Skip to comments.Romney takes lead over Obama with convention "bounce": Reuters/Ipsos poll (44-42 likely voters)
Posted on 08/30/2012 8:26:52 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
(Reuters) - Mitt Romney has moved into a narrow lead over U.S. President Barack Obama in a small bounce for him from the Republican National Convention, a Reuters/Ipsos poll found on Thursday.
Romney entered the week four points behind Obama in the first installment of a Reuters/Ipsos rolling poll, with Obama leading 46 percent to 42 percent.
But the most recent daily rolling poll gave Romney a two-point lead of 44 percent to 42 percent among likely voters.
The former governor of Massachusetts has been in the spotlight at the convention in Tampa, Florida, and was to make his acceptance speech on Thursday night in the biggest test of his White House bid.
Ipsos pollster Julia Clark said the poll results were proof that Romney is getting a positive outcome from the three-day Republican gathering.
"I'd say the convention is going very well for him," she said.
So-called convention "bounces" are typically short-lived. With Obama to accept his party's nomination for a second term next week at the Democratic National Convention in Charlotte, North Carolina, the incumbent could quickly rebound.
But the poll was further evidence of an extremely close race between Romney and Obama as they seek to energize party activists and appeal to undecided voters in battleground states who could determine the outcome of the election on November 6.
The Reuters/Ipsos poll also found signs that Romney's likability rating is slowly improving among voters, two days after his wife, Ann, talked up her husband's personal attributes and declared, "This man will not fail."
(Excerpt) Read more at reuters.com ...
1) WILL IT LAST TILL THE ELECTIONS?
2) 14% STILL UNDECIDED?
3) HOW BIG WILL THE DNC BOUNCE BE?
Hopefully the DNC will be a DUNCE for 0bama.
Four more years of Zero?
How could anyone be undecided?
Not big enough IMO..however it will go higher over the long weekend also I think whatever bounce Obumma gets after his convention will be negated after the first debate.
Usually, I live in apprehension of the DNC bounce. But despite the tightness and the pivotal nature of this race, I’m not as worried.
it’s very hard to imagine what Obama could do that doesn’t look very small in comparison to the set-up that the RNC provided.
Wait till the debates.
People are not going to see anything from Obama that they haven’t seen or heard already. Obama is passé. He is yesterday’s wonder boy.
There is nothing that Obama can say that will bring undecided voters to him..what is he going to say “Hey come on, give me another chance, I promise I will do better next time.”
Exactly! This is either a ridiculous pole or a seismic shift is happening where a huge chunk of those who were planning to vote for Obama are now having second thoughts. Time will tell...
YES!!! Can't wait to see Obama and Biden actually challenged on facts and destroyed in debate!
Since they think this is a solely Obama-Romney race, the liberal media headline writers could save themselves some work and just stick with “pro-choice democrat socialist leads” every day.
Wait till the debates.
Perhaps, but after Rubio and Romney speaking tonight even I was moved. I don’t see how anybody could see anything except that these are a couple of good men that want good things for our country, and that they have the ability to make it happen.
I think it’s more of a seismic shift. I think that more and more people are beginning to realize that it does not make them racists to not support this president. I think that Obama has seen his peak numbers.
I’ll believe it when i see it. BO and Plugs are cowards and phonies and leave it to them to somehow get out of it.
Compare the beautiful families on stage tonight with the moth eaten assortment of nut cases that make up the BO/Biden clan.
You are correct. He is so yesterday.
My sons are not lockstep in political ideology. The younger is very conservative; the older more moderate, a recent college graduate who likes to argue with me.
When speaking with them about “yesterday’s” adoration of zer0 and today’s intensity (or lack thereof), both tell me that none of their friends likes zer0, and that, generally, they won’t vote for him.
This does not mean they will vote for RR. It means they won’t vote, at least in the numbers they did in 2008.
I think this is true for other demographic groups as well.
Although anecdotal, I think the above augers well for RR.
It will all come down to turnout.
