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Romney Now Ahead in Polls
CCN News ^ | September 7, 2012 | Dennis Wagner

Posted on 09/07/2012 6:30:38 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

As per yesterday, Thursday September 6th, Romney has taken the lead in most National Polls and the President is behind. You can follow the line graph on Realclearpolitics.com and see this is the first time in months Romney has lead. This is also the latest in the trend of Mitt Romney making up ground and the president losing voters. I heard it said once to “not look at numbers but look at trends”, going into an election. Romney has been steadily climbing and has passed Barack Obama. As of today the RCP betting line has Obama at 58% to win the election. This number had been as high as 70% in the past as well.

In the latest polls from 24 hours ago, Rasmussen has Romney up by 3% and Gallup has Obama by 1%. Gallup used Registered voters which is far less accurate and historically distort the outcome by about 2-4% in Democrats favor. The Likely voter polls, which are more accurate of the outcome, have all leaned Romney for the past week.

And today, yet another poor jobs report is coming out as I type this and gas has risen in price the last 4 weeks straight to over $4 a gallon yet again.

Hope, Change and wait, wait and wait I guess.


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012dncconvention; 2012polls; 201ppolls; democrats; obama; polls; riggedpolls; romney
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1 posted on 09/07/2012 6:30:44 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Obama leads by 0.3% Romney’s 3-pt lead in the Ras poll has been cut to 1.

The piss-poor jobs report, however, will blunt any “bounce” Obama gets from the DNC.


2 posted on 09/07/2012 6:35:40 AM PDT by ScottinVA (If Obama is reelected, America will deserve every mockery that follows.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

So has Romney’s pulling of his ads work? Humm.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2927506/posts


3 posted on 09/07/2012 6:37:34 AM PDT by MulberryDraw (That which cannot be paid, won't be paid.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Romney’s impression of the situation:

@EricFehrn: Romney on jobless numbers: “If last night was the party, this morning is the hangover” http://t.co/A9yxn8Zq


4 posted on 09/07/2012 6:39:35 AM PDT by SE Mom (Proud mom of an Iraq war combat vet)
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To: MulberryDraw

Romney is suppose to start ‘carpet bombing’ Obama today in the swing states. $100 million ad buy starts today.


5 posted on 09/07/2012 6:40:21 AM PDT by 11th_VA (Keep your laws OFF my Big Gulp !)
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To: MulberryDraw

That’s the Romney strategy.

Sit back, smile, be the pleasant non-threatening confident guy, don’t do or say anything stupid, and just wait for Obama to implode.

Scared the hell out of me, but amazingly it appears to be working.


6 posted on 09/07/2012 6:41:34 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Romney wins. Could be a landslide. I refuse to believe this country has slid so far in the cesspool of Sodom and Gomorrah that this anti-Christian muslin could be put back in the White House. All anyone talks about is the economy and how the economy decides who wins or loses. No one ever mentions the millions of votes this moron lost when he came out for queer “marriage” and his continued assault on religious freedom. Americans do not want a socialist running the country and we are America, not some Godless European country where anything goes and to hell with God and anything to do with what’s morally right and wrong. Obama is going to find out Americans are not as stupid as he thinks they are. He’ll do down in history as the absolute worst president in history.


7 posted on 09/07/2012 6:41:35 AM PDT by NKP_Vet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I see Axelrod has gotten Gallup’s numbers to be where he wants them.


8 posted on 09/07/2012 6:41:45 AM PDT by ComputerGuy (HM2/USN M/3/3 Marines RVN 66-67)
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To: MulberryDraw
You actually believe something written in the Los Angeles Times? Seriously?
9 posted on 09/07/2012 6:44:42 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (You cannot invade the mainland United States. There would be a rifle behind every blade of grass.)
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To: MulberryDraw

Romney has a lot of money to run ads, much more than Obama.


10 posted on 09/07/2012 6:45:29 AM PDT by wolfman23601
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To: ScottinVA

Any bounce for Obama will be due to Clinton nostalgia from we’d night and rapidly fade.

Trend has been Romney’s and will continue to be.

