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Obama advisers don't expect big bounce in polls
AP ^ | September 6, 2012 | AP

Posted on 09/06/2012 6:33:02 AM PDT by John W

CHARLOTTE, N.C. (AP) -- President Barack Obama is expected to lay out his vision for a second term, even as advisers say they don't anticipate a big bounce in the polls following the Democratic National Convention.

White House senior adviser David Plouffe (pluhf) tells ABC's "Good Morning America" he expects the race to remain "tight as a tick" until Election Day.

(Excerpt) Read more at hosted.ap.org ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS:

1 posted on 09/06/2012 6:33:05 AM PDT by John W
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To: John W

“Obama advisers don’t expect big bounce in polls”

Yeah...I wouldn’t either.


2 posted on 09/06/2012 6:35:44 AM PDT by VanDeKoik
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To: John W
tight as a tick

A liberal using a reference to a blood-sucking parasite.

Ironic.

3 posted on 09/06/2012 6:36:14 AM PDT by The Iceman Cometh (Proud Teabagging Barbarian Terrorist Hobbit Son-of-a-Bitch!)
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To: John W

Democrats are just trying to preempt the speculation about “what happened?” when there is no post-convention bounce after this disaster in Charlotte.


4 posted on 09/06/2012 6:36:22 AM PDT by justlurking (The only remedy for a bad guy with a gun is a good WOMAN (Sgt. Kimberly Munley) with a gun)
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To: John W

Hurry - set expectations.


5 posted on 09/06/2012 6:36:53 AM PDT by grobdriver (Proud Member, Party of No! Nobama, No Way, No How!)
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To: John W

Here comes another “un-expected” news item.


6 posted on 09/06/2012 6:38:17 AM PDT by stboz
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To: John W

I’m curious if there has ever been a convention where there was a negative bounce?
This could be the one.


7 posted on 09/06/2012 6:39:03 AM PDT by tshaun
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To: John W

Yes, I would say it will stay “tight as a tick” until your boss is blown away in an “unexpected” landslide poofer.


8 posted on 09/06/2012 6:39:35 AM PDT by John W (Viva Cristo Rey!)
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To: John W

After the Jerusalem/God antics, they may actually LOOSE support.


9 posted on 09/06/2012 6:40:24 AM PDT by ZULU (See: http://www.youtube.com/watch_popup?v=D9vQt6IXXaM&hd)
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To: The Iceman Cometh

10 posted on 09/06/2012 6:40:42 AM PDT by TSgt (The only reason I have one in the chamber at all times, is because it is impossible to have two in.)
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To: VanDeKoik
Let the spin begin. "We're losing. We expected that, it's all part of the master plan."

I read a book a long time ago about the Japanese in WWII. It was later in the war, they were getting pushed back on all fronts, and their cities were getting bombed flat on a nightly basis.

Their media (at the time) dutifully reported that "Everything is OK. This is all part of the master plan. The government expected this to happen so there's nothing to worry about."

The more things change, the more they stay the same.

11 posted on 09/06/2012 6:41:08 AM PDT by wbill
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To: John W

What a clown show. The Republicans could create 1000 ads from all that material. A bounce down is likely.


12 posted on 09/06/2012 6:42:09 AM PDT by ryan71
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Comment #13 Removed by Moderator

To: John W

The AP is reporting this? The DNC internal polling must really suck.


14 posted on 09/06/2012 6:43:39 AM PDT by Army Air Corps (Four Fried Chickens and a Coke)
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To: John W

Obama has topped out at 43% +/- a point or two until Nov. when he’ll get a great glimpse of an expanded flyover country which should serve him from getting lost on his farewell flight from the WH to Hawaii in Janurary.


15 posted on 09/06/2012 6:45:09 AM PDT by Forty-Niner (The barely bare berry bear formerly known as Ursus Arctos Horribilis.)
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To: Chode

You may get a kick outta this one...


16 posted on 09/06/2012 6:45:52 AM PDT by Army Air Corps (Four Fried Chickens and a Coke)
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To: Army Air Corps


17 posted on 09/06/2012 6:48:51 AM PDT by Chode (American Hedonist - *DTOM* -ww- NO Pity for the LAZY)
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To: John W
the Obama DNC ...

