Skip to comments.Romney Now Ahead in Polls
Posted on 09/07/2012 6:30:38 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
As per yesterday, Thursday September 6th, Romney has taken the lead in most National Polls and the President is behind. You can follow the line graph on Realclearpolitics.com and see this is the first time in months Romney has lead. This is also the latest in the trend of Mitt Romney making up ground and the president losing voters. I heard it said once to not look at numbers but look at trends, going into an election. Romney has been steadily climbing and has passed Barack Obama. As of today the RCP betting line has Obama at 58% to win the election. This number had been as high as 70% in the past as well.
In the latest polls from 24 hours ago, Rasmussen has Romney up by 3% and Gallup has Obama by 1%. Gallup used Registered voters which is far less accurate and historically distort the outcome by about 2-4% in Democrats favor. The Likely voter polls, which are more accurate of the outcome, have all leaned Romney for the past week.
And today, yet another poor jobs report is coming out as I type this and gas has risen in price the last 4 weeks straight to over $4 a gallon yet again.
Hope, Change and wait, wait and wait I guess.
Obama leads by 0.3% Romney’s 3-pt lead in the Ras poll has been cut to 1.
The piss-poor jobs report, however, will blunt any “bounce” Obama gets from the DNC.
So has Romney’s pulling of his ads work? Humm.
Romney’s impression of the situation:
@EricFehrn: Romney on jobless numbers: “If last night was the party, this morning is the hangover” http://t.co/A9yxn8Zq
Romney is suppose to start ‘carpet bombing’ Obama today in the swing states. $100 million ad buy starts today.
That’s the Romney strategy.
Sit back, smile, be the pleasant non-threatening confident guy, don’t do or say anything stupid, and just wait for Obama to implode.
Scared the hell out of me, but amazingly it appears to be working.
Romney wins. Could be a landslide. I refuse to believe this country has slid so far in the cesspool of Sodom and Gomorrah that this anti-Christian muslin could be put back in the White House. All anyone talks about is the economy and how the economy decides who wins or loses. No one ever mentions the millions of votes this moron lost when he came out for queer “marriage” and his continued assault on religious freedom. Americans do not want a socialist running the country and we are America, not some Godless European country where anything goes and to hell with God and anything to do with what’s morally right and wrong. Obama is going to find out Americans are not as stupid as he thinks they are. He’ll do down in history as the absolute worst president in history.
I see Axelrod has gotten Gallup’s numbers to be where he wants them.
Romney has a lot of money to run ads, much more than Obama.
Any bounce for Obama will be due to Clinton nostalgia from we’d night and rapidly fade.
Trend has been Romney’s and will continue to be.
Obama is a broken record, no one but th Kool Aid drinkers are listening to a word he says.
Obama has a max of 42-43% on election day, and frankly his joke of campaign I think he’ll be lucky to hit 40%. I really think it is truly possible this idiot will lose re-election by the lowest margin since Herbert Hoover and honestly could end up with a lower vote percentage than him.
Time wil tell but I really don’t think this is going to be anywhere near close, and the polling while capturing general tends doesn’t seem to reflect remotely what I see on the ground.
Fight like it’s neck and neck but I really think democrats are heading for a humiliating pummeling up and down the ticket.
Karl Rove’s SuperPAC, by itself, has over a BILLION DOLLARS to spend, IIRC. But remember, Mr. Obama has 97% of the media in his pocket, the unions, the NGOs, reformulated ACORN, Nation of Islam, Black Panthers, tree-huggers, Lavender Mafia, etc...
And don’t forget the bounce Obama will get from a liberal convention, which clearly objected on the voice vote regarding support for Israel and for mentioning God in the platform. That will really give him a big bounce! (sarcasm)
About damn time. The freakin’ post turtle should’ve been underwater since December 2010. He has no plan for prosperity, only for punishing the wealth that is left in America.
He is the worst occupant of the Oval Office in the last 100+ years, and millions of us need to remove him from office in 60 days. I hope his “base” can wake the **** up and smell the coffee. They’ll be hurt more by his continued seizure of power than anyone—but somehow, the Democrat base seems to be deluded, much like a battered wife, that “their man” really loves them, he is a “good guy” and “we need to understand” the pressure he is under.
Let’s do the world a favor, America: fire Obamugabe and hire Romney.
I don’t agree it will be a landslide. It comes down to Colorado, Virginia, Iowa, Ohio, Florida, and Wisconsin. Florida is a must win. Obama can only win one of the others.
I am giving Obama Nevada, Michigan, and New Hampshire. I am giving Romney NC.
The piss-poor jobs report, however, will blunt any bounce Obama gets from the DNC.
Also, Ras is on a 3 day rolling average so Obama probably got a small bump from Clinton's speech on Wednesday, which is just showing up in today's numbers. Obama's speech (which surprisingly seems to be getting poor to lukewarm reviews in the press) and the jobs numbers won't be fully reflected until Sunday or Monday. But really I wouldn't pay a whole lot of attention to any poll until late next week when the convention noise works it's way out and we can get a better idea of where the race stands.
Why is it that Obama’s speech was very light on any specifics for a 2nd term, and that’s okay? Yet Obama called Romney to task for Romney not having laid out specifics in Romney’s speech????
Saul Alinsky tactics.
Romney gets a bump from the DNC?
Even as messed up as this country is, the incumbant happily offering more of the same with a terrible economy should not be re-elected.
Stop that! Obama cannot “have” Michigan. Do people only think Michigan is made up of Detroit and Flint?!
Obama is DOA in the rust belt. Only states safe for Obama are Mn and Il. He will lose ia,wi,oh and IN.
Mi and PA are battleground. If Romney fights for them he can win them, best. Obama can hope for is to sPend a lot if time and money trying to defend them and maybe pull out a squeaker.
