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Poll: Obama widens lead over Romney despite jobs data
Reuters ^ | 9/8/2012 | Alina Selyukh

Posted on 09/08/2012 4:33:59 PM PDT by libh8er

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - President Barack Obama, picking up support following the Democratic National Convention, widened his narrow lead over Republican U.S. presidential challenger Mitt Romney in a new Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Saturday.

The latest daily tracking poll showed Obama, a Democrat, with a lead of 4 percentage points over Romney. Forty-seven percent of 1,457 likely voters surveyed online over the previous four days said they would vote for Obama if the November 6 elections were held today, compared with 43 percent for Romney.

"The bump is actually happening. I know there was some debate whether it would happen... but it's here," said Ipsos pollster Julia Clark, referring to the "bounce" in support that many presidential candidates enjoy after nominating conventions.

Obama had leapfrogged Romney in the daily tracking poll on Friday with a lead of 46 percent to 44 percent.

(Excerpt) Read more at news.yahoo.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; bs; liars; obama; onlinepoll; poll; riggedpolls
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1 posted on 09/08/2012 4:34:04 PM PDT by libh8er
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To: libh8er

KEYWORD-—online


2 posted on 09/08/2012 4:35:42 PM PDT by CMailBag
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To: libh8er

I hope the Oh...bah...mah...zombies and cultists believe this. Many will think that it won’t be no big deal if they skip filling out a bunch of ballots this time.


3 posted on 09/08/2012 4:36:28 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (The DNC convention is proof that Americans still love a good freak show.)
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To: libh8er

Mind you, the quoted poll is of “registered voters”, which is pretty much worthless.

The only polls worth looking at are LIKELY Voters, and then you still need to look at the internals, to see if one party or the other is plussed-up more than reality. Most of the Obama-on-top polls are +8 weighted towards Democrats. . .


4 posted on 09/08/2012 4:39:19 PM PDT by Salgak (Acme Lasers presents: The Energizer Border. I **DARE** you to cross it. . . .)
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To: libh8er

“Obama is a nice guy, just in over his head and not competent.”

:Romney strategy for defeating Obama.


5 posted on 09/08/2012 4:39:44 PM PDT by libh8er
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To: libh8er

From what I see on FB and comments on other stories online, I don’t see Obama winning. A lot of people really hate him and a lot who voted for him in 2008 are not voting for him this time. Also, I believe a lot of blacks will just stay home this November.


6 posted on 09/08/2012 4:39:46 PM PDT by ilovesarah2012
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To: libh8er

Higher unemployment may actually benefit Obama, they think Obama will do better at keeping unemployment benefits than Romney.


7 posted on 09/08/2012 4:42:25 PM PDT by dfwgator (I'm voting for Ryan and that other guy.)
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To: libh8er

Obama destroys America.

Neighbor: He was always such a nice boy!

(Paid for by Romney campaign)


8 posted on 09/08/2012 4:43:21 PM PDT by Berlin_Freeper (I used to want to change the world. Now, I want to stop the world from changing me.)
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To: FlingWingFlyer

Romney needs to have a three point lead simply to overcome the fraud. Money spent on ballot security in swing state urban districts will be well spent.


9 posted on 09/08/2012 4:43:33 PM PDT by allendale
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To: libh8er
The bump is actually happening.

Yeah, the pollster's own, gratuitous words--the pollster's bump. It would seem they doth protest too much!

Ehhhhhhh!   BUSTED!

HF

10 posted on 09/08/2012 4:43:51 PM PDT by holden
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To: libh8er

surveyed online? That is not a scientific survey and the results are completely meaningless.


11 posted on 09/08/2012 4:44:38 PM PDT by Truthsearcher
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To: libh8er

“Forty-seven percent of 1,457 likely voters surveyed online”

How many more ways can they throw the BS at us?


12 posted on 09/08/2012 4:45:30 PM PDT by tobyhill (Obamacare, the final nail in the US coffin.)
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To: Salgak

the second line of the second paragraph claims this is likely voters...that said there’s no link in the story to the polling data...


13 posted on 09/08/2012 4:46:27 PM PDT by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: Berlin_Freeper

It’s too early still for Romney to go negative.

Besides he’s got representatives.

Let them go negative. Keep Romney on the up-and-up. :)


14 posted on 09/08/2012 4:48:08 PM PDT by Cringing Negativism Network (America doesn't need any new laws. America needs freedom!)
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To: libh8er
“The precision of the Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 2.7 percentage points.”

What the hell is a “credibility interval”?

15 posted on 09/08/2012 4:49:31 PM PDT by tobyhill (Obamacare, the final nail in the US coffin.)
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To: allendale

Yup!


