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National General Election Ballot (ARG Poll - Romney 49%-Obama 45%)
American Research Group ^ | 9-7-2012 | Poll

Posted on 09/07/2012 5:12:01 PM PDT by smoothsailing

September 7, 2012 - National General Election Ballot

 

National

Likely voters Sep 4-6
Obama 46%
Romney 49%
Other/Undecided 5%
Sample size: 1200 likely

voters
Sample

dates: September 4-6, 2012
Margin of error: ± 3 percentage

points
Question wording: If the general election were being held today between Barack Obama for president and Joe Biden for vice president, the Democrats,

and Mitt Romney for president and Paul Ryan for vice president, the Republicans, for whom would you vote - Obama and Biden or Romney and Ryan? (names rotated)

 

Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney 85% to 11% among self-described Democrats (38% of likely voters). Romney leads Obama 92% to 5% among self-described Republicans (34% of likely voters). And Romney leads Obama 49% to 44% among self-described independent voters (28% of likely voters).

Romney leads Obama 54% to 41% among men (48% of likely voters). Among women (52% of likely voters), Obama leads Romney 51% to 45%.

Romney leads Obama 57% to 39% among white voters (76% of likely voters). Obama leads Romney 89% to 5% among African American voters (12% of likely voters).

Obama leads Romney 50% to 46% among voters age 18 to 49 (49% of likely voters). Among voters age 50 and older (51% of likely voters), Romney leads Obama 52% to 43%.

Romney leads Obama 50% to 46% among likely voters interviewed on a landline (83% of likely voters). Obama leads Romney 48% to 45% among likely voters interviewed on a cell phone (17% of likely voters).

A total of 46% of likely voters say they would never vote for Obama in the general election and 43% of likely voters say they would never vote for Romney in the general election.

A total of 87% of those likely voters saying they would vote for Obama say they would never vote for Romney. A total of 89% of those likely voters saying they would vote for Romney say they would never vote for Obama.

 


 


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls
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1 posted on 09/07/2012 5:12:04 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: smoothsailing
kick obama to the curb,

everyone needs to talk to at least ONE person EVERY day and make sure they are registered to vote and they will vote for America. LETS DO IT !

millions of Americans who have died for our freedom over the last 200 years are watching

2 posted on 09/07/2012 5:15:57 PM PDT by kingattax (99 % of liberals give the rest a bad name)
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To: All

doesn’t matter. The only things that matter are Florida, VA and Ohio and to a lesser extent, Colorado. Obama might lose the popular vote by a few million and still win this thing which is why voting for an actual candidate that can actually defeat Obama is important.


3 posted on 09/07/2012 5:16:07 PM PDT by newnhdad (Where will you be during the Election Riots of 2012/2013?)
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To: smoothsailing

Romney leads with a D+4 sample?

Hahahaha.


4 posted on 09/07/2012 5:16:37 PM PDT by datura (Democrat = Socialist, Progressive Democrat = Communist)
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To: smoothsailing

85% of Democrats would still vote for Obama.

Mass hypnosis, or mass insanity.


5 posted on 09/07/2012 5:18:35 PM PDT by Venturer
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To: smoothsailing

Seems like we already lost half the country..
Even if Mitt wins we will have to listen to the media for the next four years trashing everthing Republicans do..
What the heck, I feel like we are living in the twilight zone..


6 posted on 09/07/2012 5:20:06 PM PDT by just me (Children should be educated and instructed in the principles of freedom. (John Adams)
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To: just me
Seems like we already lost half the country.. Even if Mitt wins we will have to listen to the media for the next four years trashing everthing Republicans do.. What the heck, I feel like we are living in the twilight zone..

Yep. A.) Country is close to being gone. And B.) If Romney wins you will all of sudden see the media focusing on gas prices, long term unemployment, what kind of jobs are being created, home values, GDP, debts, deficits, etc - everything they have ignored for 4 years.
7 posted on 09/07/2012 5:22:47 PM PDT by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else)
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To: newnhdad

The chances of either winning the popular vote but losing the electoral college are exceedingly slim. There is only one example of this happening in modern history.


8 posted on 09/07/2012 5:23:26 PM PDT by Arthurio
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To: smoothsailing
Obama 46% in the story.

45% in the headline.

9 posted on 09/07/2012 5:25:12 PM PDT by what's up
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To: smoothsailing

If it looks to Obama like he will lose, he will call off the election for some emergency.


10 posted on 09/07/2012 5:25:12 PM PDT by Big Horn (Rebuild the GOP to a conservative party)
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To: just me

How would that be a bit different than any other Republican Presidency?