Redistributing Lower Expectations

.

18 posted on 09/06/2012 6:52:42 AM PDT by Elle Bee
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To: Elle Bee

Can you say CRATER?


19 posted on 09/06/2012 7:00:55 AM PDT by ibytoohi (What the hell has happened to my country?)
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To: John W

Gotta manage expectations cause there ain’t gonna be one.


20 posted on 09/06/2012 7:03:11 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: John W
President Barack Obama is expected to lay out his vision for a second term, even as advisers say they don't anticipate a big bounce in the polls following the Democratic National Convention.

Yeah, I don't either. Nice try to lower expectations, though. After Obama's venue downsizing from the 76,000 outdoor stadium to the indoor 20,000 seat Time Warner Cable Arena, lower expectations seems to be the theme of this mess.

It's almost as if Obama is out to throw the election, isn't it?

21 posted on 09/06/2012 7:03:34 AM PDT by Kenton (I love the smell of the Democrat flop sweat in the morning. it smells like... VICTORY!)
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To: John W
White House senior adviser David Plouffe (pluhf) tells ABC's "Good Morning America" he expects the race to remain "tight as a tick"

LOL... omg.... you have to be kidding me.....

Does the expression "tight as a tick" now mean "overwhelming blowout on the Republican side"?

22 posted on 09/06/2012 7:11:53 AM PDT by Lazamataz (Communist Party = Democrats. Socialist Party = Republicans. WE NEED A CAPITALIST FREEDOM PARTY!)
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To: John W

Not to be a wet blanket but he’s gotten a huge bounce on Intrade, he’s currently at 59% to win re-election! So discouraging considering that the DNC convention, at least in my eyes, has been a disaster.


23 posted on 09/06/2012 7:18:53 AM PDT by erod (This Chicagoan will crawl over broken glass to vote the fake Chicagoan Obama out!)
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To: John W

This is BS
They are just setting it up so when they do get a boost it will look better


24 posted on 09/06/2012 7:19:51 AM PDT by uncbob
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To: erod

How accurate is Intrade historically?


25 posted on 09/06/2012 7:19:58 AM PDT by John W (Viva Cristo Rey!)
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To: John W
They could also be planning some polls that grossly oversample Dems so they can claim “Wow, the president has unexpectedly jumped to a 5 point lead ... call him the comeback kid who never gives up the fight!”
26 posted on 09/06/2012 7:20:03 AM PDT by dartuser ("If you are ... what you were ... then you're not.")
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To: John W

I believe they have called every presidential election accurately. But, there’s still time for a Romney rally.


27 posted on 09/06/2012 7:22:03 AM PDT by erod (This Chicagoan will crawl over broken glass to vote the fake Chicagoan Obama out!)
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To: erod
Well, Ras daily tracking has Romney up 3 today. Also, the Messiah's overall approval (46%) barely exceeds strongly disapprove (44%). Take that for what it's worth.

Frankly, I believe most of the Rats listening to Clinton speak wish he was running (like us in 1992 with Reagan).

28 posted on 09/06/2012 7:24:33 AM PDT by Marathoner (DNC: Fluke, Clinton, Warren: The slut, the pimp and paleface)
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To: John W

Please remember Wisconsin. They were calling it tight an hour into the results.. And it was clear after a minute that Reps were going to win. THEY LIE!


29 posted on 09/06/2012 7:26:05 AM PDT by Hildy (F"When the debate is lost, slander becomes the tool of the loser." - Socrates)
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To: John W

Please remember Wisconsin. They were calling it tight an hour into the results.. And it was clear after a minute that Reps were going to win. THEY LIE!


30 posted on 09/06/2012 7:26:10 AM PDT by Hildy (F"When the debate is lost, slander becomes the tool of the loser." - Socrates)
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To: John W

Please remember Wisconsin. They were calling it tight an hour into the results.. And it was clear after a minute that Reps were going to win. THEY LIE!