We need to maintain and, indeed, increase our determination to reject a second chance for zer0 to succeed in purposefully destroying this country’s economy.
re: There is nothing that Obama can say that will bring undecided voters to him..
Sure there is. There are always more giveaways.
Gawd, I'd love to see Ryan get in to it with Hussein....no holds barred and no teleprompters. It would be bloody.
This is a dam that will break in Nov, like it did for Reagan against Carter.
Hope your right, we’ll begin to get some indications In the poling over the next few days.
Hope you’re right, we’ll begin to get some indications In the poling over the next few days.
The key takeaway from this poll is that Obama is at 42%.
And what is the split of dens/indies/repubs ?? Ipsos is known for skewing the distribution by 8-10 points to the left....
Your title is WRONG in the worst possible way...this is a poll of REGISTERED voters NOT likely voters. That is a very misleading title you threw up there
Preview of DNC:
I killed Bin Laden!
War on Women!
Tax the rich!
Repeat for three days.
This media notion that the American people really still personally like Obama is a pipe dream.
I also agree the 14% undecided is very strange since people at this point know Obama well enough to know if they will vote for him or not. Perhaps they are deciding if they will vote for Romney or stay home. Since I don't believe any McCain voters will either stay home or switch to Obama any undecideds will more than likely break for Romney.
Frankly, Obama is sooooooooo YESTERDAY.
Yes and it is worse, for years we heard the Democratic Base is 43% of the electorate, he lost 1/43 here, and this is not including were these "likely" voters and what was the "over-sampling"...
Speaking of Carter...
I hear the DNC is gonna have him address the crowd by tape.
Oh goody, that ought to be about as much fun as one of those black and white communicable disease films in high school back in the day....
Now compare Carter, to Governor Martinez or Mia Love, who has got the "Big Mo" and who is uplifting...
Going to be be a freak show.
I don’t understand how anyone is undecided unless they are just plain stupid. But Obama gets the stupid vote.
These presidential election polls are intentionally being skewed in the One’s favor. There are tons of things you can do with methodology to skew a poll. When you look at non-election polls like the one you gave, there is no way an incumbent President gets re-elected in that situation.. His real, un-edited numbers have to be almost as bad as Bush’s were in 2008..
RE: .this is a poll of REGISTERED voters NOT likely voters.
I was simply quoting from the article itself. It says (CUT and PASTE ):
“But the most recent daily rolling poll gave Romney a two-point lead of 44 percent to 42 percent among likely voters.”
If there’s anyone misleading, it’s the author(s) of the article.
It Reuters/IPSO the same poll that told us it was going to be President John Kerry in 2004. This is a really bad sign for 0 since this poll historically tracks way left of reality.
With all the enthusiam from 2008, Obama still only received 53 percent of the popular vote. He DEFINITELY won’t get that, but the electoral still worries me. He has many ways to win this thing and with us having a liberal Republican at the top of the ticket, it certainly isn’t bringing in much excitement. The excitement at the convention were from Clint Eastwood, Santorum, Ryan, Condi, and that is about it....No Romney excitement from the speech at all. All indications today is that Clint Eastwood is running for President.
It Reuters/IPSO the same poll that told us it was going to be President John Kerry in 2004.
It almost was. Let’s not go crazy here. Kerry and Gore were way too close for comfort. It’s not like Bush won either time with a mandate or anything.
No but every other poll had it for Bush going into the election, only Ipso/Reutuers published an election day poll claiming Kerry was going to win comfortably on Election day.
I know the lame stream does this all the time to look like they are winning. They are soooo afraid of O losing that they will do anything repeat ANYTHING to keep him in office.
Sorry for yelling at ya
And look where Obama is spending his time and money: He was in Fort Collins Colorado Tuesday (Colorado State) and will be turning around and going into Boulder (U/Colorado) on Saturday.
That's like a Republican doing repeated trips to Idaho Georgia and Utah. The whiff of desparation.
If he needs to shore up the college-town vote, he's in deep trouble (and by the way, Obama will NOT carry Colorado).
Obama will be campaigning in Oregon and Minnesota too.