Haters Gonna Hate.


11 posted on 09/07/2012 5:25:16 PM PDT by The KG9 Kid (Semper Fi)
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To: datura

Yep. Dems too high. Reps about right. Inds too low.

Also, I don’t think blacks will make up 12% this time.


12 posted on 09/07/2012 5:26:59 PM PDT by Truth is a Weapon (Truth, it hurts so good.)
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To: nhwingut

Don’t forget the homeless!


13 posted on 09/07/2012 5:30:26 PM PDT by Private_Sector_Does_It_Better (I AM ANDREW BREITBART)
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To: smoothsailing

Poll is weighted +8 Dem from latest D/R numbers...


14 posted on 09/07/2012 5:30:26 PM PDT by piytar (The predator-class is furious that their prey are shooting back.)
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To: smoothsailing
Obama leads Romney 89% to 5% among African American voters (12% of likely voters).

Whew!

And 95%+ of them will answer, "Why?" with a garble that adds up to, "Becasue he's black." Same thing with O.J's acquittal. Sometimes I think blacks are more about race than white people.

15 posted on 09/07/2012 5:31:09 PM PDT by PapaNew
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To: Venturer
Mass hypnosis, or mass insanity.

Mass insanity I think. The inability to think. I grew up in the 1980's in a democratic blue-collar Catholic home. My parents grew up in the mid-40's to mid 60's. The democrats are for the working man, the Republicans for the rich.

Was nearly thrown out of the house in 1988 when this Catholic middle Class boy realize (or at least thought) that Bush would continue Reagan's pro-growth, low tax, low government dependency anti-Communist, pro-life values and announced I was for Bush over Dukakis. It was like I told them I no longer believed in Christ or that I was gay.

My problem was that I was thinking for myself.

I have been the black sheep of my family every since. The rest are good, caring, Christian, loving, people who what the best for America. They just can't think, which is the definition of insanity when it comes to politics.

16 posted on 09/07/2012 5:31:41 PM PDT by HapaxLegamenon
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To: smoothsailing

I cant wait till Obozo is an Ex-President. We just thought Jimmy Carter was bitter! What I would give for a Romney landslide!!

One and Done, Obozo!


17 posted on 09/07/2012 5:32:14 PM PDT by southernerwithanattitude (New and Improved Redneck!)
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To: smoothsailing
Obama leads Romney 50% to 46% among voters age 18 to 49 (49% of likely voters). Among voters age 50 and older (51% of likely voters), Romney leads Obama 52% to 43%.

Seems the age of accountability and reason has bumped to 50 and older.

18 posted on 09/07/2012 5:33:11 PM PDT by PapaNew
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To: just me
Even if Mitt wins we will have to listen to the media for the next four years trashing everthing Republicans do.

It's going to be a landslide. It might even challenge the biggest landslide of all -- Johnson over Goldwater 61-39.

The media will likely continue to trash Republicans -- but their credibility will have been exhausted.

The left is going to get squashed...like a bug.

19 posted on 09/07/2012 5:35:54 PM PDT by okie01 (The Mainstream Media: IGNORANCE ON PARADE)
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To: Big Horn

I have been shouting this for the last 4 yrs. Commies don’t give up power easily.


20 posted on 09/07/2012 5:38:15 PM PDT by crazydad (-` sd)
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To: nhwingut

It’s just so unreal... The DNC have proved themselves to be Godless hateful people, yet people still support them. I guess I am just to old fashioned for Hope and Change..


21 posted on 09/07/2012 5:38:42 PM PDT by just me (Children should be educated and instructed in the principles of freedom. (John Adams)
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To: kingattax
Last week, the day after Clint Eastwood's magnificent monologue, five of my coworkers were lamenting on how sad it was that old age had finally gotten to Clint. I asked them if they'd seen his speech or if they'd just heard about it on the news, and all five admitted that they'd only heard about it from the MSM.

I pulled out my I-Phone, went to YouTube, and pulled up the video for them to see exactly what he said. In the end, four of the five were outraged about the false reporting (the fifth is so far to the left that she's not even in the ballpark anymore) and I have provided them with several news websites where they can get unobjective news.

22 posted on 09/07/2012 5:44:27 PM PDT by Stonewall Jackson ("I must study politics and war that my sons may have liberty to study mathematics and philosophy.")
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To: just me

No one knows that they booed God. If Repubs had done what they did it’d have been on Yahoo’s home page for 5 days, looped on all the nets, joked about on late night, even filtered out to the entertainment media... Instead. Nothing. It’s blacked out. The media is our enemy, not the Dems - they are incompetent.


