybe more to allow for those of any sort who don’t feel like working or who just want to milk the system from the corporate angle.
An extremely liberal friend today admitted to me that he thinks Romney is going to win in November.
For this guy to admit that, being an avid MSNBC viewer, says a lot about what is happening out there. He likely won’t be voting for Romney in November, but he likley won’t be showing up to vote, at all.