Obama’s 4 years of pissing on the Blue Dogs means the south with the sole exception of perhaps Va is dead mans land for him and it ensure he has no chance in Rust Belt as well.
The question in my mind is will the rust belt adjustment this election be a 1 election swing or as I suspect a larger longer term re alignment that is long overdue much like what happened in the south? Democrats have gone so far off the plantation with their nonsense that much of th rust belt rank and file match closer to reps than dems... Time will tell.
A couple days ago, I posted a prediction of R/R 59% to O/B 39%. That was at the beginning of this cluster-bungle of a DNC. Obunga got not even a dead cat bounce out of this convention, and his trend is going nowhere but down. His only remaining trick is to tip the chessboard in some catastrophic fashion.
Hoover came in with 58.21%, and went out with FDR taking 57.41%. Without our current foodstamps, unemployment extensions, and massive media manipulation, the picture today would be worse than 1932.
I expect to see the most desperate tactics in our election history, soon.
I just don’t see Romney pulling off the win in MI. Not unless Obama is thoroughly embarassed in the debates. At least we can be fairly confident we won’t get embarassed in the debates this time for once. Romney is no true conservative, but at least he is competant and will know know his facts, which we haven’t been able to say in about 20 years.
The country may very well have slid that far. The Dems in my wife's family all think the convention was wonderful. Including my BIL's Jewish wife.
There is a lot of time left and the fat lady isn't even humming. Still, a year ago I wouldn't have given Romney 1 in 3 chance. Now I'll go 50/50.
Karl Roves SuperPAC, by itself, has over a BILLION DOLLARS to spendLink or hyperbole?
Let’s hope you are right, but the voting behavior of tens of millions of your “fellow Americans” lends skepticism to your hopes.
The booing God thing didn’t help.
We often hear that PA is “ready” to vote Republican, but the “moderates” there do so only for governor and senator on occasion, not for President.
I really doubt that Romney has more money to spend than Obama. The foreign dough alone, although illegal, will fund whatever the Obama campaign has up it’s sleeves.
Do you think the fact that Romney is a Michigan native, and the son of a popular governor, will give him some momentum in a normally Democrat state?
Las Vegas, Detroit, and Chicago fully dominate NV, MI, and IL, and I don’t think we can do anything about it. People in those cities are and always will be liberal true believers.
So why is OBummer ahead 58-42% on InTrade?
Yes, as long as Governor Dweeb (Snyder) doesn't come out and say something stupid.
And, call me an optimist, but I look at $4 gas as an investment that will ensure a new administration come November. :-)
But this goes with what was said on FR - he waited until AFTER the convention to land a hard punch. Makes sense, at least to me.
Yep. I'm in NC.
Remember that in 2008, during the biggest landslide for the Democrats since '64, with an unpopular sitting (R) president, and an unpopular (R) challenger ..... NC only went for Obama by a few tenths of a percent. A real "Dead Heat", as it were.
Breathless Punditry aside, Romney wins NC this year, going away.
I have lived in PA since 86 and I can say BeST Obama can hope for is a squeaker if Romney/Ryan bring the fight here.
That will only happen if it’s pretty clear the overall election is in the bag. PA in 2012 is NOT PA of 2008. Republican turnout will not be depressed, you don’t have a sitting governor using state resources and campaigning for Obama etc etc as well as voter iD.
PA absolutely can go Romney if they fight for it, Obama has completely disenfranchised the blue dog dems.
I would not bank the win on PA but the idea PA can’t be won by a republican is silly. I know so many life long democrats who are
Openly stating they won’t vote for this turd it’s
AmaZing and so far I have found one swing voter who voted for Obama last time stating they are going to do so again.
Agreed. This election is going to be a diaster for the Democrats.
Obama has no chance in NC. Or Fl. Only state in south he might hold would be VA, he has no chance of any other. Southern state.
I think 2010 was the tipoff.
Yesterday, Rasmussen’s Approval Index moved back to a -19 for Obama (difference between strongly approve and strongly disapprove). That’s encouraging, but even more encouraging was the 46-54 numbers for total approve vs. total disapprove. These numbers are currently going the wrong way for Obama, especially considering the movement is taking place during the Dem convention.
Dewey and the rest of the Repubs were laughing at Truman's numbers all through the Summer/Fall of 1948 to November 8, 1948. Truman ended up laughing the hardest especially after reading the Chicago Tribune.
Truman blanketed the nation with ads and whistlestop tours while the Dewey team sat in the background smiling at the poll numbers favoring the Republicans, then reality hit the GOP in the face.
“...I know so many life long democrats who are
Openly stating they wont vote for this turd...”
I have similar experiences as well. I’ve lived in PA all my life, watched my Philly neighborhood get forcibly turned into a Ghetto, moved out to the suburbs, saw the Dims flee the utopian city they’ve created and bring their politics up into the burbs to begin f***ing up those areas.
People lost their homes, their jobs, their life savings, and they’re blaming it on the Dems. I do my best to enhance and strengthen that idea wherever I can.
I’ve changed a lot of minds already, and I will continue to work on that raw nerve wherever the opportunity presents itself.
PA is a center-right state, with the exception of Philly and Pittsburgh. We are a gun-owner friendly, middle-class, working class state with people that still believe in the American Dream - and we despise people who mess with that Dream when it becomes clear that they are doing so.
If it wasn’t for the corrupt thug b*stard Dem fraud machine in the two big cities, I’d bet that PA would be reliably Republican in most elections.
Maybe I’m reading my people wrong...but I don’t think so.
There’s a lot of old-school rural Dems who don’t realize what that party has become. They need to be spoken to and educated.
Now if only Intrade would adjust to these polls, 0 is currently at 58% odds to win re-election.