23 posted on 09/07/2012 5:44:48 PM PDT by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else)
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To: newnhdad
The only things that matter are Florida, VA and Ohio and to a lesser extent, Colorado. Obama might lose the popular vote by a few million and still win this thing which is why voting for an actual candidate that can actually defeat Obama is important.

Of course, the EV is what counts in the end. On the other hand, vote distribution being what it is, it's virtually impossible to win the general election with less than 48.5% of the (two-party) popular vote

24 posted on 09/07/2012 5:44:54 PM PDT by okie01 (The Mainstream Media: IGNORANCE ON PARADE)
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To: Arthurio

it’s very difficult to win the popular vote by more than half a percentage point in yet still lose electoral college that does not happen


25 posted on 09/07/2012 5:47:43 PM PDT by Ravi
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To: HapaxLegamenon
It was like I told them I no longer believed in Christ or that I was gay.

But the odd thing is now that the Democrat party is officially in the process of becoming the "gay" party and the "anti-Christian" party they're still probably voting for them.

26 posted on 09/07/2012 5:49:05 PM PDT by JediJones (Grow your own dope...plant a Democrat.)
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To: datura
D+4 may have been registration during the last cycle, but it's probably more like R + 4 as we've heard lately and often that R registration is up nicely.

Landslide.

27 posted on 09/07/2012 5:51:00 PM PDT by chiller (GO TEA, especially in the Senate and WE will fix this mess.)
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To: okie01

No. I’m an optimist, and I think Romney will win by a comfortable margin, but it will not qualify as a “landslide,” and Romney will be lucky to take states like WI, MI, NV, NH, and IA-—and I think he’ll take enough of those to win.


28 posted on 09/07/2012 5:52:40 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: smoothsailing
Romney leads Obama 57% to 39% among white voters (76% of likely voters). Obama leads Romney 89% to 5% among African American voters (12% of likely voters).

Obama leads Romney 50% to 46% among voters age 18 to 49 (49% of likely voters). Among voters age 50 and older (51% of likely voters), Romney leads Obama 52% to 43%.

Here comes Tribalism. Balkanized America.

29 posted on 09/07/2012 5:53:32 PM PDT by lightman (Settling for the "lesser of two..." is still choosing Evil)
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To: just me

Well He would have to get out in front of the media and tell them to STFU and give them a what for. President Bush bless hs heart did not do that and they just walked all over him. You gotta stand your ground


30 posted on 09/07/2012 5:55:14 PM PDT by funfan
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To: Arthurio

actually there are two; Harrison beat Cleveland and Bush beat gore in that fashion.


31 posted on 09/07/2012 5:57:40 PM PDT by Pietro
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To: just me
" we will have to listen to the media for the next four years"

NO. WE. DON'T. I've gone radio and internet 24/7, and too many friends who still rely on old media think I'm off the wall. It's sad. Luckily, I'm in a state where it doesn't matter.

Fewer and fewer are relying on the alphabets and soon it'll be Huffington vs Drudge as the main news providers, rather than NBC, CBS, ABC, or FOX. We win that one.

They're influence is waning.

32 posted on 09/07/2012 5:58:21 PM PDT by chiller (GO TEA, especially in the Senate and WE will fix this mess.)
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To: LS
LS, I respect your expertise. And, under normal circumstances, I would agree with your assessment.

But there is an undercurrent that leads me to believe a.) Romney's margin will continue to grow and b.) the undecideds will break sharply toward Romney.

May we both be positively surprised...

33 posted on 09/07/2012 6:02:50 PM PDT by okie01 (The Mainstream Media: IGNORANCE ON PARADE)
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To: HapaxLegamenon

I feel for you man. Fortunately, my mom & dad were Republicans but my dad & I still go at because he believes I am an entrenched extremist. I use the analogy that Jonah Golberg recently used. One side says we need to build a Bridge the other side says it is not necessary. The “ moderate” says, hey let’s compromise & build it half way across the chasm. Now who is the extremist?


34 posted on 09/07/2012 6:03:16 PM PDT by GWB00 (Barbara Streisand barely made it out of high school.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

ping


35 posted on 09/07/2012 6:04:48 PM PDT by 1035rep (Obama: "I killed Bin Laden" ...you didn't do that. Somebody else made that happen.)
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To: Venturer

Mass “Hope”nosis!!


36 posted on 09/07/2012 6:06:17 PM PDT by Forrestfire (("To educate a man in mind and not in morals is to educate a menace to society." Theodore Roosevelt))
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To: Venturer

85% of Democrats would still vote for Obama.