Obama is a broken record, no one but th Kool Aid drinkers are listening to a word he says.

Obama has a max of 42-43% on election day, and frankly his joke of campaign I think he’ll be lucky to hit 40%. I really think it is truly possible this idiot will lose re-election by the lowest margin since Herbert Hoover and honestly could end up with a lower vote percentage than him.

Time wil tell but I really don’t think this is going to be anywhere near close, and the polling while capturing general tends doesn’t seem to reflect remotely what I see on the ground.

Fight like it’s neck and neck but I really think democrats are heading for a humiliating pummeling up and down the ticket.


11 posted on 09/07/2012 6:46:31 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: wolfman23601

Karl Rove’s SuperPAC, by itself, has over a BILLION DOLLARS to spend, IIRC. But remember, Mr. Obama has 97% of the media in his pocket, the unions, the NGOs, reformulated ACORN, Nation of Islam, Black Panthers, tree-huggers, Lavender Mafia, etc...


12 posted on 09/07/2012 6:48:34 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (You cannot invade the mainland United States. There would be a rifle behind every blade of grass.)
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To: HamiltonJay

And don’t forget the bounce Obama will get from a liberal convention, which clearly objected on the voice vote regarding support for Israel and for mentioning God in the platform. That will really give him a big bounce! (sarcasm)


13 posted on 09/07/2012 6:49:03 AM PDT by Dilbert San Diego
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

About damn time. The freakin’ post turtle should’ve been underwater since December 2010. He has no plan for prosperity, only for punishing the wealth that is left in America.

He is the worst occupant of the Oval Office in the last 100+ years, and millions of us need to remove him from office in 60 days. I hope his “base” can wake the **** up and smell the coffee. They’ll be hurt more by his continued seizure of power than anyone—but somehow, the Democrat base seems to be deluded, much like a battered wife, that “their man” really loves them, he is a “good guy” and “we need to understand” the pressure he is under.

Let’s do the world a favor, America: fire Obamugabe and hire Romney.


14 posted on 09/07/2012 6:49:44 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: NKP_Vet

I don’t agree it will be a landslide. It comes down to Colorado, Virginia, Iowa, Ohio, Florida, and Wisconsin. Florida is a must win. Obama can only win one of the others.

I am giving Obama Nevada, Michigan, and New Hampshire. I am giving Romney NC.


15 posted on 09/07/2012 6:51:36 AM PDT by wolfman23601
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To: ScottinVA
Obama leads by 0.3% Romney’s 3-pt lead in the Ras poll has been cut to 1.

The piss-poor jobs report, however, will blunt any “bounce” Obama gets from the DNC.

Also, Ras is on a 3 day rolling average so Obama probably got a small bump from Clinton's speech on Wednesday, which is just showing up in today's numbers. Obama's speech (which surprisingly seems to be getting poor to lukewarm reviews in the press) and the jobs numbers won't be fully reflected until Sunday or Monday. But really I wouldn't pay a whole lot of attention to any poll until late next week when the convention noise works it's way out and we can get a better idea of where the race stands.

16 posted on 09/07/2012 6:51:42 AM PDT by apillar
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Why is it that Obama’s speech was very light on any specifics for a 2nd term, and that’s okay? Yet Obama called Romney to task for Romney not having laid out specifics in Romney’s speech????


17 posted on 09/07/2012 6:51:59 AM PDT by Dilbert San Diego
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To: Dilbert San Diego

Saul Alinsky tactics.


18 posted on 09/07/2012 6:54:18 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (You cannot invade the mainland United States. There would be a rifle behind every blade of grass.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Romney gets a bump from the DNC?


19 posted on 09/07/2012 6:54:39 AM PDT by GeronL (The Right to Life came before the Right to Pursue Happiness)
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To: NKP_Vet

Even as messed up as this country is, the incumbant happily offering more of the same with a terrible economy should not be re-elected.


20 posted on 09/07/2012 6:56:38 AM PDT by GeronL (The Right to Life came before the Right to Pursue Happiness)
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To: wolfman23601

Stop that! Obama cannot “have” Michigan. Do people only think Michigan is made up of Detroit and Flint?!


