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Rasmussen: Daily Presidential Tracking Poll - Obama 46% Romney 44%
Rasmussen ^ | Saturday September 8, 2012

Posted on 09/08/2012 8:39:15 AM PDT by Bigtigermike

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows President Obama attracting support from 46% of voters nationwide, while Mitt Romney earns 44% of the vote. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided…

The president is enjoying a convention bounce that has been evident in the last two nights of tracking data. He led by two just before the Republican convention, so he has already erased the modest bounce Romney received from his party’s celebration in Tampa. Perhaps more significantly, Democratic interest in the campaign has soared. For the first time, those in the president’s party are following the campaign as closely as GOP voters. Interest in a campaign is typically considered a good indicator of turnout. Platinum Members can monitor enthusiasm, demographic breakdowns and additional information from the tracking poll on a daily basis.

The president’s bounce began the night after Bill Clinton spoke to the convention and received rave reviews.

(Excerpt) Read more at m.rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012dncconvention; 2012polls; obama; romney
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+ 6 point swing
1 posted on 09/08/2012 8:39:21 AM PDT by Bigtigermike
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To: Bigtigermike

Give it a bit more time. As soon as the DNC drug wears off the polls will move towards Romney. OTOH, the polls had Carter way up over Reagan.


2 posted on 09/08/2012 8:41:12 AM PDT by SkyDancer ("OF COURSE I TALK TO MYSELF - Sometimes I need an expert opinion")
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To: SkyDancer

Maybe it was a sudden surge after Madonna showed us her back parts.


3 posted on 09/08/2012 8:42:04 AM PDT by rovenstinez
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To: Bigtigermike

How can this happen? Voters are sick .


4 posted on 09/08/2012 8:42:04 AM PDT by dalebert
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To: Bigtigermike

This will fade as more economic news comes out.


5 posted on 09/08/2012 8:42:22 AM PDT by ez (When you're a hammer, everything looks like a nail.)
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To: Bigtigermike

There are many dumb, freeloaders among our midst who will be voting. Throw in the fraudulent voters, ie dead ones, illegal voters and our task becomes tremendous.


6 posted on 09/08/2012 8:45:26 AM PDT by kenmcg (t)
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To: Bigtigermike

Is there any better indicator of the failure of the government schools than the fact Obama has more than 10% support?

We have entire generations who cannot make an informed judgement call.


7 posted on 09/08/2012 8:45:39 AM PDT by Iron Munro ("In any compromise between good and evil, it is only evil that can profit." - Ayn Rand)
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To: SkyDancer

Our culture & society in this country, the Free Stuff generation —— is so far different and removed from the country we knew 32 years ago from Carter vs Reagan that any thought of correlating what happen then to what should happen now because of past trends should be careful. There is more who live off the government from all walks of life than the simple welfare queens of old. This ‘give me’ way of thinking is the new norm in this country. Treating Obama as a nice guy in over his head, rather than a smart leftist who knows exactly what he’s doing, leaves the Democrats’ bogus narrative about government unanswered. America is changing, and Republicans are naive to rely on the public to simply recognize the problems in the Democrats’ claims without significant help from our nominee in going after the man and his marxist ideology


8 posted on 09/08/2012 8:45:51 AM PDT by Bigtigermike
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To: Bigtigermike

50% disapproval rate. And only a 6% bounce from the convention for a sitting president? Romney landslide a-coming.


9 posted on 09/08/2012 8:46:05 AM PDT by gotribe
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To: kenmcg

There are many dumb, freeloaders among our midst who will be voting. Throw in the fraudulent voters, ie dead ones, illegal voters and our task becomes tremendous.


Add to that millions of government workers, teachers and union types.


10 posted on 09/08/2012 8:49:15 AM PDT by Starboard
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To: Bigtigermike

Sure has been close for quite some time. The gambling web sites are watching this one very closely.


11 posted on 09/08/2012 8:50:24 AM PDT by grundle
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To: SkyDancer

Battleground stayed the same 46-45 Romney..
bounce probably in blue states.


12 posted on 09/08/2012 8:51:22 AM PDT by scbison
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To: Bigtigermike

Everyone needs to chill out. This bounce was expected. Remember these important facts:

1. Jobs report. It will be the sustaining and most influential news over the next 3-4 weeks.
2. Convention euphoria will fade quickly.
3. Obama’s speech was a wet towel. Very average.
4. Clinton’s speech was like a drug — a quick high for the brain-disordered leftists, but Romney’s opponent is Obama, not Clinton. Voters will quickly appreciate that fact.
5. Democrats hate God and Israel. We have it on film.
6. Romney has more money.
7. The primaries showed that Romney does well playing from behind. Multiple primaries required him to take off the gloves and annihilate while trailing. He usually pulled it off.

