Skip to comments.WaPo/ABC poll: Obama’s favorable rating now underwater — including with women
Posted on 09/04/2012 8:08:40 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
B-b-b-but Madeleine Albright says she can’t understand why any woman would vote for Mitt Romney.
Seriously, guys, I want to believe. I do. But ... I don't.
Just 47 percent of registered voters in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll see Obama favorably overall, down 7 percentage points from his recent peak in April, while 49 percent rate him unfavorably. Hes numerically underwater in this group for the first time since February.
The decline has occurred entirely among women registered voters from 57-39 percent favorable-unfavorable in April to a numerically negative 46-50 percent now. Thats Obamas lowest score among women voters a focus of recent political positioning in ABC/Post polls since he took office. Unusually, his rating among men, 50-47 percent favorable-unfavorable, is numerically better than it is among women, albeit not by a significant margin.
The result is not the only sign of the work ahead for Obama among women. In a separate ABC/Post poll last week, he led Romney among women registered voters in vote preference by just 6 points, 49-43 percent. In 2008, Obama won women by 13 points, 56-43 percent.
WaPo/ABC conducted their poll of registered voters from August 29 — halfway through the convention, before Romney spoke — through September 2. This afternoon’s CNN poll was conducted from August 31, the day after the convention ended, through September 3. Here’s what CNN got from women voters on Obama’s favorability — among likely voters:
Likely voters are more pro-Romney than registered voters are, so that +12 spread among women for O must be even bigger among CNN’s sample of registereds. I have no idea how to square that with WaPo/ABC’s finding that O’s popularity has begun to tank. My inclination is that WaPo’s an outlier since virtually every other poll shows women preferring The One to Mitt, but maybe there’s a convention effect happening here. Note the trendlines in WaPo/ABC’s data:
Mitt gained seven points and Obama lost five among women after the convention. Even in the CNN poll, where O’s numbers among women are rosy, Romney gained five points on the question of which candidate is more in touch with the problems facing women today. (He still trails Obama on that point by a wide, wide margin, though.) So maybe the GOP’s efforts to “humanize” Romney, capped by Ann’s speech on Tuesday night, did some good after all and improved his image with women. That probably moved some women’s votes towards Mitt too, although WaPo/ABC doesn’t say. Assuming the WaPo numbers tonight are correct, though, then how to explain Obama’s decline among women before the GOP convention? He was at 57 percent favorable with them back in April, but as of August 26th, he was down to just a 51/45 split. Democrats have been pounding the “war on women” crap relentlessly too. Maybe his campaign’s sharp negativity over the summer alienated some women voters? Or maybe, as I suggested earlier, the WaPo/ABC poll is a big ol’ outlier? Help me out here, guys. I really do want to believe.
May it sink to the Ocean Bed of the Marianna Trench.
Obama is somewhere thinking “Why don’t women like me, Im giving them free abortions and free birth control, whats not to like..come on, free free free free.”
Because it's insulting to be reduced to a set of reproductive organs.
My apolitical wife hates him. However, it’s has nothing to do with his skin tone or any of that other liberal crap. She does the budget, pays the bills and buys the groceries. That’s something Barry wouldn’t understand.
I doubt his favorability is 50% among men.
And, it’s also frustrating in another way. It’s frustrating that politicians want to divide us up into these groups.
In this case, they are thinking that women are only concerned about birth control. And, they are assuming that women take the liberal view, i.e. that we should have free birth control, free abortion on demand, etc.
The same concept happens with Latino voters and dealing with illegal aliens. The liberal assumption is that Latino voters eat, breathe, and sleep on how we deal with illegal aliens as the only issue they care about. And that Latinos take the liberal view, i.e. that we should give an amnesty of some kind.
For the Latino voter who is here legally, who believes in LEGAL immigration, who works hard, believes in local economic development, has strong family values that focus on a nuclear family, education, and wealth transfer between generations -- this is all so insulting.
Maybe those women listened to what the Democrats were saying about the Republicans' 'War on Women', and realized it was a load of horse hockey!
I think that more vagina costumes might improve his numbers with the juicy gender.
May he continue bringing out the White radicals and Islamic and Black racists and homo fascists to make his “shut up” case for power. They can’t hide their true colors when the pressure is on. He exposes the illusion of being a unifier and positive, healing force - “The One”.