21 posted on 09/07/2012 6:59:23 AM PDT by madison10
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To: wolfman23601

Obama is DOA in the rust belt. Only states safe for Obama are Mn and Il. He will lose ia,wi,oh and IN.

Mi and PA are battleground. If Romney fights for them he can win them, best. Obama can hope for is to sPend a lot if time and money trying to defend them and maybe pull out a squeaker.

Obama’s 4 years of pissing on the Blue Dogs means the south with the sole exception of perhaps Va is dead mans land for him and it ensure he has no chance in Rust Belt as well.

The question in my mind is will the rust belt adjustment this election be a 1 election swing or as I suspect a larger longer term re alignment that is long overdue much like what happened in the south? Democrats have gone so far off the plantation with their nonsense that much of th rust belt rank and file match closer to reps than dems... Time will tell.


22 posted on 09/07/2012 7:00:46 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
That convention didn't convince anyone who wasn't already going to vote Democrat to do so. Obama's speech was largely flat and consisted of nothing we haven't been hearing for the last four years. Clinton appealed to the 43% that voted for him when he ran for president, but they were already voting for Obama.

The speeches that were well received, Michelle Obama and Bill Clinton, didn't address the primary issues related to debt and the economy. They provided neither the red meat to entice the base, or compelling reasons to sway the undecided. None of this is going to help the Democrats.

In contrast several things at the convention are going to hurt them. The Democrats embraced an extreme position on abortion that is equally unpopular as the extreme anti abortion position they try to paint Republicans with. Obama admitted in his speech that their economic policy was just trial and error, and mostly error. They booed God, and it got caught on tape. During the convention there were at least a dozen GOP commercials waiting to be made using the Democrat's own words.

Finally on the polls. If on the day after the Democratic convention the president can only get a +1 on a Gallup poll of registered voters, and is still behind on Rasmussen he is in trouble. Sure I would like to see a big lead for Romney, but if that was Obama's best shot he isn't going to turn around the 5-6% undecided. They will break 80/20 for Romney, and Obama doesn't have enough lead to counter that.
23 posted on 09/07/2012 7:01:49 AM PDT by GonzoGOP (There are millions of paranoid people in the world and they are all out to get me.)
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To: HamiltonJay
Obama has a max of 42-43% on election day, and frankly his joke of campaign I think he’ll be lucky to hit 40%. I really think it is truly possible this idiot will lose re-election by the lowest margin since Herbert Hoover and honestly could end up with a lower vote percentage than him.

A couple days ago, I posted a prediction of R/R 59% to O/B 39%. That was at the beginning of this cluster-bungle of a DNC. Obunga got not even a dead cat bounce out of this convention, and his trend is going nowhere but down. His only remaining trick is to tip the chessboard in some catastrophic fashion.

Hoover came in with 58.21%, and went out with FDR taking 57.41%. Without our current foodstamps, unemployment extensions, and massive media manipulation, the picture today would be worse than 1932.

I expect to see the most desperate tactics in our election history, soon.

24 posted on 09/07/2012 7:05:08 AM PDT by meadsjn (Sarah 2012, or sooner)
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To: madison10

I just don’t see Romney pulling off the win in MI. Not unless Obama is thoroughly embarassed in the debates. At least we can be fairly confident we won’t get embarassed in the debates this time for once. Romney is no true conservative, but at least he is competant and will know know his facts, which we haven’t been able to say in about 20 years.


25 posted on 09/07/2012 7:06:20 AM PDT by wolfman23601
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To: NKP_Vet
Could be a landslide. I refuse to believe this country has slid so far in the cesspool of Sodom and Gomorrah that this anti-Christian muslin could be put back in the White House.

The country may very well have slid that far. The Dems in my wife's family all think the convention was wonderful. Including my BIL's Jewish wife.

There is a lot of time left and the fat lady isn't even humming. Still, a year ago I wouldn't have given Romney 1 in 3 chance. Now I'll go 50/50.