The objective facts on the ground favor Romney, so remain optimistic. If he’s not solidly leading by the end of September you should begin worrying.


13 posted on 09/08/2012 8:51:25 AM PDT by BlueStateRightist
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To: dalebert

don’t panic.. Battleground in ras poll still has 46-45 Romney.. Most likely the bounce was in blue states, some dems came for a few days.


14 posted on 09/08/2012 8:52:31 AM PDT by scbison
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To: Bigtigermike
The president’s bounce began the night after Bill Clinton spoke to the convention and received rave reviews.

Then, wouldn't this actually be a "Clinton bounce"??? Wouldn't it be a BO bounce if it happened after his speech (which it didn't)?

15 posted on 09/08/2012 8:52:53 AM PDT by LibertarianLiz
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To: dalebert

Hang in there, It’s going to be Landslide. Just like 2 years ago


16 posted on 09/08/2012 8:53:33 AM PDT by reefdiver (zer0 One and Done)
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To: BlueStateRightist

And if you look at Battleground state poll for rasmussen, Romney is still up 46-45. Most likely the bounce was in some blue states...


17 posted on 09/08/2012 8:53:58 AM PDT by scbison
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To: Bigtigermike

If Obama’s peak is 46-47 after a week of fawning, I feel pretty good. I would be worried if he hit 50%. His best moment is the ‘big speech’. He just gave his last ‘big speech’ before the election...and I think it is showing that while his speeches usually get good response, they just don’t move the needle.


18 posted on 09/08/2012 8:55:11 AM PDT by ilgipper
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To: ez
This will fade as more economic news comes out.

In a sane world. this would be the logical expectation. Sadly, about 50% of voters living in this country today who have absolutely no interest in economic news, since they're not paying any of the bills.
19 posted on 09/08/2012 8:56:36 AM PDT by Dan in Wichita
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To: scbison
Battleground stayed the same 46-45 Romney.. bounce probably in blue states.

I suspect you're right, since in the explanation Ras said the bounce mostly came from the Dhims being excited of their party. The convention was designed for their own base, not for independents. This, of course, has a consequence: the bounce might not disappear anytime soon.

20 posted on 09/08/2012 8:56:46 AM PDT by paudio (Post-racial society: When we can legitimately hire and fire a Black man without feeling guilty.)
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To: Bigtigermike

Actually not much of a bounce. This thing is gonna be close right down to the wire. I expect undecided voter’s to break for R/R, but I’ve been wrong before.


21 posted on 09/08/2012 8:59:43 AM PDT by Bridesheadfan
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To: reefdiver

I actually agree with you.. My gut tells me this will be a landslide in our favor..


22 posted on 09/08/2012 9:00:15 AM PDT by Chuzzlewit
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To: dalebert
Bill Clinton's speech is likely a factor. Women are still fascinated by Clinton. A commentator on CNN, the night of Clinton's speech, who said on air he got a Tweet from a woman who said “”I want to sleep with him and vote for him.”
23 posted on 09/08/2012 9:00:20 AM PDT by ConservativeStatement (Obama "acted stupidly.")
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To: rovenstinez

That’s a view I’d rather not see.


24 posted on 09/08/2012 9:03:11 AM PDT by SkyDancer ("OF COURSE I TALK TO MYSELF - Sometimes I need an expert opinion")
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To: Bigtigermike

Absolutely expected. In a week, or less, Obama will be back down to low 40s approval. It’s the economy...and we’re not stupid.


25 posted on 09/08/2012 9:03:23 AM PDT by Signalman
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To: Bigtigermike
(Some reality) "The National Association of Manufacturers was even more specific: "The way to alleviate our economic pain is by enacting pro-growth tax policies, addressing the tough questions on entitlement programs that drive our national debt and putting an end to the regulatory morass that weighs down businesses across the country."

None of which, of course, is proposed by Obama.

By the way, the Congressional Budget Office says that "under current law" — that is, budgets passed by a Democrat-dominated Congress and signed by Obama — unemployment will surge to 9.1% next year as the U.S. economy goes over the "fiscal cliff" and into recession.

The president says he needs more time to turn America around. Looks like time just ran out.

26 posted on 09/08/2012 9:06:57 AM PDT by yoe
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To: dalebert

“How can this happen? Voters are sick “

Easy.. Romney promised he would give us a bunch of stuff but it involved some work. Obama promised to give us a bunch of stuff for free. Not sure why anyone is surprised by Obamas lead. He will win the election after all more people belong to Government now than don’t....

Personally I have no use for either of these guys that would “give us stuff”..