31 posted on 09/06/2012 7:26:15 AM PDT by Hildy (F"When the debate is lost, slander becomes the tool of the loser." - Socrates)
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To: John W

I would be willing to bet that by tomorrow afternoon there are at least 3 polls that show Obama picking up anywhere between 6 and 10 points. Of course they will have to poll registered voters and over sample democrats by 25% to get those results.


32 posted on 09/06/2012 7:27:49 AM PDT by anoldafvet
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To: Marathoner
I should also mention that Intrade can fluctuate rapidly, pre-convention Obama was at 54% to win re-election, a couple weeks before he was at 54% he was at 62% to win re-election. I imagine what we are seeing is a traditional convention bounce on Intrade. Let me also add that two weeks before the Scott Brown/Martha Coaxley Senate battle, that Coaxley was at 92% to win re-election.

What I would like to see is for Intrade to start matching other polls such as Ras and Gallup. I think it might rest on the debates to see Obama's numbers fall on there.

33 posted on 09/06/2012 7:33:57 AM PDT by erod (This Chicagoan will crawl over broken glass to vote the fake Chicagoan Obama out!)
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To: Chode

love it!


34 posted on 09/06/2012 7:42:36 AM PDT by Nevadan
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To: John W

Lowering expectations again. They will get a bigger bounce out of this than Romney did from the RNC. It will fade of course, but watch new big news about the big bounce.


35 posted on 09/06/2012 7:46:06 AM PDT by Paradox (I want Obama defeated. Period.)
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To: Paradox

exactly


36 posted on 09/06/2012 7:47:06 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: John W

“Obama advisers don’t expect big bounce in polls”

A “big” bounce won’t matter much, nationally. In two out of three states the bounce won’t matter one way or the other.

But....

If Obama can pull his numbers up just a couple of points in both Ohio and Virginia — he is currently leading in both states now — he may get “just enough” to take those two states in November. Virginia is particularly iffy because of Virgil Goode’s place on the ballot.

If this happens, he wins in the electoral college.
And that means he wins.

Remember the posts here to wit:
“My dog can beat Obama”
“A ham sandwich can beat Obama”....?

What happened?


37 posted on 09/06/2012 8:06:43 AM PDT by Road Glide
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To: The Iceman Cometh
A liberal using a reference to a blood-sucking parasite.

Stands to reason then that one of their high profile speakers was a fluke...

38 posted on 09/06/2012 8:10:12 AM PDT by gov_bean_ counter (ObamaCare is an assault on the unborn, infirmed and elderly. GOP, repeat this as necessary...)
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To: gov_bean_ counter

I don’t think that most people know what a fluke is . You’re the first person that I have seen mention it.


39 posted on 09/06/2012 8:12:26 AM PDT by Eva
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To: Eva
And the speaker in question was an equally disgusting creature...

http://www.bing.com/images/search?q=fluke+worm&qpvt=fluke+worm&FORM=IGRE&adlt=strict

40 posted on 09/06/2012 8:14:55 AM PDT by gov_bean_ counter (ObamaCare is an assault on the unborn, infirmed and elderly. GOP, repeat this as necessary...)
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To: John W

I don’t think that Obama counted on the reaction to the omission of God from the Democrat Platform. Obama now knows that Americans still cling to their God in Guns, not just the rural blue collar workers in the heartland of Pennsylvania.

Without a belief in God, there are no God-given rights of man. Without God-given rights, all rights emanate from the State and the State becomes Supreme. if the State is Supreme, the “We the people” concept of the constitution is negated and the checks and balance system is eliminated along with God.


41 posted on 09/06/2012 8:18:32 AM PDT by Eva
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To: gov_bean_ counter

Thanks, the only flukes that I ever saw were in formaldehyde and the diagrams in the books were always in black and white. That really is disgusting.


42 posted on 09/06/2012 8:22:46 AM PDT by Eva
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To: John W

The polls are likely to stay close until almost Halloween and then the pollsters will have to tell the truth to protect their credibility.


43 posted on 09/06/2012 8:42:15 AM PDT by OrangeHoof (Our economy won't heal until one particular black man is unemployed.)
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