26 posted on 09/07/2012 7:07:38 AM PDT by ChildOfThe60s (If you can remember the 60s....you weren't really there)
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To: apillar
Those buoyed by Clinton Wednesday will be let down if they saw Obama Thursday, reminding them who is now in the Oral Oval Office.
27 posted on 09/07/2012 7:08:36 AM PDT by AU72
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Karl Rove’s SuperPAC, by itself, has over a BILLION DOLLARS to spend
Link or hyperbole?
28 posted on 09/07/2012 7:08:55 AM PDT by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds. A pessimist fears this is true.)
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Take a look at the National RCP poll average graph.
29 posted on 09/07/2012 7:15:26 AM PDT by meadsjn
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To: NKP_Vet

Let’s hope you are right, but the voting behavior of tens of millions of your “fellow Americans” lends skepticism to your hopes.


30 posted on 09/07/2012 7:36:51 AM PDT by Theodore R. (Who among us has not erred? Akin's the One!)
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To: madison10
Do people only think Michigan is made up of Detroit and Flint?!

Sadly, in most of America, they do. Having lived there I know better, but the image is going to be pretty hard to reverse.


31 posted on 09/07/2012 7:37:54 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: ScottinVA

The booing God thing didn’t help.


32 posted on 09/07/2012 7:39:45 AM PDT by SaraJohnson
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To: HamiltonJay

We often hear that PA is “ready” to vote Republican, but the “moderates” there do so only for governor and senator on occasion, not for President.


33 posted on 09/07/2012 7:39:49 AM PDT by Theodore R. (Who among us has not erred? Akin's the One!)
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To: wolfman23601

I really doubt that Romney has more money to spend than Obama. The foreign dough alone, although illegal, will fund whatever the Obama campaign has up it’s sleeves.


34 posted on 09/07/2012 7:40:45 AM PDT by Kahuna
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To: Buckeye McFrog
Yup, precisely...

I thought he was an empty suit during the debates for just that reason, but he knew that was the easiest way to win. He's the only candidate I know who has moved significantly to the right after the primaries.
35 posted on 09/07/2012 7:43:46 AM PDT by Cruising For Freedom
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To: madison10

Do you think the fact that Romney is a Michigan native, and the son of a popular governor, will give him some momentum in a normally Democrat state?


36 posted on 09/07/2012 7:44:54 AM PDT by Wallace T.
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To: Buckeye McFrog

Las Vegas, Detroit, and Chicago fully dominate NV, MI, and IL, and I don’t think we can do anything about it. People in those cities are and always will be liberal true believers.


37 posted on 09/07/2012 7:45:09 AM PDT by Theodore R. (Who among us has not erred? Akin's the One!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

So why is OBummer ahead 58-42% on InTrade?


38 posted on 09/07/2012 7:46:57 AM PDT by privatedrive
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To: Wallace T.
Do you think the fact that Romney is a Michigan native, and the son of a popular governor, will give him some momentum in a normally Democrat state?

Yes, as long as Governor Dweeb (Snyder) doesn't come out and say something stupid.

39 posted on 09/07/2012 7:49:09 AM PDT by madison10
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
I want to see what they are next week. Let the conventions and the weekend shake out. That'll be a number worth paying attention to.

And, call me an optimist, but I look at $4 gas as an investment that will ensure a new administration come November. :-)

40 posted on 09/07/2012 7:51:02 AM PDT by wbill
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To: MulberryDraw
News this morning said that Romney was "Making a massive ad buy in eight swing states". Typical news - no mention of "how massive" or "what states".

But this goes with what was said on FR - he waited until AFTER the convention to land a hard punch. Makes sense, at least to me.

41 posted on 09/07/2012 7:53:08 AM PDT by wbill
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To: wolfman23601
I am giving Romney NC

Yep. I'm in NC.

Remember that in 2008, during the biggest landslide for the Democrats since '64, with an unpopular sitting (R) president, and an unpopular (R) challenger ..... NC only went for Obama by a few tenths of a percent. A real "Dead Heat", as it were.