27 posted on 09/08/2012 9:07:42 AM PDT by Breto (The Establishment party is killing our country)
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To: Starboard

“There are many dumb, freeloaders ...”

As I read, thought you were going to say there are many dumb Freepers.


28 posted on 09/08/2012 9:12:27 AM PDT by Williams (No Obama)
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To: SkyDancer

2 points is within Rasmussen’s 3 point margin of error.

As I understand it, if you take this poll a hundred times, you’re going to have 95% of the polls fall within a range of 49-41, and some of them are going to say Romney 47-Obama 43, R46 O 44, R45-O45.


29 posted on 09/08/2012 9:16:21 AM PDT by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! True supporters of our troops pray for their victory!)
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To: Iron Munro
Is there any better indicator of the failure of the government schools

I see it more as a failure of the family.

30 posted on 09/08/2012 9:19:18 AM PDT by steve86 (Acerbic by nature not nurture TM)
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To: Bigtigermike
let's see, Axlerod orders the DOJ to sue, which Holder did, two political polling orgs when they published obozo poll numbers indicating that he is less favorable than Mitt. Purpose; is to make sure the obozo win via vote fraud appears legitimate. I surmise when the obozo declares victory that rage will sweep this land and obozo will declare martial law hence the reason the government is buying up massive amounts of ammo and military hardware in to the larger cities around the country. just my opinion
31 posted on 09/08/2012 9:24:11 AM PDT by drypowder
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To: Bigtigermike; All

i posted this in the AP/Rueters thread....

i heard Ras on Kudlow this morning....basically his message was this is Romney’s election to lose yet Romney has not done enough to win the election....

Ras said no one (electorate) believes obama has any idea or ability how to improve the economy yet at the same time Romney has blown it to date by not giving enough detail on his plan to improve the economy or reduce the deficit (i agree with the latter)...

Ras also said the rats have seen a massive short term bounce in voter enthusiasm....he credits clinton’s speech for it and said that while the rats think obama and clinton compare favorably when it comes to the economy and economic growth, Republicans disagree and more importantly, unaffiliated voters think its a joke...

bottom line- Romney needs to show more detail and according to Ras, his campaign executives told him they plan on doing exactly that this month....


32 posted on 09/08/2012 9:28:08 AM PDT by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: gotribe
Sabato on FNC said that McCain got a 6 point convention bounce in 2008. Barry only got a 4 point bounce. Sounds like convention bounces are a big deal. LOL!

sarc/

33 posted on 09/08/2012 9:29:01 AM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (On 5 September 2012 A.D., the communist Democrats tried to kill God and failed.)
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To: ilgipper

If Obama’s peak is 46-47 after a week of fawning, I feel pretty good. I would be worried if he hit 50%.

This does not include his speech yet. We have to wait until Tuesday to see what is up with the final bounce.


34 posted on 09/08/2012 9:29:57 AM PDT by napscoordinator (Paul Ryan/Rick Santorum 2012....That would be the best scenario ever.)
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To: xzins

You are correct. People need to recognize the confidence interval and the effect it has on the spread.


35 posted on 09/08/2012 9:33:13 AM PDT by 1010RD (First, Do No Harm)
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To: Bigtigermike

How much could the country have changed in the 8 years since Bush got re-elected? Let’s put aside all the people who have gone on government assistance in the past 4 years due to the recession, as I refuse to believe that a majority of those people have an entitlement mentality, as opposed to simply not being able to find work or pay their bills.

Are there that many more public workers today than there were in 2004? That many more people on Medicare? That many more people living on Social Security?

If the entitlement mentality is so strong, Scott Walker would have gotten destroyed in the recall election. Or better yet, he never would have gotten elected in the first place, in a year when Republicans never would have made their biggest midterm gains in 70 years.

If we’ve reached the point of no return, with the takers outnumbering the makers, why does Chris Christie have the highest approval rating of any governor in New Jersey since they started taking polls?

If we’ve reached the point of no return, shouldn’t Occupy Wall St. have more political clout than the Tea Party?

If all these people are so happy to be getting government handouts, why couldn’t Obama fill the stadium? Why is his fundraising lagging? If we’re right on the verge of a Cloward-Piven economic collapse, why isn’t Soros writing a check for 300 million to help Obama get elected, so he can push us over the edge?

It just doesn’t add up.


36 posted on 09/08/2012 9:36:42 AM PDT by The Fop (Excuse me while I clean the saliva out of my racist dog whistle)
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To: Bigtigermike

Remember, it`s an emotional bond, not policy agreement, that has to be broken between voters and 0bama. His speech Thursday was the equivalent of an abusive husband persuading his beaten, but still devoted spouse to believe that he really didn`t mean it, and he that promises to stop the abusive behavior.