16 posted on 09/08/2012 4:50:13 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (The DNC convention is proof that Americans still love a good freak show.)
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To: libh8er

I need my R/D/I.
I need my R/D/I.
I need my R/D/I.
I need my R/D/I.
Cut and paste is such a time-saver.


17 posted on 09/08/2012 4:52:25 PM PDT by InterceptPoint (.)
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To: libh8er

I don't care what the polls say vote GOP


18 posted on 09/08/2012 4:55:55 PM PDT by The Wizard (Madam President is my President now and in the future)
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To: tobyhill

Ever since the Ulsterman posting on how bad 0bama’s internals are, we have seen nothing but positive stories about how well 0bama’s poll numbers are now, etc.

We are being dazzled with bullchit.


19 posted on 09/08/2012 4:57:36 PM PDT by combat_boots (The Lion of Judah cometh. Hallelujah. Gloria Patri, Filio et Spiritui Sancto.)
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To: combat_boots

Rasmussen is pretty reliable and Obama is up in Rasmussen too.


20 posted on 09/08/2012 4:59:40 PM PDT by libh8er
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To: tobyhill

I think it has something to do with the time it takes to clear your cookies in order to vote again.


21 posted on 09/08/2012 5:02:15 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (The DNC convention is proof that Americans still love a good freak show.)
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To: FlingWingFlyer
That's what I thought.
22 posted on 09/08/2012 5:04:09 PM PDT by tobyhill (Obamacare, the final nail in the US coffin.)
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To: libh8er
Medai wet dream
23 posted on 09/08/2012 5:05:38 PM PDT by KSCITYBOY
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To: libh8er

So now all three tracking polls have Obama up.

Reuters O +4
Gallup O+4
Rasmussen O+2

Team Romney is mailing it in, IMO.


24 posted on 09/08/2012 5:06:10 PM PDT by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else)
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To: libh8er
I think all minds are already made up and Obama is maxed at 47%. Romney will win 52% and over 300 EVs.
25 posted on 09/08/2012 5:07:50 PM PDT by tobyhill (Obamacare, the final nail in the US coffin.)
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To: libh8er
Reuters, huh.

They probably took this poll among delegates leaving the DNC convention.

26 posted on 09/08/2012 5:08:00 PM PDT by stevem
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To: Salgak

No, it says likely voters.


27 posted on 09/08/2012 5:09:35 PM PDT by murron (Proud Mom of a Marine Vet)
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To: tobyhill
I think all minds are already made up and Obama is maxed at 47%. Romney will win 52% and over 300 EVs.

I hope you are right. But Romney's numbers are awfully low for someone running against the biggest disaster in history. He is at 43 in both Gallup and Reuters. And 44 in Rasmussen. Cripes, McCain got 46 is a massive Dem year. He's not even hitting MCain's numbers in what is a far better year for Repubs.
28 posted on 09/08/2012 5:12:14 PM PDT by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else)
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To: libh8er

I wouldn’t be too surprised if they got a short term bounce out of their convention. It often happens but we’ve got two months between now and the election and that bounce will wear off well before then.


29 posted on 09/08/2012 5:12:18 PM PDT by Woodsman27
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To: Salgak

Uh... in the second sentence it says “ likely voters “ plain as day.


30 posted on 09/08/2012 5:12:24 PM PDT by newzjunkey (Election night is 59 days away.)
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To: libh8er

Yeah-and Scott Walker was tied in the recall vote.

And all those 2010 Tea Party voters have disappeared.

Don’t freak out, folks. The Media (pollsters) need a horse race for their ratings (billing). They’re working on their calculus, trying to figure out exactly what numbers they need to energize the RATs without lulling them into complacency (BamBam +) or demoralizing them (BamBam-). It’s a pretty narrow window ‘cause they know we’re coming out, no matter what.

Keep your powder dry and vote on Nov. 6th.


31 posted on 09/08/2012 5:12:53 PM PDT by SnuffaBolshevik (In a tornado, even turkeys can fly.)
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To: libh8er

This is the convention bounce period so it isn’t surprising.


32 posted on 09/08/2012 5:13:18 PM PDT by newzjunkey (Election night is 59 days away.)
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To: libh8er

Despite jobs data? The poll covered Tuesday through Friday. The jobs data came out on Friday and most people didn’t hear about it until that evening or today.


33 posted on 09/08/2012 5:14:34 PM PDT by montag813
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To: nhwingut
Hi.

So now all three tracking polls have Obama up.

Yep, just like they had Carter up by 10 in October of 1980.

I wonder where Zogby and his special sauce is. Haven't heard squat from him.

I can see November from my lanai.

5.56mm

34 posted on 09/08/2012 5:15:18 PM PDT by M Kehoe
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To: libh8er

The parasites appear to be voting to kill their host. It’s time to get serious about prepping. I pray I’m wrong, but the end may be near.