Breathless Punditry aside, Romney wins NC this year, going away.

42 posted on 09/07/2012 7:56:45 AM PDT by wbill
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To: Theodore R.

I have lived in PA since 86 and I can say BeST Obama can hope for is a squeaker if Romney/Ryan bring the fight here.

That will only happen if it’s pretty clear the overall election is in the bag. PA in 2012 is NOT PA of 2008. Republican turnout will not be depressed, you don’t have a sitting governor using state resources and campaigning for Obama etc etc as well as voter iD.

PA absolutely can go Romney if they fight for it, Obama has completely disenfranchised the blue dog dems.

I would not bank the win on PA but the idea PA can’t be won by a republican is silly. I know so many life long democrats who are
Openly stating they won’t vote for this turd it’s
AmaZing and so far I have found one swing voter who voted for Obama last time stating they are going to do so again.


43 posted on 09/07/2012 8:19:41 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: HamiltonJay

Agreed. This election is going to be a diaster for the Democrats.


44 posted on 09/07/2012 8:22:57 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: wbill

Obama has no chance in NC. Or Fl. Only state in south he might hold would be VA, he has no chance of any other. Southern state.


45 posted on 09/07/2012 8:23:06 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: HamiltonJay
Fight like it’s neck and neck but I really think democrats are heading for a humiliating pummeling up and down the ticket.

I think 2010 was the tipoff.

46 posted on 09/07/2012 8:28:00 AM PDT by painter (Rebuild The America We love!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Yesterday, Rasmussen’s Approval Index moved back to a -19 for Obama (difference between strongly approve and strongly disapprove). That’s encouraging, but even more encouraging was the 46-54 numbers for total approve vs. total disapprove. These numbers are currently going the wrong way for Obama, especially considering the movement is taking place during the Dem convention.


47 posted on 09/07/2012 8:35:18 AM PDT by Norseman (Defund the Left-Completely!)
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To: Buckeye McFrog
Romney better not sit back too much because waiting for an implosion when your opponent has a high percentage of voters locked regardless of mistakes could prove costly.

Dewey and the rest of the Repubs were laughing at Truman's numbers all through the Summer/Fall of 1948 to November 8, 1948. Truman ended up laughing the hardest especially after reading the Chicago Tribune.

Truman blanketed the nation with ads and whistlestop tours while the Dewey team sat in the background smiling at the poll numbers favoring the Republicans, then reality hit the GOP in the face.

48 posted on 09/07/2012 8:51:36 AM PDT by rollo tomasi (Working hard to pay for deadbeats and corrupt politicians.)
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To: HamiltonJay

“...I know so many life long democrats who are
Openly stating they won’t vote for this turd...”

I have similar experiences as well. I’ve lived in PA all my life, watched my Philly neighborhood get forcibly turned into a Ghetto, moved out to the suburbs, saw the Dims flee the utopian city they’ve created and bring their politics up into the burbs to begin f***ing up those areas.

People lost their homes, their jobs, their life savings, and they’re blaming it on the Dems. I do my best to enhance and strengthen that idea wherever I can.

I’ve changed a lot of minds already, and I will continue to work on that raw nerve wherever the opportunity presents itself.

PA is a center-right state, with the exception of Philly and Pittsburgh. We are a gun-owner friendly, middle-class, working class state with people that still believe in the American Dream - and we despise people who mess with that Dream when it becomes clear that they are doing so.

If it wasn’t for the corrupt thug b*stard Dem fraud machine in the two big cities, I’d bet that PA would be reliably Republican in most elections.

Maybe I’m reading my people wrong...but I don’t think so.

There’s a lot of old-school rural Dems who don’t realize what that party has become. They need to be spoken to and educated.


49 posted on 09/07/2012 8:54:44 AM PDT by NFHale (The Second Amendment - By Any Means Necessary.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Now if only Intrade would adjust to these polls, 0 is currently at 58% odds to win re-election.


50 posted on 09/07/2012 9:14:09 AM PDT by erod (This Chicagoan will crawl over broken glass to vote the fake Chicagoan Obama out!)
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