37 posted on 09/08/2012 9:39:33 AM PDT by ScottinVA (If Obama is reelected, America will deserve every mockery that follows.)
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To: God luvs America

Romney won’t......He like his aides that tell him likewise believe that they just need to run a prevent defense (run the clock out) and they will win. Maybe they are correct in the end but I find this strategy “too risky” and gives Obama a chance, howbeit a small chance to squeak out a win. I believe the Romney and his advisors don’t understand how different the country had change over the past 30 years since Reagan vs Carter and that any trends from the past handbooks should be thrown out considering how numb many of our citizens have become and again....how our country is changing internally for the worse


38 posted on 09/08/2012 9:41:49 AM PDT by Bigtigermike
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To: ScottinVA

he that=that he


39 posted on 09/08/2012 9:43:03 AM PDT by ScottinVA (If Obama is reelected, America will deserve every mockery that follows.)
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To: paudio

The liberal base is relatively unimportant. Obama didn’t win 2008 with the Dem base. He won with a truck load of dumbass teenagers (now unemployed) and no doubt some “first black president!” peons. Neither exists this time around.

We have to look to history. Dick Morris is right when he says that no incumbent has ever won with Obama numbers. You CANNOT as an incumbent, go into the election running even or within the margin of error. It’s game over. Unless Obama can get a lead of eight or nine points, he isn’t winning anything. We also have a war-chest of hundreds of millions of dollars. Obama’s burnt through all of his cash for no gain. I still like our odds.


40 posted on 09/08/2012 9:44:46 AM PDT by Viennacon
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To: Bigtigermike

Frankly, in the next couple of days I think it will move a bit more towards Obama, until the Obama-Opium wears off.


41 posted on 09/08/2012 9:45:23 AM PDT by fourth and three
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To: Viennacon

Post 40 great points. The entire Dem convention was to fire up the rabid base, hence the uncertainty to include God. Meanwhile the GOP convention assumed the base was on board and strove for independents with the Eastwood appearance. That tells me everything I need to know about who is the front runner in this race


42 posted on 09/08/2012 9:47:57 AM PDT by over3Owithabrain
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To: dalebert
If you can get a female to cry, she'll vote for you. It's as simple as that.

Females cried, America died.

43 posted on 09/08/2012 9:49:01 AM PDT by GeorgeWashingtonsGhost
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To: Bigtigermike

i disagree....you don’t become as successful in business the way Romney has by playing prevent D...McLame had a lot to lose as he had to go back to the senate if/when he lost- Romney doesn’t need that...

and while i would prefer Romney had already laid it out on the line, considering the duplicitous media and the rats convention- waiting until September could be a good strategy for Romney if he comes out guns blazing with his proposals...


44 posted on 09/08/2012 9:49:26 AM PDT by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: 1010RD

Thanks, 1010.

Question: if the MOE is 3% does that include the numbers on “undecided” and “other” as well?

If Rasmussen says the undecided is 6%, does that actually range from 9% to 3%?


45 posted on 09/08/2012 9:51:10 AM PDT by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! True supporters of our troops pray for their victory!)
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To: Viennacon

don’t forget Catholics, white males and independents who voted for him in numbers unusual to their past voting record- and he’s lost all three...

there are so many external factors polling/trending against obama i am in complete agreement with you...


46 posted on 09/08/2012 9:53:33 AM PDT by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: Bigtigermike

I’m 100% certain that a leftist will win the race for ‘12 POTUS.


47 posted on 09/08/2012 9:54:11 AM PDT by johnthebaptistmoore (The world continues to be stuck in a "all leftist, all of the time" funk. BUNK THE FUNK!)
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To: Viennacon

good points... I do wonder about Zero being out of cash. I would think he would find someway to get the money he needs and worry about the consequences later...

besides, if he did something questionable regarding “finding” more money for advertisements, the press will later simple say: “nothing too see here folks, move on...non story”..


48 posted on 09/08/2012 9:56:38 AM PDT by Chuzzlewit
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To: BlueStateRightist

No doubt. If this is the sum total of 0bama’s convention bounce I’d be very worried if I was them.


49 posted on 09/08/2012 9:58:25 AM PDT by Lou Budvis (I'm voting AB0/RYAN)
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To: ConservativeStatement

“Bill Clinton’s speech is likely a factor. Women are still fascinated by Clinton. A commentator on CNN, the night of Clinton’s speech, who said on air he got a Tweet from a woman who said “”I want to sleep with him and vote for him.”

What’s with these sluts? He’s an old man with a bad heart.


50 posted on 09/08/2012 10:01:34 AM PDT by kneehurts
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