Mass hypnosis, or mass insanity.

/

Not really. They are probably social issue voters (abortion, gay rights, animal rights, environmental issues etc) mixed with minorities who have just been brainwashed since birth to think the Dems are the only party that cares about their needs.


37 posted on 09/07/2012 6:06:30 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: piytar

More accurately, polled at D+4, reality is now R+4 for a net diff of 8.


38 posted on 09/07/2012 6:09:32 PM PDT by piytar (The predator-class is furious that their prey are shooting back.)
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To: JediJones
It was like I told them I no longer believed in Christ or that I was gay. But the odd thing is now that the Democrat party is officially in the process of becoming the "gay" party and the "anti-Christian" party they're still probably voting for them.

Now I am the bigot even though I have not changed my views. I am intolerant (=unchristian). I am brainwashed even though I am the one who still believes the way I did as a kid: Jesus is my God, girls are good, go USA. All of my brothers changed their minds after going to college. The only thing that did not change is that they think Democrats are saints fighting for what is good and that republicans are evil selfish people who only care for themselves.

39 posted on 09/07/2012 6:09:47 PM PDT by HapaxLegamenon
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To: chiller

I hope God is angry enough with the Dems where they won’t win another election for a hundred years..


40 posted on 09/07/2012 6:11:10 PM PDT by just me (Children should be educated and instructed in the principles of freedom. (John Adams)
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To: nhwingut
The media is our enemy, not the Dems - they are incompetent.

What can we do about this?

41 posted on 09/07/2012 6:15:24 PM PDT by ez (When you're a hammer, everything looks like a nail.)
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To: Truth is a Weapon

“Also, I don’t think blacks will make up 12% this time.”

No. They are not going to go vote Republican, but many of them will not bother to support the guy who supported them like he supported his brother George.


42 posted on 09/07/2012 6:18:05 PM PDT by Psalm 144 ( "I didn't leave the Democratic Party. The party left me." Ronald Wilson Reagan)
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To: okie01

You don’t know how much I pray you’re right. Normally, I’d be even more optimistic, but the damn polls are all over the map. Now, I happen to think that most of the polls showing Zero up or tied are heavily over sampled of Dems, but you can argue that those reflect “real” party breakdowns.


43 posted on 09/07/2012 6:22:39 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: newnhdad

If Obama loses popular votes by millions, Romney will get several states by default, including MA, IL and CA, I believe, since those states approved modified EC stand that gives their EC to the popular vote winner. They’ll be enough to give him the presidency.


44 posted on 09/07/2012 7:07:51 PM PDT by paudio (Post-racial society: When we can legitimately hire and fire a Black man without feeling guilty.)
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To: smoothsailing

Interesting internals including the women’s vote, age group and cell phones. All much more pro Romney than I would have guessed.


45 posted on 09/07/2012 7:13:42 PM PDT by Wyatt's Torch (I can explain it to you. I can't understand it for you.)
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To: what's up

You’re right, that’s a posting error on my part. As Rick Perry would say; “Woops!”. ;-)


46 posted on 09/07/2012 7:18:34 PM PDT by smoothsailing (President Obama is the greatest hoax ever perpetrated on the American people - Clint Eastwood)
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To: okie01

With regard to the battleground states, four year ago Obama outspent McCain enormously, all this spending being in the battle ground states. This advantage skewed Obama’s performance in the battleground states relative to his nationwide figure. This time, Obama will not have much if any advantage moneywise. Therefore, we can suppose that just about all the battleground states will fall one way or the other, in line with the nationwide popular vote. I’m talking of CO, FL, IA, NH, NV, OH, NC, VA and WI. If Romney wins the popular vote by at least 1 full point, he’ll win in the Electoral College.


47 posted on 09/07/2012 7:18:46 PM PDT by Redmen4ever
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To: paudio

that would be ironic since they pushed to get this through after Bush won in 2000.. ha.


48 posted on 09/07/2012 7:20:24 PM PDT by newnhdad (Where will you be during the Election Riots of 2012/2013?)
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To: datura

Number of Republicans (vs. Democrats) in America Reaches Record High - Rasmussen

Aug ‘12 +4.3%
Nov ‘10 +1.3%
Nov ‘08 -7.6%
Nov ‘04 -1.6%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/partisan_trends


49 posted on 09/07/2012 7:21:04 PM PDT by profit_guy
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To: Redmen4ever

Romney will win the popular vote by 4 to 6 points.


50 posted on 09/07/2012 7:23:36 PM PDT by profit_guy
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