35 posted on 09/08/2012 5:15:55 PM PDT by Senator_Blutarski
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To: libh8er
My plan is to vote for Romney, and let the chips fall where they may. I am at peace. If Obama should win, it's over. There will be nothing at stake after an Obama victory because this country will never recover from eight years of Obama. Another Obama victory will mean that the center-to-right electorate is permanently under 50%. After all, 90% of those who become US citizens after Obama wins again will be lifetime Democrats. If Obama wins again, the only hope for this country is via another revolution. Would I be up for that? As Sarah Palin would say, “You betcha!” I hope it doesn't come to that, but I am ready if it should.
36 posted on 09/08/2012 5:15:59 PM PDT by utahagen
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To: combat_boots
Ever since the Ulsterman posting on how bad 0bama’s internals are, we have seen nothing but positive stories about how well 0bama’s poll numbers are now, etc.

Obama's actual approvals are around 47%. He can't win an election with numbers like that.

The Paul Simon song, "Slip slidin' away," comes to mind when I think of Obama.

37 posted on 09/08/2012 5:16:58 PM PDT by Slyfox
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To: nhwingut

Obama is not going to win!

...but these pollsters sure are accomplishing their goal of demoralizing Republican voters.

Romney will win by 4 to 6 points.


38 posted on 09/08/2012 5:17:21 PM PDT by profit_guy
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To: Slyfox
Obama's actual approvals are around 47%. He can't win an election with numbers like that.

He can if mitt's approvals are even lower. GOPe pushed another lame-o. Too bad. Newt would have won. The GOPe doesn't want to win. Instead it wants Hollywood's pretty people and Soros to like them.

39 posted on 09/08/2012 5:22:48 PM PDT by Sirius Lee (You ain't holding anybody's feet to the fire ya lousy limp noodle.)
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To: libh8er

Al Reuters


40 posted on 09/08/2012 5:22:57 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Voter ID Equals "No Representation Without Respiration")
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To: nhwingut
He's hitting the numbers but it's not being polled honestly. The media already knew McLame didn't have a chance so they reported his true numbers off the bat.

Minds are made up and have been since 2010. Looking at almost every mid-term election, special elections and other agenda votes, I don't see Romney losing.

41 posted on 09/08/2012 5:24:06 PM PDT by tobyhill (Obamacare, the final nail in the US coffin.)
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To: Berlin_Freeper

I think this is pretty negative (and damn effective): http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=fZgQhnNRSuw


42 posted on 09/08/2012 5:26:22 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: libh8er
Online survey.Generally,the older you are the less time you spend online and the less likely you are to cooperated with online polls.
43 posted on 09/08/2012 5:27:27 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Voter ID Equals "No Representation Without Respiration")
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To: dfwgator
I think you may be right. The slackers assume Obama will extend the dole for longer than Romney will.

They are probably right about that.

44 posted on 09/08/2012 5:27:32 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: Gay State Conservative

I think these polls are right. They just show how stupid the voting populace is. My parents who are retired love obama. Ive asked them why they love him and they have no answer other than how stupid the republican are. It makes me sad how politically ignorant my parents are. Ive even pleaded with my parents to vote thinking of their only granddaughters future. Even that won’t sway their demoncrat party line voting.


45 posted on 09/08/2012 5:27:43 PM PDT by hillarys cankles
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To: nhwingut

I think this is pretty negative (and damn effective): http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=fZgQhnNRSuw


46 posted on 09/08/2012 5:28:19 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: nhwingut

Au contraire. When you look at how the poll sampling was done in 08, vs. the splits now, Romney is well ahead of McCain. In the ARG poll two days ago, Romney was up 10 in the “real” weighted sample and up five using Dem weights.

Ras doesn’t expect Obama’s number to stay up. Moreover, the swing state poll Ras did had Romney up in every state.

Perhaps what you should be observing is the fact that except for one pretty jimmied RV poll and one +13 Dem sample poll, Obama can’t get anywhere close to 50%.


47 posted on 09/08/2012 5:31:15 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: Salgak
Thanks for saving me the trouble of looking for that.....

The closer we get to end. the more important the "Likely voter" polls become and the "Register voter" polls become inaccurate.....

48 posted on 09/08/2012 5:33:07 PM PDT by thingumbob (I'm a bitter clinger...I dare you to take my gun)
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To: hillarys cankles
The polls aren't right. They are trying to push the notion that Obama is benefiting from the convention but I guarantee there is no more than 2% undecided pre and post conventions.
49 posted on 09/08/2012 5:34:59 PM PDT by tobyhill (Obamacare, the final nail in the US coffin.)
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To: nhwingut

Romney is down within the margin of error and their packing it in.. shessh.


50 posted on 09/08/2012 5:35:23 PM PDT by scbison
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